(GROY) Gold Royalty - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Gold | Exchange: NYSE MKT (USA) | Market Cap: 725m USD | Total Return: 69.3% in 12m

Mining Royalties, Metal Streams, Mine Financing
Total Rating 23
Safety 38
Buy Signal -1.09
Gold
Industry Rotation: -5.0
Market Cap: 725M
Avg Turnover: 6.15M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility47.9%
VaR 5th Pctl8.12%
VaR vs Median2.80%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.15
Rel. Str. IBD21.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group11.1
Character TTM
Beta0.545
Beta Downside0.605
Hurst Exponent0.513
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD45.58%
CAGR/Max DD0.37
CAGR/Mean DD0.75

Warnings

Share dilution 41.5% YoY

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.8 is critical

Choppy Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GROY Gold Royalty

Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) is a Canada-based precious metals royalty company that provides capital to mining operations in exchange for long-term revenue interests. Founded in 2020, the company manages a diversified portfolio of royalties and streams across the United States, Canada, Brazil, Mexico, and Bosnia and Herzegovina.

The royalty business model allows investors to gain exposure to metal price appreciation and production growth without direct exposure to the rising capital expenditures or operating costs faced by mining companies. By acquiring interests at various stages of the mine life cycle, from exploration to production, GROY aims to balance immediate cash flow with long-term exploration upside.

Investors can further examine the companys underlying asset quality and counterparty risks on ValueRay. This sector-specific strategy effectively leverages geographic diversification to mitigate jurisdictional risk across its global mining partnerships.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Rising gold prices increase royalty revenue without corresponding mining operational costs
  • Production ramps at key assets like Odyssey and Côté Gold drive cash flow
  • Strategic acquisitions of high-margin royalties expand the long-term project pipeline
  • Geopolitical instability in operating jurisdictions poses regulatory and permitting risks
  • Dilution through equity-based financing impacts per-share value and investor sentiment
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: -1.11m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.56 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 98.76% < 20% (prev 17.58%; Δ 81.18% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 6.65m > Net Income -1.11m
Net Debt (-16.0m) to EBITDA (9.22m): -1.74 < 3
Current Ratio: 4.91 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (241.0m) vs 12m ago 41.46% < -2%
Gross Margin: 73.40% > 18% (prev 0.69%; Δ 7.27k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 2.48% > 50% (prev 1.40%; Δ 1.08% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.81 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 9.22m / Interest Expense TTM 6.40m)
Altman Z'' 5.97
A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 24.4m - Total Current Liabilities 4.96m) / Total Assets 846.9m
B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -75.6m / Total Assets 846.9m)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 5.18m / Avg Total Assets 793.4m)
D: 5.78 (Book Value of Equity 722.0m / Total Liabilities 124.9m)
Altman-Z'' = 5.97 = AAA
Beneish M -1.68
DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 5.23m/2.92m, Revenue 19.6m/10.3m)
GMI: 0.94 (GM 73.40% / 69.19%)
AQI: 2.36 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.90 (Revenue 19.6m / 10.3m)
TATA: -0.01 (NI -1.11m - CFO 6.65m) / TA 846.9m)
Beneish M = -1.68 (Cap -4..+1) = CCC
What is the price of GROY shares?

As of May 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.20 with a total of 2,955,688 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.62%, over one month by -7.25%, over three months by -31.48% and over the past year by +69.31%.

Is GROY a buy, sell or hold?

Gold Royalty has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GROY.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GROY price?
Analysts Target Price 6 87.5%
Gold Royalty (GROY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 724.7m (724.7m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 69.9301
P/S = 36.8825
P/B = 1.0038
Revenue TTM = 19.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 5.18m USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.22m USD
Long Term Debt = 101k USD (from longTermDebtTotal, two quarters ago)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 180k USD (corrected: LT Debt 101k + ST Debt none) + Leases 79.0k
Net Debt = -16.0m USD (calculated: Debt 180k - CCE 16.2m)
Enterprise Value = 708.7m USD (724.7m + Debt 180k - CCE 16.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.81 (Ebit TTM 5.18m / Interest Expense TTM 6.40m)
EV/FCF = -27.38x (Enterprise Value 708.7m / FCF TTM -25.9m)
FCF Yield = -3.65% (FCF TTM -25.9m / Enterprise Value 708.7m)
 FCF Margin = -131.7% (FCF TTM -25.9m / Revenue TTM 19.6m)
 Net Margin = -5.65% (Net Income TTM -1.11m / Revenue TTM 19.6m)
Gross Margin = 73.40% ((Revenue TTM 19.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.23m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.27% (prev 66.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 708.7m / Total Assets 846.9m)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 3.56k% (Interest Expense 6.40m / Debt 180k)
 Taxrate = 36.70% (1.03m / 2.80m)
NOPAT = 3.28m (EBIT 5.18m * (1 - 36.70%))
Current Ratio = 2.46 (Total Current Assets 24.4m / Total Current Liabilities 9.92m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 180k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 722.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.74 (Net Debt -16.0m / EBITDA 9.22m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.62 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -16.0m / FCF TTM -25.9m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 634.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.14% (Net Income -1.11m / Total Assets 846.9m)
RoE = -0.16% (Net Income TTM -1.11m / Total Stockholder Equity 710.5m)
RoCE = 0.73% (EBIT 5.18m / Capital Employed (Equity 710.5m + L.T.Debt 101k))
RoIC = 0.39% (NOPAT 3.28m / Invested Capital 841.9m)
WACC = 7.90% (E(724.7m)/V(724.9m) * Re(7.90%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 7.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 28.60%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -25.9m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.09 | Revenue CAGR: 115.5% | SUE: -3.03 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.01 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-12.12% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+680.0% | GrowthRev=+139.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=+1.64% | Revisions=-14% | GrowthEPS=+113.8% | GrowthRev=+66.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%