GROY Stock Analysis: Gold Royalty | NYSE MKT
Gold | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 612m USD | 12M Return: 3.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.97M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 5.3 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) is a Canada-based precious metals royalty company that provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry across the United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico. The company acquires royalties, streams, and similar interests at varying stages of the mine life cycle, seeking to generate returns for investors across near, medium, and longer-term horizons. Incorporated in 2020 and headquartered in Vancouver, GROY operates within the Materials sector under the GICS Precious Metals & Minerals sub-industry. As a royalty company, it generally does not operate mines directly but earns passive income based on the production or revenue of third-party mining operators, a model that typically carries lower operational risk than traditional mining.
- Gold price swings directly impact royalty revenue
- New royalty and stream acquisitions expand portfolio cash flow
- Underlying mine production growth boosts top-line royalty income
| Net Income: -1.11m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 98.76% < 20% (prev 17.58%; Δ 81.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 8.16m > Net Income -1.11m |
| Net Debt (-16.0m) to EBITDA (9.72m): -1.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (241.0m) vs 12m ago 41.46% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 73.51% > 18% (prev 69.19%; Δ 4.32% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 2.48% > 50% (prev 1.40%; Δ 1.08% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.68m / Interest Expense TTM 6.40m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 24.4m - Total Current Liabilities 4.96m) / Total Assets 846.9m |
| B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -75.6m / Total Assets 846.9m) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 5.68m / Avg Total Assets 793.4m) |
| D: 5.78 (Book Value of Equity 722.0m / Total Liabilities 124.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.98 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.47 (Receivables 8.17m/2.92m, Revenue 19.6m/10.3m) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 69.19% / 73.51%) |
| AQI: 2.36 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.90 (Revenue 19.6m / 10.3m) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI -1.11m - CFO 8.16m) / TA 846.9m) |
| Beneish M = -1.24 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 2.56 with a total of 1,868,854 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.24%, over one month by -14.09%, over three months by -30.62% and over the past year by +3.64%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 2.30 (which is 10.2% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Gold Royalty has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GROY.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 6 | 134.4% |
P/E Forward = 21.978
P/S = 31.1269
P/B = 0.9143
Revenue TTM = 19.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 5.68m USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.72m USD
Long Term Debt = 101k USD (from longTermDebtTotal, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 180k USD (corrected: LT Debt 101k + ST Debt none) + Leases 79.0k
Net Debt = -16.0m USD (calculated: Debt 180k - CCE 16.2m)
Enterprise Value = 595.6m USD (611.6m + Debt 180k - CCE 16.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.89 (Ebit TTM 5.68m / Interest Expense TTM 6.40m)
EV/FCF = -6.41x (Enterprise Value 595.6m / FCF TTM -92.9m)
FCF Yield = -15.60% (FCF TTM -92.9m / Enterprise Value 595.6m)
FCF Margin = -472.9% (FCF TTM -92.9m / Revenue TTM 19.6m)
Net Margin = -5.65% (Net Income TTM -1.11m / Revenue TTM 19.6m)
Gross Margin = 73.51% ((Revenue TTM 19.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.21m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.57% (prev 66.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 595.6m / Total Assets 846.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.56k% (Interest Expense 6.40m / Debt 180k)
Taxrate = 36.70% (1.03m / 2.80m)
NOPAT = 3.60m (EBIT 5.68m * (1 - 36.70%))
Current Ratio = 4.91 (Total Current Assets 24.4m / Total Current Liabilities 4.96m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 180k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 722.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.65 (Net Debt -16.0m / EBITDA 9.72m)
Debt / FCF = 0.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -16.0m / FCF TTM -92.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 634.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.14% (Net Income -1.11m / Total Assets 846.9m)
RoE = -0.17% (Net Income TTM -1.11m / Total Stockholder Equity 634.9m)
RoCE = 0.90% (EBIT 5.68m / Capital Employed (Equity 634.9m + L.T.Debt 101k))
RoIC = 0.43% (NOPAT 3.60m / Invested Capital 840.9m)
WACC = 8.62% (E(611.6m)/V(611.8m) * Re(8.62%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.56 | Cagr: 28.60%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -92.9m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.09 | Revenue CAGR: 115.5% | SUE: -3.03 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.01 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.01 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-3.45% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+660.0% | GrowthRev=+155.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-8.06% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+103.6% | GrowthRev=+46.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -55% (up=1, down=7)