(GTE) Gran Tierra Energy - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE MKT (USA) | Market Cap: 324m USD | Total Return: 82% in 12m

Crude Oil, Natural Gas
Total Rating 41
Safety 12
Buy Signal 0.62
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: +31.3
Market Cap: 324M
Avg Turnover: 3.04M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility58.7%
VaR 5th Pctl10.2%
VaR vs Median5.22%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.19
Rel. Str. IBD92.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group84.7
Character TTM
Beta1.031
Beta Downside1.375
Hurst Exponent0.468
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD66.86%
CAGR/Max DD0.26
CAGR/Mean DD0.55
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GTE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.1, "2021-06": -0.05, "2021-09": 0.1, "2021-12": 0.17, "2022-03": 0.04, "2022-06": 0.14, "2022-09": 0.1, "2022-12": 0.09, "2023-03": 0.9, "2023-06": -0.33, "2023-09": 0.2, "2023-12": 0.23, "2024-03": -0.0025, "2024-06": 1.16, "2024-09": 0.0369, "2024-12": -0.8485, "2025-03": -0.5389, "2025-06": -0.36, "2025-09": -0.57, "2025-12": -4, "2026-03": -3.38,
Last SUE: -1.23
Qual. Beats: -2
Revenue Revenue of GTE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 95.493, 2021-06: 96.623, 2021-09: 135.319, 2021-12: 146.287, 2022-03: 174.569, 2022-06: 205.785, 2022-09: 168.397, 2022-12: 162.637, 2023-03: 144.19, 2023-06: 157.902, 2023-09: 179.921, 2023-12: 154.944, 2024-03: 157.577, 2024-06: 165.609, 2024-09: 151.373, 2024-12: 147.29, 2025-03: 170.533, 2025-06: 152.481, 2025-09: 149.254, 2025-12: 124.445, 2026-03: 172.057,
Rev. CAGR: -2.57%
Rev. Trend: -78.4%
Last SUE: 0.19
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -0.1 is critical

Beneish M-Score -0.29 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation

Altman Z'' -4.23 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Leader, Tailwind, Pullback 52w, Confidence

Description: GTE Gran Tierra Energy

Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) is a Calgary-based independent energy company focused on the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The company’s primary operational footprint is located in the Middle Magdalena and Putumayo basins of Colombia, with additional assets in Ecuador and Canada. Through a strategic partnership with Ecopetrol S.A., Colombia’s majority state-owned energy company, Gran Tierra develops key fields to optimize resource recovery.

The company operates within the exploration and production (E&P) sector, a segment of the oil and gas industry characterized by high capital expenditure requirements and direct exposure to global commodity price volatility. Gran Tierras business model relies on identifying under-exploited conventional reservoirs where it can apply modern drilling and enhanced oil recovery techniques to increase production volumes. For more detailed financial metrics and valuation models, investors should consult ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Colombian crude oil production volumes drive quarterly revenue and cash flow
  • Global Brent oil price fluctuations dictate capital expenditure and share buybacks
  • Strategic partnership with Ecopetrol impacts Middle Magdalena Valley development efficiency
  • Regulatory and political shifts in Colombia influence long-term drilling permits
  • Ecuador exploration success determines future reserve replacement and production growth targets
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: -293.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.17 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -42.65% < 20% (prev -27.03%; Δ -15.62% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 256.9m > Net Income -293.0m
Net Debt (600.0m) to EBITDA (257.4m): 2.33 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.53 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.3m) vs 12m ago -1.33% < -2%
Gross Margin: 9.90% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 967.4% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 36.28% > 50% (prev 38.18%; Δ -1.90% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 257.4m / Interest Expense TTM 128.0m)
Altman Z'' -4.23
A: -0.16 (Total Current Assets 288.9m - Total Current Liabilities 544.1m) / Total Assets 1.64b
B: -0.72 (Retained Earnings -1.17b / Total Assets 1.64b)
C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -18.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.65b)
D: -0.76 (Book Value of Equity -1.16b / Total Liabilities 1.53b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.23 = D
Beneish M -0.29
DSRI: 2.19 (Receivables 102.8m/49.8m, Revenue 598.2m/634.8m)
GMI: 2.32 (GM 9.90% / 23.02%)
AQI: 2.59 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 598.2m / 634.8m)
TATA: -0.34 (NI -293.0m - CFO 256.9m) / TA 1.64b)
Beneish M = -0.29 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of GTE shares?

As of May 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.47 with a total of 547,448 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.31%, over one month by -4.92%, over three months by +36.44% and over the past year by +82.01%.

Is GTE a buy, sell or hold?

Gran Tierra Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GTE.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GTE price?
Analysts Target Price 6.5 -23.4%
Gran Tierra Energy (GTE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 May 2026
P/E Forward = 20.284
P/S = 0.5399
P/B = 2.9693
P/EG = 0.2303
Revenue TTM = 598.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -18.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 257.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 674.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 21.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 725.0m USD (corrected: LT Debt 674.8m + ST Debt 21.4m) + Leases 28.8m
Net Debt = 600.0m USD (calculated: Debt 725.0m - CCE 125.0m)
Enterprise Value = 924.2m USD (324.3m + Debt 725.0m - CCE 125.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.15 (Ebit TTM -18.6m / Interest Expense TTM 128.0m)
EV/FCF = 4.19x (Enterprise Value 924.2m / FCF TTM 220.4m)
FCF Yield = 23.85% (FCF TTM 220.4m / Enterprise Value 924.2m)
FCF Margin = 36.84% (FCF TTM 220.4m / Revenue TTM 598.2m)
Net Margin = -48.98% (Net Income TTM -293.0m / Revenue TTM 598.2m)
Gross Margin = 9.90% ((Revenue TTM 598.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 539.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.86% (prev -2.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 924.2m / Total Assets 1.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 17.65% (Interest Expense 128.0m / Debt 725.0m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -14.7m (EBIT -18.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.53 (Total Current Assets 288.9m / Total Current Liabilities 544.1m)
Debt / Equity = 6.66 (Debt 725.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 108.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.33 (Net Debt 600.0m / EBITDA 257.4m)
Debt / FCF = 2.72 (Net Debt 600.0m / FCF TTM 220.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 273.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -17.77% (Net Income -293.0m / Total Assets 1.64b)
RoE = -20.27% (Net Income TTM -293.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.45b)
RoCE = -0.88% (EBIT -18.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.45b + L.T.Debt 674.8m))
 RoIC = -1.49% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -14.7m / Invested Capital 987.4m)
 WACC = 12.60% (E(324.3m)/V(1.05b) * Re(9.61%) + D(725.0m)/V(1.05b) * Rd(17.65%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 42.22 | Cagr: 3.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.48% ; FCFF base≈134.3m ; Y1≈154.0m ; Y5≈226.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 37.88 (EV 1.94b - Net Debt 600.0m = Equity 1.34b / Shares 35.4m; r=12.60% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.23 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -78.40 | Revenue CAGR: -2.57% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.66 | Chg30d=+206.45% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.37 | Chg30d=+166.07% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=+106.23% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+103.0% | GrowthRev=+10.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.44 | Chg30d=+0.46% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=-753.0% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%