(GTE) Gran Tierra Energy - Overview
Stock: Oil, Gas, Crude, Condensate, Natural
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 74.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.58% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Alpha | -20.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.955 |
| Beta Downside | 1.542 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 66.86% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.24 |
Description: GTE Gran Tierra Energy January 01, 2026
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (NYSE MKT:GTE) is a Calgary-based oil and gas company that explores and produces hydrocarbons in Colombia, Canada, and Ecuador. Established in 2003, it operates through subsidiaries and trades a single class of common stock under the ticker GTE.
Key operating metrics (as of Q4 2023) include average daily production of roughly 45,000 boe, with ≈ 70 % of output generated in Colombia, where the company holds a 55 % working interest in the La Loma-Cañaveralejo fields. The firm reported a 2023 cash flow-from-operations of ~ US$210 million and a net debt of ~ US$400 million, giving a net-debt-to-cash-flow ratio of ≈ 1.9×. Gran Tierra’s earnings are highly sensitive to Brent crude prices; a $5 rise in Brent typically adds ≈ $30 million to adjusted EBITDA, reflecting its exposure to commodity cycles.
Sector-wide, Latin American upstream firms have benefited from recent de-risking of political environments in Colombia, while tighter global oil supply has kept Brent above $80 per barrel, supporting cash-flow generation for mid-size producers like GTE.
For a deeper dive into Gran Tierra’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -86.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -23.03% < 20% (prev 13.08%; Δ -36.12% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 22.7m > Net Income -86.2m |
| Net Debt (724.5m) to EBITDA (289.1m): 2.51 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.54 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.3m) vs 12m ago 14.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.08% > 18% (prev 0.32%; Δ 1176 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 38.85% > 50% (prev 41.05%; Δ -2.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.20 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 289.1m / Interest Expense TTM 96.8m) |
Altman Z'' -3.01
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 166.7m - Total Current Liabilities 309.4m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| B: -0.55 (Retained Earnings -911.8m / Total Assets 1.66b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 19.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.59b) |
| D: -0.70 (Book Value of Equity -902.9m / Total Liabilities 1.29b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.01 = D |
Beneish M -0.23
| DSRI: 2.08 (Receivables 64.1m/31.2m, Revenue 619.6m/629.5m) |
| GMI: 2.66 (GM 12.08% / 32.14%) |
| AQI: 1.80 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 619.6m / 629.5m) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI -86.2m - CFO 22.7m) / TA 1.66b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -0.23 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of GTE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.92%, over one month by +37.69%, over three months by +34.31% and over the past year by -4.03%.
Is GTE a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GTE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.5 | 18.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.5 | 18.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.6 | 2.2% |
GTE Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/S = 0.3134
P/B = 0.6028
P/EG = 0.2303
Revenue TTM = 619.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 19.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 289.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 754.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 773.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 724.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 916.2m USD (191.7m + Debt 773.6m - CCE 49.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.20 (Ebit TTM 19.8m / Interest Expense TTM 96.8m)
EV/FCF = -24.05x (Enterprise Value 916.2m / FCF TTM -38.1m)
FCF Yield = -4.16% (FCF TTM -38.1m / Enterprise Value 916.2m)
FCF Margin = -6.15% (FCF TTM -38.1m / Revenue TTM 619.6m)
Net Margin = -13.91% (Net Income TTM -86.2m / Revenue TTM 619.6m)
Gross Margin = 12.08% ((Revenue TTM 619.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 544.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.77% (prev 13.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 916.2m / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.29% (Interest Expense 25.4m / Debt 773.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 15.7m (EBIT 19.8m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.54 (Total Current Assets 166.7m / Total Current Liabilities 309.4m)
Debt / Equity = 2.11 (Debt 773.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 366.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.51 (Net Debt 724.5m / EBITDA 289.1m)
Debt / FCF = -19.02 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 724.5m / FCF TTM -38.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 390.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.40% (Net Income -86.2m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = -22.05% (Net Income TTM -86.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 390.8m)
RoCE = 1.73% (EBIT 19.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 390.8m + L.T.Debt 754.3m))
RoIC = 1.39% (NOPAT 15.7m / Invested Capital 1.13b)
WACC = 3.96% (E(191.7m)/V(965.3m) * Re(9.44%) + D(773.6m)/V(965.3m) * Rd(3.29%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.54%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -38.1m)
EPS Correlation: -44.59 | EPS CAGR: -28.22% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -35.21 | Revenue CAGR: 0.54% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.40 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-3.15 | Chg30d=-1.870 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-52.2% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%