IMO Stock Analysis: Imperial Oil | NYSE MKT
Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 56.307m USD | 12M Return: 45.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 68.6M
EPS Trend: -33.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: -40.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.
Imperial Oil Limited (NYSE MKT: IMO) is a Canadian integrated oil and gas company operating across the upstream, downstream, and chemical value chains. The company falls within the GICS Energy sector and is classified in the Integrated Oil & Gas sub-industry, a group of firms that combine exploration and production with refining and marketing activities.
In its Upstream segment, Imperial explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, synthetic crude oil, and bitumen, with operations concentrated in Canada. The company is also one of Canadas largest producers of synthetic crude from the oil sands.
The Downstream segment handles the transportation, refining, blending, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products. Imperial owns and operates refineries and a network of pipelines and fuel terminals across Alberta, Manitoba, and Ontario, and markets its products under the well-known Esso and Mobil brands, selling to industrial, transportation, agricultural, residential, and commercial customers.
The Chemical segment manufactures and markets aliphatic solvents, plasticizer intermediates, and polyethylene resins, and also sells refinery-grade propylene. Petrochemicals provide a smaller, higher-margin complement to the companys core fuel operations.
Imperial Oil was incorporated in 1880 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. The company is listed as a large-cap stock and operates as a subsidiary of Exxon Mobil Corporation, the worlds largest publicly traded integrated oil major by revenue.
- Crude oil price swings move upstream segment earnings
- Refining crack spreads pressure downstream margins
- ExxonMobil ownership supports buybacks and dividend growth
| Net Income: 3.13b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.25% < 20% (prev 6.50%; Δ -2.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 5.94b > Net Income 3.13b |
| Net Debt (3.38b) to EBITDA (7.00b): 0.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.23 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (484.8m) vs 12m ago -4.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.01% > 18% (prev 18.05%; Δ -2.05% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 114.5% > 50% (prev 117.9%; Δ -3.40% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 119.2 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.07b / Interest Expense TTM 34.2m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 11.5b - Total Current Liabilities 9.35b) / Total Assets 45.5b |
| B: 0.48 (Retained Earnings 21.9b / Total Assets 45.5b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 4.07b / Avg Total Assets 44.7b) |
| D: 1.00 (Book Value of Equity 22.7b / Total Liabilities 22.7b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.55 = A |
| DSRI: 1.87 (Receivables 10.7b/5.77b, Revenue 51.1b/51.7b) |
| GMI: 1.13 (GM 18.05% / 16.01%) |
| AQI: -17.30 (AQ_t -1.11 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 51.1b / 51.7b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 3.13b - CFO 5.94b) / TA 45.5b) |
| Beneish M = -13.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of June 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 113.25 with a total of 535,603 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.61%, over one month by -7.24%, over three months by -12.22% and over the past year by +45.61%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 108.10 (which is 4.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Imperial Oil has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.22. Therefore, it is recommended to hold IMO.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 107.2 | -5.4% |
Market Cap CAD = 79.9b (56.3b USD * 1.4191 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 27.3527
P/E Forward = 12.1359
P/S = 1.2014
P/B = 3.4272
P/EG = 5.1807
Revenue TTM = 51.1b CAD
EBIT TTM = 4.07b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 7.00b CAD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.81b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 673.0m
Net Debt = 3.38b CAD (calculated: Debt 4.81b - CCE 1.44b)
Enterprise Value = 83.3b CAD (79.9b + Debt 4.81b - CCE 1.44b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 119.2 (Ebit TTM 4.07b / Interest Expense TTM 34.2m)
EV/FCF = 21.60x (Enterprise Value 83.3b / FCF TTM 3.85b)
FCF Yield = 4.63% (FCF TTM 3.85b / Enterprise Value 83.3b)
FCF Margin = 7.54% (FCF TTM 3.85b / Revenue TTM 51.1b)
Net Margin = 6.13% (Net Income TTM 3.13b / Revenue TTM 51.1b)
Gross Margin = 16.01% ((Revenue TTM 51.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 42.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.18% (prev 17.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.83 (Enterprise Value 83.3b / Total Assets 45.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.71% (Interest Expense 34.2m / Debt 4.81b)
Taxrate = 23.27% (949.9m / 4.08b)
NOPAT = 3.13b (EBIT 4.07b * (1 - 23.27%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 11.5b / Total Current Liabilities 9.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 4.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.48 (Net Debt 3.38b / EBITDA 7.00b)
Debt / FCF = 0.88 (Net Debt 3.38b / FCF TTM 3.85b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.02% (Net Income 3.13b / Total Assets 45.5b)
RoE = 13.38% (Net Income TTM 3.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.4b)
RoCE = 15.16% (EBIT 4.07b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.4b + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 9.01% (NOPAT 3.13b / Invested Capital 34.7b)
WACC = 7.81% (E(79.9b)/V(84.7b) * Re(8.25%) + D(4.81b)/V(84.7b) * Rd(0.71%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.11 | Cagr: -5.74%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈4.18b ; Y1≈3.66b ; Y5≈2.96b
[DCF] Fair Price = 91.29 (EV 47.5b - Net Debt 3.38b = Equity 44.1b / Shares 483.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -33.65 | EPS CAGR: -1.83% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -39.99 | Revenue CAGR: -0.84% | SUE: -0.25 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.91 | Chg30d=+16.01% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=13.60 | Chg30d=+19.39% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+59.5% | GrowthRev=+31.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.45 | Chg30d=+4.53% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=-23.2% | GrowthRev=-4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%