IMO Stock Analysis: Imperial Oil | NYSE MKT

Oil & Gas Integrated | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 66.272m USD | 12M Return: 65.9% | CA4530384086 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refined Fuels, Petrochemicals
Total Rating 65
Safety 74
Buy Signal 0.48
Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Rotation: +10.5
Market Cap: 66.3B
Avg Turnover: 60.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.6%
VaR 5th Pctl4.76%
VaR vs Median13.0%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.79
Rel. Str. IBD72.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group40.5
Character TTM
Beta0.443
Beta Downside0.759
Hurst Exponent0.541
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD22.95%
CAGR/Max DD1.68
CAGR/Mean DD5.95
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of IMO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.5, "2021-09": 1.28, "2021-12": 1.18, "2022-03": 1.75, "2022-06": 3.63, "2022-09": 2.91, "2022-12": 2.86, "2023-03": 2.13, "2023-06": 1.15, "2023-09": 2.76, "2023-12": 2.47, "2024-03": 2.23, "2024-06": 2.11, "2024-09": 2.33, "2024-12": 2.37, "2025-03": 2.52, "2025-06": 1.86, "2025-09": 2.17, "2025-12": 1.97, "2026-03": 1.94, "2026-06": 3.27,
EPS CAGR: -0.69%
EPS Trend: -12.1%
Last SUE: 1.09
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of IMO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 8007, 2021-09: 10214, 2021-12: 12295, 2022-03: 12657, 2022-06: 17285, 2022-09: 15071, 2022-12: 14400, 2023-03: 12057, 2023-06: 11764, 2023-09: 13873, 2023-12: 13202, 2024-03: 12249, 2024-06: 13348, 2024-09: 13215, 2024-12: 12702, 2025-03: 12466, 2025-06: 11208, 2025-09: 16198.39422, 2025-12: 11280, 2026-03: 12446, 2026-06: 16068.959343,
Rev. CAGR: 0.98%
Rev. Trend: 30.1%
Last SUE: 0.02
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +1.3% 10
Feb -0.2% 16
Mar +0.7% 11
Apr -1.8% 14
May -1.3% 18
Jun +1.4% 15
Jul +0.5% 8
Aug +1.3% 14
Sep +2.8% 12
Oct -0.2% 2
Nov -1.9% 18
Dec -0.1% 5

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: IMO Imperial Oil

Imperial Oil Limited (NYSE MKT: IMO) is a Canadian integrated oil and gas company operating across the upstream, downstream, and chemical value chains. The company falls within the GICS Energy sector and is classified in the Integrated Oil & Gas sub-industry, a group of firms that combine exploration and production with refining and marketing activities.

In its Upstream segment, Imperial explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, synthetic crude oil, and bitumen, with operations concentrated in Canada. The company is also one of Canadas largest producers of synthetic crude from the oil sands.

The Downstream segment handles the transportation, refining, blending, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products. Imperial owns and operates refineries and a network of pipelines and fuel terminals across Alberta, Manitoba, and Ontario, and markets its products under the well-known Esso and Mobil brands, selling to industrial, transportation, agricultural, residential, and commercial customers.

The Chemical segment manufactures and markets aliphatic solvents, plasticizer intermediates, and polyethylene resins, and also sells refinery-grade propylene. Petrochemicals provide a smaller, higher-margin complement to the companys core fuel operations.

Imperial Oil was incorporated in 1880 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. The company is listed as a large-cap stock and operates as a subsidiary of Exxon Mobil Corporation, the worlds largest publicly traded integrated oil major by revenue.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Crude oil price swings move upstream segment earnings
  • Refining crack spreads pressure downstream margins
  • ExxonMobil ownership supports buybacks and dividend growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 4.38b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.36 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.81% < 20% (prev 7.92%; Δ -1.11% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 7.18b > Net Income 4.38b
Net Debt (1.96b) to EBITDA (8.68b): 0.23 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.38 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (484.9m) vs 12m ago -4.98% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.56% > 18% (prev 18.45%; Δ -0.90% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 121.7% > 50% (prev 112.3%; Δ 9.42% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 123.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 5.71b / Interest Expense TTM 46.2m)
Altman Z'' 4.07
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 13.9b - Total Current Liabilities 10.1b) / Total Assets 47.9b
B: 0.49 (Retained Earnings 23.7b / Total Assets 47.9b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 5.71b / Avg Total Assets 46.0b)
D: 1.05 (Book Value of Equity 24.5b / Total Liabilities 23.3b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.07 = AA
Beneish M -4.00
DSRI: 1.29 (Receivables 8.17b/5.60b, Revenue 56.0b/49.6b)
GMI: 1.05 (GM 18.45% / 17.56%)
AQI: -17.07 (AQ_t -1.10 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 56.0b / 49.6b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 4.38b - CFO 7.18b) / TA 47.9b)
Beneish M = -13.37 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of IMO shares?

As of August 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 135.70 with a total of 541,018 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.74%, over one month by +10.54%, over three months by -1.41% and over the past year by +65.85%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 129.70 (which is 4.4% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is IMO a buy, sell or hold?

Imperial Oil has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.22. Therefore, it is recommended to hold IMO.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the IMO price?
Analysts Target Price 109.6 -19.3%
Imperial Oil (IMO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 16 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 66.3b (66.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CAD = 92.1b (66.3b USD * 1.3896 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 21.6715
P/E Forward = 13.9276
P/S = 1.75
P/B = 3.5421
P/EG = 5.1807
Revenue TTM = 56.0b CAD
EBIT TTM = 5.71b CAD
EBITDA TTM = 8.68b CAD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.80b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 667.0m
Net Debt = 1.96b CAD (calculated: Debt 4.80b - CCE 2.84b)
Enterprise Value = 94.1b CAD (92.1b + Debt 4.80b - CCE 2.84b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 123.7 (Ebit TTM 5.71b / Interest Expense TTM 46.2m)
EV/FCF = 18.68x (Enterprise Value 94.1b / FCF TTM 5.04b)
FCF Yield = 5.35% (FCF TTM 5.04b / Enterprise Value 94.1b)
FCF Margin = 8.99% (FCF TTM 5.04b / Revenue TTM 56.0b)
Net Margin = 7.81% (Net Income TTM 4.38b / Revenue TTM 56.0b)
Gross Margin = 17.56% ((Revenue TTM 56.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 46.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.42% (prev 20.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.97 (Enterprise Value 94.1b / Total Assets 47.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.96% (Interest Expense 46.2m / Debt 4.80b)
Taxrate = 23.25% (1.33b / 5.70b)
NOPAT = 4.38b (EBIT 5.71b * (1 - 23.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 13.9b / Total Current Liabilities 10.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 4.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 24.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.23 (Net Debt 1.96b / EBITDA 8.68b)
Debt / FCF = 0.39 (Net Debt 1.96b / FCF TTM 5.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.51% (Net Income 4.38b / Total Assets 47.9b)
RoE = 18.77% (Net Income TTM 4.38b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.3b)
RoCE = 21.35% (EBIT 5.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.3b + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 12.54% (NOPAT 4.38b / Invested Capital 35.0b)
WACC = 7.20% (E(92.1b)/V(96.9b) * Re(7.54%) + D(4.80b)/V(96.9b) * Rd(0.96%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.17 | Cagr: -4.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.90% ; FCFF base≈4.82b ; Y1≈5.32b ; Y5≈6.82b
[DCF] Fair Price = 211.2 (EV 104b - Net Debt 1.96b = Equity 102b / Shares 483.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 12.14% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -12.08 | EPS CAGR: -0.69% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 30.10 | Revenue CAGR: 0.98% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.53 | Chg30d=+15.97% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.40 | Chg30d=+4.46% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+68.8% | GrowthRev=+28.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.86 | Chg30d=+6.59% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=-17.6% | GrowthRev=-0.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=7, down=7)