(INDO) Indonesia Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gas, Exploration, Production
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 75.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 96.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -22.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.43 |
| Alpha | 0.34 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.415 |
| Beta | 0.228 |
| Beta Downside | 1.274 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.34% |
| Mean DD | 46.32% |
| Median DD | 53.56% |
Description: INDO Indonesia Energy October 19, 2025
Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited (NYSE MKT: INDO) is an upstream oil-and-gas firm focused on Indonesia’s on-shore basins. Its core assets are the Kruh Block in South Sumatra, a 258 km² producing field, and the much larger 3,925 km² Citarum Block in West Java, which remains in the exploration phase. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Jakarta.
Key industry context: Indonesia’s crude output has hovered around 700 kb/d in 2023, with domestic consumption exceeding production, creating a persistent import gap that supports upstream investment. INDO’s latest disclosed production from Kruh averages roughly 5 k barrels of oil equivalent per day, while the Citarum Block’s 2024-25 drilling program targets an initial reserve add of 15-20 MMboe, assuming a 10-12% success rate typical for on-shore Indonesian prospects. The company benefits from Indonesia’s relatively generous fiscal terms for new fields (oil-in-kind royalties of 5-10% and a 30-year production sharing contract), which can improve net cash flow if reserves are confirmed.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore ValueRay’s platform to compare INDO’s valuation metrics against peers and sector benchmarks.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-10.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 233.5k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.29 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 216.0% (prev 73.11%; Δ 142.8pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO -5.47m > Net Income -10.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 6.36 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (15.0m) change vs 12m ago 47.77% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -23.08% (prev 14.63%; Δ -37.70pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 18.23% (prev 19.04%; Δ -0.81pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -18.06 (EBITDA TTM -8.21m / Interest Expense TTM 555.5k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -22.86
| (A) 0.33 = (Total Current Assets 9.97m - Total Current Liabilities 1.57m) / Total Assets 25.2m |
| (B) -1.93 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -48.8m / Total Assets 25.2m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.93 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.47 = EBIT TTM -10.0m / Avg Total Assets 21.3m |
| (D) -14.84 = Book Value of Equity -48.8m / Total Liabilities 3.28m |
| Total Rating: -22.86 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 29.36
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -20.52% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.04 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.45 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -56.98)% |
| 7. RoE -55.36% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 15.64% |
| 9. EPS Trend -33.23% |
What is the price of INDO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.67%, over one month by +5.36%, over three months by +1.37% and over the past year by +5.36%.
Is INDO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the INDO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10 | 239% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10 | 239% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.7 | -9.5% |
INDO Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
P/S = 18.8844
P/B = 1.9749
Beta = -0.809
Revenue TTM = 3.89m USD
EBIT TTM = -10.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -8.21m USD
Long Term Debt = 711.7k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 556.8k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 881.6k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -3.69m USD (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 35.6m USD (43.3m + Debt 881.6k - CCE 8.57m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.06 (Ebit TTM -10.0m / Interest Expense TTM 555.5k)
FCF Yield = -20.52% (FCF TTM -7.31m / Enterprise Value 35.6m)
FCF Margin = -187.9% (FCF TTM -7.31m / Revenue TTM 3.89m)
Net Margin = -272.1% (Net Income TTM -10.6m / Revenue TTM 3.89m)
Gross Margin = -23.08% ((Revenue TTM 3.89m - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.79m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -11.06% (prev -65.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 35.6m / Total Assets 25.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.37% (Interest Expense 109.1k / Debt 881.6k)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -6.34m)
NOPAT = -10.0m (EBIT -10.0m * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 6.36 (Total Current Assets 9.97m / Total Current Liabilities 1.57m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 881.6k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.45 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -3.69m / EBITDA -8.21m)
Debt / FCF = 0.51 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -3.69m / FCF TTM -7.31m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -41.99% (Net Income -10.6m / Total Assets 25.2m)
RoE = -55.36% (Net Income TTM -10.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 19.1m)
RoCE = -50.57% (EBIT -10.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 19.1m + L.T.Debt 711.7k))
RoIC = -50.01% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -10.0m / Invested Capital 20.1m)
WACC = 6.97% (E(43.3m)/V(44.2m) * Re(6.86%) + D(881.6k)/V(44.2m) * Rd(12.37%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 6.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 21.56%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -7.31m)
EPS Correlation: -33.23 | EPS CAGR: 5.21% | SUE: -1.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 15.64 | Revenue CAGR: 3.99% | SUE: 1.84 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for INDO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle