(LNG) Cheniere Energy - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE MKT • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US16411R2085

LNG Terminal Pipeline Marketing

Dividends

Dividend Yield 1.09%
Yield on Cost 5y 3.64%
Yield CAGR 5y 14.16%
Payout Consistency 100.0%
Payout Ratio 19.1%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 21.7%
Value at Risk 5%th 34.1%
Relative Tail Risk -4.50%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.38
Alpha -21.59
CAGR/Max DD 0.35
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.281
Beta 0.645
Beta Downside 1.186
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 24.87%
Mean DD 7.35%
Median DD 6.83%

Description: LNG Cheniere Energy December 04, 2025

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (NYSE MKT:LNG) is a U.S.-based energy-infrastructure firm that focuses on liquefied natural gas (LNG) production and related services. It owns and operates two export terminals-Sabine Pass in Louisiana and Corpus Christi in Texas-and the associated feed-gas pipelines (Creole Trail, 94 mi; Corpus Christi, 21 mi) that link these terminals to interstate and intrastate gas networks. The company also conducts LNG and natural-gas marketing activities.

Key operational metrics that investors watch include the FY 2023 adjusted EBITDA of roughly $5.3 billion and a 2024 guidance range of $5.0-$5.5 billion, reflecting the firm’s exposure to both long-term contract pricing (covering ~70 % of its 30 MMtpa contracted capacity) and spot-market volatility. A primary economic driver is the global LNG demand surge-estimated to grow ~7 % CAGR through 2030-fuelled by Europe’s diversification away from pipeline gas and Asia’s energy transition, which underpins higher freight and price spreads for U.S. exporters.

Given Cheniere’s capital-intensive asset base and the cyclical nature of LNG pricing, a rigorous cash-flow sensitivity analysis is essential before forming an investment thesis. For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed cash-flow model for LNG exporters useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5

Net Income (4.00b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.13b TTM)
FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.87pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -1.26% (prev 1.87%; Δ -3.13pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.12b > Net Income 4.00b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (25.05b) to EBITDA (8.96b) ratio: 2.79 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (219.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 36.59% (prev -8.93%; Δ 45.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 42.72% (prev 37.13%; Δ 5.59pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 7.64 (EBITDA TTM 8.96b / Interest Expense TTM 942.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.10

(A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 3.50b - Total Current Liabilities 3.74b) / Total Assets 45.10b
(B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 10.07b / Total Assets 45.10b
(C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 7.20b / Avg Total Assets 44.09b
(D) 0.30 = Book Value of Equity 10.07b / Total Liabilities 33.64b
Total Rating: 2.10 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 71.34

1. Piotroski 8.50pt
2. FCF Yield 6.60%
3. FCF Margin 24.19%
4. Debt/Equity 3.92
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.79
6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.72)%
7. RoE 64.76%
8. Rev. Trend -71.13%
9. EPS Trend 44.66%

What is the price of LNG shares?

As of December 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 188.83 with a total of 2,305,129 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.96%, over one month by -12.26%, over three months by -18.68% and over the past year by -9.48%.

Is LNG a buy, sell or hold?

Cheniere Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.46. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LNG.
  • Strong Buy: 14
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LNG price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 271.5 43.8%
Analysts Target Price 271.5 43.8%
ValueRay Target Price 187.3 -0.8%

LNG Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 43.67b (43.67b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.0955
P/E Forward = 14.3472
P/S = 2.3062
P/B = 6.4038
P/EG = 8.0584
Beta = 0.259
Revenue TTM = 18.84b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.96b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.96b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.18b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.45b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 25.05b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 69.05b USD (43.67b + Debt 26.45b - CCE 1.07b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.64 (Ebit TTM 7.20b / Interest Expense TTM 942.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.60% (FCF TTM 4.56b / Enterprise Value 69.05b)
FCF Margin = 24.19% (FCF TTM 4.56b / Revenue TTM 18.84b)
Net Margin = 21.26% (Net Income TTM 4.00b / Revenue TTM 18.84b)
Gross Margin = 36.59% ((Revenue TTM 18.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.59% (prev 25.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.53 (Enterprise Value 69.05b / Total Assets 45.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 236.0m / Debt 26.45b)
Taxrate = 18.95% (303.0m / 1.60b)
NOPAT = 5.83b (EBIT 7.20b * (1 - 18.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 3.50b / Total Current Liabilities 3.74b)
Debt / Equity = 3.92 (Debt 26.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.79 (Net Debt 25.05b / EBITDA 8.96b)
Debt / FCF = 5.50 (Net Debt 25.05b / FCF TTM 4.56b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.88% (Net Income 4.00b / Total Assets 45.10b)
RoE = 64.76% (Net Income TTM 4.00b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.18b)
RoCE = 25.58% (EBIT 7.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.18b + L.T.Debt 21.96b))
RoIC = 20.22% (NOPAT 5.83b / Invested Capital 28.86b)
WACC = 5.50% (E(43.67b)/V(70.12b) * Re(8.39%) + D(26.45b)/V(70.12b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 8.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.79%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.73% ; FCFE base≈3.98b ; Y1≈3.11b ; Y5≈2.02b
Fair Price DCF = 164.9 (DCF Value 35.49b / Shares Outstanding 215.2m; 5y FCF grow -25.96% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 44.66 | EPS CAGR: 29.97% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -71.13 | Revenue CAGR: -10.80% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.58 | Chg30d=-0.113 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.35 | Chg30d=-0.077 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+6.1% | Growth Revenue=+13.9%

Additional Sources for LNG Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle