(LNG) Cheniere Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Liquefied Natural Gas, Pipeline, Terminal
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.98% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.68% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 14.16% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 19.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.29% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.12 |
| Alpha | -15.22 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.37 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.253 |
| Beta | 0.656 |
| Beta Downside | 1.201 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 22.06% |
| Mean DD | 8.37% |
| Median DD | 8.21% |
Description: LNG Cheniere Energy September 29, 2025
Cheniere Energy, Inc. (NYSE MKT:LNG) is a U.S.-based energy-infrastructure firm that focuses on liquefied natural gas (LNG) production, transportation, and marketing. Its core assets are the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Louisiana (≈ 9 MMtpa capacity) and the Corpus Christi LNG terminal in Texas (≈ 2 MMtpa capacity), together representing roughly 70 % of U.S. LNG export capacity.
The company also operates two short-haul pipelines-Creole Trail (94 mi) linking Sabine Pass to major interstate systems, and the Corpus Christi pipeline (21 mi)-which secure feed-gas supply and provide flexibility for downstream contracts.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (2023) show an adjusted EBITDA of $4.2 bn, a 2024-2025 forward-looked contract backlog of ~ 13 MMt, and a utilization rate of ~ 78 % at Sabine Pass, reflecting the ongoing shift from spot-market pricing to longer-term contracts. The firm’s earnings are highly sensitive to the Henry Hub natural-gas price spread versus the Asian spot LNG price, a relationship that has widened by roughly 30 % since 2022, boosting margin potential.
Sector-wide drivers include accelerating global LNG demand-particularly in Europe and Asia-as countries seek to replace coal and reduce carbon intensity, and the United States’ expanding dry-gas production base that keeps feed-gas costs relatively low. However, the outlook remains uncertain due to potential macro-economic headwinds (e.g., slower Asian growth) and regulatory risk around new export permits.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Cheniere’s valuation relative to its peers, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay useful for further research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (4.00b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.13b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.87pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.26% (prev 1.87%; Δ -3.13pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.12b > Net Income 4.00b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (25.05b) to EBITDA (8.96b) ratio: 2.79 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (219.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.13% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.59% (prev -8.93%; Δ 45.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 42.72% (prev 37.13%; Δ 5.59pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.64 (EBITDA TTM 8.96b / Interest Expense TTM 942.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.10
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 3.50b - Total Current Liabilities 3.74b) / Total Assets 45.10b |
| (B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 10.07b / Total Assets 45.10b |
| (C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 7.20b / Avg Total Assets 44.09b |
| (D) 0.30 = Book Value of Equity 10.07b / Total Liabilities 33.64b |
| Total Rating: 2.10 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 71.27
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.51% |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.92 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.79 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.64)% |
| 7. RoE 64.76% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -71.39% |
| 9. EPS Trend 44.66% |
What is the price of LNG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.99%, over one month by +0.78%, over three months by -12.29% and over the past year by -4.46%.
Is LNG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LNG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 271.2 | 28.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 271.2 | 28.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 210.2 | -0.2% |
LNG Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.4291
P/E Forward = 14.556
P/S = 2.3742
P/B = 6.5537
P/EG = 8.1821
Beta = 0.256
Revenue TTM = 18.84b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.96b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.96b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.18b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.45b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 25.05b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 70.01b USD (44.96b + Debt 26.45b - CCE 1.40b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.64 (Ebit TTM 7.20b / Interest Expense TTM 942.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.51% (FCF TTM 4.56b / Enterprise Value 70.01b)
FCF Margin = 24.19% (FCF TTM 4.56b / Revenue TTM 18.84b)
Net Margin = 21.26% (Net Income TTM 4.00b / Revenue TTM 18.84b)
Gross Margin = 36.59% ((Revenue TTM 18.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 60.59% (prev 25.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.55 (Enterprise Value 70.01b / Total Assets 45.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 236.0m / Debt 26.45b)
Taxrate = 18.95% (303.0m / 1.60b)
NOPAT = 5.83b (EBIT 7.20b * (1 - 18.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 3.50b / Total Current Liabilities 3.74b)
Debt / Equity = 3.92 (Debt 26.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.79 (Net Debt 25.05b / EBITDA 8.96b)
Debt / FCF = 5.50 (Net Debt 25.05b / FCF TTM 4.56b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.88% (Net Income 4.00b / Total Assets 45.10b)
RoE = 64.76% (Net Income TTM 4.00b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.18b)
RoCE = 25.58% (EBIT 7.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.18b + L.T.Debt 21.96b))
RoIC = 20.22% (NOPAT 5.83b / Invested Capital 28.86b)
WACC = 5.58% (E(44.96b)/V(71.41b) * Re(8.43%) + D(26.45b)/V(71.41b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 8.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.79%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.57% ; FCFE base≈3.98b ; Y1≈3.11b ; Y5≈2.02b
Fair Price DCF = 163.7 (DCF Value 35.24b / Shares Outstanding 215.2m; 5y FCF grow -25.96% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 44.66 | EPS CAGR: 29.97% | SUE: -0.21 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -71.39 | Revenue CAGR: -10.80% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.58 | Chg30d=-0.113 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.35 | Chg30d=-0.077 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+6.1% | Growth Revenue=+13.9%
Additional Sources for LNG Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle