(NAK) Northern Dynasty Minerals - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE MKT • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA66510M2040

Copper, Gold, Molybdenum, Silver, Rhenium

Description: NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd is a Canadian mining company focused on exploring and developing its flagship Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project in southwest Alaska, USA. The project spans 274 square miles and comprises 1,840 mineral claims, showcasing the companys significant presence in the region.

The companys portfolio includes a diverse range of metals, with a primary focus on copper, gold, and molybdenum, alongside other valuable resources such as silver and rhenium. As a Diversified Metals & Mining company, Northern Dynasty Minerals operates in a sector characterized by high volatility and sensitivity to global economic trends, commodity prices, and regulatory environments.

From a technical analysis perspective, the stock has shown positive momentum, with its last price of $1.34 exceeding both its 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) of $1.23 and $1.12, respectively. The stock is also above its 200-day SMA of $0.71, indicating a longer-term uptrend. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.08, or 6.24%, suggests moderate volatility. Given these technical indicators, a potential forecast could involve a continued upward trend, with a possible target near its 52-week high of $1.40, assuming the current momentum is sustained.

Fundamentally, Northern Dynasty Minerals has a market capitalization of approximately $689.39 million USD. The absence of a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, both current and forward, is indicative of the companys current unprofitable state, a common characteristic among exploration-stage mining companies. The Return on Equity (RoE) of -74.00 further highlights the companys negative profitability. However, for investors with a high-risk tolerance, the potential for significant returns exists if the Pebble project successfully advances through development and into production, potentially transforming the companys financials.

Combining both technical and fundamental analyses, a forecast for Northern Dynasty Minerals could involve a short-term target based on technical indicators, such as reaching or surpassing its 52-week high. Long-term success, however, is heavily dependent on the companys ability to navigate regulatory hurdles, secure necessary permits for the Pebble project, and eventually bring the project into production. If successful, this could lead to a substantial revaluation of the company, potentially justifying a much higher market capitalization and, by extension, stock price.

NAK Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 480m
Sub-Industry Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception 2002-02-12

NAK Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 71.4%
Fundamental 20.6%
Dividend Rating -
Return 12m vs S&P 500 91.8%
Analyst Rating 4.0 of 5

NAK Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

NAK Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -67.1%
Growth Correlation 12m 81.6%
Growth Correlation 5y 3.1%
CAGR 5y 50.15%
CAGR/Max DD 3y 0.74
CAGR/Mean DD 3y 2.91
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.04
Alpha 0.25
Beta 0.818
Volatility 60.88%
Current Volume 2394.4k
Average Volume 20d 3577.4k
Stop Loss 0.7 (-14.6%)
Signal -0.01

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0

Net Income (-79.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = -4.76m TTM)
FCFTA -0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.81pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
error: NWC/Revenue cannot be calculated (needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO -18.6m > Net Income -79.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 0.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (539.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
error: Gross Margin (current vs previous) cannot be calculated (needs Total Revenue and Cost Of Revenue)
Asset Turnover -60.47% (prev 0.0%; Δ -60.47pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -86.94 (EBITDA TTM -78.3m / Interest Expense TTM 903.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -27.39

(A) -0.46 = (Total Current Assets 26.2m - Total Current Liabilities 82.2m) / Total Assets 122.5m
(B) -6.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -785.2m / Total Assets 122.5m
warn (B) unusual magnitude: -6.41 — check mapping/units
(C) -0.60 = EBIT TTM -78.5m / Avg Total Assets 131.2m
(D) 0.48 = Book Value of Equity 40.0m / Total Liabilities 82.6m
Total Rating: -27.39 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 20.55

1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0
2. FCF Yield -2.68% = -1.34
3. FCF Margin -21.60% = -7.50
4. Debt/Equity 0.09 = 2.50
5. Debt/Ebitda -0.04 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= -108.0)% = -12.50
7. RoE -103.7% = -2.50
8. Revenue Trend data missing
9. EPS Trend -12.20% = -0.61

What is the price of NAK shares?

As of September 19, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 0.82 with a total of 2,394,400 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by -7.87%, over three months by -41.43% and over the past year by +129.05%.

Is Northern Dynasty Minerals a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Northern Dynasty Minerals (NYSE MKT:NAK) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 20.55 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NAK is around 0.80 USD . This means that NAK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -2.44%.

Is NAK a buy, sell or hold?

Northern Dynasty Minerals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NAK.
  • Strong Buy: 0
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NAK price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 2.5 201.2%
Analysts Target Price 2.5 201.2%
ValueRay Target Price 0.9 9.8%

Last update: 2025-09-17 04:37

NAK Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap CAD = 661.1m (479.9m USD * 1.3775 USD.CAD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 25.2m CAD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
Revenue TTM is 0, using Net Income TTM -79.5m + Cost of Revenue 108.0k = -79.4m CAD
P/B = 15.6702
Beta = -0.396
Revenue TTM = -79.4m CAD
EBIT TTM = -78.5m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -78.3m CAD
Long Term Debt = 441.0k CAD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.98m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.42m CAD (Calculated: Short Term 2.98m + Long Term 441.0k)
Net Debt = -21.7m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 639.3m CAD (661.1m + Debt 3.42m - CCE 25.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -86.94 (Ebit TTM -78.5m / Interest Expense TTM 903.0k)
FCF Yield = -2.68% (FCF TTM -17.1m / Enterprise Value 639.3m)
FCF Margin = -21.60% (FCF TTM -17.1m / Revenue TTM -79.4m)
Net Margin = -100.1% (Net Income TTM -79.5m / Revenue TTM -79.4m)
Gross Margin = -100.1% ((Revenue TTM -79.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 108.0k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 16.00 (Enterprise Value 639.3m / Book Value Of Equity 40.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.93% (Interest Expense 237.0k / Debt 3.42m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -78.5m (EBIT -78.5m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 26.2m / Total Current Liabilities 82.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.09 (Debt 3.42m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 40.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.04 (Net Debt -21.7m / EBITDA -78.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.20 (Debt 3.42m / FCF TTM -17.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 76.6m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -64.85% (Net Income -79.5m, Total Assets 122.5m )
RoE = -103.7% (Net Income TTM -79.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 76.6m)
RoCE = -101.9% (set to none) (Ebit -78.5m / (Equity 76.6m + L.T.Debt 441.0k))
RoIC = -98.94% (NOPAT -78.5m / Invested Capital 79.3m)
WACC = 9.01% (E(661.1m)/V(664.5m) * Re(9.03%)) + (D(3.42m)/V(664.5m) * Rd(6.93%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 79.89 | Cagr: 0.16%
Discount Rate = 9.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -17.1m)
EPS Correlation: -12.20 | EPS CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: -1.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for NAK Stock

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