NAK Stock Analysis: Northern Dynasty Minerals | NYSE MKT
Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 933m USD | 12M Return: 84.6% | CA66510M2040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 5.47M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NYSE MKT: NAK) is a Canadian mineral exploration and development company incorporated in 1983 and headquartered in Vancouver. The company, which rebranded from Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. in October 1997, is classified within the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry of the Materials sector. Its operations focus entirely on the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in the United States, targeting deposits of copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium.
The companys sole material asset is a 100% interest in the Pebble project, located in southwest Alaska. This large-scale property comprises 1,840 mineral claims covering approximately 274 square miles and is positioned as a polymetallic deposit spanning all five of the minerals in the companys exploration portfolio. As a single-asset junior miner, Northern Dynastys valuation and prospects are concentrated in the advancement of this one flagship project.
- EPA vetoes Pebble Mine permit under Clean Water Act
- Copper and gold prices surge boosting project economics
- Northern Dynasty seeks JV partner to fund Pebble development
| Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCF/TA: -0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.19 > 3% & CFO -23.2m > Net Income -67.1m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.50 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (604.2m) vs 12m ago 12.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -74.48 > 6 (EBIT TTM -66.0m / Interest Expense TTM 887k) |
| A: -0.45 (Total Current Assets 54.0m - Total Current Liabilities 108.5m) / Total Assets 120.3m |
| B: -7.09 (Retained Earnings -852.3m / Total Assets 120.3m) |
| C: -0.54 (EBIT TTM -66.0m / Avg Total Assets 121.4m) |
| D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 11.5m / Total Liabilities 108.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' = -29.62 = D |
As of August 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1.68 with a total of 2,823,388 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.45%, over one month by +15.86%, over three months by -23.29% and over the past year by +84.62%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 1.50 (which is 10.7% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Northern Dynasty Minerals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NAK.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 2.6 | 53.6% |
Market Cap CAD = 1.29b (933.1m USD * 1.385 USD.CAD)
P/E Forward = 222.2222
P/B = 114.2276
P/EG = 2.0609
Revenue TTM = 0.0 CAD
EBIT TTM = -66.0m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -65.8m CAD
Long Term Debt = 358k CAD (from longTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 3.19m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.97m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 504k
Net Debt = -49.0m CAD (calculated: Debt 3.97m - CCE 53.0m)
Enterprise Value = 1.24b CAD (1.29b + Debt 3.97m - CCE 53.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -74.48 (Ebit TTM -66.0m / Interest Expense TTM 887k)
EV/FCF = -53.65x (Enterprise Value 1.24b / FCF TTM -23.2m)
FCF Yield = -1.86% (FCF TTM -23.2m / Enterprise Value 1.24b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 137k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.34 (Enterprise Value 1.24b / Total Assets 120.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 22.33% (Interest Expense 887k / Debt 3.97m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -52.2m (EBIT -66.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 54.0m / Total Current Liabilities 108.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 3.97m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.74 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -49.0m / EBITDA -65.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -49.0m / FCF TTM -23.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 33.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -55.28% (Net Income -67.1m / Total Assets 120.3m)
RoE = -203.3% (Net Income TTM -67.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 33.0m)
RoCE = -197.9% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -66.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 33.0m + L.T.Debt 358k))
RoIC = -349.3% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -52.2m / Invested Capital 14.9m)
WACC = 12.71% (E(1.29b)/V(1.30b) * Re(12.69%) + D(3.97m)/V(1.30b) * Rd(22.33%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 78.61 | Cagr: 5.27%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -23.2m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+77.2% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%