NAK Stock Analysis: Northern Dynasty Minerals | NYSE MKT
Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 1.020m USD | 12M Return: 32.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 15.3M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NYSE MKT: NAK) is a Canadian mineral exploration and development company incorporated in 1983 and headquartered in Vancouver. The company, which rebranded from Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. in October 1997, is classified within the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry of the Materials sector. Its operations focus entirely on the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in the United States, targeting deposits of copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium.
The companys sole material asset is a 100% interest in the Pebble project, located in southwest Alaska. This large-scale property comprises 1,840 mineral claims covering approximately 274 square miles and is positioned as a polymetallic deposit spanning all five of the minerals in the companys exploration portfolio. As a single-asset junior miner, Northern Dynastys valuation and prospects are concentrated in the advancement of this one flagship project.
- EPA vetoes Pebble Mine permit under Clean Water Act
- Copper and gold prices surge boosting project economics
- Northern Dynasty seeks JV partner to fund Pebble development
| Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCF/TA: -0.20 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.20 > 3% & CFO -23.4m > Net Income -39.6m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (604.2m) vs 12m ago 12.27% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -43.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM -38.6m / Interest Expense TTM 889k) |
| A: -0.19 (Total Current Assets 54.2m - Total Current Liabilities 76.5m) / Total Assets 119.3m |
| B: -6.86 (Retained Earnings -818.2m / Total Assets 119.3m) |
| C: -0.31 (EBIT TTM -38.6m / Avg Total Assets 126.0m) |
| D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 42.5m / Total Liabilities 76.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' = -25.06 = D |
As of July 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1.86 with a total of 6,734,800 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.76%, over one month by -17.33%, over three months by +14.81% and over the past year by +32.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 1.60 (which is 14% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Northern Dynasty Minerals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NAK.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 2.5 | 34.4% |
Market Cap CAD = 1.45b (1.02b USD * 1.4194 USD.CAD)
P/E Forward = 12.1065
P/B = 34.1727
P/EG = 2.0609
Revenue TTM = 0.0 CAD
EBIT TTM = -38.6m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -38.3m CAD
Long Term Debt = 358k CAD (from longTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 73.8m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 74.5m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 504k
Net Debt = 21.8m CAD (calculated: Debt 74.5m - CCE 52.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.47b CAD (1.45b + Debt 74.5m - CCE 52.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -43.42 (Ebit TTM -38.6m / Interest Expense TTM 889k)
EV/FCF = -62.72x (Enterprise Value 1.47b / FCF TTM -23.4m)
FCF Yield = -1.59% (FCF TTM -23.4m / Enterprise Value 1.47b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 126k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 12.31 (Enterprise Value 1.47b / Total Assets 119.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.19% (Interest Expense 889k / Debt 74.5m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -30.5m (EBIT -38.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.71 (Total Current Assets 54.2m / Total Current Liabilities 76.5m)
Debt / Equity = 1.75 (Debt 74.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 42.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.57 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 21.8m / EBITDA -38.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.93 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 21.8m / FCF TTM -23.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 40.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -31.47% (Net Income -39.6m / Total Assets 119.3m)
RoE = -98.76% (Net Income TTM -39.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 40.1m)
RoCE = -95.27% (EBIT -38.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 40.1m + L.T.Debt 358k))
RoIC = -26.13% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -30.5m / Invested Capital 116.6m)
WACC = 10.71% (E(1.45b)/V(1.52b) * Re(11.21%) + D(74.5m)/V(1.52b) * Rd(1.19%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 76.83 | Cagr: 5.85%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -23.4m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.01 | Chg30d=+125.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+122.8% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=+75.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-200.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%