(NAK) Northern Dynasty Minerals - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Exchange: NYSE MKT (USA) | Market Cap: 896m USD | Total Return: 88.5% in 12m

Copper, Gold, Molybdenum, Silver, Rhenium
Total Rating 34
Safety 70
Buy Signal 0.22
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: +6.0
Market Cap: 896M
Avg Turnover: 9.72M USD
ATR: 8.21%
Peers RS (IBD): 17.0
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility121%
Rel. Tail Risk-19.5%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.24
Alpha65.74
Character TTM
Beta0.934
Beta Downside1.084
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD67.83%
CAGR/Max DD1.25

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio -110.9 is critical

Altman Z'' -15.00 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: NAK Northern Dynasty Minerals

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NAK) explores for mineral deposits in the United States. Its primary focus is copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium.

The companys key asset is a 100% interest in the Pebble Project, located in southwest Alaska. This project covers approximately 274 square miles and contains deposits of copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium. Mineral exploration is a capital-intensive business with long lead times before potential production.

NAK, incorporated in 1983 and headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, changed its name from Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. in 1997. Mining companies often undergo name changes to reflect strategic shifts or new project focus.

Further research on ValueRay can provide detailed financial metrics and operational data for NAK.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Pebble Project permitting decisions impact stock volatility
  • Commodity price fluctuations affect project viability
  • Environmental regulations pose significant development hurdles
  • Funding availability critical for project advancement
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.68 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.19 > 3% & CFO -23.2m > Net Income -101.2m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.55 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (550.0m) vs 12m ago 2.29% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -110.9 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -99.8m / Interest Expense TTM 902k)
Altman Z'' -15.00
A: -0.38 (Total Current Assets 56.8m - Total Current Liabilities 102.9m) / Total Assets 121.0m
B: -6.92 (Retained Earnings -837.2m / Total Assets 121.0m)
C: -0.78 (EBIT TTM -100.1m / Avg Total Assets 129.1m)
D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 17.7m / Total Liabilities 103.3m)
Altman-Z'' Score: -30.09 = D
What is the price of NAK shares? As of April 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1.72 with a total of 8,255,385 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +15.44%, over one month by +27.41%, over three months by -21.82% and over the past year by +88.51%.
Is NAK a buy, sell or hold? Northern Dynasty Minerals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NAK.
  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NAK price?
Analysts Target Price 2.5 43.6%
Northern Dynasty Minerals (NAK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 April 2026
Market Cap CAD = 1.24b (896.1m USD * 1.3823 USD.CAD)
P/E Forward = 12.1065
P/B = 64.5716
P/EG = 2.0609
Revenue TTM = 0.0 CAD
EBIT TTM = -100.1m CAD
EBITDA TTM = -99.8m CAD
Long Term Debt = 407k CAD (from longTermDebtTotal, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 2.83m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.18m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -51.6m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.19b CAD (1.24b + Debt 3.18m - CCE 54.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -110.9 (Ebit TTM -100.1m / Interest Expense TTM 902k)
EV/FCF = -51.16x (Enterprise Value 1.19b / FCF TTM -23.2m)
FCF Yield = -1.95% (FCF TTM -23.2m / Enterprise Value 1.19b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 112k) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.81 (Enterprise Value 1.19b / Total Assets 121.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.89% (Interest Expense 283k / Debt 3.18m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -79.0m (EBIT -100.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.55 (Total Current Assets 56.8m / Total Current Liabilities 102.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 3.18m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.7m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.52 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -51.6m / EBITDA -99.8m)
 Debt / FCF = 2.22 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -51.6m / FCF TTM -23.2m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 43.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -78.40% (Net Income -101.2m / Total Assets 121.0m)
RoE = -231.4% (Net Income TTM -101.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 43.7m)
 RoCE = -226.6% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -100.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 43.7m + L.T.Debt 407k))
 RoIC = -170.1% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -79.0m / Invested Capital 46.5m)
 WACC = 9.26% (E(1.24b)/V(1.24b) * Re(9.27%) + D(3.18m)/V(1.24b) * Rd(8.89%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.72%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -23.2m)
 EPS Correlation: 0.84 | EPS CAGR: 10.94% | SUE: 1.42 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.04 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+25.0% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (1 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Current Year)
External Resources
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