(ORLA) Orla Mining - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Copper, Exploration, Mining
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 77.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 120% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.05% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.92 |
| Alpha | 184.53 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.539 |
| Beta | 0.437 |
| Beta Downside | 0.730 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.40% |
| Mean DD | 14.19% |
| Median DD | 12.64% |
Description: ORLA Orla Mining November 07, 2025
Orla Mining Ltd. (NYSE MKT: ORLA) is a Vancouver-based explorer and developer focused on polymetallic projects in North America and Latin America, targeting gold, silver, zinc, lead and copper. The firm was incorporated in 2007 (formerly Red Mile Minerals) and rebranded in June 2015.
The company’s principal assets are 100 % owned: the Camino Rojo project in Zacatecas, Mexico (seven concessions covering ~138,636 ha); the Cerro Quema project on Panama’s Azuero Peninsula (~15,000 ha); and the South Railroad project in Elko County, Nevada (~21,000 ha). A pending acquisition gives Orla an interest in the Musselwhite gold mine in Ontario, Canada.
According to the most recent quarterly filing (Q3 2024), Orla reported a cash balance of roughly US$6 million and an estimated 1.2 Moz of measured & indicated gold resources across its portfolio, with Camino Rojo contributing the bulk of the resource base. The company has completed 12,000 m of infill drilling at Camino Rojo in 2023, which raised the inferred copper-zinc-lead grade envelope by ~15 % (subject to verification in the forthcoming NI 43-101 report).
Key macro drivers for Orla’s commodities include: (1) sustained gold price support above US$2,000 oz, which underpins the economics of lower-grade, large-scale projects; (2) accelerating copper demand from the clean-energy transition, projected to grow ~5 % CAGR through 2030; and (3) recent mining-tax reforms in Mexico that lower royalty rates for new projects, potentially improving the net-present-value of Camino Rojo.
If you’re looking to dig deeper into Orla’s valuation assumptions and scenario modeling, a quick look at ValueRay’s interactive dashboards can help you test sensitivity to metal price swings and project-level cash-flow inputs.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (54.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 46.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -30.47pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 3.78% (prev 50.14%; Δ -46.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.34 (>3.0%) and CFO 674.4m > Net Income 54.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (53.6m) to EBITDA (326.3m) ratio: 0.16 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.07 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (353.8m) change vs 12m ago 5.74% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 47.22% (prev 56.92%; Δ -9.70pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 59.67% (prev 56.16%; Δ 3.51pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.00 (EBITDA TTM 326.3m / Interest Expense TTM 35.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.66
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 471.5m - Total Current Liabilities 442.3m) / Total Assets 1.97b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 18.9m / Total Assets 1.97b |
| (C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 212.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.30b |
| (D) 0.41 = Book Value of Equity 573.5m / Total Liabilities 1.40b |
| Total Rating: 1.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.36
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -4.88% |
| 3. FCF Margin -26.25% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.66 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.16 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.73)% |
| 7. RoE 10.67% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.49% |
| 9. EPS Trend 4.52% |
What is the price of ORLA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.31%, over one month by +30.62%, over three months by +21.77% and over the past year by +202.92%.
Is ORLA a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ORLA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.8 | 17.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.8 | 17.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17.1 | 26.9% |
ORLA Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 75.5625
P/E Forward = 9.2251
P/S = 5.1018
P/B = 6.8692
Beta = 0.626
Revenue TTM = 773.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 212.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 326.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 369.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.03m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 380.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 53.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.16b USD (4.11b + Debt 380.6m - CCE 326.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.00 (Ebit TTM 212.4m / Interest Expense TTM 35.4m)
FCF Yield = -4.88% (FCF TTM -203.0m / Enterprise Value 4.16b)
FCF Margin = -26.25% (FCF TTM -203.0m / Revenue TTM 773.5m)
Net Margin = 6.98% (Net Income TTM 54.0m / Revenue TTM 773.5m)
Gross Margin = 47.22% ((Revenue TTM 773.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 408.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.74% (prev 45.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.11 (Enterprise Value 4.16b / Total Assets 1.97b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.07% (Interest Expense 15.5m / Debt 380.6m)
Taxrate = 36.28% (28.1m / 77.3m)
NOPAT = 135.3m (EBIT 212.4m * (1 - 36.28%))
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 471.5m / Total Current Liabilities 442.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 380.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 573.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.16 (Net Debt 53.6m / EBITDA 326.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.26 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 53.6m / FCF TTM -203.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 506.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.74% (Net Income 54.0m / Total Assets 1.97b)
RoE = 10.67% (Net Income TTM 54.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 506.0m)
RoCE = 24.26% (EBIT 212.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 506.0m + L.T.Debt 369.2m))
RoIC = 16.93% (NOPAT 135.3m / Invested Capital 799.3m)
WACC = 7.20% (E(4.11b)/V(4.49b) * Re(7.63%) + D(380.6m)/V(4.49b) * Rd(4.07%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 7.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.06%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -203.0m)
EPS Correlation: 4.52 | EPS CAGR: 16.69% | SUE: -0.77 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.49 | Revenue CAGR: 207.1% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ORLA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle