(ORLA) Orla Mining - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Copper, Exploration, Mining
ORLA EPS (Earnings per Share)
ORLA Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 77.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 121% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.75 |
| Alpha | 161.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.530 |
| Beta | 0.398 |
| Beta Downside | 0.658 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.40% |
| Mean DD | 14.16% |
| Median DD | 12.59% |
Description: ORLA Orla Mining November 07, 2025
Orla Mining Ltd. (NYSE MKT: ORLA) is a Vancouver-based explorer and developer focused on polymetallic projects in North America and Latin America, targeting gold, silver, zinc, lead and copper. The firm was incorporated in 2007 (formerly Red Mile Minerals) and rebranded in June 2015.
The company’s principal assets are 100 % owned: the Camino Rojo project in Zacatecas, Mexico (seven concessions covering ~138,636 ha); the Cerro Quema project on Panama’s Azuero Peninsula (~15,000 ha); and the South Railroad project in Elko County, Nevada (~21,000 ha). A pending acquisition gives Orla an interest in the Musselwhite gold mine in Ontario, Canada.
According to the most recent quarterly filing (Q3 2024), Orla reported a cash balance of roughly US$6 million and an estimated 1.2 Moz of measured & indicated gold resources across its portfolio, with Camino Rojo contributing the bulk of the resource base. The company has completed 12,000 m of infill drilling at Camino Rojo in 2023, which raised the inferred copper-zinc-lead grade envelope by ~15 % (subject to verification in the forthcoming NI 43-101 report).
Key macro drivers for Orla’s commodities include: (1) sustained gold price support above US$2,000 oz, which underpins the economics of lower-grade, large-scale projects; (2) accelerating copper demand from the clean-energy transition, projected to grow ~5 % CAGR through 2030; and (3) recent mining-tax reforms in Mexico that lower royalty rates for new projects, potentially improving the net-present-value of Camino Rojo.
If you’re looking to dig deeper into Orla’s valuation assumptions and scenario modeling, a quick look at ValueRay’s interactive dashboards can help you test sensitivity to metal price swings and project-level cash-flow inputs.
ORLA Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,483m |
| Sub-Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-12-22 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 166% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
ORLA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidORLA Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 52.94% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.17 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.74 |
| Current Volume | 2903.8k |
| Average Volume | 1889.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (25.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 35.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -29.75pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -9.82% (prev 58.34%; Δ -68.16pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.32 (>3.0%) and CFO 603.8m > Net Income 25.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (181.8m) to EBITDA (246.1m) ratio: 0.74 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.85 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (387.6m) change vs 12m ago 16.40% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 55.15% (prev 59.94%; Δ -4.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 48.79% (prev 46.31%; Δ 2.49pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.72 (EBITDA TTM 246.1m / Interest Expense TTM 21.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.03
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 323.9m - Total Current Liabilities 382.7m) / Total Assets 1.86b |
| (B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -30.4m / Total Assets 1.86b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 165.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.23b |
| (D) 0.37 = Book Value of Equity 497.8m / Total Liabilities 1.36b |
| Total Rating: 1.03 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.04
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -6.85% = -3.42 |
| 3. FCF Margin -41.90% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.80 = 2.19 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.74 = 2.09 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.27)% = 6.59 |
| 7. RoE 5.30% = 0.44 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 88.47% = 6.64 |
| 9. EPS Trend -9.59% = -0.48 |
What is the price of ORLA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +26.46%, over one month by +5.22%, over three months by +24.51% and over the past year by +203.01%.
Is Orla Mining a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ORLA is around 13.81 USD . This means that ORLA is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +14.23% (Margin of Safety).
Is ORLA a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ORLA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15.8 | 30.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15.8 | 30.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.3 | 26.5% |
ORLA Fundamental Data Overview November 12, 2025
P/E Trailing = 152.7143
P/E Forward = 11.274
P/S = 5.8391
P/B = 6.7277
Beta = 0.626
Revenue TTM = 599.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 165.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 246.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 372.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 18.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 397.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 181.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.66b USD (3.48b + Debt 397.3m - CCE 215.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.72 (Ebit TTM 165.9m / Interest Expense TTM 21.5m)
FCF Yield = -6.85% (FCF TTM -251.0m / Enterprise Value 3.66b)
FCF Margin = -41.90% (FCF TTM -251.0m / Revenue TTM 599.0m)
Net Margin = 4.28% (Net Income TTM 25.6m / Revenue TTM 599.0m)
Gross Margin = 55.15% ((Revenue TTM 599.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 268.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.49% (prev 51.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.97 (Enterprise Value 3.66b / Total Assets 1.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.05% (Interest Expense 16.1m / Debt 397.3m)
Taxrate = 45.42% (41.3m / 91.0m)
NOPAT = 90.5m (EBIT 165.9m * (1 - 45.42%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 323.9m / Total Current Liabilities 382.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 397.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 497.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.74 (Net Debt 181.8m / EBITDA 246.1m)
Debt / FCF = -0.72 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 181.8m / FCF TTM -251.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 482.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.38% (Net Income 25.6m / Total Assets 1.86b)
RoE = 5.30% (Net Income TTM 25.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 482.8m)
RoCE = 19.39% (EBIT 165.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 482.8m + L.T.Debt 372.7m))
RoIC = 12.96% (NOPAT 90.5m / Invested Capital 698.4m)
WACC = 7.69% (E(3.48b)/V(3.88b) * Re(8.32%) + D(397.3m)/V(3.88b) * Rd(4.05%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 8.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.01%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -251.0m)
EPS Correlation: -9.59 | EPS CAGR: -9.44% | SUE: -1.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.47 | Revenue CAGR: 85.48% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ORLA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle