REPX Stock Analysis: Riley Exploration Permian | NYSE MKT
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 705m USD | 12M Return: 26.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 8.08M
EPS Trend: -60.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 60.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its operations are concentrated in the Permian Basin, with contiguous acreage in Yoakum County, Texas, and properties in the Yeso trend of Eddy County, New Mexico. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
As an independent upstream operator, Riley Exploration Permian focuses exclusively on the exploration and production segment of the energy value chain, without the refining or marketing activities of integrated oil majors. The Permian Basin, spanning West Texas and southeastern New Mexico, is one of the most prolific and actively developed oil-producing regions in the United States.
- WTI crude price volatility drives Permian revenue and margins
- Production growth from Yoakum County acreage boosts output volumes
- Capital returns through dividends and debt reduction continue
| Net Income: 61.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.03 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -44.77% < 20% (prev -16.47%; Δ -28.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 209.3m > Net Income 61.8m |
| Net Debt (240.0m) to EBITDA (210.3m): 1.14 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.32 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (20.9m) vs 12m ago -1.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 50.87% > 18% (prev 60.83%; Δ -9.96% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 37.09% > 50% (prev 41.50%; Δ -4.41% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.47 > 6 (EBIT TTM 110.3m / Interest Expense TTM 31.8m) |
| A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 83.1m - Total Current Liabilities 263.7m) / Total Assets 1.18b |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 248.5m / Total Assets 1.18b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 110.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.09b) |
| D: 0.88 (Book Value of Equity 553.4m / Total Liabilities 626.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.29 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.54 (Receivables 56.6m/37.5m, Revenue 403.4m/412.9m) |
| GMI: 1.20 (GM 60.83% / 50.87%) |
| AQI: 1.19 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 403.4m / 412.9m) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 61.8m - CFO 209.3m) / TA 1.18b) |
| Beneish M = -2.32 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.78 with a total of 206,183 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.49%, over one month by -5.30%, over three months by -12.90% and over the past year by +26.92%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.00 (which is 8.2% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Riley Exploration Permian has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy REPX.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 48 | 42.1% |
P/E Trailing = 11.3275
P/E Forward = 4.8757
P/S = 1.7485
P/B = 1.267
P/EG = 2.8355
Revenue TTM = 403.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 110.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 210.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 220.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 255.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.56m
Net Debt = 240.0m USD (calculated: Debt 255.8m - CCE 15.8m)
Enterprise Value = 945.3m USD (705.3m + Debt 255.8m - CCE 15.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.47 (Ebit TTM 110.3m / Interest Expense TTM 31.8m)
EV/FCF = 14.09x (Enterprise Value 945.3m / FCF TTM 67.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.09% (FCF TTM 67.1m / Enterprise Value 945.3m)
FCF Margin = 16.63% (FCF TTM 67.1m / Revenue TTM 403.4m)
Net Margin = 15.31% (Net Income TTM 61.8m / Revenue TTM 403.4m)
Gross Margin = 50.87% ((Revenue TTM 403.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 198.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.50% (prev 39.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 945.3m / Total Assets 1.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.42% (Interest Expense 31.8m / Debt 255.8m)
Taxrate = 22.17% (17.6m / 79.4m)
NOPAT = 85.9m (EBIT 110.3m * (1 - 22.17%))
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 83.1m / Total Current Liabilities 263.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.46 (Debt 255.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 553.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.14 (Net Debt 240.0m / EBITDA 210.3m)
Debt / FCF = 3.58 (Net Debt 240.0m / FCF TTM 67.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 577.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.68% (Net Income 61.8m / Total Assets 1.18b)
RoE = 10.69% (Net Income TTM 61.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 577.8m)
RoCE = 13.82% (EBIT 110.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 577.8m + L.T.Debt 220.7m))
RoIC = 9.25% (NOPAT 85.9m / Invested Capital 928.2m)
WACC = 9.80% (E(705.3m)/V(961.1m) * Re(9.85%) + D(255.8m)/V(961.1m) * Rd(12.42%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 37.78 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.86% ; FCFF base≈90.8m ; Y1≈79.7m ; Y5≈64.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 27.39 (EV 834.2m - Net Debt 240.0m = Equity 594.2m / Shares 21.7m; r=9.80% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -60.91 | EPS CAGR: -8.34% | SUE: -0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.62 | Revenue CAGR: 4.68% | SUE: -0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=-3.27% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.84 | Chg30d=-1.86% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.24 | Chg30d=-1.46% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+37.7% | GrowthRev=+49.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.18 | Chg30d=+2.06% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+31.1% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=9, down=2)