(REPX) Riley Exploration Permian - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE MKT •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US76665T1025
Oil, Gas, Liquids, Permian, Midland
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.54% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 13.96% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 18.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.35% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.22 |
| Alpha | -35.25 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.426 |
| Beta | 1.420 |
| Beta Downside | 1.877 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.79% |
| Mean DD | 29.40% |
| Median DD | 32.91% |
Description: REPX Riley Exploration Permian October 23, 2025
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (NYSE MKT: REPX) is an independent upstream oil and natural-gas producer concentrated on acquiring, exploring, developing, and operating assets in Texas and New Mexico. Its core land base consists of contiguous blocks in Yoakum County, Texas, and Eddy County, New Mexico, and the company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Key operational metrics (as of Q2 2024) show an average daily production of roughly 2,300 boe, with a weighted-average cash net-back of $12 per barrel-comfortably above the current Henry Hub natural-gas price of $2.70 /MMBtu, which underpins the company’s cash flow sensitivity. The Permian Basin’s ongoing drilling efficiency gains (≈ 15 % higher rig productivity YoY) and the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s forecast of a modest rise in domestic oil demand through 2026 serve as macro drivers for REPX’s growth outlook.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of REPX’s valuation and risk profile, consider reviewing the analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (86.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 23.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.29pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.06% (prev -7.84%; Δ -4.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 214.0m > Net Income 86.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (350.6m) to EBITDA (227.8m) ratio: 1.54 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.62 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.25% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 57.10% (prev 62.06%; Δ -4.96pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.31% (prev 40.82%; Δ -4.51pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.50 (EBITDA TTM 227.8m / Interest Expense TTM 31.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.72
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 79.4m - Total Current Liabilities 127.3m) / Total Assets 1.19b |
| (B) 0.21 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 250.9m / Total Assets 1.19b |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 142.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.09b |
| (D) 0.40 = Book Value of Equity 250.9m / Total Liabilities 624.8m |
| Total Rating: 1.72 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.66
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.91% |
| 3. FCF Margin 25.60% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.65 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.54 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.56)% |
| 7. RoE 15.95% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 69.95% |
| 9. EPS Trend 21.04% |
What is the price of REPX shares?
As of December 05, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 27.78 with a total of 156,145 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.42%, over one month by +10.02%, over three months by -2.73% and over the past year by -13.22%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.42%, over one month by +10.02%, over three months by -2.73% and over the past year by -13.22%.
Is REPX a buy, sell or hold?
Riley Exploration Permian has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy REPX.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the REPX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 46 | 65.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 46 | 65.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 30.1 | 8.5% |
REPX Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
Market Cap USD = 582.1m (582.1m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 6.5049
P/E Forward = 8.489
P/S = 1.4649
P/B = 1.0242
Beta = 1.268
Revenue TTM = 397.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 142.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 347.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 367.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 350.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 932.7m USD (582.1m + Debt 367.0m - CCE 16.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.50 (Ebit TTM 142.8m / Interest Expense TTM 31.7m)
FCF Yield = 10.91% (FCF TTM 101.7m / Enterprise Value 932.7m)
FCF Margin = 25.60% (FCF TTM 101.7m / Revenue TTM 397.4m)
Net Margin = 21.73% (Net Income TTM 86.4m / Revenue TTM 397.4m)
Gross Margin = 57.10% ((Revenue TTM 397.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 170.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.10% (prev 47.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 932.7m / Total Assets 1.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.67% (Interest Expense 9.80m / Debt 367.0m)
Taxrate = 22.77% (4.82m / 21.2m)
NOPAT = 110.3m (EBIT 142.8m * (1 - 22.77%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 79.4m / Total Current Liabilities 127.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 367.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 566.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.54 (Net Debt 350.6m / EBITDA 227.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.45 (Net Debt 350.6m / FCF TTM 101.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 541.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.25% (Net Income 86.4m / Total Assets 1.19b)
RoE = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 86.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 541.6m)
RoCE = 16.07% (EBIT 142.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 541.6m + L.T.Debt 347.0m))
RoIC = 13.26% (NOPAT 110.3m / Invested Capital 831.9m)
WACC = 7.70% (E(582.1m)/V(949.2m) * Re(11.25%) + D(367.0m)/V(949.2m) * Rd(2.67%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 11.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.73% ; FCFE base≈112.2m ; Y1≈138.5m ; Y5≈236.2m
Fair Price DCF = 109.8 (DCF Value 2.41b / Shares Outstanding 22.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 21.04 | EPS CAGR: -5.55% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 69.95 | Revenue CAGR: 18.11% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=-0.440 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.46 | Chg30d=-0.592 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-2.1% | Growth Revenue=+12.1%
P/E Trailing = 6.5049
P/E Forward = 8.489
P/S = 1.4649
P/B = 1.0242
Beta = 1.268
Revenue TTM = 397.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 142.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 227.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 347.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 367.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 350.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 932.7m USD (582.1m + Debt 367.0m - CCE 16.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.50 (Ebit TTM 142.8m / Interest Expense TTM 31.7m)
FCF Yield = 10.91% (FCF TTM 101.7m / Enterprise Value 932.7m)
FCF Margin = 25.60% (FCF TTM 101.7m / Revenue TTM 397.4m)
Net Margin = 21.73% (Net Income TTM 86.4m / Revenue TTM 397.4m)
Gross Margin = 57.10% ((Revenue TTM 397.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 170.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.10% (prev 47.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 932.7m / Total Assets 1.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.67% (Interest Expense 9.80m / Debt 367.0m)
Taxrate = 22.77% (4.82m / 21.2m)
NOPAT = 110.3m (EBIT 142.8m * (1 - 22.77%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 79.4m / Total Current Liabilities 127.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 367.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 566.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.54 (Net Debt 350.6m / EBITDA 227.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.45 (Net Debt 350.6m / FCF TTM 101.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 541.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.25% (Net Income 86.4m / Total Assets 1.19b)
RoE = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 86.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 541.6m)
RoCE = 16.07% (EBIT 142.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 541.6m + L.T.Debt 347.0m))
RoIC = 13.26% (NOPAT 110.3m / Invested Capital 831.9m)
WACC = 7.70% (E(582.1m)/V(949.2m) * Re(11.25%) + D(367.0m)/V(949.2m) * Rd(2.67%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 11.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.08%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.73% ; FCFE base≈112.2m ; Y1≈138.5m ; Y5≈236.2m
Fair Price DCF = 109.8 (DCF Value 2.41b / Shares Outstanding 22.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 21.04 | EPS CAGR: -5.55% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 69.95 | Revenue CAGR: 18.11% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=-0.440 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.46 | Chg30d=-0.592 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-2.1% | Growth Revenue=+12.1%
Additional Sources for REPX Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle