REPX Stock Analysis: Riley Exploration Permian | NYSE MKT
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 824m USD | 12M Return: 39.1% | US76665T1025 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.46M
EPS Trend: -33.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 60.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its operations are concentrated in the Permian Basin, with contiguous acreage in Yoakum County, Texas, and properties in the Yeso trend of Eddy County, New Mexico. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
As an independent upstream operator, Riley Exploration Permian focuses exclusively on the exploration and production segment of the energy value chain, without the refining or marketing activities of integrated oil majors. The Permian Basin, spanning West Texas and southeastern New Mexico, is one of the most prolific and actively developed oil-producing regions in the United States.
- WTI crude price volatility drives Permian revenue and margins
- Production growth from Yoakum County acreage boosts output volumes
- Capital returns through dividends and debt reduction continue
| Net Income: 118.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -26.38% < 20% (prev -9.62%; Δ -16.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 239.2m > Net Income 118.7m |
| Net Debt (258.2m) to EBITDA (221.7m): 1.16 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.45 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (21.3m) vs 12m ago 0.46% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 59.81% > 18% (prev 53.78%; Δ 6.03% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 42.00% > 50% (prev 38.01%; Δ 3.99% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.71 > 6 (EBIT TTM 116.6m / Interest Expense TTM 31.5m) |
| A: -0.10 (Total Current Assets 104.3m - Total Current Liabilities 232.0m) / Total Assets 1.27b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 327.2m / Total Assets 1.27b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 116.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.15b) |
| D: 0.99 (Book Value of Equity 633.4m / Total Liabilities 637.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.90 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.59 (Receivables 69.2m/35.3m, Revenue 483.9m/392.9m) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 53.78% / 59.81%) |
| AQI: 18.27 (AQ_t 0.90 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.23 (Revenue 483.9m / 392.9m) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 118.7m - CFO 239.2m) / TA 1.27b) |
| Beneish M = 7.77 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.17 with a total of 198,953 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.65%, over one month by +7.24%, over three months by +7.81% and over the past year by +39.07%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 36.10 (which is 5.4% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Riley Exploration Permian has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy REPX.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 47 | 23.1% |
P/E Trailing = 6.6731
P/E Forward = 5.637
P/S = 1.7025
P/B = 1.3089
P/EG = 2.8355
Revenue TTM = 483.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 116.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 221.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 247.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 278.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 11.4m
Net Debt = 258.2m USD (calculated: Debt 278.9m - CCE 20.7m)
Enterprise Value = 1.08b USD (823.8m + Debt 278.9m - CCE 20.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.71 (Ebit TTM 116.6m / Interest Expense TTM 31.5m)
EV/FCF = 18.19x (Enterprise Value 1.08b / FCF TTM 59.5m)
FCF Yield = 5.50% (FCF TTM 59.5m / Enterprise Value 1.08b)
FCF Margin = 12.30% (FCF TTM 59.5m / Revenue TTM 483.9m)
Net Margin = 24.53% (Net Income TTM 118.7m / Revenue TTM 483.9m)
Gross Margin = 59.81% ((Revenue TTM 483.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 194.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.36% (prev 47.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 1.08b / Total Assets 1.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.29% (Interest Expense 31.5m / Debt 278.9m)
Taxrate = 22.89% (35.2m / 153.9m)
NOPAT = 89.9m (EBIT 116.6m * (1 - 22.89%))
Current Ratio = 0.45 (Total Current Assets 104.3m / Total Current Liabilities 232.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 278.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 633.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.16 (Net Debt 258.2m / EBITDA 221.7m)
Debt / FCF = 4.34 (Net Debt 258.2m / FCF TTM 59.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 596.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.30% (Net Income 118.7m / Total Assets 1.27b)
RoE = 19.88% (Net Income TTM 118.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 596.9m)
RoCE = 13.81% (EBIT 116.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 596.9m + L.T.Debt 247.5m))
RoIC = 8.67% (NOPAT 89.9m / Invested Capital 1.04b)
WACC = 8.63% (E(823.8m)/V(1.10b) * Re(8.60%) + D(278.9m)/V(1.10b) * Rd(11.29%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 48.61 | Cagr: 2.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.06% ; FCFF base≈81.7m ; Y1≈71.7m ; Y5≈57.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 29.07 (EV 888.9m - Net Debt 258.2m = Equity 630.7m / Shares 21.7m; r=8.63% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -33.03 | EPS CAGR: -4.26% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 60.80 | Revenue CAGR: 5.08% | SUE: 1.11 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.01 | Chg30d=+12.42% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.53 | Chg30d=+6.27% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+44.1% | GrowthRev=+52.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.89 | Chg30d=-4.11% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -55% (up=1, down=7)