(REPX) Riley Exploration Permian - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas E&P | Exchange: NYSE MKT (USA) | Market Cap: 894m USD | Total Return: 58.9% in 12m

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids
Total Rating 52
Safety 53
Buy Signal 0.76
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: +31.3
Market Cap: 894M
Avg Turnover: 15.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility54.7%
VaR 5th Pctl9.31%
VaR vs Median3.37%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.11
Rel. Str. IBD85.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group47.2
Character TTM
Beta1.188
Beta Downside1.533
Hurst Exponent0.346
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.61%
CAGR/Max DD0.16
CAGR/Mean DD0.33
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of REPX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.42, "2021-06": -1.2, "2021-09": 0.8, "2021-12": 1.09, "2022-03": -0.37, "2022-06": 1.96, "2022-09": 1.96, "2022-12": 1.64, "2023-03": 1.61, "2023-06": 1.65, "2023-09": 0.43, "2023-12": 1.9, "2024-03": 0.94, "2024-06": 1.59, "2024-09": 2.63, "2024-12": 1.2037, "2025-03": 1.62, "2025-06": 1.44, "2025-09": 0.77, "2025-12": 1.01, "2026-03": 1.02,
EPS CAGR: -5.70%
EPS Trend: -29.5%
Last SUE: 0.16
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of REPX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 37.259, 2021-06: 42.149, 2021-09: 48.614, 2021-12: 57.25, 2022-03: 67.245, 2022-06: 88.381, 2022-09: 88.071, 2022-12: 78.046, 2023-03: 67.012, 2023-06: 99.912, 2023-09: 108.294, 2023-12: 99.829, 2024-03: 99.744, 2024-06: 105.403, 2024-09: 102.339, 2024-12: 102.695, 2025-03: 102.457, 2025-06: 85.394, 2025-09: 106.852, 2025-12: 97.277, 2026-03: 113.881,
Rev. CAGR: 4.68%
Rev. Trend: 60.6%
Last SUE: -0.70
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' 1.02 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Fakeout

Tailwinds

Tailwind, Pullback 52w, Confidence

Description: REPX Riley Exploration Permian

Riley Exploration Permian Inc. (REPX) is an independent energy firm focused on the acquisition and development of unconventional oil and natural gas resources. Its primary operations are concentrated in the Permian Basin, specifically within contiguous acreage in Yoakum County, Texas, and the Yeso trend in Eddy County, New Mexico.

The company utilizes a business model centered on horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing to extract hydrocarbons from tight rock formations. In the Permian Basin, operators often benefit from stacked pay zones, which allow for multiple productive layers within a single vertical column of land. While categorized under refining and marketing in some databases, the companys core activities are upstream exploration and production (E&P).

Investors can evaluate the companys capital efficiency and asset quality by reviewing the latest metrics on ValueRay. Headquartered in Oklahoma City, the firm manages a portfolio consisting of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Oil and natural gas price volatility dictates top-line revenue growth
  • Production efficiency in Yoakum County acreage drives operational cash flow
  • Capital expenditure levels for drilling determine future reserve replacement rates
  • Acquisitions in the Permian Basin influence long-term asset valuation
  • Regional pipeline capacity constraints impact realized pricing for natural gas liquids
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 61.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.03 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -44.77% < 20% (prev -16.47%; Δ -28.29% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 209.3m > Net Income 61.8m
Net Debt (232.4m) to EBITDA (249.5m): 0.93 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.32 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (20.9m) vs 12m ago -1.15% < -2%
Gross Margin: 50.87% > 18% (prev 0.61%; Δ 5.03k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 37.09% > 50% (prev 41.50%; Δ -4.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.70 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 249.5m / Interest Expense TTM 31.8m)
Altman Z'' 1.02
A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 83.1m - Total Current Liabilities 263.7m) / Total Assets 1.18b
B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 248.5m / Total Assets 1.18b)
C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 149.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.09b)
D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 248.5m / Total Liabilities 626.6m)
Altman-Z'' = 1.02 = BB
Beneish M -2.42
DSRI: 1.54 (Receivables 56.6m/37.5m, Revenue 403.4m/412.9m)
GMI: 1.20 (GM 50.87% / 60.83%)
AQI: 1.20 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 403.4m / 412.9m)
TATA: -0.13 (NI 61.8m - CFO 209.3m) / TA 1.18b)
Beneish M = -2.42 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of REPX shares?

As of May 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 37.52 with a total of 377,848 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.64%, over one month by +7.95%, over three months by +41.38% and over the past year by +58.89%.

Is REPX a buy, sell or hold?

Riley Exploration Permian has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy REPX.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the REPX price?
Analysts Target Price 49 30.6%
Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 14.3589
P/E Forward = 6.215
P/S = 2.2164
P/B = 1.6155
P/EG = 2.8355
Revenue TTM = 403.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 149.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 249.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 220.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 248.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.56m
Net Debt = 232.4m USD (calculated: Debt 248.2m - CCE 15.8m)
Enterprise Value = 1.13b USD (894.1m + Debt 248.2m - CCE 15.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.70 (Ebit TTM 149.5m / Interest Expense TTM 31.8m)
EV/FCF = 16.80x (Enterprise Value 1.13b / FCF TTM 67.1m)
FCF Yield = 5.95% (FCF TTM 67.1m / Enterprise Value 1.13b)
FCF Margin = 16.63% (FCF TTM 67.1m / Revenue TTM 403.4m)
Net Margin = 15.31% (Net Income TTM 61.8m / Revenue TTM 403.4m)
Gross Margin = 50.87% ((Revenue TTM 403.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 198.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.50% (prev 39.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 1.13b / Total Assets 1.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.80% (Interest Expense 31.8m / Debt 248.2m)
Taxrate = 23.03% (48.1m / 209.0m)
NOPAT = 115.1m (EBIT 149.5m * (1 - 23.03%))
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 83.1m / Total Current Liabilities 263.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 248.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 553.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.93 (Net Debt 232.4m / EBITDA 249.5m)
Debt / FCF = 3.47 (Net Debt 232.4m / FCF TTM 67.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 577.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.68% (Net Income 61.8m / Total Assets 1.18b)
RoE = 10.69% (Net Income TTM 61.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 577.8m)
RoCE = 18.72% (EBIT 149.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 577.8m + L.T.Debt 220.7m))
RoIC = 12.50% (NOPAT 115.1m / Invested Capital 920.6m)
WACC = 10.09% (E(894.1m)/V(1.14b) * Re(10.16%) + D(248.2m)/V(1.14b) * Rd(12.80%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 37.78 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 66.87% ; FCFF base≈90.8m ; Y1≈79.7m ; Y5≈64.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 26.31 (EV 803.4m - Net Debt 232.4m = Equity 570.9m / Shares 21.7m; r=10.09% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -29.48 | EPS CAGR: -5.70% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.62 | Revenue CAGR: 4.68% | SUE: -0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=+43.89% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.88 | Chg30d=+57.98% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.33 | Chg30d=+20.51% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+39.7% | GrowthRev=+48.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.01 | Chg30d=+8.94% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+26.6% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%