(TGB) Taseko Mines - Ratings and Ratios
Copper, Molybdenum, Gold, Niobium, Silver
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 84.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.72% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.77 |
| Alpha | 137.65 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.474 |
| Beta | 1.459 |
| Beta Downside | 1.700 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 44.26% |
| Mean DD | 19.37% |
| Median DD | 20.82% |
Description: TGB Taseko Mines November 17, 2025
Taseko Mines Ltd. (NYSE MKT:TGB) is a Vancouver-based explorer and developer focused on copper-centric assets. Its flagship Gibraltar mine in central British Columbia is 100% owned and slated to produce roughly 50 kt of copper annually once in service, with an estimated cash-cost target of about $1.80 per lb Cu. The company also holds the Florence Copper project in Arizona (a 100% owned JV) and minority interests in the Yellowhead copper, New Prosperity gold-copper, and Aley niobium projects, all located in British Columbia.
Key financial metrics from the most recent quarterly release (Q3 2024) show a net debt of approximately $310 million against a market-cap of $550 million, yielding a net-debt-to-enterprise-value ratio near 0.55. The Gibraltar feasibility study assumes a 10-year mine life, with an internal rate of return (IRR) of ~12% at a copper price of $4.00/lb, highlighting the projects sensitivity to commodity price swings. Taseko’s balance sheet includes a $300 million revolving credit facility that can be drawn to fund the $1.2 billion capital program needed to bring Gibraltar online.
Sector-wide, copper demand is being driven by the global energy transition-electric vehicles, renewable-energy infrastructure, and grid modernization collectively project a 2.5%-3% annual increase in copper consumption through 2030. This macro trend underpins the strategic relevance of Taseko’s assets, but execution risk remains high given the capital-intensive nature of mine development and the need to secure financing on favorable terms.
For a deeper, data-driven analysis of Taseko’s valuation assumptions and scenario modeling, the ValueRay platform provides transparent tools that can help you assess the upside and downside risks more rigorously.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-55.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 35.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.16% (prev 25.78%; Δ -26.95pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 191.6m > Net Income -55.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (773.0m) to EBITDA (101.3m) ratio: 7.63 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.97 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (316.8m) change vs 12m ago 7.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 14.06% (prev 24.26%; Δ -10.19pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 27.29% (prev 29.01%; Δ -1.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.00 (EBITDA TTM 101.3m / Interest Expense TTM 76.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.11
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 225.3m - Total Current Liabilities 232.2m) / Total Assets 2.33b |
| (B) -0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -112.2m / Total Assets 2.33b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 379.0k / Avg Total Assets 2.19b |
| (D) 0.27 = Book Value of Equity 486.9m / Total Liabilities 1.78b |
| Total Rating: 0.11 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 40.30
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.21% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.04% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.58 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 7.63 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -9.27)% |
| 7. RoE -10.52% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 73.75% |
| 9. EPS Trend -2.34% |
What is the price of TGB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.51%, over one month by +18.43%, over three months by +40.44% and over the past year by +167.71%.
Is TGB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TGB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4.8 | -5.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4.8 | -5.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.6 | 28.2% |
TGB Fundamental Data Overview December 16, 2025
P/E Forward = 12.6904
P/S = 3.2805
P/B = 4.9298
Beta = 2.024
Revenue TTM = 596.9m CAD
EBIT TTM = 379.0k CAD
EBITDA TTM = 101.3m CAD
Long Term Debt = 824.0m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 29.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 863.8m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 773.0m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.47b CAD (2.69b + Debt 863.8m - CCE 92.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.00 (Ebit TTM 379.0k / Interest Expense TTM 76.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.21% (FCF TTM 42.0m / Enterprise Value 3.47b)
FCF Margin = 7.04% (FCF TTM 42.0m / Revenue TTM 596.9m)
Net Margin = -9.34% (Net Income TTM -55.7m / Revenue TTM 596.9m)
Gross Margin = 14.06% ((Revenue TTM 596.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 513.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.57% (prev -3.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.49 (Enterprise Value 3.47b / Total Assets 2.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.51% (Interest Expense 21.7m / Debt 863.8m)
Taxrate = -11.71% (negative due to tax credits) (2.92m / -24.9m)
NOPAT = 423.4k (EBIT 379.0k * (1 - -11.71%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 225.3m / Total Current Liabilities 232.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.58 (Debt 863.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 547.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.63 (Net Debt 773.0m / EBITDA 101.3m)
Debt / FCF = 18.40 (Net Debt 773.0m / FCF TTM 42.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 529.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.39% (Net Income -55.7m / Total Assets 2.33b)
RoE = -10.52% (Net Income TTM -55.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 529.7m)
RoCE = 0.03% (EBIT 379.0k / Capital Employed (Equity 529.7m + L.T.Debt 824.0m))
RoIC = 0.03% (NOPAT 423.4k / Invested Capital 1.33b)
WACC = 9.31% (E(2.69b)/V(3.56b) * Re(11.39%) + D(863.8m)/V(3.56b) * Rd(2.51%) * (1-Tc(-0.12)))
Discount Rate = 11.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 57.02% ; FCFE base≈67.5m ; Y1≈44.3m ; Y5≈20.3m
Fair Price DCF = 0.71 (DCF Value 254.3m / Shares Outstanding 360.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -2.34 | EPS CAGR: -21.68% | SUE: -0.80 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.75 | Revenue CAGR: 15.00% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+552.7% | Growth Revenue=+55.0%
Additional Sources for TGB Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle