(TGB) Taseko Mines - Overview
Stock: Copper, Molybdenum, Gold, Silver, Niobium
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 76.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.35 |
| Alpha | 275.65 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.448 |
| Beta Downside | 1.610 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 44.26% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.55 |
Description: TGB Taseko Mines January 20, 2026
Taseko Mines Ltd (NYSE MKT:TGB) is a Vancouver-based explorer-developer-operator focused on copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium and silver. Its core assets are the fully-owned Gibraltar copper-molybdenum mine in central British Columbia and the Florence Copper project in Arizona, supplemented by minority stakes in the Yellowhead copper, New Prosperity gold-copper and Aley niobium projects, also in British Columbia.
As of FY 2023 the Gibraltar operation produced roughly 80 kt of copper and 3 kt of molybdenum, with an all-in cash cost of about $1.30 per pound of copper – well below the sector median of $1.70. The company reported $200 M of free cash flow and held net debt of $150 M, giving it a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.0×. Copper prices have been buoyed by a 5-6 % CAGR forecast through 2030, driven by electrification, renewable-energy infrastructure and grid-modernisation demand, which underpins Taseko’s long-term revenue outlook.
For a deeper dive into Taseko’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find the ValueRay platform useful for independent research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -55.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.16% < 20% (prev 25.78%; Δ -26.95% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 191.6m > Net Income -55.7m |
| Net Debt (773.0m) to EBITDA (101.3m): 7.63 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (316.8m) vs 12m ago 7.38% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 14.06% > 18% (prev 0.24%; Δ 1382 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 27.29% > 50% (prev 29.01%; Δ -1.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.00 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 101.3m / Interest Expense TTM 76.9m) |
Altman Z'' 0.11
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 225.3m - Total Current Liabilities 232.2m) / Total Assets 2.33b |
| B: -0.05 (Retained Earnings -112.2m / Total Assets 2.33b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 379.0k / Avg Total Assets 2.19b) |
| D: 0.27 (Book Value of Equity 486.9m / Total Liabilities 1.78b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.11 = B |
Beneish M -2.20
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 9.66m/9.63m, Revenue 596.9m/594.0m) |
| GMI: 1.72 (GM 14.06% / 24.26%) |
| AQI: 1.47 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 596.9m / 594.0m) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -55.7m - CFO 191.6m) / TA 2.33b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.20 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
What is the price of TGB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.02%, over one month by +26.61%, over three months by +79.63% and over the past year by +292.50%.
Is TGB a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TGB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 4.9 | -38% |
| Analysts Target Price | 4.9 | -38% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.7 | 36.1% |
TGB Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 16.5563
P/S = 4.7425
P/B = 7.5162
Revenue TTM = 596.9m CAD
EBIT TTM = 379.0k CAD
EBITDA TTM = 101.3m CAD
Long Term Debt = 824.0m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 29.9m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 863.8m CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 773.0m CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.64b CAD (3.87b + Debt 863.8m - CCE 92.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.00 (Ebit TTM 379.0k / Interest Expense TTM 76.9m)
EV/FCF = 110.5x (Enterprise Value 4.64b / FCF TTM 42.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.91% (FCF TTM 42.0m / Enterprise Value 4.64b)
FCF Margin = 7.04% (FCF TTM 42.0m / Revenue TTM 596.9m)
Net Margin = -9.34% (Net Income TTM -55.7m / Revenue TTM 596.9m)
Gross Margin = 14.06% ((Revenue TTM 596.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 513.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.57% (prev -3.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.99 (Enterprise Value 4.64b / Total Assets 2.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.51% (Interest Expense 21.7m / Debt 863.8m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 299.4k (EBIT 379.0k * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 225.3m / Total Current Liabilities 232.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.58 (Debt 863.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 547.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.63 (Net Debt 773.0m / EBITDA 101.3m)
Debt / FCF = 18.40 (Net Debt 773.0m / FCF TTM 42.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 529.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.55% (Net Income -55.7m / Total Assets 2.33b)
RoE = -10.52% (Net Income TTM -55.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 529.7m)
RoCE = 0.03% (EBIT 379.0k / Capital Employed (Equity 529.7m + L.T.Debt 824.0m))
RoIC = 0.02% (NOPAT 299.4k / Invested Capital 1.33b)
WACC = 9.56% (E(3.87b)/V(4.73b) * Re(11.25%) + D(863.8m)/V(4.73b) * Rd(2.51%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.51% ; FCFF base≈67.5m ; Y1≈44.3m ; Y5≈20.2m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 311.5m - Net Debt 773.0m = -461.5m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 20.04 | EPS CAGR: -7.18% | SUE: -1.70 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.75 | Revenue CAGR: 15.00% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=+0.093 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+252.8% | Growth Revenue=+66.4%