TGB Stock Analysis: Taseko Mines | NYSE MKT

Copper | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 3.221m USD | 12M Return: 113.6% | CA8765111064 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Copper, Molybdenum, Gold, Niobium
Total Rating 50
Safety 53
Buy Signal 0.22
Copper
Industry Rotation: -15.1
Market Cap: 3.22B
Avg Turnover: 45.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility67.2%
VaR 5th Pctl11.5%
VaR vs Median3.48%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.36
Rel. Str. IBD94.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group97.3
Character TTM
Beta2.328
Beta Downside1.768
Hurst Exponent0.411
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.26%
CAGR/Max DD2.17
CAGR/Mean DD6.20
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TGB over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.1, "2021-12": 0.05, "2022-03": 0.02, "2022-06": -0.06, "2022-09": 0.02, "2022-12": 0.02, "2023-03": 0.02, "2023-06": -0.02, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.08, "2024-03": 0.03, "2024-06": 0.1, "2024-09": 0.03, "2024-12": 0.03, "2025-03": -0.02, "2025-06": -0.04, "2025-09": 0.02, "2025-12": 0.08, "2026-03": 0.08, "2026-06": 0.08,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TGB over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 102.852218, 2021-12: 102.972, 2022-03: 93.962743, 2022-06: 68.948206, 2022-09: 65.105537, 2022-12: 71.151165, 2023-03: 115.519, 2023-06: 86.552312, 2023-09: 143.835, 2023-12: 153.694, 2024-03: 146.947, 2024-06: 137.73, 2024-09: 155.617, 2024-12: 167.799, 2025-03: 139.149, 2025-06: 116.082, 2025-09: 173.906, 2025-12: 243.767, 2026-03: 234.554588, 2026-06: 232.610146,
Rev. CAGR: 21.35%
Rev. Trend: 90.5%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

P/E Ratio 440.0
Strong Share Dilution
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader
Avwap Ph Week

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +7.6% 8
Feb +2.6% 8
Mar -2.1% 15
Apr +3.0% 29
May -5.0% 8
Jun +1.9% 5
Jul -2.3% 8
Aug -1.9% 18
Sep +3.2% 28
Oct -2.7% 0
Nov +5.7% 14
Dec +5.7% 26

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TGB Taseko Mines

Trekor Metals Limited (formerly Taseko Mines Limited, renamed in June 2026) is a Canadian mining company that acquires and develops mineral properties, with a primary focus on copper and secondary exposure to molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver. Its principal assets are the 100%-owned Gibraltar mine in south-central British Columbia and the Florence Copper project in Arizona, giving the company a mix of producing and development-stage operations. Incorporated in 1966 and headquartered in Vancouver, the company trades on the NYSE MKT under the ticker TGB within the GICS Materials sector.

The business model centers on copper as the dominant revenue driver, consistent with its classification in the GICS Copper sub-industry, while its exploration portfolio across multiple metals provides diversification typical of mid-tier diversified miners. The combination of an operating mine (Gibraltar) and a development project (Florence Copper) reflects a common dual-stage approach in the sector, where cash flow from producing assets funds the advancement of later-stage growth projects.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Copper price rally boosts Gibraltar mine revenue and margins
  • Florence Copper project advances toward commercial production permit
  • Molybdenum byproduct credits strengthen Gibraltar operating margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 9.14m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.12 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 5.57% < 20% (prev 0.80%; Δ 4.77% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 415.0m > Net Income 9.14m
Net Debt (628.8m) to EBITDA (251.7m): 2.50 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.24 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (373.8m) vs 12m ago 17.21% < -2%
Gross Margin: 36.78% > 18% (prev 13.05%; Δ 23.73% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 42.71% > 50% (prev 25.57%; Δ 17.14% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.73 > 6 (EBIT TTM 130.9m / Interest Expense TTM 75.7m)
Altman Z'' 1.01
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 255.5m - Total Current Liabilities 206.2m) / Total Assets 1.88b
B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -48.3m / Total Assets 1.88b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 130.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.07b)
D: 0.47 (Book Value of Equity 602.5m / Total Liabilities 1.28b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.01 = BB
Beneish M -2.41
DSRI: 2.00 (Receivables 19.2m/6.29m, Revenue 884.8m/578.6m)
GMI: 0.35 (GM 13.05% / 36.78%)
AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.03)
SGI: 1.53 (Revenue 884.8m / 578.6m)
TATA: -0.22 (NI 9.14m - CFO 415.0m) / TA 1.88b)
Beneish M = -2.41 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of TGB shares?

As of October 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 8.95 with a total of 4,814,195 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.95%, over one month by +7.57%, over three months by +29.15% and over the past year by +113.60%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 7.70 (which is 14% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is TGB a buy, sell or hold?

Taseko Mines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.71. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TGB.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TGB price?
Analysts Target Price 10.4 16.1%
Taseko Mines (TGB) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.22b (3.22b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap CAD = 4.59b (3.22b USD * 1.4247 USD.CAD)
P/E Trailing = 440.0
P/E Forward = 11.0132
P/S = 3.269
P/B = 5.6002
P/EG = 0.3333
Revenue TTM = 884.8m CAD
EBIT TTM = 130.9m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 251.7m CAD
Long Term Debt = 721.0m CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 18.0m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 760.6m CAD (corrected: LT Debt 721.0m + ST Debt 18.0m) + Leases 21.7m
Net Debt = 628.8m CAD (calculated: Debt 760.6m - CCE 131.8m)
Enterprise Value = 5.22b CAD (4.59b + Debt 760.6m - CCE 131.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.73 (Ebit TTM 130.9m / Interest Expense TTM 75.7m)
EV/FCF = 19.17x (Enterprise Value 5.22b / FCF TTM 272.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.22% (FCF TTM 272.2m / Enterprise Value 5.22b)
FCF Margin = 30.77% (FCF TTM 272.2m / Revenue TTM 884.8m)
Net Margin = 1.03% (Net Income TTM 9.14m / Revenue TTM 884.8m)
Gross Margin = 36.78% ((Revenue TTM 884.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 559.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.71% (prev 34.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.77 (Enterprise Value 5.22b / Total Assets 1.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.95% (Interest Expense 75.7m / Debt 760.6m)
Taxrate = 45.95% (13.3m / 28.9m)
NOPAT = 70.7m (EBIT 130.9m * (1 - 45.95%))
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 255.5m / Total Current Liabilities 206.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 760.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 602.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.50 (Net Debt 628.8m / EBITDA 251.7m)
Debt / FCF = 2.31 (Net Debt 628.8m / FCF TTM 272.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 687.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.44% (Net Income 9.14m / Total Assets 1.88b)
RoE = 1.33% (Net Income TTM 9.14m / Total Stockholder Equity 687.2m)
RoCE = 9.29% (EBIT 130.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 687.2m + L.T.Debt 721.0m))
RoIC = 4.29% (NOPAT 70.7m / Invested Capital 1.65b)
WACC = 12.92% (E(4.59b)/V(5.35b) * Re(14.17%) + D(760.6m)/V(5.35b) * Rd(9.95%) * (1-Tc(0.46)))
Discount Rate = 14.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 92.02 | Cagr: 11.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 64.65% ; FCFF base≈193.8m ; Y1≈222.1m ; Y5≈326.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.68 (EV 2.71b - Net Debt 628.8m = Equity 2.08b / Shares 366.0m; r=12.92% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.54 | Revenue CAGR: 21.35% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.16 | Chg30d=-7.25% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.57 | Chg30d=+0.65% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+717.9% | GrowthRev=+83.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=+0.79% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+95.9% | GrowthRev=+24.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=6, down=3)