(UMAC) Unusual Machines - Overview

Sector: Technology | Industry: Computer Hardware | Exchange: NYSE MKT (USA) | Market Cap: 802m USD | Total Return: 225.2% in 12m

Drones, Drone Components, Flight Controllers, Edge AI
Total Rating 45
Safety 37
Buy Signal 0.09
Computer Hardware
Industry Rotation: +7.7
Market Cap: 802M
Avg Turnover: 44.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility143%
VaR 5th Pctl23.2%
VaR vs Median-1.54%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.56
Rel. Str. IBD94.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group70.8
Character TTM
Beta2.575
Beta Downside0.952
Hurst Exponent0.578
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD75.61%
CAGR/Max DD1.50
CAGR/Mean DD2.54

Warnings

Share dilution 202.7% YoY

High Debt/EBITDA (9.5) with thin interest coverage (-26180.4)

Interest Coverage Ratio -26180.4 is critical

Beneish M-Score 1.00 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation

Altman Z'' -1.04 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Choppy

Tailwinds

Rs Leader

Description: UMAC Unusual Machines

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) is an American developer and distributor of small unmanned aircraft systems (sUAS) and drone components. Operating within the Electronic Components sector, the company utilizes a multi-channel sales strategy encompassing B2B contracts, direct-to-consumer e-commerce, and traditional retail outlets.

The company focuses on the integration of edge AI compute with flight control systems through a technical partnership with Lantronix Inc. This collaboration targets the growing demand for autonomous capabilities in drone hardware. The small drone market is currently characterized by a shift toward domestic manufacturing and Blue UAS compliance to meet heightened security standards for government and enterprise use.

Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, the firm rebranded from AerocarveUS Corporation in 2022 to reflect its broader commercial drone objectives. Investors tracking this sector may find further data on ValueRay useful for deeper fundamental analysis. As the industry moves toward automated flight, UMACs business model relies on the successful commercialization of proprietary AI-integrated components.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Federal drone procurement bans on Chinese hardware drive domestic market share
  • Development of AI-integrated flight controllers through Lantronix partnership impacts margins
  • Consumer drone component demand fluctuates with e-commerce and retail sales volume
  • Supply chain stability for essential drone components affects manufacturing production costs
  • Regulatory shifts in autonomous drone operations influence commercial adoption and revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -5.64m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 142.7 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 1.81k% < 20% (prev 89.54%; Δ 1.72k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.11 > 3% & CFO -37.4m > Net Income -5.64m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 128.2 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (48.1m) vs 12m ago 202.7% < -2%
Gross Margin: 34.77% > 18% (prev 0.26%; Δ 3.45k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 9.67% > 50% (prev 40.44%; Δ -30.78% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -26.2k > 6 (EBITDA TTM -23.0m / Interest Expense TTM 887.0)
Altman Z'' -1.04
A: 0.92 (Total Current Assets 315.2m - Total Current Liabilities 2.46m) / Total Assets 339.7m
B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -44.8m / Total Assets 339.7m)
C: -0.13 (EBIT TTM -23.2m / Avg Total Assets 178.5m)
D: -5.50 (Book Value of Equity -44.3m / Total Liabilities 8.07m)
Altman-Z'' = -1.04 = CCC
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 24.88 (Receivables 3.13m/51.0k, Revenue 17.3m/6.99m)
GMI: 0.76 (GM 34.77% / 26.31%)
AQI: 0.10 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.56)
SGI: 2.47 (Revenue 17.3m / 6.99m)
TATA: 0.09 (NI -5.64m - CFO -37.4m) / TA 339.7m)
Beneish M = 17.02 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of UMAC shares?

As of May 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.78 with a total of 6,924,100 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.58%, over one month by +13.23%, over three months by +24.85% and over the past year by +225.19%.

Is UMAC a buy, sell or hold?

Unusual Machines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UMAC.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the UMAC price?
Analysts Target Price 25.3 51%
Unusual Machines (UMAC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 802.0m (802.0m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 222.2222
P/S = 46.4843
P/B = 2.4183
Revenue TTM = 17.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -23.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -23.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.61m USD (estimated: total debt 3.33m - short term 714k)
Short Term Debt = 714k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.33m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 3.33m already included)
Net Debt = -219.6m USD (calculated: Debt 3.33m - CCE 222.9m)
Enterprise Value = 582.4m USD (802.0m + Debt 3.33m - CCE 222.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -26.2k (Ebit TTM -23.2m / Interest Expense TTM 887.0)
EV/FCF = 61.73x (Enterprise Value 582.4m / FCF TTM 9.43m)
FCF Yield = 1.62% (FCF TTM 9.43m / Enterprise Value 582.4m)
FCF Margin = 54.68% (FCF TTM 9.43m / Revenue TTM 17.3m)
Net Margin = -32.72% (Net Income TTM -5.64m / Revenue TTM 17.3m)
Gross Margin = 34.77% ((Revenue TTM 17.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.98% (prev 36.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.71 (Enterprise Value 582.4m / Total Assets 339.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.03% (Interest Expense 887.0 / Debt 3.33m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 10.3m)
NOPAT = -23.2m (EBIT -23.2m * (1 - 0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 79.50 (Total Current Assets 315.2m / Total Current Liabilities 3.96m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 3.33m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 331.6m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 9.53 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -219.6m / EBITDA -23.0m)
 Debt / FCF = -23.28 (Net Debt -219.6m / FCF TTM 9.43m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 166.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.16% (Net Income -5.64m / Total Assets 339.7m)
RoE = -2.68% (Net Income TTM -5.64m / Total Stockholder Equity 210.8m)
RoCE = -10.88% (EBIT -23.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 210.8m + L.T.Debt 2.61m))
 RoIC = -6.87% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -23.2m / Invested Capital 338.0m)
 WACC = 14.98% (E(802.0m)/V(805.3m) * Re(15.04%) + D(3.33m)/V(805.3m) * Rd(0.03%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 15.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 73.33 | Cagr: 109.8%
[DCF] Terminal Value 55.84% ; FCFF base≈9.43m ; Y1≈9.47m ; Y5≈10.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.13 (EV 73.5m - Net Debt -219.6m = Equity 293.1m / Shares 47.8m; r=14.98% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -74.99 | Revenue CAGR: -73.40% | SUE: 2.96 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.35 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=-128.3% | GrowthRev=+226.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.20 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+42.9% | GrowthRev=+45.9%