UMAC Stock Analysis: Unusual Machines | NYSE MKT
Computer Hardware | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 1.201m USD | 12M Return: 49.4% | US91532F1021 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 59.4M
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 2.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) operates in the commercial drone industry, offering small drones and essential components distributed through B2B sales, e-commerce, and retail channels. The company has a strategic collaboration with Lantronix Inc. focused on developing autonomous drone components that integrate edge AI compute with flight control systems. Originally incorporated in 2019 as AerocarveUS Corporation, the company rebranded to Unusual Machines, Inc. in July 2022 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
The company operates within the broader commercial drone sector, which serves applications such as aerial imaging, inspection, and defense, and is part of the electronic components sub-industry. Its distribution model combines direct business sales with online and retail channels, a structure commonly used by drone hardware makers to reach both professional and hobbyist customers.
- U.S. ban on Chinese DJI drones boosts domestic demand
- Defense sector drone contract pipeline accelerates
- Lantronix edge AI drone compute partnership advances
| Net Income: -6.46m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.14k% < 20% (prev 537.6%; Δ 604.3% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.14 > 3% & CFO -56.2m > Net Income -6.46m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 53.82 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (48.6m) vs 12m ago 123.3% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.56% > 18% (prev 29.15%; Δ 5.41% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 14.16% > 50% (prev 14.68%; Δ -0.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -19.1k > 6 (EBIT TTM -22.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.17k) |
| A: 0.91 (Total Current Assets 370.6m - Total Current Liabilities 6.89m) / Total Assets 397.5m |
| B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -52.6m / Total Assets 397.5m) |
| C: -0.10 (EBIT TTM -22.3m / Avg Total Assets 225.0m) |
| D: 41.05 (Book Value of Equity 388.0m / Total Liabilities 9.45m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 48.01 = AAA |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 10.6m/173k, Revenue 31.9m/7.70m) |
| GMI: 0.84 (GM 29.15% / 34.56%) |
| AQI: 0.29 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 4.14 (Revenue 31.9m / 7.70m) |
| TATA: 0.13 (NI -6.46m - CFO -56.2m) / TA 397.5m) |
| Beneish M = 0.32 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of October 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 22.37 with a total of 3,194,705 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.99%, over one month by -5.01%, over three months by +1.31% and over the past year by +49.43%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 20.00 (which is 10.6% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Unusual Machines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UMAC.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 39 | 74.3% |
P/E Forward = 67.5676
P/S = 37.7208
P/B = 2.9211
Revenue TTM = 31.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -22.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -22.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.42m USD (estimated: total debt 3.16m - short term 736k)
Short Term Debt = 736k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.16m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 3.16m already included)
Net Debt = -313.2m USD (calculated: Debt 3.16m - CCE 316.4m)
Enterprise Value = 888.2m USD (1.20b + Debt 3.16m - CCE 316.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -19.1k (Ebit TTM -22.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.17k)
EV/FCF = -15.18x (Enterprise Value 888.2m / FCF TTM -58.5m)
FCF Yield = -6.59% (FCF TTM -58.5m / Enterprise Value 888.2m)
FCF Margin = -183.7% (FCF TTM -58.5m / Revenue TTM 31.9m)
Net Margin = -20.29% (Net Income TTM -6.46m / Revenue TTM 31.9m)
Gross Margin = 34.56% ((Revenue TTM 31.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 20.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.70% (prev 31.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.23 (Enterprise Value 888.2m / Total Assets 397.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.04% (Interest Expense 1.17k / Debt 3.16m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -17.6m (EBIT -22.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 53.82 (Total Current Assets 370.6m / Total Current Liabilities 6.89m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 3.16m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 388.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 14.18 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -313.2m / EBITDA -22.1m)
Debt / FCF = 5.35 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -313.2m / FCF TTM -58.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 250.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.87% (Net Income -6.46m / Total Assets 397.5m)
RoE = -2.58% (Net Income TTM -6.46m / Total Stockholder Equity 250.2m)
RoCE = -8.84% (EBIT -22.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 250.2m + L.T.Debt 2.42m))
RoIC = -4.52% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -17.6m / Invested Capital 389.8m)
WACC = 21.96% (E(1.20b)/V(1.20b) * Re(22.02%) + D(3.16m)/V(1.20b) * Rd(0.04%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 22.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.74 | Cagr: 152.2%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -58.5m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -74.99 | Revenue CAGR: -73.40% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.16 | Chg30d=-146.15% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.20 | Chg30d=+41.43% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-33.7% | GrowthRev=+403.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.32 | Chg30d=-61.65% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-57.7% | GrowthRev=+99.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=1, down=0)