(UMAC) Unusual Machines - Ratings and Ratios
Drones, Components, ElectronicParts
Description: UMAC Unusual Machines
Unusual Machines, Inc. (NYSE MKT:UMAC) is a commercial drone industry player that designs and distributes small drones and essential components through various channels, including B2B sales, e-commerce, and retail. The companys product offerings cater to a diverse customer base, and its distribution strategy allows for a broad market reach.
As a key performance indicator (KPI), the companys revenue growth rate is crucial in assessing its market traction. Although the exact revenue figures are not provided, the stocks price movement and market capitalization suggest a significant level of investor interest. With a market capitalization of $199.65M USD, Unusual Machines, Inc. has demonstrated its ability to attract capital and scale its operations.
To further evaluate the companys performance, other relevant KPIs could include customer acquisition costs, gross margin, and research and development (R&D) expenses as a percentage of revenue. These metrics would provide insights into the companys operational efficiency, pricing power, and investment in innovation. Additionally, the companys return on equity (RoE) of -195.34% indicates significant losses, highlighting the need for improved profitability.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stocks price movement suggests a potential uptrend, with the short-term moving averages (SMA20 and SMA50) indicating a bullish crossover. However, the high average true range (ATR) of 6.29% implies significant price volatility, which may be a concern for risk-averse investors.
To make an informed investment decision, it is essential to consider multiple factors, including the companys financial performance, industry trends, and competitive landscape. A thorough analysis of Unusual Machines, Inc.s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT analysis) would provide a comprehensive understanding of its growth prospects and potential risks.
UMAC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 297m |
| Sub-Industry | Electronic Components |
| IPO / Inception | 2024-02-14 |
UMAC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 75.9% |
| Fundamental | 41.1% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 470% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.67 of 5 |
UMAC Dividends
Currently no dividends paidUMAC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 43.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 38.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 71.7% |
| CAGR 5y | 134.98% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 1.79 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 2.57 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.02 |
| Alpha | 0.22 |
| Beta | 0.796 |
| Volatility | 97.54% |
| Current Volume | 3395.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2442.8k |
| Stop Loss | 10.8 (-7.2%) |
| Signal | 1.25 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-39.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 462.1k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.56pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 537.6% (prev -200.7%; Δ 738.3pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO -7.86m > Net Income -39.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 51.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.8m) change vs 12m ago 109.1% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.29% (prev 169.4%; Δ -141.1pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.84% (prev -8.28%; Δ 28.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -694.6 (EBITDA TTM -39.3m / Interest Expense TTM 56.8k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -46.81
| (A) 0.79 = (Total Current Assets 42.2m - Total Current Liabilities 821.7k) / Total Assets 52.4m |
| (B) -0.88 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -46.1m / Total Assets 52.4m |
| (C) -1.02 = EBIT TTM -39.4m / Avg Total Assets 38.8m |
| (D) -40.28 = Book Value of Equity -45.9m / Total Liabilities 1.14m |
| Total Rating: -46.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.11
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.54% = -0.77 |
| 3. FCF Margin -51.89% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.01 = -2.50 |
| 7. RoE -156.0% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.37% = 4.90 |
| 9. EPS Trend 39.49% = 1.97 |
What is the price of UMAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +20.50%, over one month by +15.82%, over three months by +13.45% and over the past year by +576.74%.
Is Unusual Machines a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UMAC is around 11.05 USD . This means that UMAC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.07%.
Is UMAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UMAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17 | 46% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17 | 46% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 12.4 | 6.3% |
Last update: 2025-09-08 04:53
UMAC Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 38.9m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/S = 38.6112
P/B = 5.7958
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 7.70m USD
EBIT TTM = -39.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -39.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 317.6k USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 147.1k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 464.7k USD (Calculated: Short Term 147.1k + Long Term 317.6k)
Net Debt = -38.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 258.9m USD (297.4m + Debt 464.7k - CCE 38.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -694.6 (Ebit TTM -39.4m / Interest Expense TTM 56.8k)
FCF Yield = -1.54% (FCF TTM -4.00m / Enterprise Value 258.9m)
FCF Margin = -51.89% (FCF TTM -4.00m / Revenue TTM 7.70m)
Net Margin = -512.8% (Net Income TTM -39.5m / Revenue TTM 7.70m)
Gross Margin = 28.29% ((Revenue TTM 7.70m - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.52m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -5.64 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 258.9m / Book Value Of Equity -45.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 12.22% (Interest Expense 56.8k / Debt 464.7k)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -39.4m (EBIT -39.4m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 51.38 (Total Current Assets 42.2m / Total Current Liabilities 821.7k)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 464.7k / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 51.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.01 (Net Debt -38.6m / EBITDA -39.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.12 (Debt 464.7k / FCF TTM -4.00m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 25.3m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -75.30% (Net Income -39.5m, Total Assets 52.4m )
RoE = -156.0% (Net Income TTM -39.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 25.3m)
RoCE = -153.9% (set to none) (Ebit -39.4m / (Equity 25.3m + L.T.Debt 317.6k))
RoIC = -151.4% (set to none) (NOPAT -39.4m / Invested Capital 26.1m)
WACC = 8.95% (E(297.4m)/V(297.8m) * Re(8.95%)) + (D(464.7k)/V(297.8m) * Rd(12.22%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 48.08 | Cagr: 9.30%
Discount Rate = 8.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -4.00m)
EPS Correlation: 39.49 | EPS CAGR: 59.86% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.37 | Revenue CAGR: 17.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for UMAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle