(UMAC) Unusual Machines - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE MKT • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US91532F1021

Drones, Components, B2B, E-Commerce, Retail

Description: UMAC Unusual Machines October 29, 2025

Unusual Machines, Inc. (NYSE MKT: UMAC) is a U.S.-based commercial-drone firm that designs, manufactures, and sells small unmanned aerial vehicles and related components. Its sales model spans B2B contracts, a direct-to-consumer e-commerce site, and traditional retail distribution. The company, incorporated in 2019 and headquartered in Orlando, Florida, rebranded from AerocarveUS Corporation in July 2022.

Industry data suggests the global commercial-drone market is projected to grow at a CAGR of roughly 15 % through 2028, driven by expanding logistics, inspection, and agricultural applications. Assuming UMAC captures even a modest share of this expansion, its top-line could see double-digit growth; however, the firm has not disclosed recent revenue or margin figures, so any quantitative estimate remains speculative. A key operational risk is the ongoing semiconductor shortage, which can pressure component lead times and cost of goods sold for drone manufacturers.

If you want a data-rich, side-by-side comparison of UMAC’s financial metrics and peer performance, ValueRay’s platform offers the tools to dig deeper without the need for manual spreadsheet work.

UMAC Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 394m
Sub-Industry Electronic Components
IPO / Inception 2024-02-14

UMAC Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 73.6%
Fundamental 45.3%
Dividend Rating -
Return 12m vs S&P 500 273%
Analyst Rating 4.67 of 5

UMAC Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

UMAC Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 65.3%
Growth Correlation 12m 27.7%
Growth Correlation 5y 76.4%
CAGR 5y 106.46%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) 1.41
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) 2.21
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.96
Alpha 376.06
Beta
Volatility 132.88%
Current Volume 6849.1k
Average Volume 20d 3227.5k
Stop Loss 9.8 (-7.5%)
Signal -0.87

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0

Net Income (-39.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 462.1k TTM)
FCFTA -0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 537.6% (prev 2.64%; Δ 534.9pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA -0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO -7.86m > Net Income -39.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 51.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.8m) change vs 12m ago 109.1% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 28.29% (prev 99.09%; Δ -70.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 19.84% (prev 628.1%; Δ -608.3pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -694.6 (EBITDA TTM -39.3m / Interest Expense TTM 56.8k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -46.81

(A) 0.79 = (Total Current Assets 42.2m - Total Current Liabilities 821.7k) / Total Assets 52.4m
(B) -0.88 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -46.1m / Total Assets 52.4m
(C) -1.02 = EBIT TTM -39.4m / Avg Total Assets 38.8m
(D) -40.28 = Book Value of Equity -45.9m / Total Liabilities 1.14m
Total Rating: -46.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 45.33

1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0
2. FCF Yield -1.67% = -0.84
3. FCF Margin -77.12% = -7.50
4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.98 = 1.79
7. RoE -156.0% = -2.50
8. Rev. Trend 65.37% = 4.90
9. EPS Trend 39.49% = 1.97

What is the price of UMAC shares?

As of November 09, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 10.59 with a total of 6,849,079 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -29.26%, over one month by -33.77%, over three months by +10.43% and over the past year by +325.30%.

Is Unusual Machines a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Unusual Machines (NYSE MKT:UMAC) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 45.33 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UMAC is around 10.00 USD . This means that UMAC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.57%.

Is UMAC a buy, sell or hold?

Unusual Machines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UMAC.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the UMAC price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 20.3 92%
Analysts Target Price 20.3 92%
ValueRay Target Price 12 13.3%

UMAC Fundamental Data Overview November 07, 2025

Market Cap USD = 394.2m (394.2m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 51.1895
P/B = 9.0756
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 7.70m USD
EBIT TTM = -39.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -39.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 297.3k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 147.1k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 297.3k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -38.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 355.6m USD (394.2m + Debt 297.3k - CCE 38.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -694.6 (Ebit TTM -39.4m / Interest Expense TTM 56.8k)
FCF Yield = -1.67% (FCF TTM -5.94m / Enterprise Value 355.6m)
FCF Margin = -77.12% (FCF TTM -5.94m / Revenue TTM 7.70m)
Net Margin = -512.8% (Net Income TTM -39.5m / Revenue TTM 7.70m)
Gross Margin = 28.29% ((Revenue TTM 7.70m - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.52m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.41% (prev 24.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.78 (Enterprise Value 355.6m / Total Assets 52.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 19.10% (Interest Expense 56.8k / Debt 297.3k)
Taxrate = 0.04% (-13.4k / -32.0m)
NOPAT = -39.4m (EBIT -39.4m * (1 - 0.04%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 51.38 (Total Current Assets 42.2m / Total Current Liabilities 821.7k)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 297.3k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 51.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.98 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -38.6m / EBITDA -39.3m)
Debt / FCF = 6.50 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -38.6m / FCF TTM -5.94m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 25.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -75.30% (Net Income -39.5m / Total Assets 52.4m)
RoE = -156.0% (Net Income TTM -39.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 25.3m)
RoCE = -154.0% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -39.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 25.3m + L.T.Debt 297.3k))
RoIC = -151.3% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -39.4m / Invested Capital 26.1m)
WACC = 21.56% (E(394.2m)/V(394.5m) * Re(21.56%) + D(297.3k)/V(394.5m) * Rd(19.10%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 21.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 17.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 54.82%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -5.94m)
EPS Correlation: 39.49 | EPS CAGR: 59.86% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.37 | Revenue CAGR: 17.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for UMAC Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle