(UMAC) Unusual Machines - Ratings and Ratios
Drones, Components, B2B, E-Commerce, Retail
Description: UMAC Unusual Machines October 29, 2025
Unusual Machines, Inc. (NYSE MKT: UMAC) is a U.S.-based commercial-drone firm that designs, manufactures, and sells small unmanned aerial vehicles and related components. Its sales model spans B2B contracts, a direct-to-consumer e-commerce site, and traditional retail distribution. The company, incorporated in 2019 and headquartered in Orlando, Florida, rebranded from AerocarveUS Corporation in July 2022.
Industry data suggests the global commercial-drone market is projected to grow at a CAGR of roughly 15 % through 2028, driven by expanding logistics, inspection, and agricultural applications. Assuming UMAC captures even a modest share of this expansion, its top-line could see double-digit growth; however, the firm has not disclosed recent revenue or margin figures, so any quantitative estimate remains speculative. A key operational risk is the ongoing semiconductor shortage, which can pressure component lead times and cost of goods sold for drone manufacturers.
If you want a data-rich, side-by-side comparison of UMAC’s financial metrics and peer performance, ValueRay’s platform offers the tools to dig deeper without the need for manual spreadsheet work.
UMAC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 394m |
| Sub-Industry | Electronic Components |
| IPO / Inception | 2024-02-14 |
UMAC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 73.6% |
| Fundamental | 45.3% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 273% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.67 of 5 |
UMAC Dividends
Currently no dividends paidUMAC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 65.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 27.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 76.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 106.46% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.41 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 2.21 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.96 |
| Alpha | 376.06 |
| Beta | |
| Volatility | 132.88% |
| Current Volume | 6849.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 3227.5k |
| Stop Loss | 9.8 (-7.5%) |
| Signal | -0.87 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-39.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 462.1k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 537.6% (prev 2.64%; Δ 534.9pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO -7.86m > Net Income -39.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 51.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.8m) change vs 12m ago 109.1% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.29% (prev 99.09%; Δ -70.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.84% (prev 628.1%; Δ -608.3pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -694.6 (EBITDA TTM -39.3m / Interest Expense TTM 56.8k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -46.81
| (A) 0.79 = (Total Current Assets 42.2m - Total Current Liabilities 821.7k) / Total Assets 52.4m |
| (B) -0.88 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -46.1m / Total Assets 52.4m |
| (C) -1.02 = EBIT TTM -39.4m / Avg Total Assets 38.8m |
| (D) -40.28 = Book Value of Equity -45.9m / Total Liabilities 1.14m |
| Total Rating: -46.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 45.33
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt = -5.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.67% = -0.84 |
| 3. FCF Margin -77.12% = -7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.98 = 1.79 |
| 7. RoE -156.0% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.37% = 4.90 |
| 9. EPS Trend 39.49% = 1.97 |
What is the price of UMAC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -29.26%, over one month by -33.77%, over three months by +10.43% and over the past year by +325.30%.
Is Unusual Machines a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UMAC is around 10.00 USD . This means that UMAC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.57%.
Is UMAC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UMAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.3 | 92% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.3 | 92% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 12 | 13.3% |
UMAC Fundamental Data Overview November 07, 2025
P/S = 51.1895
P/B = 9.0756
Beta = None
Revenue TTM = 7.70m USD
EBIT TTM = -39.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -39.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 297.3k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 147.1k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 297.3k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -38.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 355.6m USD (394.2m + Debt 297.3k - CCE 38.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -694.6 (Ebit TTM -39.4m / Interest Expense TTM 56.8k)
FCF Yield = -1.67% (FCF TTM -5.94m / Enterprise Value 355.6m)
FCF Margin = -77.12% (FCF TTM -5.94m / Revenue TTM 7.70m)
Net Margin = -512.8% (Net Income TTM -39.5m / Revenue TTM 7.70m)
Gross Margin = 28.29% ((Revenue TTM 7.70m - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.52m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.41% (prev 24.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.78 (Enterprise Value 355.6m / Total Assets 52.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 19.10% (Interest Expense 56.8k / Debt 297.3k)
Taxrate = 0.04% (-13.4k / -32.0m)
NOPAT = -39.4m (EBIT -39.4m * (1 - 0.04%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 51.38 (Total Current Assets 42.2m / Total Current Liabilities 821.7k)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 297.3k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 51.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.98 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -38.6m / EBITDA -39.3m)
Debt / FCF = 6.50 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -38.6m / FCF TTM -5.94m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 25.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -75.30% (Net Income -39.5m / Total Assets 52.4m)
RoE = -156.0% (Net Income TTM -39.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 25.3m)
RoCE = -154.0% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -39.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 25.3m + L.T.Debt 297.3k))
RoIC = -151.3% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -39.4m / Invested Capital 26.1m)
WACC = 21.56% (E(394.2m)/V(394.5m) * Re(21.56%) + D(297.3k)/V(394.5m) * Rd(19.10%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 21.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 17.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 54.82%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -5.94m)
EPS Correlation: 39.49 | EPS CAGR: 59.86% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.37 | Revenue CAGR: 17.58% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for UMAC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle