UMAC Stock Analysis: Unusual Machines | NYSE MKT
Computer Hardware | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 1.011m USD | 12M Return: 146% | US91532F1021 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 64.1M
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 2.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) operates in the commercial drone industry, offering small drones and essential components distributed through B2B sales, e-commerce, and retail channels. The company has a strategic collaboration with Lantronix Inc. focused on developing autonomous drone components that integrate edge AI compute with flight control systems. Originally incorporated in 2019 as AerocarveUS Corporation, the company rebranded to Unusual Machines, Inc. in July 2022 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
The company operates within the broader commercial drone sector, which serves applications such as aerial imaging, inspection, and defense, and is part of the electronic components sub-industry. Its distribution model combines direct business sales with online and retail channels, a structure commonly used by drone hardware makers to reach both professional and hobbyist customers.
- U.S. ban on Chinese DJI drones boosts domestic demand
- Defense sector drone contract pipeline accelerates
- Lantronix edge AI drone compute partnership advances
| Net Income: -5.64m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 142.7 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.81k% < 20% (prev 89.54%; Δ 1.72k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.11 > 3% & CFO -37.4m > Net Income -5.64m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 128.2 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (48.1m) vs 12m ago 202.7% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.77% > 18% (prev 26.31%; Δ 8.46% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 9.67% > 50% (prev 40.44%; Δ -30.78% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -26.2k > 6 (EBIT TTM -23.2m / Interest Expense TTM 887.0) |
| A: 0.92 (Total Current Assets 315.2m - Total Current Liabilities 2.46m) / Total Assets 339.7m |
| B: -0.13 (Retained Earnings -44.8m / Total Assets 339.7m) |
| C: -0.13 (EBIT TTM -23.2m / Avg Total Assets 178.5m) |
| D: 41.12 (Book Value of Equity 331.6m / Total Liabilities 8.07m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 47.91 = AAA |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 3.60m/51.0k, Revenue 17.3m/6.99m) |
| GMI: 0.76 (GM 26.31% / 34.77%) |
| AQI: 0.10 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.56) |
| SGI: 2.47 (Revenue 17.3m / 6.99m) |
| TATA: 0.09 (NI -5.64m - CFO -37.4m) / TA 339.7m) |
| Beneish M = -1.07 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of August 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 25.73 with a total of 3,440,592 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +49.07%, over one month by +18.85%, over three months by +89.33% and over the past year by +145.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.50 (which is 24.2% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Unusual Machines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UMAC.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 34.9 | 35.5% |
P/E Forward = 67.5676
P/S = 58.6179
P/B = 3.0495
Revenue TTM = 17.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -23.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -23.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.61m USD (estimated: total debt 3.33m - short term 714k)
Short Term Debt = 714k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.33m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 3.33m already included)
Net Debt = -280.3m USD (calculated: Debt 3.33m - CCE 283.6m)
Enterprise Value = 731.1m USD (1.01b + Debt 3.33m - CCE 283.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -26.2k (Ebit TTM -23.2m / Interest Expense TTM 887.0)
EV/FCF = 77.49x (Enterprise Value 731.1m / FCF TTM 9.43m)
FCF Yield = 1.29% (FCF TTM 9.43m / Enterprise Value 731.1m)
FCF Margin = 54.68% (FCF TTM 9.43m / Revenue TTM 17.3m)
Net Margin = -32.72% (Net Income TTM -5.64m / Revenue TTM 17.3m)
Gross Margin = 34.77% ((Revenue TTM 17.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.98% (prev 36.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.15 (Enterprise Value 731.1m / Total Assets 339.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.03% (Interest Expense 887.0 / Debt 3.33m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 10.3m)
NOPAT = -23.2m (EBIT -23.2m * (1 - 0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 89.30 (Total Current Assets 315.2m / Total Current Liabilities 3.53m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 3.33m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 331.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.17 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -280.3m / EBITDA -23.0m)
Debt / FCF = -29.71 (Net Debt -280.3m / FCF TTM 9.43m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 166.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.16% (Net Income -5.64m / Total Assets 339.7m)
RoE = -3.40% (Net Income TTM -5.64m / Total Stockholder Equity 166.0m)
RoCE = -13.77% (EBIT -23.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 166.0m + L.T.Debt 2.61m))
RoIC = -6.89% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -23.2m / Invested Capital 337.1m)
WACC = 19.53% (E(1.01b)/V(1.01b) * Re(19.59%) + D(3.33m)/V(1.01b) * Rd(0.03%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 19.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.06 | Cagr: 242.9%
[DCF] Terminal Value 45.89% ; FCFF base≈9.43m ; Y1≈9.47m ; Y5≈10.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.99 (EV 54.0m - Net Debt -280.3m = Equity 334.2m / Shares 47.8m; r=19.53% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -74.99 | Revenue CAGR: -73.40% | SUE: 2.96 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=+183.30% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.35 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-128.3% | GrowthRev=+217.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.20 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+42.9% | GrowthRev=+46.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)