(URG) Ur Energy - Overview
Stock: Uranium, Mining, Wyoming
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 74.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.91 |
| Alpha | 30.47 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.215 |
| Beta Downside | 1.086 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 72.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.12 |
Description: URG Ur Energy December 29, 2025
Ur-Energy Inc. (NYSE MKT: URG) is a U.S.-based uranium mining company that acquires, explores, develops, and operates uranium mineral properties. Incorporated in 2004 and headquartered in Littleton, Colorado, the firm holds interests in 12 domestic projects.
The centerpiece of its portfolio is the Lost Creek project in Wyoming’s Great Divide Basin, comprising roughly 1,800 unpatented mining claims and three mineral leases that together cover about 35,400 acres. The remaining assets are smaller exploration licences spread across the western United States.
Key recent metrics: as of Q2 2024 Ur-Energy reported a cash balance of approximately $45 million, a 30 % increase in its measured and inferred resource tonnage at Lost Creek, and an average realized uranium price of $53 lb⁻¹, well above the 2023 spot price of $42 lb⁻¹.
Sector drivers that materially affect Ur-Energy’s outlook include (1) the tightening global uranium supply-demand gap, with the World Nuclear Association estimating a 2024 deficit of 12 ktU, (2) U.S. policy momentum toward domestic fuel security-evidenced by the 2023 Nuclear Fuel Security Act-and (3) the price elasticity of uranium, where a 10 % rise in spot price typically lifts cash-flow forecasts by roughly 8 % for comparable producers.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore Ur-Energy’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income: -79.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.48 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -28.60 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 107.7% < 20% (prev 712.7%; Δ -605.0% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.56 > 3% & CFO -96.4m > Net Income -79.4m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 7.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (367.1m) vs 12m ago 7.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.22% > 18% (prev 0.08%; Δ 1814 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 33.34% > 50% (prev 8.19%; Δ 25.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -63.87 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -54.5m / Interest Expense TTM 920.0k) |
Altman Z'' -5.56
| A: 0.39 (Total Current Assets 76.6m - Total Current Liabilities 9.76m) / Total Assets 170.9m |
| B: -2.13 (Retained Earnings -363.4m / Total Assets 170.9m) |
| C: -0.32 (EBIT TTM -58.8m / Avg Total Assets 186.2m) |
| D: 0.89 (Book Value of Equity 71.1m / Total Liabilities 80.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -5.56 = D |
Beneish M 0.52
| DSRI: 3.11 (Receivables 2.74m/234.0k, Revenue 62.1m/16.5m) |
| GMI: 0.45 (GM 18.22% / 8.25%) |
| AQI: 1.37 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 3.76 (Revenue 62.1m / 16.5m) |
| TATA: 0.10 (NI -79.4m - CFO -96.4m) / TA 170.9m) |
| Beneish M-Score: 0.52 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of URG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.02%, over one month by -2.45%, over three months by +21.37% and over the past year by +59.00%.
Is URG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the URG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2.2 | 38.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2.2 | 38.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.7 | 9.4% |
URG Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/S = 17.0872
P/B = 7.4268
Revenue TTM = 62.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -58.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -54.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.39m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.02m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -32.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 656.2m USD (673.4m + Debt 19.3m - CCE 36.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -63.87 (Ebit TTM -58.8m / Interest Expense TTM 920.0k)
EV/FCF = -8.03x (Enterprise Value 656.2m / FCF TTM -81.7m)
FCF Yield = -12.45% (FCF TTM -81.7m / Enterprise Value 656.2m)
FCF Margin = -131.6% (FCF TTM -81.7m / Revenue TTM 62.1m)
Net Margin = -127.9% (Net Income TTM -79.4m / Revenue TTM 62.1m)
Gross Margin = 18.22% ((Revenue TTM 62.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 50.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -11.70% (prev 18.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.84 (Enterprise Value 656.2m / Total Assets 170.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.88% (Interest Expense 364.0k / Debt 19.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -46.4m (EBIT -58.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 7.85 (Total Current Assets 76.6m / Total Current Liabilities 9.76m)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 19.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 90.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.60 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -32.7m / EBITDA -54.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.40 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -32.7m / FCF TTM -81.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 112.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -42.64% (Net Income -79.4m / Total Assets 170.9m)
RoE = -70.77% (Net Income TTM -79.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 112.2m)
RoCE = -51.75% (EBIT -58.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 112.2m + L.T.Debt 1.39m))
RoIC = -41.39% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -46.4m / Invested Capital 112.2m)
WACC = 10.14% (E(673.4m)/V(692.7m) * Re(10.39%) + D(19.3m)/V(692.7m) * Rd(1.88%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 16.82%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -81.7m)
EPS Correlation: -36.79 | EPS CAGR: 15.16% | SUE: 1.37 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 79.98 | Revenue CAGR: 43.31% | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+69.8% | Growth Revenue=+207.1%