(VGZ) Vista Gold - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Exploration, Development, Australia
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 75.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 107% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.43% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.12 |
| Alpha | 256.52 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.04 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.479 |
| Beta | 0.309 |
| Beta Downside | -0.193 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.85% |
| Mean DD | 24.41% |
| Median DD | 24.33% |
Description: VGZ Vista Gold November 15, 2025
Vista Gold Corp. (NYSE MKT: VGZ) is a U.S.-incorporated, development-stage mining company focused on gold projects in Australia, with its flagship asset being the wholly-owned Mt Todd gold project in the Northern Territory.
Mt Todd is reported to contain roughly 1.2 million ounces of inferred gold resources, and the project is currently in the advanced exploration phase, targeting a pre-FEASL (pre-Feasibility Study) to define a low-cost, open-pit operation. As of Q3 2024, the company’s market capitalization hovers around $200 million, while the spot price of gold has stabilized near $1,900 per ounce, a level that supports attractive project economics for new Australian mines. The broader Australian gold sector has benefited from a 3-year-average production growth of ~2 % and a favorable fiscal regime, both of which are key drivers for junior developers like Vista Gold.
For a deeper dive into VGZ’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful for extending your assessment.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-7.41m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4800 TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.45 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -16.43pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 16.0k% (prev 30.1k%; Δ -14.2kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.41 (>3.0%) and CFO -6.57m > Net Income -7.41m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 12.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (125.4m) change vs 12m ago 2.47% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -1.97% (prev 16.21%; Δ -18.18pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 0.44% (prev 0.30%; Δ 0.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -27.57 (EBITDA TTM -7.61m / Interest Expense TTM -279.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -80.54
| (A) 0.81 = (Total Current Assets 13.9m - Total Current Liabilities 1.13m) / Total Assets 15.9m |
| (B) -29.39 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -465.9m / Total Assets 15.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -29.39 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.43 = EBIT TTM -7.69m / Avg Total Assets 18.0m |
| (D) 12.24 = Book Value of Equity 14.7m / Total Liabilities 1.20m |
| Total Rating: -80.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 28.78
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.65% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity data missing |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.80 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -46.33)% |
| 7. RoE -47.80% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -17.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend 20.19% |
What is the price of VGZ shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.70%, over one month by +6.09%, over three months by -4.57% and over the past year by +284.69%.
Is VGZ a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VGZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 3 | 43.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 3 | 43.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.2 | 4.3% |
VGZ Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025
P/E Forward = 6.7476
P/B = 18.0828
Beta = 1.147
Revenue TTM = 80.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -7.69m USD
EBITDA TTM = -7.61m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = -13.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 269.0m USD (282.7m + (null Debt) - CCE 13.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -27.57 (Ebit TTM -7.69m / Interest Expense TTM -279.0k)
FCF Yield = -2.65% (FCF TTM -7.14m / Enterprise Value 269.0m)
FCF Margin = -8922 % (FCF TTM -7.14m / Revenue TTM 80.0k)
Net Margin = -9266 % (Net Income TTM -7.41m / Revenue TTM 80.0k)
Gross Margin = -1.97% ((Revenue TTM 80.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 81.6k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 16.97 (Enterprise Value 269.0m / Total Assets 15.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 11.0k / Debt none)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -6.08m (EBIT -7.69m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 12.35 (Total Current Assets 13.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.13m)
Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.80 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -13.7m / EBITDA -7.61m)
Debt / FCF = 1.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -13.7m / FCF TTM -7.14m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -46.76% (Net Income -7.41m / Total Assets 15.9m)
RoE = -47.80% (Net Income TTM -7.41m / Total Stockholder Equity 15.5m)
RoCE = -52.23% (EBIT -7.69m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 15.9m - Current Liab 1.13m))
RoIC = -39.18% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.08m / Invested Capital 15.5m)
WACC = 7.15% (E(282.7m)/V(282.7m) * Re(7.15%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 7.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.75%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -7.14m)
EPS Correlation: 20.19 | EPS CAGR: 107.2% | SUE: -1.77 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.24 | Revenue CAGR: -45.88% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+16.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
Additional Sources for VGZ Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle