VGZ Stock Analysis: Vista Gold | NYSE MKT
Gold | NYSE MKT, USA | Market Cap: 267m USD | 12M Return: 66% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 4.69M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Vista Gold Corp. (NYSE MKT: VGZ) is a U.S.-based, development-stage gold mining company whose primary asset is the 100%-owned Mt Todd gold project in Australias Northern Territory. As a development-stage miner, the company is focused on advancing its project toward production rather than generating current revenue from mining operations, which is a common model for junior miners in the gold sector. Originally incorporated in 1983 as Granges, Inc., Vista Gold has been headquartered in Englewood, Colorado since adopting its current name in November 1996.
- Mt Todd gold project advances toward construction financing decision
- Gold price strength improves project economics and NPV
- Equity financing plans for Mt Todd development dilute shareholders
| Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCF/TA: -0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 24.94 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.13 > 3% & CFO -6.99m > Net Income -7.94m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 29.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (131.6m) vs 12m ago 6.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.47%; Δ -0.47% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.93 (Total Current Assets 53.2m - Total Current Liabilities 1.82m) / Total Assets 55.3m |
| B: -8.52 (Retained Earnings -470.8m / Total Assets 55.3m) |
| C: -0.22 (EBIT TTM -7.94m / Avg Total Assets 36.1m) |
| D: 28.00 (Book Value of Equity 53.4m / Total Liabilities 1.91m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.25 = AAA |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1.66 with a total of 2,687,108 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.78%, over one month by -33.33%, over three months by -18.23% and over the past year by +66.00%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 1.40 (which is 15.7% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Vista Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VGZ.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 4.5 | 171.1% |
P/E Forward = 6.7476
P/S = 380.5847
P/B = 5.0059
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -7.94m USD
EBITDA TTM = -7.83m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 13.0k USD (Leases only: 13.0k)
Net Debt = -52.7m USD (calculated: Debt 13.0k - CCE 52.7m)
Enterprise Value = 214.4m USD (267.1m + Debt 13.0k - CCE 52.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -7.94m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = -28.39x (Enterprise Value 214.4m / FCF TTM -7.55m)
FCF Yield = -3.52% (FCF TTM -7.55m / Enterprise Value 214.4m)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 102k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.88 (Enterprise Value 214.4m / Total Assets 55.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 13.0k)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -6.27m (EBIT -7.94m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 29.22 (Total Current Assets 53.2m / Total Current Liabilities 1.82m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 13.0k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 53.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.73 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -52.7m / EBITDA -7.83m)
Debt / FCF = 6.98 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -52.7m / FCF TTM -7.55m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -21.96% (Net Income -7.94m / Total Assets 55.3m)
RoE = -32.72% (Net Income TTM -7.94m / Total Stockholder Equity 24.3m)
RoCE = -14.85% (EBIT -7.94m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 55.3m - Current Liab 1.82m))
RoIC = -11.73% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.27m / Invested Capital 53.4m)
WACC = 9.28% (E(267.1m)/V(267.1m) * Re(9.28%) + D(13.0k)/V(267.1m) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 77.78 | Cagr: 3.77%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -7.55m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%