(VGZ) Vista Gold - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Gold | Exchange: NYSE MKT (USA) | Market Cap: 327m USD | Total Return: 90.2% in 12m

Gold, Precious Metals, Mining Rights
Total Rating 38
Safety 59
Buy Signal 0.30
Gold
Industry Rotation: -5.0
Market Cap: 327M
Avg Turnover: 2.48M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility62.5%
VaR 5th Pctl9.75%
VaR vs Median-5.30%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.10
Rel. Str. IBD81.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group67.2
Character TTM
Beta0.652
Beta Downside0.228
Hurst Exponent0.473
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD50.02%
CAGR/Max DD1.12
CAGR/Mean DD2.90
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VGZ over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.03, "2021-06": -0.01, "2021-09": -0.02, "2021-12": -0.03, "2022-03": -0.0027, "2022-06": -0.01, "2022-09": -0.03, "2022-12": -0.03, "2023-03": -0.03, "2023-06": -0.01, "2023-09": -0.03, "2023-12": -0.0137, "2024-03": -0.0089, "2024-06": 0.1246, "2024-09": -0.0134, "2024-12": -0.0135, "2025-03": -0.0219, "2025-06": -0.02, "2025-09": -0.0058, "2025-12": -0.0135, "2026-03": -0.0239,
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of VGZ over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 0, 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0.072, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0.068, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 0.06, 2024-03: 0, 2024-06: 0, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: 0.08, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0, 2026-03: 0,
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt while negative Cash Flow

Choppy

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Description: VGZ Vista Gold

Vista Gold Corp. is an Englewood, Colorado-based development-stage mining company focused on the acquisition and advancement of gold projects. Its primary asset is the 100% owned Mt Todd gold project situated in the Northern Territory of Australia.

Operating as a development-stage entity, the company’s business model involves de-risking mineral assets through feasibility studies and permitting before transitioning to active production. The gold sector often categorizes such firms as junior miners, which typically face higher capital intensity and longer lead times compared to established producers.

Investors can further evaluate the companys valuation metrics and project timelines at ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Mt Todd gold project feasibility and potential joint venture partnership
  • Gold price volatility dictates valuation of undeveloped mineral resource base
  • Northern Territory environmental permitting and regulatory approval milestones
  • Australian dollar exchange rate fluctuations impact projected capital expenditure costs
  • Strategic acquisition interest from major gold producers seeking Tier 1 jurisdictions
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 24.94 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.13 > 3% & CFO -6.99m > Net Income -7.94m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 29.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (131.6m) vs 12m ago 6.24% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.47%; Δ -0.47% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 6.17
A: 0.93 (Total Current Assets 53.2m - Total Current Liabilities 1.82m) / Total Assets 55.3m
B: -8.52 (Retained Earnings -470.8m / Total Assets 55.3m)
C: -0.23 (EBIT TTM -8.37m / Avg Total Assets 36.1m)
D: 28.00 (Book Value of Equity 53.4m / Total Liabilities 1.91m)
Altman-Z'' = 6.17 = AAA
What is the price of VGZ shares?

As of May 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 2.25 with a total of 1,037,381 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.98%, over one month by +9.43%, over three months by -17.14% and over the past year by +90.16%.

Is VGZ a buy, sell or hold?

Vista Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy VGZ.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the VGZ price?
Analysts Target Price 4.5 100%
Vista Gold (VGZ) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 327.0m (327.0m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 6.7476
P/S = 380.5847
P/B = 6.1274
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -8.37m USD
EBITDA TTM = -8.27m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 13.0k USD (Leases only: 13.0k)
Net Debt = -52.7m USD (calculated: Debt 13.0k - CCE 52.7m)
Enterprise Value = 274.3m USD (327.0m + Debt 13.0k - CCE 52.7m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -8.37m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -36.32x (Enterprise Value 274.3m / FCF TTM -7.55m)
FCF Yield = -2.75% (FCF TTM -7.55m / Enterprise Value 274.3m)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 102k) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.96 (Enterprise Value 274.3m / Total Assets 55.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 13.0k)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -6.61m (EBIT -8.37m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 29.22 (Total Current Assets 53.2m / Total Current Liabilities 1.82m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 13.0k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 53.4m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 6.37 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -52.7m / EBITDA -8.27m)
 Debt / FCF = 6.98 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -52.7m / FCF TTM -7.55m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 24.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -21.96% (Net Income -7.94m / Total Assets 55.3m)
RoE = -1.60% (Net Income TTM -7.94m / Total Stockholder Equity 495.1m)
RoCE = -15.67% (EBIT -8.37m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 55.3m - Current Liab 1.82m))
 RoIC = -12.38% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.61m / Invested Capital 53.4m)
 WACC = 8.28% (E(327.0m)/V(327.0m) * Re(8.28%) + D(13.0k)/V(327.0m) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 64.45 | Cagr: 4.33%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -7.55m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%