NHY Stock Analysis: Norsk Hydro ASA | OL

Aluminum | OL, Norway | Market Cap: 167.167m NOK | 12M Return: 45.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Aluminum, Alumina, Bauxite, Extrusions, Energy
Total Rating 56
Safety 77
Buy Signal -1.04
Aluminum
Industry Rotation: -29.4
Market Cap: 17.3B
Avg Turnover: 350M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.6%
VaR 5th Pctl5.92%
VaR vs Median3.74%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.23
Rel. Str. IBD43.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group56.5
Character TTM
Beta0.747
Beta Downside0.774
Hurst Exponent0.531
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.33%
CAGR/Max DD0.51
CAGR/Mean DD1.76
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NHY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.45, "2021-09": 1.6, "2021-12": 1.95, "2022-03": 3.11, "2022-06": 3.63, "2022-09": 2.91, "2022-12": 1, "2023-03": 1.7, "2023-06": 1.77, "2023-09": 0.27, "2023-12": 0.51, "2024-03": 0.93, "2024-06": 0.97, "2024-09": 0.4, "2024-12": 1.11, "2025-03": 1.63, "2025-06": 1.68, "2025-09": 1.02, "2025-12": -1.2, "2026-03": 2.07,
EPS CAGR: -9.19%
EPS Trend: -29.7%
Last SUE: 0.85
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of NHY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 34559, 2021-09: 36710, 2021-12: 46433, 2022-03: 46616, 2022-06: 64793, 2022-09: 52445, 2022-12: 44075, 2023-03: 48534, 2023-06: 53630, 2023-09: 44702, 2023-12: 45527, 2024-03: 47495, 2024-06: 50373, 2024-09: 49182, 2024-12: 55057, 2025-03: 57094, 2025-06: 53116, 2025-09: 50546, 2025-12: 47215, 2026-03: 50388,
Rev. CAGR: 3.83%
Rev. Trend: 69.2%
Last SUE: 0.14
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.5% 0
Feb -3.8% 42
Mar +0.9% 25
Apr -2.5% 17
May -2.8% 12
Jun -5.4% 30
Jul +0.8% 21
Aug +2.1% 6
Sep +2.8% 22
Oct +0.1% 5
Nov +1.0% 9
Dec +3.2% 33

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NHY Norsk Hydro ASA

Norsk Hydro ASA is a Norwegian company founded in 1905 and headquartered in Oslo, operating a fully integrated aluminum value chain that spans bauxite mining, alumina refining, primary aluminum smelting, metal trading, extrusion, and recycling, with operations worldwide organized into five business segments: Hydro Bauxite & Alumina, Hydro Aluminium Metal, Hydro Metal Markets, Hydro Extrusions, and Hydro Energy. Its products serve downstream industries including construction, automotive, and heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), while its energy segment combines hydropower production in Norway with renewable generation (wind and solar) and energy trading operations in Brazil.

The company is unusual within the global aluminum industry for combining primary metal production with in-house energy generation; aluminum smelting is one of the most electricity-intensive industrial processes, making Hydros ownership of Norwegian hydropower assets a structural cost advantage and a hedge against power price volatility. Its inclusion of Hydro Metal Markets, which trades both physical and financial metals, reflects the broader industrys reliance on commodity-linked pricing on the London Metal Exchange.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • LME aluminum price swings drive Metal segment margins
  • European construction demand lifts Extrusions segment volumes
  • EU carbon regulation raises aluminum smelting cost base
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 6.12b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.19 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 18.63% < 20% (prev 15.19%; Δ 3.44% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 32.8b > Net Income 6.12b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (cannot be calculated)
Current Ratio: 1.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.97b) vs 12m ago -0.49% < -2%
Gross Margin: 31.45% > 18% (prev 27.04%; Δ 4.41% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 97.00% > 50% (prev 101.8%; Δ -4.76% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.65 > 6 (EBIT TTM 21.2b / Interest Expense TTM 1.82b)
Altman Z'' 4.00
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 81.4b - Total Current Liabilities 43.9b) / Total Assets 207b
B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 64.2b / Total Assets 207b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 21.2b / Avg Total Assets 207b)
D: 1.06 (Book Value of Equity 103b / Total Liabilities 96.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.00 = AA
Beneish M -3.18
DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 31.4b/31.1b, Revenue 201b/212b)
GMI: 0.86 (GM 27.04% / 31.45%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.25)
SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 201b / 212b)
TATA: -0.13 (NI 6.12b - CFO 32.8b) / TA 207b)
Beneish M = -3.18 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of NHY shares?

As of July 17, 2026, the stock is trading at NOK 85.06 with a total of 3,760,255 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.26%, over one month by -17.42%, over three months by -19.37% and over the past year by +45.49%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 81.30 (which is 4.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is NHY a buy, sell or hold?

Norsk Hydro ASA has no consensus analysts rating.

Norsk Hydro ASA (NHY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 17.3b (167b NOK * 0.1034 NOK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 27.2628
P/E Forward = 9.8814
P/S = 0.8306
P/B = 1.6307
P/EG = 0.5563
Revenue TTM = 201b NOK
EBIT TTM = 21.2b NOK
EBITDA TTM = 32.6b NOK
Long Term Debt = 28.7b NOK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.10b NOK (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
 Debt = unknown
 Net Debt = unknown
 Enterprise Value = 156b NOK (167b + (null Debt) - CCE 11.3b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.65 (Ebit TTM 21.2b / Interest Expense TTM 1.82b)
EV/FCF = 26.84x (Enterprise Value 156b / FCF TTM 5.81b)
FCF Yield = 3.73% (FCF TTM 5.81b / Enterprise Value 156b)
FCF Margin = 2.89% (FCF TTM 5.81b / Revenue TTM 201b)
Net Margin = 3.04% (Net Income TTM 6.12b / Revenue TTM 201b)
Gross Margin = 31.45% ((Revenue TTM 201b - Cost of Revenue TTM 138b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.93% (prev 32.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.75 (Enterprise Value 156b / Total Assets 207b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 1.82b / Debt none)
 Taxrate = 37.09% (4.00b / 10.8b)
NOPAT = 13.3b (EBIT 21.2b * (1 - 37.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.85 (Total Current Assets 81.4b / Total Current Liabilities 43.9b)
 Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
 Debt / EBITDA = unknown (Net Debt none / EBITDA 32.6b)
 Debt / FCF = unknown (Net Debt none / FCF TTM 5.81b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 101b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.95% (Net Income 6.12b / Total Assets 207b)
RoE = 6.07% (Net Income TTM 6.12b / Total Stockholder Equity 101b)
RoCE = 16.38% (EBIT 21.2b / Capital Employed (Equity 101b + L.T.Debt 28.7b))
RoIC = 8.72% (NOPAT 13.3b / Invested Capital 153b)
WACC = 8.61% (E(167b)/V(167b) * Re(8.61%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.36 | Cagr: -1.54%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.53% ; FCFF base≈5.98b ; Y1≈5.66b ; Y5≈5.33b
[DCF] Fair Price = 40.96 (EV 80.5b - Net Debt 0.0 = Equity 80.5b / Shares 1.97b; r=8.61% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -6.82% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -29.71 | EPS CAGR: -9.19% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 69.21 | Revenue CAGR: 3.83% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.06 | Chg30d=-5.96% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=-15.98% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.84 | Chg30d=-4.26% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+76.1% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.60 | Chg30d=-3.32% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+8.6% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56% (up=11, down=2)