YAR Stock Analysis: Yara International ASA | OL

Agricultural Inputs | OL, Norway | Market Cap: 104.948m NOK | 12M Return: 13.2% | NO0010208051 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Fertilizers, Biostimulants, Digital Agriculture, Industrial Chemicals
Total Rating 50
Safety 77
Buy Signal -1.44
Agricultural Inputs
Industry Rotation: -23.8
Market Cap: 11.1B
Avg Turnover: 202M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility27.4%
VaR 5th Pctl4.81%
VaR vs Median6.53%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.37
Rel. Str. IBD30.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group50 pctl
Character TTM
Beta-0.061
Beta Downside-0.008
Hurst Exponent0.410
Choppyness59.4%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD30.05%
CAGR/Max DD0.22
CAGR/Mean DD0.61
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of YAR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 11.11, "2021-12": 10.45, "2022-03": 29.54, "2022-06": 33.39, "2022-09": 21.22, "2022-12": 25.54, "2023-03": 4.26, "2023-06": -3.62, "2023-09": 2.1, "2023-12": 0.88, "2024-03": 2.31, "2024-06": 4.69, "2024-09": 8, "2024-12": 0.36, "2025-03": 10.53, "2025-06": 9.38, "2025-09": 13.37, "2025-12": 11.1462, "2026-03": 15.27, "2026-06": 16.14,
EPS CAGR: 138.61%
EPS Trend: 73.3%
Last SUE: -3.74
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of YAR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 4495, 2021-12: 5087, 2022-03: 5926, 2022-06: 6390, 2022-09: 6148, 2022-12: 5437, 2023-03: 4136, 2023-06: 3940, 2023-09: 3850, 2023-12: 3503, 2024-03: 3299, 2024-06: 3524, 2024-09: 3626, 2024-12: 3400, 2025-03: 3625, 2025-06: 3943, 2025-09: 4107, 2025-12: 3948, 2026-03: 4225, 2026-06: 4261,
Rev. CAGR: 1.21%
Rev. Trend: 14.9%
Last SUE: -0.98
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.2% 10
Feb +1.5% 5
Mar -2.2% 19
Apr +1.8% 5
May +0.2% 7
Jun -1.1% 18
Jul +2.8% 33
Aug -0.1% 5
Sep +0.7% 27
Oct -1.0% 13
Nov -1.4% 27
Dec -0.6% 17

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: YAR Yara International ASA

Yara International ASA, founded in 1905 and headquartered in Oslo, Norway, is a global provider of crop nutrition, ammonia, and industrial solutions operating across Europe, Africa, Asia, the Americas, and Oceania. The company offers an extensive fertilizer portfolio spanning ammonium- and urea-based products, compound NPK fertilizers, nitrate and calcium nitrate products, micronutrients, biostimulants, organic-based and climate-choice fertilizers, as well as coatings and foliar/fertigation solutions. Alongside its core products, Yara has built out a digital agritech ecosystem-including tools like YaraFX Insight, N-sensors, N-Tester, Atfarm, YaraPlus, and various e-commerce and farm-management platforms-designed to support precision agriculture and crop nutrition decision-making. Its products are marketed under multiple brands, including YaraBela, YaraMila, YaraLiva, YaraVita, YaraAmplix, YaraRega, YaraTera, YaraSuna, and YaraVera.

As one of the worlds largest fertilizer producers, Yara plays a central role in the global agricultural inputs value chain, where nitrogen-based fertilizers are critical to sustaining crop yields and food security. The companys combination of traditional fertilizer manufacturing with digital farming tools reflects a broader industry shift toward precision agriculture, which uses data and sensor technology to optimize nutrient application, reduce waste, and lower environmental impact.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • European natural gas prices pressure nitrogen production margins
  • Premium specialty fertilizer segment expands margins and revenue mix
  • Global nitrogen supply discipline supports urea and ammonia pricing
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 1.53b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.75 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 19.86% < 20% (prev 17.60%; Δ 2.26% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 4.65b > Net Income 1.53b
Net Debt (-165.0m) to EBITDA (3.15b): -0.05 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.78 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (254.7m) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 30.01% > 18% (prev 27.45%; Δ 2.56% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 96.16% > 50% (prev 86.37%; Δ 9.80% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.97 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.06b / Interest Expense TTM 259.0m)
Altman Z'' 5.19
A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 7.49b - Total Current Liabilities 4.21b) / Total Assets 17.5b
B: 0.62 (Retained Earnings 10.9b / Total Assets 17.5b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 2.06b / Avg Total Assets 17.2b)
D: 1.06 (Book Value of Equity 9.01b / Total Liabilities 8.47b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.19 = AAA
Beneish M -3.17
DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 1.99b/1.94b, Revenue 16.5b/14.6b)
GMI: 0.91 (GM 27.45% / 30.01%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 16.5b / 14.6b)
TATA: -0.18 (NI 1.53b - CFO 4.65b) / TA 17.5b)
Beneish M = -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of YAR shares?

As of October 21, 2026, the stock is trading at NOK 408.00 with a total of 389,457 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.90%, over one month by -9.85%, over three months by -8.87% and over the past year by +13.22%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 393.70 (which is 3.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is YAR a buy, sell or hold?

Yara International ASA has no consensus analysts rating.

Yara International ASA (YAR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 11.1b (105b NOK * 0.1062 NOK.USD)
Market Cap USD = 11.1b (105b NOK * 0.1062 NOK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 6.9682
P/E Forward = 8.7566
P/S = 6.3447
P/B = 1.3657
P/EG = 2.5338
Revenue TTM = 16.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.78b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 449.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 540.0m USD (Leases only: 540.0m)
Net Debt = -165.0m USD (calculated: Debt 540.0m - CCE 705.0m)
Enterprise Value = 11.0b USD (11.1b + Debt 540.0m - CCE 705.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 2.06b / Interest Expense TTM 259.0m)
EV/FCF = 11.49x (Enterprise Value 11.0b / FCF TTM 956.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.71% (FCF TTM 956.0m / Enterprise Value 11.0b)
FCF Margin = 5.78% (FCF TTM 956.0m / Revenue TTM 16.5b)
Net Margin = 9.27% (Net Income TTM 1.53b / Revenue TTM 16.5b)
Gross Margin = 30.01% ((Revenue TTM 16.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.12% (prev 30.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 11.0b / Total Assets 17.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 47.96% (Interest Expense 259.0m / Debt 540.0m)
Taxrate = 22.53% (447.0m / 1.98b)
NOPAT = 1.60b (EBIT 2.06b * (1 - 22.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.78 (Total Current Assets 7.49b / Total Current Liabilities 4.21b)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 540.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.01b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.05 (Net Debt -165.0m / EBITDA 3.15b)
Debt / FCF = -0.17 (Net Debt -165.0m / FCF TTM 956.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.91% (Net Income 1.53b / Total Assets 17.5b)
RoE = 17.41% (Net Income TTM 1.53b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.81b)
RoCE = 17.81% (EBIT 2.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.81b + L.T.Debt 2.78b))
RoIC = 12.58% (NOPAT 1.60b / Invested Capital 12.7b)
WACC = 6.92% (E(11.1b)/V(11.7b) * Re(5.45%) + D(540.0m)/V(11.7b) * Rd(47.96%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈824.8m ; Y1≈945.5m ; Y5≈1.39b
[DCF] Fair Price = 82.87 (EV 20.9b - Net Debt -165.0m = Equity 21.1b / Shares 254.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 73.25 | EPS CAGR: 138.6% | SUE: -3.74 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 14.88 | Revenue CAGR: 1.21% | SUE: -0.98 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=12.09 | Chg30d=-11.23% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=55.31 | Chg30d=-5.77% | Revisions=-31% | GrowthEPS=+31.4% | GrowthRev=+10.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=46.79 | Chg30d=+1.23% | Revisions=+31% | GrowthEPS=-15.4% | GrowthRev=-2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -4% (up=10, down=11)