(AF) Air France-KLM - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Airlines | Exchange: PA (France) | Market Cap: 2.861m EUR | Total Return: 25.6% in 12m

Passenger Transport, Air Cargo, Aircraft Maintenance, Low-Cost Travel
Total Rating 41
Safety 42
Buy Signal -0.72
Airlines
Industry Rotation: +35.6
Market Cap: 3.32B
Avg Turnover: 21.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility45.1%
VaR 5th Pctl7.06%
VaR vs Median-5.17%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.48
Rel. Str. IBD30.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group19.4
Character TTM
Beta0.317
Beta Downside-0.271
Hurst Exponent0.548
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD60.49%
CAGR/Max DD-0.22
CAGR/Mean DD-0.33
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -34.6, "2021-06": -24, "2021-09": -1.3, "2021-12": -1.12, "2022-03": -9.3, "2022-06": 6.64, "2022-09": 5.18, "2022-12": 2.4, "2023-03": -1.4, "2023-06": 1.85, "2023-09": 4.01, "2023-12": -0.4, "2024-03": -2.04, "2024-06": 0.41, "2024-09": 2.87, "2024-12": 0.1339, "2025-03": -1.04, "2025-06": 2.22, "2025-09": 2.52, "2025-12": 0.8798, "2026-03": -1.15,
EPS CAGR: -11.13%
EPS Trend: -16.4%
Last SUE: 0.28
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 2161, 2021-06: 2749, 2021-09: 4567, 2021-12: 4838, 2022-03: 4445, 2022-06: 6707, 2022-09: 8112, 2022-12: 7129, 2023-03: 6329, 2023-06: 7624, 2023-09: 8659, 2023-12: 7407, 2024-03: 6654, 2024-06: 7949, 2024-09: 8979, 2024-12: 7878, 2025-03: 7165, 2025-06: 8443, 2025-09: 9214, 2025-12: 8185, 2026-03: 7479,
Rev. CAGR: 4.97%
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' -1.20 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Extended 1w Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: AF Air France-KLM

Air France-KLM SA is a major European airline group providing scheduled passenger and cargo transportation across a global network. The company operates a multi-brand strategy utilizing Air France, KLM Royal Dutch Airlines, and its low-cost carrier, Transavia. Beyond flight operations, the group maintains a significant presence in the Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) sector, providing technical support for airframes, engines, and components to third-party airlines.

The business model relies on a dual-hub system centered at Paris-Charles de Gaulle and Amsterdam-Schiphol, which facilitates high-volume transit traffic between long-haul and regional routes. As a legacy carrier, the company competes in a capital-intensive industry characterized by high fixed costs and sensitivity to global energy prices. Investors may find it useful to evaluate the company’s specific financial health and valuation metrics on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fluctuating jet fuel prices directly impact operating margins and bottom-line profitability
  • Transavia low-cost expansion competes for European short-haul market share recovery
  • Global corporate travel demand cycles dictate high-margin premium cabin revenue
  • EU environmental regulations and carbon taxes increase structural long-term operating costs
  • Maintenance segment growth provides diversified revenue streams beyond passenger flight operations
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 1.58b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.12 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -16.55% < 20% (prev -21.39%; Δ 4.84% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 4.49b > Net Income 1.58b
Net Debt (22.4b) to EBITDA (5.86b): 3.83 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.72 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (262.6m) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 15.72% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1.55k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 82.94% > 50% (prev 85.36%; Δ -2.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.53 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.86b / Interest Expense TTM 595.0m)
Altman Z'' -1.20
A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 13.9b - Total Current Liabilities 19.4b) / Total Assets 42.9b
B: -0.19 (Retained Earnings -8.05b / Total Assets 42.9b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 2.69b / Avg Total Assets 40.2b)
D: -0.19 (Book Value of Equity -7.79b / Total Liabilities 41.0b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.20 = CCC
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 1.14 (Receivables 2.93b/2.46b, Revenue 33.3b/32.0b)
GMI: 1.15 (GM 15.72% / 18.14%)
AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.11)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 33.3b / 32.0b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 1.58b - CFO 4.49b) / TA 42.9b)
Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AF shares?

As of May 29, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 11.51 with a total of 1,415,928 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.02%, over one month by +28.84%, over three months by -6.46% and over the past year by +25.60%.

Is AF a buy, sell or hold?

Air France-KLM has no consensus analysts rating.

Air France-KLM (AF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.32b (2.86b EUR * 1.1615 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 1.9773
P/E Forward = 3.4294
P/S = 0.0808
P/B = 2.7122
P/EG = 0.1436
Revenue TTM = 33.3b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.69b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 5.86b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.52b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.03b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.4b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 10.9b
Net Debt = 22.4b EUR (calculated: Debt 28.4b - CCE 5.92b)
Enterprise Value = 25.3b EUR (2.86b + Debt 28.4b - CCE 5.92b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.53 (Ebit TTM 2.69b / Interest Expense TTM 595.0m)
EV/FCF = 80.30x (Enterprise Value 25.3b / FCF TTM 315.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.25% (FCF TTM 315.0m / Enterprise Value 25.3b)
FCF Margin = 0.95% (FCF TTM 315.0m / Revenue TTM 33.3b)
Net Margin = 4.74% (Net Income TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 33.3b)
Gross Margin = 15.72% ((Revenue TTM 33.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.57% (prev 10.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.59 (Enterprise Value 25.3b / Total Assets 42.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.10% (Interest Expense 595.0m / Debt 28.4b)
Taxrate = 6.55% (123.0m / 1.88b)
NOPAT = 2.52b (EBIT 2.69b * (1 - 6.55%))
Current Ratio = 0.72 (Total Current Assets 13.9b / Total Current Liabilities 19.4b)
 Debt / Equity = -111.6 (out of range, set to none) (Debt 28.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -254.0m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 3.83 (Net Debt 22.4b / EBITDA 5.86b)
Debt / FCF = 71.22 (Net Debt 22.4b / FCF TTM 315.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -886.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.93% (Net Income 1.58b / Total Assets 42.9b)
RoE = 22.06% (Net Income TTM 1.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.16b)
RoCE = 27.81% (EBIT 2.69b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.16b + L.T.Debt 2.52b))
RoIC = 9.49% (NOPAT 2.52b / Invested Capital 26.5b)
WACC = 2.43% (E(2.86b)/V(31.2b) * Re(7.10%) + D(28.4b)/V(31.2b) * Rd(2.10%) * (1-Tc(0.07)))
Discount Rate = 7.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 32.76 | Cagr: 16.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈281.0m ; Y1≈322.1m ; Y5≈474.1m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 7.13b - Net Debt 22.4b = -15.3b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -16.35 | EPS CAGR: -11.13% | SUE: 0.28 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.74 | Revenue CAGR: 4.97% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.34 | Chg30d=-1.68% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-42.6% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.83 | Chg30d=+10.75% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+44.5% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40%