(ALLEC) Cogelec - Ratings and Ratios
Access Control, Wireless Intercom, Secure Solutions, Key Management
Description: ALLEC Cogelec
Cogelec SA is a leading provider of access control and wireless intercom systems, operating globally with a strong presence in France. The company offers a range of innovative solutions, including Hexact, Intratone, Kibolt, and Rozoh, which cater to the needs of landlords, local authorities, and businesses. These products provide secure access control, real-time management, and supplementary equipment such as surveillance cameras.
From a market perspective, Cogelec SA has demonstrated significant growth, with a market capitalization of €214.03M. The companys Return on Equity (RoE) stands at 113.30%, indicating a high level of profitability. With a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.06, the stock may be considered relatively expensive, but this could be justified by the companys strong growth prospects. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth rate, customer acquisition cost, and customer retention rate would provide further insights into the companys operational efficiency.
Analyzing the companys product portfolio, we can see that Cogelec SA has a diversified range of offerings, which reduces dependence on a single product. The companys focus on security and access control solutions positions it well in the growing market for smart buildings and cities. Additionally, the companys ability to manage its solutions remotely and in real-time provides a competitive edge. To further evaluate the companys prospects, we could examine KPIs such as the average revenue per user (ARPU), gross margin, and research and development (R&D) expenditure as a percentage of revenue.
Overall, Cogelec SA appears to be a well-positioned player in the communications equipment industry, with a strong product portfolio and a solid financial performance. Further analysis of the companys KPIs and industry trends would be necessary to determine the stocks potential for future growth.
ALLEC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 279m |
| Sub-Industry | Communications Equipment |
| IPO / Inception |
ALLEC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 92.5% |
| Fundamental | 84.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 70.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 130% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
ALLEC Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.39% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.64% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 14.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.5% |
ALLEC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 77.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 97.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 66.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 38.81% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 1.05 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.11 |
| Alpha | 169.37 |
| Beta | 0.422 |
| Volatility | 20.32% |
| Current Volume | 0.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 9.4k |
| Stop Loss | 28 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -3.33 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (31.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.80m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.20 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 15.16pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 26.59% (prev 54.75%; Δ -28.16pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 (>3.0%) and CFO 28.4m <= Net Income 31.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-2.18m) to EBITDA (17.9m) ratio: -0.12 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.08 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (8.30m) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 46.47% (prev 20.41%; Δ 26.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 139.1% (prev 70.14%; Δ 68.95pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 30.37 (EBITDA TTM 17.9m / Interest Expense TTM 395.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.48
| (A) 0.35 = (Total Current Assets 66.6m - Total Current Liabilities 32.1m) / Total Assets 98.0m |
| (B) 0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.61m / Total Assets 98.0m |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 12.0m / Avg Total Assets 93.5m |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 9.61m / Total Liabilities 87.8m |
| Total Rating: 3.48 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.00
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.35% = 4.18 |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.19% = 3.80 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.41 = 1.59 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.96 = 1.82 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 26.12% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 354.0% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 23.21% = 1.16 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
| 10. EPS Trend 58.49% = 1.46 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 82.05% = 2.50 |
What is the price of ALLEC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.35%, over one month by -0.34%, over three months by +24.24% and over the past year by +168.82%.
Is Cogelec a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ALLEC is around 34.92 EUR . This means that ALLEC is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +20.83% (Margin of Safety).
Is ALLEC a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALLEC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 29 | 0.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 38.5 | 33% |
ALLEC Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap EUR = 239.7m (239.7m EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 20.6m EUR (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 42.3529
P/S = 3.2169
P/B = 19.4083
Beta = 0.442
Revenue TTM = 130.0m EUR
EBIT TTM = 12.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 17.9m EUR
Long Term Debt = 7.18m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.1m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 17.3m EUR (Calculated: Short Term 10.1m + Long Term 7.18m)
Net Debt = -2.18m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 236.4m EUR (239.7m + Debt 17.3m - CCE 20.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 30.37 (Ebit TTM 12.0m / Interest Expense TTM 395.0k)
FCF Yield = 8.35% (FCF TTM 19.7m / Enterprise Value 236.4m)
FCF Margin = 15.19% (FCF TTM 19.7m / Revenue TTM 130.0m)
Net Margin = 24.30% (Net Income TTM 31.6m / Revenue TTM 130.0m)
Gross Margin = 46.47% ((Revenue TTM 130.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 24.60 (Enterprise Value 236.4m / Book Value Of Equity 9.61m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.18% (Interest Expense 205.0k / Debt 17.3m)
Taxrate = 26.84% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 2.10m / 7.83m)
NOPAT = 8.78m (EBIT 12.0m * (1 - 26.84%))
Current Ratio = 2.08 (Total Current Assets 66.6m / Total Current Liabilities 32.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.41 (Debt 17.3m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 12.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.96 (Net Debt -2.18m / EBITDA 17.9m)
Debt / FCF = 0.88 (Debt 17.3m / FCF TTM 19.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.92m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 32.24% (Net Income 31.6m, Total Assets 98.0m )
RoE = 354.0% (Net Income TTM 31.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.92m)
RoCE = 74.48% (Ebit 12.0m / (Equity 8.92m + L.T.Debt 7.18m))
RoIC = 33.24% (NOPAT 8.78m / Invested Capital 26.4m)
WACC = 7.12% (E(239.7m)/V(257.0m) * Re(7.57%)) + (D(17.3m)/V(257.0m) * Rd(1.18%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -90.0 | Cagr: -0.61%
Discount Rate = 7.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.30% ; FCFE base≈13.6m ; Y1≈10.7m ; Y5≈7.08m
Fair Price DCF = 15.92 (DCF Value 132.0m / Shares Outstanding 8.29m; 5y FCF grow -25.24% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 23.21 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -59.98
EPS Correlation: 58.49 | EPS CAGR: 82.05%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 57.46