(ALMDG) MGI Digital - Ratings and Ratios
Digital Press, Finishing Solutions, Varnishing, Coating, Cutting
Description: ALMDG MGI Digital
MGI Digital Technology Société Anonyme is a French company that specializes in designing and manufacturing digital printing solutions for the global graphic arts industry. With a product portfolio that includes the AlphaJET and JETvarnish3D series, the company caters to various markets, including commercial printing, publishing, packaging, and photo products. The AlphaJET is a cutting-edge, factory 4.0 solution for the printing and packaging sector, while the JETvarnish3D series offers a range of digital selective varnishing and hot foil stamping solutions. The companys products enable printers to enhance their offerings with high-quality finishes, such as 2D and 3D tactile coatings.
MGI Digital Technologys product range is designed to meet the evolving needs of the printing industry, with a focus on innovation and versatility. The companys JETvarnish3D One, for example, uses a single type of coating to produce both 2D and 3D tactile coatings in fixed or variable data, offering printers a flexible and efficient solution. Additionally, the PressCard Pro and PunchCard Pro provide industrial lamination and cutting capabilities, further expanding the companys offerings.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stocks current price of 12.70 EUR is below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) of 13.16, 13.77, and 15.12, respectively. This suggests a bearish trend, with the stock experiencing a decline in recent months. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.54, equivalent to 4.24%, indicates moderate volatility. Given the current trend and volatility, a potential forecast is that the stock may continue to consolidate around its current levels before attempting to break through its SMA20 resistance.
Fundamentally, MGI Digital Technologys market capitalization stands at 82.40M EUR, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.46, indicating a relatively undervalued stock. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 14.89% suggests a decent level of profitability. However, the absence of a forward P/E ratio makes it challenging to assess the markets expectations for future earnings. Considering the companys current valuation and profitability, a forecast is that MGI Digital Technology may attract investors seeking value opportunities in the technology hardware sector, potentially driving the stock price upwards.
Combining technical and fundamental insights, a potential forecast is that MGI Digital Technologys stock price may experience a moderate recovery in the short term, driven by a combination of value investors and potential breakout above the SMA20 resistance. However, the overall trend remains bearish, and the stocks performance will depend on the companys ability to deliver on its growth prospects and improve its profitability. A target price range could be between 14-16 EUR, representing a potential upside of 10-20% from current levels.
ALMDG Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 98m |
Sub-Industry | Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals |
IPO / Inception |
ALMDG Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -81.8 |
Fundamental | 81.1% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Rel. Strength | -24.6 |
Analysts | - |
Fair Price Momentum | 10.72 EUR |
Fair Price DCF | 6.30 EUR |
ALMDG Dividends
Currently no dividends paidALMDG Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 33.3% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -69% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -96.7% |
CAGR 5y | -19.61% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.24 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.84 |
Alpha | -31.03 |
Beta | 0.821 |
Volatility | 36.02% |
Current Volume | 2.3k |
Average Volume 20d | 9.5k |
Stop Loss | 13.9 (-3.6%) |
Signal | 0.69 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
Net Income (19.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.17m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.95pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 58.56% (prev 128.5%; Δ -69.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 32.4m > Net Income 19.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (-17.2m) to EBITDA (27.4m) ratio: -0.63 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 5.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (6.17m) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 39.27% (prev 23.73%; Δ 15.54pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 75.27% (prev 31.56%; Δ 43.71pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
error: Interest Coverage Ratio cannot be calculated (needs EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
Altman Z'' 9.52
(A) 0.41 = (Total Current Assets 87.2m - Total Current Liabilities 17.3m) / Total Assets 169.6m |
(B) 0.66 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 112.3m / Total Assets 169.6m |
(C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 16.3m / Avg Total Assets 158.7m |
(D) 3.78 = Book Value of Equity 118.6m / Total Liabilities 31.4m |
Total Rating: 9.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.05
1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
2. FCF Yield 26.27% = 5.0 |
3. FCF Margin 15.30% = 3.83 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.03 = 2.50 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.15 = 2.48 |
6. ROIC - WACC 19.78% = 12.50 |
7. RoE 14.89% = 1.24 |
8. Revenue Trend data missing |
9. Rev. CAGR 38.64% = 2.50 |
10. EPS Trend data missing |
11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of ALMDG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.44%, over one month by +6.03%, over three months by +12.13% and over the past year by -9.08%.
Is MGI Digital a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ALMDG is around 10.72 EUR . This means that ALMDG is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -25.66%.
Is ALMDG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALMDG price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 24 | 66.4% |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 12 | -16.7% |
ALMDG Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap EUR = 83.7m (83.7m EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 18.3m EUR (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 7.5866
P/S = 1.108
P/B = 0.6205
Beta = 0.55
Revenue TTM = 119.4m EUR
EBIT TTM = 16.3m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 27.4m EUR
Long Term Debt = 4.13m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Debt = 4.13m EUR (Calculated: Short Term 0.0 + Long Term 4.13m)
Net Debt = -17.2m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 69.6m EUR (83.7m + Debt 4.13m - CCE 18.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 16.3m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
FCF Yield = 26.27% (FCF TTM 18.3m / Enterprise Value 69.6m)
FCF Margin = 15.30% (FCF TTM 18.3m / Revenue TTM 119.4m)
Net Margin = 16.09% (Net Income TTM 19.2m / Revenue TTM 119.4m)
Gross Margin = 39.27% ((Revenue TTM 119.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 72.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.59 (Enterprise Value 69.6m / Book Value Of Equity 118.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.62% (Interest Expense 67.0k / Debt 4.13m)
Taxrate = -11.87% (set to none) (from yearly Income Tax Expense: -1.18m / 9.94m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 5.05 (Total Current Assets 87.2m / Total Current Liabilities 17.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 4.13m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 138.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.15 (Net Debt -17.2m / EBITDA 27.4m)
Debt / FCF = 0.23 (Debt 4.13m / FCF TTM 18.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 129.1m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 11.33% (Net Income 19.2m, Total Assets 169.6m )
RoE = 14.89% (Net Income TTM 19.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 129.1m)
RoCE = 12.24% (Ebit 16.3m / (Equity 129.1m + L.T.Debt 4.13m))
RoIC = 19.78% (Ebit 16.3m / (Assets 169.6m - Current Assets 87.2m))
WACC = unknown (E(83.7m)/V(87.9m) * Re(9.04%)) + (D(4.13m)/V(87.9m) * Rd(1.62%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 20.0 | Cagr: 0.09%
Discount Rate = 9.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.04% ; FCFE base≈11.5m ; Y1≈6.46m ; Y5≈2.18m
Fair Price DCF = 6.30 (DCF Value 38.9m / Shares Outstanding 6.17m; 5y FCF grow -50.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: 38.64%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -90.70%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth Correlation: 62.96%