(ALO) Alstom S.A. - Ratings and Ratios
Trains, Signaling, Maintenance, Electrification, Services
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 66.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.38% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.98 |
| Alpha | 37.57 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.411 |
| Beta | 0.244 |
| Beta Downside | 0.387 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 62.07% |
| Mean DD | 26.85% |
| Median DD | 23.41% |
Description: ALO Alstom S.A. January 06, 2026
Alstom S.A. (ticker ALO) is a French-based, globally diversified supplier of rail-transport solutions, operating across Europe, the Americas, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Central Asia and Africa.
The firm’s product suite spans rolling-stock (people-movers, monorails, light-rail, metros, commuter, regional and high-speed trains, locomotives), signaling systems (urban, mainline, freight/mining), electrification (catenary-free, ground-feeding, catenary), track-laying, electromechanical equipment and cybersecurity, plus a full aftermarket offering of maintenance, modernization, parts, and repair services.
In 2023 Alstom reported €9.3 billion of revenue and a backlog of roughly €30 billion, reflecting strong order intake driven by large-scale high-speed and urban-mobility projects in Europe and Asia.
Key economic drivers for the company include sovereign and private infrastructure spending on sustainable transport, the EU’s Green Deal-linked rail-investment programmes, and the global shift toward decarbonised freight and passenger mobility, which together underpin demand for electrified and high-speed rail solutions.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Alstom’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s research platform worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 61.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.55 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.57% < 20% (prev -11.64%; Δ 10.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 1.34b > Net Income 61.0m |
| Net Debt (2.95b) to EBITDA (2.23b): 1.32 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (465.3m) vs 12m ago 14.39% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.63% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1251 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 108.6% > 50% (prev 76.33%; Δ 32.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.85 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.23b / Interest Expense TTM 287.0m) |
Altman Z'' 0.26
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 18.73b - Total Current Liabilities 19.31b) / Total Assets 34.45b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 1.04b / Total Assets 34.45b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 530.0m / Avg Total Assets 33.83b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 3.80b / Total Liabilities 24.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.26 = B |
Beneish M -2.97
| DSRI: 0.83 (Receivables 10.48b/8.73b, Revenue 36.72b/25.35b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 12.63% / 12.41%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 1.45 (Revenue 36.72b / 25.35b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 61.0m - CFO 1.34b) / TA 34.45b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of ALO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.24%, over one month by +10.84%, over three months by +25.23% and over the past year by +44.99%.
Is ALO a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 26.3 | -5.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 31.4 | 13.4% |
ALO Fundamental Data Overview January 25, 2026
P/E Trailing = 46.1724
P/E Forward = 16.4474
P/S = 0.6591
P/B = 1.174
P/EG = 0.8051
Revenue TTM = 36.72b EUR
EBIT TTM = 530.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.23b EUR
Long Term Debt = 2.68b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 640.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.64b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.95b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.29b EUR (12.37b + Debt 4.64b - CCE 1.72b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.85 (Ebit TTM 530.0m / Interest Expense TTM 287.0m)
EV/FCF = 50.47x (Enterprise Value 15.29b / FCF TTM 303.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.98% (FCF TTM 303.0m / Enterprise Value 15.29b)
FCF Margin = 0.83% (FCF TTM 303.0m / Revenue TTM 36.72b)
Net Margin = 0.17% (Net Income TTM 61.0m / Revenue TTM 36.72b)
Gross Margin = 12.63% ((Revenue TTM 36.72b - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.51% (prev 12.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.44 (Enterprise Value 15.29b / Total Assets 34.45b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.93% (Interest Expense 43.0m / Debt 4.64b)
Taxrate = 28.40% (92.0m / 324.0m)
NOPAT = 379.5m (EBIT 530.0m * (1 - 28.40%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 18.73b / Total Current Liabilities 19.31b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 4.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.32 (Net Debt 2.95b / EBITDA 2.23b)
Debt / FCF = 9.74 (Net Debt 2.95b / FCF TTM 303.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.80b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.18% (Net Income 61.0m / Total Assets 34.45b)
RoE = 0.62% (Net Income TTM 61.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.80b)
RoCE = 4.25% (EBIT 530.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 9.80b + L.T.Debt 2.68b))
RoIC = 2.89% (NOPAT 379.5m / Invested Capital 13.15b)
WACC = 5.13% (E(12.37b)/V(17.01b) * Re(6.81%) + D(4.64b)/V(17.01b) * Rd(0.93%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 6.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.95%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈303.0m ; Y1≈198.9m ; Y5≈90.8m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.89b - Net Debt 2.95b = -58.4m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 36.60 | EPS CAGR: 1.11% | SUE: -0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.49 | Revenue CAGR: 19.81% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=1.64 | Chg30d=-0.109 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+48.5% | Growth Revenue=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=2.07 | Chg30d=-0.101 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+26.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%