CA Stock Analysis: Carrefour | PA
Grocery Stores | PA, France | Market Cap: 11.594m EUR | 12M Return: 39.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 38.0M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Carrefour SA is a French-founded multinational food retailer established in 1959 and headquartered in Massy, France. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores, club stores, and cash-and-carry outlets, alongside a soft discount format and e-commerce platforms across Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. Beyond core grocery retail, Carrefour generates revenue through adjacent activities including financial services, banking, insurance, property development, travel ticketing, shopping mall rentals, and franchise operations.
Carrefour operates within the food retail sub-industry of consumer staples, a sector characterized by high volume, low margin sales and stable, recession-resistant demand. Its multi-format strategy (hypermarkets, supermarkets, discount banners, and online) is a common approach among European grocers seeking to defend market share against hard discount competitors and shifting consumer shopping habits.
- France hypermarket sales decline amid Aldi Lidl price competition
- Brazil and Latin America operations drive revenue growth
- E-commerce and convenience store expansion accelerates digital sales
| Net Income: 319.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.61 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.96% < 20% (prev -3.83%; Δ -0.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 3.55b > Net Income 319.0m |
| Net Debt (14.4b) to EBITDA (4.51b): 3.20 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (669.2m) vs 12m ago -5.45% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.51% > 18% (prev 19.35%; Δ -1.84% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 149.1% > 50% (prev 152.0%; Δ -2.87% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.97b / Interest Expense TTM 744.0m) |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 8.94b/8.47b, Revenue 83.9b/87.2b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 19.35% / 17.51%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 83.9b / 87.2b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 319.0m - CFO 3.55b) / TA 55.2b) |
| Beneish M = -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 03, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 16.20 with a total of 4,891,954 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.37%, over one month by +3.09%, over three months by +6.01% and over the past year by +39.41%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.70 (which is 3.1% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Carrefour has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 11.5387
P/E Forward = 11.2233
P/S = 0.1383
P/B = 1.0563
P/EG = 0.4879
Revenue TTM = 83.9b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.97b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 4.51b EUR
Long Term Debt = 7.04b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.28b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.9b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.26b
Net Debt = 14.4b EUR (calculated: Debt 20.9b - CCE 6.42b)
Enterprise Value = 26.0b EUR (11.6b + Debt 20.9b - CCE 6.42b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.99 (Ebit TTM 2.97b / Interest Expense TTM 744.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.10x (Enterprise Value 26.0b / FCF TTM 2.15b)
FCF Yield = 8.26% (FCF TTM 2.15b / Enterprise Value 26.0b)
FCF Margin = 2.56% (FCF TTM 2.15b / Revenue TTM 83.9b)
Net Margin = 0.38% (Net Income TTM 319.0m / Revenue TTM 83.9b)
Gross Margin = 17.51% ((Revenue TTM 83.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 69.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.01% (prev 17.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 26.0b / Total Assets 55.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.57% (Interest Expense 744.0m / Debt 20.9b)
Taxrate = 33.10% (516.0m / 1.56b)
NOPAT = 1.99b (EBIT 2.97b * (1 - 33.10%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 22.8b / Total Current Liabilities 26.1b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 20.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.20 (Net Debt 14.4b / EBITDA 4.51b)
Debt / FCF = 6.71 (Net Debt 14.4b / FCF TTM 2.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.57% (Net Income 319.0m / Total Assets 55.2b)
RoE = 3.00% (Net Income TTM 319.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 10.6b)
RoCE = 16.80% (EBIT 2.97b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.6b + L.T.Debt 7.04b))
RoIC = 6.80% (NOPAT 1.99b / Invested Capital 29.2b)
WACC = 3.61% (E(11.6b)/V(32.4b) * Re(5.81%) + D(20.9b)/V(32.4b) * Rd(3.57%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 5.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -89.89 | Cagr: -5.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈2.32b ; Y1≈2.04b ; Y5≈1.65b
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.96 (EV 26.4b - Net Debt 14.4b = Equity 12.0b / Shares 707.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 66.32 | Revenue CAGR: 9.81% | SUE: 0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=-0.94% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+9.5% | GrowthRev=-0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.88 | Chg30d=-0.18% | Revisions=+27% | GrowthEPS=+7.1% | GrowthRev=+1.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +27%