CA Stock Analysis: Carrefour | PA

Grocery Stores | PA, France | Market Cap: 11.290m EUR | 12M Return: 33.1% | FR0000120172 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Groceries, Banking, Insurance, Travel
Total Rating 46
Safety 36
Buy Signal -0.05
Grocery Stores
Industry Rotation: +6.8
Market Cap: 12.6B
Avg Turnover: 32.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility22.4%
VaR 5th Pctl3.84%
VaR vs Median4.20%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.11
Rel. Str. IBD68.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group86.1
Character TTM
Beta-0.026
Beta Downside-0.123
Hurst Exponent0.409
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.17%
CAGR/Max DD0.22
CAGR/Mean DD0.53

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.1% 7
Feb +1.1% 8
Mar -0.2% 5
Apr +1.4% 34
May +0.4% 5
Jun -2.6% 40
Jul -0.5% 5
Aug -0.9% 29
Sep +2.0% 25
Oct +0.8% 14
Nov -0.5% 13
Dec -0.3% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CA Carrefour

Carrefour SA is a multinational food retailer headquartered in Massy, France, founded in 1959. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores, club stores, cash and carry outlets, and soft discount stores across France, Spain, Belgium, Poland, Romania, Brazil, Argentina, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. In addition to brick-and-mortar retail and e-commerce, Carrefour generates revenue through financial services, banking and insurance, property development, travel ticketing, shopping mall rentals, and franchise operations. Its diversified format strategy and ancillary services reflect a broader trend in the food retail sector toward integrated ecosystems that extend beyond grocery sales.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Brazil unit sale to GPA closes, exits volatile market
  • Aldi and Lidl expansion pressures French hypermarket pricing
  • Real estate monetization plan supports capital returns to shareholders
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 750.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.32 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -3.18% < 20% (prev -2.80%; Δ -0.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 3.62b > Net Income 750.0m
Net Debt (15.8b) to EBITDA (4.84b): 3.26 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.90 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (707.0m) vs 12m ago 3.04% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.61% > 18% (prev 19.38%; Δ -2.77% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 148.9% > 50% (prev 160.1%; Δ -11.16% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.10 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.06b / Interest Expense TTM 599.0m)
Beneish M -2.84
DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 8.18b/8.05b, Revenue 81.7b/88.4b)
GMI: 1.17 (GM 19.38% / 16.61%)
AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.28)
SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 81.7b / 88.4b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 750.0m - CFO 3.62b) / TA 54.4b)
Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of CA shares?

As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 15.98 with a total of 1,592,620 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.24%, over one month by -2.68%, over three months by -0.91% and over the past year by +33.07%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.40 (which is 3.6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is CA a buy, sell or hold?

Carrefour has no consensus analysts rating.

Carrefour (CA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 12.6b (11.3b EUR * 1.11996 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 7.4209
P/E Forward = 10.4275
P/S = 0.1334
P/B = 1.0337
P/EG = 0.6317
Revenue TTM = 81.7b EUR
EBIT TTM = 3.06b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 4.84b EUR
Long Term Debt = 7.58b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.46b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.1b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.97b
Net Debt = 15.8b EUR (calculated: Debt 21.1b - CCE 5.29b)
Enterprise Value = 27.0b EUR (11.3b + Debt 21.1b - CCE 5.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.10 (Ebit TTM 3.06b / Interest Expense TTM 599.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.58x (Enterprise Value 27.0b / FCF TTM 2.15b)
FCF Yield = 7.95% (FCF TTM 2.15b / Enterprise Value 27.0b)
FCF Margin = 2.63% (FCF TTM 2.15b / Revenue TTM 81.7b)
Net Margin = 0.92% (Net Income TTM 750.0m / Revenue TTM 81.7b)
Gross Margin = 16.61% ((Revenue TTM 81.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 68.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.20% (prev 17.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 27.0b / Total Assets 54.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.84% (Interest Expense 599.0m / Debt 21.1b)
Taxrate = 24.81% (502.0m / 2.02b)
NOPAT = 2.30b (EBIT 3.06b * (1 - 24.81%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 22.4b / Total Current Liabilities 25.0b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 21.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.26 (Net Debt 15.8b / EBITDA 4.84b)
Debt / FCF = 7.33 (Net Debt 15.8b / FCF TTM 2.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.37% (Net Income 750.0m / Total Assets 54.4b)
RoE = 6.95% (Net Income TTM 750.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 10.8b)
RoCE = 16.63% (EBIT 3.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.8b + L.T.Debt 7.58b))
RoIC = 7.71% (NOPAT 2.30b / Invested Capital 29.8b)
WACC = 3.45% (E(11.3b)/V(32.3b) * Re(5.89%) + D(21.1b)/V(32.3b) * Rd(2.84%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 5.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.65 | Cagr: -1.82%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.13% ; FCFF base≈2.23b ; Y1≈2.08b ; Y5≈1.88b
[DCF] Fair Price = 19.80 (EV 29.8b - Net Debt 15.8b = Equity 14.0b / Shares 707.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -8.94% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -39.65 | Revenue CAGR: -1.19% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.73 | Chg30d=-0.08% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+8.0% | GrowthRev=+0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.87 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+8.1% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=5, down=5)