(COV) Covivio - PA

Sector: Real Estate | Industry: REIT - Diversified | Exchange: PA (France) | Market Cap: 5.882m EUR | Total Return: 9% in 12m

Offices, Hotels, Residential, Urban Development
Total Rating 39
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.26
REIT - Diversified
Industry Rotation: -3.1
Market Cap: 6.68B
Avg Turnover: 7.81M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility21.2%
VaR 5th Pctl3.62%
VaR vs Median3.59%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.25
Rel. Str. IBD36.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group26
Character TTM
Beta0.170
Beta Downside-0.044
Hurst Exponent0.578
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD21.91%
CAGR/Max DD0.48
CAGR/Mean DD1.42

Warnings

Altman Z'' 0.98 < 1.0 - Financial Distress Zone
Choppy

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality

Coming soon
Description: COV Covivio

Covivio SA is a French real estate company operating at a European scale, focused on combining working, traveling, and living spaces by engaging closely with end users. The company manages €23.7 billion in assets and serves businesses, hotel operators, and territorial authorities, supporting their needs around attractiveness, transformation, and responsible performance. Incorporated in 1963 and listed on Euronext Paris (COV), Covivio operates as a diversified REIT, meaning it generates income from multiple property types including offices, residential, and hospitality assets rather than concentrating on a single segment. The company emphasizes a stakeholder-oriented business model, positioning real estate as a driver of well-being and long-term urban value creation.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • ECB rate cuts ease refinancing pressure on portfolio debt
  • Office occupancy recovery in Paris and Milan lifts rental income
  • German residential rent caps constrain revenue growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 738.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.84 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -64.71% < 20% (prev -7.07%; Δ -57.65% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 708.3m > Net Income 738.7m
Net Debt (10.0b) to EBITDA (1.45b): 6.93 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.64 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (110.8m) vs 12m ago 10.65% < -2%
Gross Margin: 41.67% > 18% (prev 62.87%; Δ -21.19% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 4.23% > 50% (prev 4.50%; Δ -0.26% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.85 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.30b / Interest Expense TTM 338.1m)
Altman Z'' 0.98
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 1.21b - Total Current Liabilities 1.90b) / Total Assets 25.3b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 738.7m / Total Assets 25.3b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 1.30b / Avg Total Assets 25.1b)
D: 0.68 (Book Value of Equity 8.61b / Total Liabilities 12.7b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.98 = BB
Beneish M -2.64
DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 330.5m/382.0m, Revenue 1.06b/1.12b)
GMI: 1.51 (GM 62.87% / 41.67%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.87 / AQ_t-1 0.83)
SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 1.06b / 1.12b)
TATA: 0.00 (NI 738.7m - CFO 708.3m) / TA 25.3b)
Beneish M = -2.64 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of COV shares?

As of June 29, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 55.15 with a total of 119,027 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.86%, over one month by +1.19%, over three months by +8.35% and over the past year by +9.01%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 53.70 (which is 2.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is COV a buy, sell or hold?

Covivio has no consensus analysts rating.

Covivio (COV) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.68b (5.88b EUR * 1.1364 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.009
P/E Forward = 10.7875
P/S = 5.1324
P/B = 0.6906
P/EG = 24.6239
Revenue TTM = 1.06b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.30b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.45b EUR
Long Term Debt = 8.66b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.98b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.2b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 304.4m
Net Debt = 10.0b EUR (calculated: Debt 11.2b - CCE 1.21b)
Enterprise Value = 15.9b EUR (5.88b + Debt 11.2b - CCE 1.21b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.85 (Ebit TTM 1.30b / Interest Expense TTM 338.1m)
EV/FCF = 123.7x (Enterprise Value 15.9b / FCF TTM 128.7m)
FCF Yield = 0.81% (FCF TTM 128.7m / Enterprise Value 15.9b)
FCF Margin = 12.10% (FCF TTM 128.7m / Revenue TTM 1.06b)
Net Margin = 69.47% (Net Income TTM 738.7m / Revenue TTM 1.06b)
Gross Margin = 41.67% ((Revenue TTM 1.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 620.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -2.96% (prev 62.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 15.9b / Total Assets 25.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.01% (Interest Expense 338.1m / Debt 11.2b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = 977.1m (EBIT 1.30b * (1 - 25.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.64 (Total Current Assets 1.21b / Total Current Liabilities 1.90b)
Debt / Equity = 1.30 (Debt 11.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.93 (Net Debt 10.0b / EBITDA 1.45b)
Debt / FCF = 77.96 (Net Debt 10.0b / FCF TTM 128.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.94% (Net Income 738.7m / Total Assets 25.3b)
RoE = 8.90% (Net Income TTM 738.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.30b)
RoCE = 7.68% (EBIT 1.30b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.30b + L.T.Debt 8.66b))
RoIC = 3.85% (NOPAT 977.1m / Invested Capital 25.4b)
WACC = 3.74% (E(5.88b)/V(17.1b) * Re(6.58%) + D(11.2b)/V(17.1b) * Rd(3.01%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 6.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 82.22 | Cagr: 7.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈211.6m ; Y1≈185.6m ; Y5≈150.0m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.41b - Net Debt 10.0b = -7.63b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 39.99 | EPS CAGR: 38.06% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 37.04 | Revenue CAGR: 6.57% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.94 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+8.1% | GrowthRev=+45.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.04 | Chg30d=-1.08% | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+2.0% | GrowthRev=+5.3%