FR Stock Analysis: Valeo | PA

Auto Parts | PA, France | Market Cap: 3.239m EUR | 12M Return: 43.9% | FR0013176526 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Thermal Systems, Driver Assistance, Lighting, Wipers
Total Rating 59
Safety 66
Buy Signal 0.19
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: -6.1
Market Cap: 3.63B
Avg Turnover: 9.79M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility45.2%
VaR 5th Pctl7.25%
VaR vs Median-2.68%
Choppyness71.9%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.84
Rel. Str. IBD82.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group89.7
Character TTM
Beta0.839
Beta Downside0.335
Hurst Exponent0.532
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD50.83%
CAGR/Max DD0.08
CAGR/Mean DD0.20

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.5% 17
Feb -6.0% 23
Mar -1.8% 20
Apr +2.6% 6
May +1.2% 10
Jun -6.5% 35
Jul +2.7% 23
Aug -5.8% 46
Sep +1.4% 14
Oct -0.9% 11
Nov +1.9% 14
Dec +3.1% 33

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FR Valeo

Valeo SE is a French automotive technology company headquartered in Paris that designs, produces, and sells components and systems to automakers worldwide. Founded in 1923, the company operates through three business segments: Power (thermal management, EV cooling systems, HVAC, and air quality solutions), Brain (advanced driver-assistance systems including sensors, lidar, cameras, and connectivity), and Light (lighting and wiper systems). In addition to original equipment, Valeo supplies aftermarket parts and services.

As a Tier 1 automotive supplier, Valeos business is closely tied to global vehicle production volumes and the industrys shift toward electrification and software-defined vehicles, with its Power and Brain segments positioned to benefit from rising EV adoption and tightening safety/emissions regulations. The company competes alongside other major global automotive parts suppliers such as Robert Bosch, Continental, and Denso.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • EV thermal management demand grows with battery cooling orders
  • EU safety regulations accelerate ADAS and LiDAR adoption
  • European auto production weakness pressures supplier margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 201.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.53 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -6.71% < 20% (prev -12.87%; Δ 6.17% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 2.22b > Net Income 201.0m
Net Debt (3.92b) to EBITDA (3.00b): 1.31 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (244.2m) vs 12m ago -0.18% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.91% > 18% (prev 15.46%; Δ 2.45% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 99.13% > 50% (prev 81.20%; Δ 17.93% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 926.0m / Interest Expense TTM 328.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.39
A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 9.23b - Total Current Liabilities 10.6b) / Total Assets 21.2b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 2.04b / Total Assets 21.2b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 926.0m / Avg Total Assets 20.8b)
D: 0.20 (Book Value of Equity 3.40b / Total Liabilities 17.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.39 = B
Beneish M -2.88
DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 4.22b/2.93b, Revenue 20.6b/16.5b)
GMI: 0.86 (GM 15.46% / 17.91%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.37)
SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 20.6b / 16.5b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 201.0m - CFO 2.22b) / TA 21.2b)
Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of FR shares?

As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 13.66 with a total of 881,205 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.73%, over one month by -3.97%, over three months by +9.67% and over the past year by +43.91%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.10 (which is 11.4% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is FR a buy, sell or hold?

Valeo has no consensus analysts rating.

Valeo (FR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.63b (3.24b EUR * 1.12012 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.593
P/E Forward = 3.4305
P/S = 0.1571
P/B = 1.0477
P/EG = 0.1795
Revenue TTM = 20.6b EUR
EBIT TTM = 926.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.00b EUR
Long Term Debt = 5.43b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.70b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.02b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 132.0m
Net Debt = 3.92b EUR (calculated: Debt 7.02b - CCE 3.10b)
Enterprise Value = 7.16b EUR (3.24b + Debt 7.02b - CCE 3.10b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.82 (Ebit TTM 926.0m / Interest Expense TTM 328.0m)
EV/FCF = 4.84x (Enterprise Value 7.16b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
FCF Yield = 20.68% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Enterprise Value 7.16b)
FCF Margin = 7.18% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Revenue TTM 20.6b)
Net Margin = 0.97% (Net Income TTM 201.0m / Revenue TTM 20.6b)
Gross Margin = 17.91% ((Revenue TTM 20.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.69% (prev 15.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.34 (Enterprise Value 7.16b / Total Assets 21.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.67% (Interest Expense 328.0m / Debt 7.02b)
Taxrate = 49.81% (264.0m / 530.0m)
NOPAT = 464.7m (EBIT 926.0m * (1 - 49.81%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 9.23b / Total Current Liabilities 10.6b)
Debt / Equity = 2.06 (Debt 7.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.31 (Net Debt 3.92b / EBITDA 3.00b)
Debt / FCF = 2.65 (Net Debt 3.92b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.97% (Net Income 201.0m / Total Assets 21.2b)
RoE = 5.90% (Net Income TTM 201.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.41b)
RoCE = 10.48% (EBIT 926.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.41b + L.T.Debt 5.43b))
RoIC = 4.12% (NOPAT 464.7m / Invested Capital 11.3b)
WACC = 4.42% (E(3.24b)/V(10.3b) * Re(8.93%) + D(7.02b)/V(10.3b) * Rd(4.67%) * (1-Tc(0.50)))
Discount Rate = 8.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -14.30 | Cagr: -0.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.01% ; FCFF base≈1.50b ; Y1≈1.47b ; Y5≈1.47b
[DCF] Fair Price = 79.19 (EV 23.0b - Net Debt 3.92b = Equity 19.1b / Shares 241.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -3.14% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -99.97 | Revenue CAGR: -2.62% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=-3.74% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=-17.43% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.50 | Chg30d=-3.30% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+46.9% | GrowthRev=-2.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.95 | Chg30d=-4.53% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+29.9% | GrowthRev=+2.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -36% (up=2, down=6)