FR Stock Analysis: Valeo | PA

Auto Parts | PA, France | Market Cap: 3.442m EUR | 12M Return: 35.2% | FR0013176526 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Thermal Systems, Driver Assistance, Lighting Systems, Wiper
Total Rating 54
Safety 68
Buy Signal 0.25
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +3.8
Market Cap: 4.02B
Avg Turnover: 9.26M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility41.8%
VaR 5th Pctl6.70%
VaR vs Median-2.62%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.83
Rel. Str. IBD73.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group92.4
Character TTM
Beta0.869
Beta Downside0.343
Hurst Exponent0.579
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD60.04%
CAGR/Max DD-0.04
CAGR/Mean DD-0.08

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.5% 17
Feb -6.0% 23
Mar -1.8% 20
Apr +2.6% 6
May +1.2% 10
Jun -6.5% 35
Jul +2.7% 23
Aug -4.6% 42
Sep +1.4% 14
Oct -0.9% 11
Nov +1.9% 14
Dec +3.1% 33

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FR Valeo

Valeo SE is a French-headquartered automotive technology company founded in 1923 that designs, manufactures, and sells components and systems to vehicle manufacturers across Europe, Africa, North America, South America, and Asia. It operates as a Tier 1 supplier organized into three reporting segments: Power (thermal management systems, including EV battery cooling, heat pumps, and air quality products), Brain (driver assistance hardware and software such as sensors, cameras, lidar, and connectivity tools), and Light (lighting and wiper systems). The company also provides aftermarket spares and services.

Valeos product portfolio is heavily oriented toward two structural industry trends: vehicle electrification and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS). The Power segments emphasis on EV-specific thermal management (battery coolers, heat pumps, electric compressors) reflects rising content per vehicle as automakers shift away from internal combustion, while the Brain segments sensors and lidar target the automotive industrys gradual transition toward higher levels of vehicle automation.

As a mid-cap stock listed in Paris and classified within the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector, Valeo generates most of its revenue from original equipment manufacturer (OEM) contracts, which ties its earnings cycle closely to global light vehicle production volumes.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • EV thermal management orders accelerate as automakers expand battery capacity
  • ADAS revenue grows on LiDAR adoption and EU safety mandates
  • European auto production weakness pressures margins and segment revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 201.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.53 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -6.71% < 20% (prev -12.87%; Δ 6.17% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 2.22b > Net Income 201.0m
Net Debt (3.92b) to EBITDA (3.00b): 1.31 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (244.2m) vs 12m ago -0.18% < -2%
Gross Margin: 17.91% > 18% (prev 15.46%; Δ 2.45% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 99.13% > 50% (prev 81.20%; Δ 17.93% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 926.0m / Interest Expense TTM 328.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.39
A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 9.23b - Total Current Liabilities 10.6b) / Total Assets 21.2b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 2.04b / Total Assets 21.2b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 926.0m / Avg Total Assets 20.8b)
D: 0.20 (Book Value of Equity 3.40b / Total Liabilities 17.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.39 = B
Beneish M -2.88
DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 4.22b/2.93b, Revenue 20.6b/16.5b)
GMI: 0.86 (GM 15.46% / 17.91%)
AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.37)
SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 20.6b / 16.5b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 201.0m - CFO 2.22b) / TA 21.2b)
Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of FR shares?

As of August 27, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 14.00 with a total of 495,467 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.16%, over one month by +2.14%, over three months by +10.64% and over the past year by +35.24%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.40 (which is 4.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is FR a buy, sell or hold?

Valeo has no consensus analysts rating.

Valeo (FR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.02b (3.44b EUR * 1.1672 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.3781
P/E Forward = 3.4305
P/S = 0.1669
P/B = 1.0108
P/EG = 0.1795
Revenue TTM = 20.6b EUR
EBIT TTM = 926.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.00b EUR
Long Term Debt = 5.43b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.70b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.02b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 132.0m
Net Debt = 3.92b EUR (calculated: Debt 7.02b - CCE 3.10b)
Enterprise Value = 7.36b EUR (3.44b + Debt 7.02b - CCE 3.10b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.82 (Ebit TTM 926.0m / Interest Expense TTM 328.0m)
EV/FCF = 4.97x (Enterprise Value 7.36b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
FCF Yield = 20.11% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Enterprise Value 7.36b)
FCF Margin = 7.18% (FCF TTM 1.48b / Revenue TTM 20.6b)
Net Margin = 0.97% (Net Income TTM 201.0m / Revenue TTM 20.6b)
Gross Margin = 17.91% ((Revenue TTM 20.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.69% (prev 15.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.35 (Enterprise Value 7.36b / Total Assets 21.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.67% (Interest Expense 328.0m / Debt 7.02b)
Taxrate = 49.81% (264.0m / 530.0m)
NOPAT = 464.7m (EBIT 926.0m * (1 - 49.81%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 9.23b / Total Current Liabilities 10.6b)
Debt / Equity = 2.06 (Debt 7.02b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.31 (Net Debt 3.92b / EBITDA 3.00b)
Debt / FCF = 2.65 (Net Debt 3.92b / FCF TTM 1.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.97% (Net Income 201.0m / Total Assets 21.2b)
RoE = 5.90% (Net Income TTM 201.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.41b)
RoCE = 10.48% (EBIT 926.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.41b + L.T.Debt 5.43b))
RoIC = 4.12% (NOPAT 464.7m / Invested Capital 11.3b)
WACC = 4.54% (E(3.44b)/V(10.5b) * Re(9.03%) + D(7.02b)/V(10.5b) * Rd(4.67%) * (1-Tc(0.50)))
Discount Rate = 9.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -14.30 | Cagr: -0.03%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.01% ; FCFF base≈1.50b ; Y1≈1.47b ; Y5≈1.47b
[DCF] Fair Price = 79.19 (EV 23.0b - Net Debt 3.92b = Equity 19.1b / Shares 241.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -3.14% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 62.47 | Revenue CAGR: 7.22% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=-3.74% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=-17.43% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.56 | Chg30d=-4.24% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+51.9% | GrowthRev=-2.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=-6.55% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+31.6% | GrowthRev=+3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -73% (up=0, down=8)