HO Stock Analysis: Thales S.A. | PA
Aerospace & Defense | PA, France | Market Cap: 48.022m EUR | 12M Return: -6.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 65.4M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Thales S.A. is a French-headquartered technology group (founded 1893, Meudon) that operates across three core pillars: defence and security, aerospace and space, and digital identity and security. It was originally known as Thomson-CSF before adopting the Thales name in 2000.
Its defence offering spans air defence systems, C4ISR command-and-control solutions, naval combat and underwater warfare platforms, missile electronics, robotics, and unmanned systems for air, land, and maritime use. The aerospace and space segment covers air traffic management, avionics, in-flight connectivity, satellite-based technologies, and microwave, laser, and microelectronic subsystems.
The digital identity and security business serves commercial clients in banking, payments, biometric identification, secure IoT, and access management, making Thales one of the few large European players with significant exposure to both government defence procurement and private-sector digital security markets.
- European defence spending surges amid geopolitical tensions boost backlog
- Avionics and air traffic management revenue rises on aerospace recovery
- Digital Identity divestiture frees capital for defence acquisitions and shareholder returns
| Net Income: 1.67b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -18.66% < 20% (prev -23.12%; Δ 4.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 3.32b > Net Income 1.67b |
| Net Debt (3.28b) to EBITDA (3.17b): 1.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (206.0m) vs 12m ago -1.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.44% > 18% (prev 26.12%; Δ 0.32% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 55.94% > 50% (prev 51.45%; Δ 4.48% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.20b / Interest Expense TTM 232.7m) |
| A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 21.1b - Total Current Liabilities 25.2b) / Total Assets 39.2b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 5.25b / Total Assets 39.2b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 2.20b / Avg Total Assets 39.6b) |
| D: 0.26 (Book Value of Equity 7.97b / Total Liabilities 31.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.39 = B |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 10.6b/10.2b, Revenue 22.1b/20.6b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 26.12% / 26.44%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.38) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 22.1b / 20.6b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.67b - CFO 3.32b) / TA 39.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 226.80 with a total of 236,172 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.66%, over one month by -2.03%, over three months by -14.28% and over the past year by -6.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 216.80 (which is 4.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Thales S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 28.7454
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 2.1694
P/B = 6.1427
P/EG = 1.8833
Revenue TTM = 22.1b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.20b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.17b EUR
Long Term Debt = 4.00b EUR (estimated: total debt 6.13b - short term 2.13b)
Short Term Debt = 2.13b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.77b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.64b
Net Debt = 3.28b EUR (calculated: Debt 7.77b - CCE 4.49b)
Enterprise Value = 51.3b EUR (48.0b + Debt 7.77b - CCE 4.49b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.44 (Ebit TTM 2.20b / Interest Expense TTM 232.7m)
EV/FCF = 19.72x (Enterprise Value 51.3b / FCF TTM 2.60b)
FCF Yield = 5.07% (FCF TTM 2.60b / Enterprise Value 51.3b)
FCF Margin = 11.75% (FCF TTM 2.60b / Revenue TTM 22.1b)
Net Margin = 7.56% (Net Income TTM 1.67b / Revenue TTM 22.1b)
Gross Margin = 26.44% ((Revenue TTM 22.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.49% (prev 26.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.31 (Enterprise Value 51.3b / Total Assets 39.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.00% (Interest Expense 232.7m / Debt 7.77b)
Taxrate = 19.47% (396.5m / 2.04b)
NOPAT = 1.77b (EBIT 2.20b * (1 - 19.47%))
Current Ratio = 0.84 (Total Current Assets 21.1b / Total Current Liabilities 25.2b)
Debt / Equity = 0.97 (Debt 7.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.03 (Net Debt 3.28b / EBITDA 3.17b)
Debt / FCF = 1.26 (Net Debt 3.28b / FCF TTM 2.60b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.23% (Net Income 1.67b / Total Assets 39.2b)
RoE = 22.40% (Net Income TTM 1.67b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.48b)
RoCE = 19.14% (EBIT 2.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.48b + L.T.Debt 4.00b))
RoIC = 11.84% (NOPAT 1.77b / Invested Capital 14.9b)
WACC = 4.98% (E(48.0b)/V(55.8b) * Re(5.39%) + D(7.77b)/V(55.8b) * Rd(3.00%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 5.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -73.33 | Cagr: -1.47%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.34b ; Y1≈2.68b ; Y5≈3.95b
[DCF] Fair Price = 273.3 (EV 59.4b - Net Debt 3.28b = Equity 56.2b / Shares 205.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -15.18 | EPS CAGR: -0.86% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.83 | Revenue CAGR: 20.50% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.72 | Chg30d=-0.18% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+9.8% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.26 | Chg30d=-0.17% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+14.4% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=2, down=3)