(MC) LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis - Ratings and Ratios
Wine, Fashion, Perfume, Jewelry, Retail
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.02% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.82% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 29.66% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 59.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.24% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 |
| Alpha | 0.84 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.01 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.380 |
| Beta | 0.181 |
| Beta Downside | 0.309 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 49.03% |
| Mean DD | 21.14% |
| Median DD | 21.30% |
Description: MC LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis December 01, 2025
LVMH Moët Hennessy-Louis Vuitton (ticker MC) is a French-headquartered conglomerate that operates a globally diversified portfolio of luxury brands across wines & spirits, fashion & leather goods, perfumes & cosmetics, watches & jewelry, selective retailing, media, hospitality, and high-end yachts.
Its flagship segments-Fashion & Leather Goods and Wines & Spirits-generated roughly €79 billion in revenue in FY 2023, with an operating margin near 20 %, underscoring the high-margin nature of premium luxury goods.
Key growth drivers include strong demand from the Asia-Pacific region (particularly China), where LVMH’s luxury-goods sales grew double-digits year-over-year, and the continued expansion of its selective-retailing arm (Sephora, DFS, 24S), which contributed about 5 % revenue growth in FY 2023.
Sector-level dynamics that materially affect LVMH are consumer confidence and discretionary-spending trends in high-income economies; a 1 % change in global GDP for the top 10 luxury-spending countries historically correlates with a 0.5 % shift in luxury sales volumes.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of LVMH’s valuation drivers, you may find the ValueRay analysis worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (10.98b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4.97b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 11.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 17.46% (prev 14.49%; Δ 2.98pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 38.47b > Net Income 10.98b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (33.11b) to EBITDA (22.41b) ratio: 1.48 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.48 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (498.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 66.03% (prev 68.53%; Δ -2.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 57.91% (prev 59.25%; Δ -1.34pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.31 (EBITDA TTM 22.41b / Interest Expense TTM 1.21b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.56
| (A) 0.10 = (Total Current Assets 44.90b - Total Current Liabilities 30.44b) / Total Assets 141.57b |
| (B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.70b / Total Assets 141.57b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 17.26b / Avg Total Assets 143.01b |
| (D) 0.90 = Book Value of Equity 67.42b / Total Liabilities 74.70b |
| Total Rating: 2.56 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.97
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.94% |
| 3. FCF Margin 33.00% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.61 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.48 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.35)% |
| 7. RoE 16.98% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 59.05% |
| 9. EPS Trend 3.07% |
What is the price of MC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.38%, over one month by +4.20%, over three months by +25.28% and over the past year by +7.65%.
Is MC a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the MC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 607.8 | -5.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 655.6 | 2% |
MC Fundamental Data Overview November 27, 2025
Market Cap EUR = 307.55b (307.55b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 28.1372
P/E Forward = 25.641
P/S = 3.7137
P/B = 4.7284
P/EG = 4.2114
Beta = 0.97
Revenue TTM = 82.82b EUR
EBIT TTM = 17.26b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 22.41b EUR
Long Term Debt = 12.45b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.07b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 39.65b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 33.11b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 344.05b EUR (307.55b + Debt 39.65b - CCE 3.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.31 (Ebit TTM 17.26b / Interest Expense TTM 1.21b)
FCF Yield = 7.94% (FCF TTM 27.33b / Enterprise Value 344.05b)
FCF Margin = 33.00% (FCF TTM 27.33b / Revenue TTM 82.82b)
Net Margin = 13.26% (Net Income TTM 10.98b / Revenue TTM 82.82b)
Gross Margin = 66.03% ((Revenue TTM 82.82b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.84% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.43 (Enterprise Value 344.05b / Total Assets 141.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.49% (Interest Expense 590.0m / Debt 39.65b)
Taxrate = 30.92% (2.65b / 8.56b)
NOPAT = 11.92b (EBIT 17.26b * (1 - 30.92%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 44.90b / Total Current Liabilities 30.44b)
Debt / Equity = 0.61 (Debt 39.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 65.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.48 (Net Debt 33.11b / EBITDA 22.41b)
Debt / FCF = 1.21 (Net Debt 33.11b / FCF TTM 27.33b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 64.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.76% (Net Income 10.98b / Total Assets 141.57b)
RoE = 16.98% (Net Income TTM 10.98b / Total Stockholder Equity 64.66b)
RoCE = 22.38% (EBIT 17.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 64.66b + L.T.Debt 12.45b))
RoIC = 13.38% (NOPAT 11.92b / Invested Capital 89.07b)
WACC = 6.03% (E(307.55b)/V(347.20b) * Re(6.68%) + D(39.65b)/V(347.20b) * Rd(1.49%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 6.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.02% ; FCFE base≈20.96b ; Y1≈19.30b ; Y5≈17.35b
Fair Price DCF = 628.4 (DCF Value 312.06b / Shares Outstanding 496.6m; 5y FCF grow -9.98% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 3.07 | EPS CAGR: -47.59% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 59.05 | Revenue CAGR: 6.68% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=24.04 | Chg30d=+0.261 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+11.3% | Growth Revenue=+2.9%