MC Stock Analysis: LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis | PA
Luxury Goods | PA, France | Market Cap: 239.104m EUR | 12M Return: 3.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 287M
EPS Trend: -95.6%
Qual. Beats: -5
Rev. Trend: -82.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton is a Paris-headquartered luxury goods conglomerate operating across five core segments: Wines & Spirits, Fashion & Leather Goods, Perfumes & Cosmetics, Watches & Jewelry, and Selective Retailing, alongside smaller activities in media, hospitality, and yacht building. Its portfolio spans more than 75 brands, including flagship houses such as Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Hennessy, Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Tiffany & Co., Bulgari, TAG Heuer, and Sephora. The group traces its origins to 1365 and sells its products worldwide through a combination of directly operated retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale partners.
The company follows a multi-brand conglomerate model typical of the global luxury sector, where each maison retains a distinct identity, heritage, and creative direction while sharing centralized corporate functions such as supply chain, real estate, and selective retailing infrastructure. This structure allows LVMH to mitigate exposure to any single brands performance and to participate across multiple price points and product categories, from entry-level cosmetics to high-end jewelry and custom yachts.
- China luxury demand recovery drives fashion and leather growth
- Hennessy cognac volumes decline amid US tariff exposure
- Strong euro pressures reported margins on tourist spending
| Net Income: 10.9b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.84 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.98% < 20% (prev 16.27%; Δ 5.72% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 18.9b > Net Income 10.9b |
| Net Debt (49.6b) to EBITDA (24.4b): 2.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.58 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (498.0m) vs 12m ago -0.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 66.24% > 18% (prev 67.03%; Δ -0.79% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 55.49% > 50% (prev 56.76%; Δ -1.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 17.8b / Interest Expense TTM 1.15b) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 48.2b - Total Current Liabilities 30.4b) / Total Assets 142b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 10.9b / Total Assets 142b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 17.8b / Avg Total Assets 146b) |
| D: 0.92 (Book Value of Equity 67.5b / Total Liabilities 73.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.86 = A |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 5.08b/5.76b, Revenue 80.8b/84.7b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 67.03% / 66.24%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 80.8b / 84.7b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 10.9b - CFO 18.9b) / TA 142b) |
| Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 492.95 with a total of 356,874 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.00%, over one month by +0.13%, over three months by +3.52% and over the past year by +3.58%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 457.50 (which is 7.2% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 22.1821
P/E Forward = 22.1239
P/S = 2.9589
P/B = 3.6256
P/EG = 1.9741
Revenue TTM = 80.8b EUR
EBIT TTM = 17.8b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 24.4b EUR
Long Term Debt = 12.4b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.9b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.1b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 16.4b
Net Debt = 49.6b EUR (calculated: Debt 53.1b - CCE 3.50b)
Enterprise Value = 289b EUR (239b + Debt 53.1b - CCE 3.50b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.44 (Ebit TTM 17.8b / Interest Expense TTM 1.15b)
EV/FCF = 19.19x (Enterprise Value 289b / FCF TTM 15.0b)
FCF Yield = 5.21% (FCF TTM 15.0b / Enterprise Value 289b)
FCF Margin = 18.62% (FCF TTM 15.0b / Revenue TTM 80.8b)
Net Margin = 13.46% (Net Income TTM 10.9b / Revenue TTM 80.8b)
Gross Margin = 66.24% ((Revenue TTM 80.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 65.66% (prev 66.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.03 (Enterprise Value 289b / Total Assets 142b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.17% (Interest Expense 1.15b / Debt 53.1b)
Taxrate = 32.79% (5.48b / 16.7b)
NOPAT = 11.9b (EBIT 17.8b * (1 - 32.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 48.2b / Total Current Liabilities 30.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 53.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 67.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.03 (Net Debt 49.6b / EBITDA 24.4b)
Debt / FCF = 3.30 (Net Debt 49.6b / FCF TTM 15.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 66.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.47% (Net Income 10.9b / Total Assets 142b)
RoE = 16.41% (Net Income TTM 10.9b / Total Stockholder Equity 66.3b)
RoCE = 22.59% (EBIT 17.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 66.3b + L.T.Debt 12.4b))
RoIC = 10.03% (NOPAT 11.9b / Invested Capital 119b)
WACC = 7.31% (E(239b)/V(292b) * Re(8.61%) + D(53.1b)/V(292b) * Rd(2.17%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -62.93 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈14.2b ; Y1≈16.3b ; Y5≈24.0b
[DCF] Fair Price = 632.9 (EV 362b - Net Debt 49.6b = Equity 312b / Shares 493.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.57 | EPS CAGR: -14.58% | SUE: -2.11 | # QB: -5
Revenue Correlation: -81.96 | Revenue CAGR: -2.06% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.25 | Chg30d=+0.31% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+1.8% | GrowthRev=-0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=25.66 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+15.3% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=10, down=10)