(MC) LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis - PA

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Luxury Goods | Exchange: PA (France) | Market Cap: 243.292m EUR | Total Return: 10.3% in 12m

Wines & Spirits, Fashion & Leather, Perfumes & Cosmetics, Watches & Jewelry
Total Rating 46
Safety 82
Buy Signal -0.22
Luxury Goods
Industry Rotation: +3.5
Market Cap: 276B
Avg Turnover: 335M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility29.9%
VaR 5th Pctl4.84%
VaR vs Median-1.53%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.27
Rel. Str. IBD41.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group39.1
Character TTM
Beta0.745
Beta Downside0.853
Hurst Exponent0.435
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD48.14%
CAGR/Max DD-0.31
CAGR/Mean DD-0.58
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 7.4, "2021-12": 11.18, "2022-06": 12.99, "2022-12": 15.04, "2023-06": 16.93, "2023-12": 15.49, "2024-06": 14.54, "2024-12": 13.54, "2025-06": 11.42, "2025-12": 10.42,
EPS CAGR: -14.58%
EPS Trend: -95.6%
Last SUE: -2.11
Qual. Beats: -5
Revenue Revenue of MC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 28665, 2021-12: 35550, 2022-06: 36729, 2022-12: 42455, 2023-06: 42240, 2023-12: 43913, 2024-06: 41677, 2024-12: 43006, 2025-06: 39810, 2025-12: 40997,
Rev. CAGR: -2.06%
Rev. Trend: -82.0%
Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: MC LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton is a Paris-headquartered luxury goods conglomerate operating across five core segments: Wines & Spirits, Fashion & Leather Goods, Perfumes & Cosmetics, Watches & Jewelry, and Selective Retailing, alongside smaller activities in media, hospitality, and yacht building. Its portfolio spans more than 75 brands, including flagship houses such as Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Hennessy, Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Tiffany & Co., Bulgari, TAG Heuer, and Sephora. The group traces its origins to 1365 and sells its products worldwide through a combination of directly operated retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale partners.

The company follows a multi-brand conglomerate model typical of the global luxury sector, where each maison retains a distinct identity, heritage, and creative direction while sharing centralized corporate functions such as supply chain, real estate, and selective retailing infrastructure. This structure allows LVMH to mitigate exposure to any single brands performance and to participate across multiple price points and product categories, from entry-level cosmetics to high-end jewelry and custom yachts.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • China luxury demand recovery drives fashion and leather growth
  • Hennessy cognac volumes decline amid US tariff exposure
  • Strong euro pressures reported margins on tourist spending
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 10.9b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.84 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 21.98% < 20% (prev 16.27%; Δ 5.72% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 18.9b > Net Income 10.9b
Net Debt (49.6b) to EBITDA (24.4b): 2.03 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (498.0m) vs 12m ago -0.34% < -2%
Gross Margin: 66.24% > 18% (prev 67.03%; Δ -0.79% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 55.49% > 50% (prev 56.76%; Δ -1.27% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.44 > 6 (EBIT TTM 17.8b / Interest Expense TTM 1.15b)
Altman Z'' 2.86
A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 48.2b - Total Current Liabilities 30.4b) / Total Assets 142b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 10.9b / Total Assets 142b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 17.8b / Avg Total Assets 146b)
D: 0.92 (Book Value of Equity 67.5b / Total Liabilities 73.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.86 = A
Beneish M -3.15
DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 5.08b/5.76b, Revenue 80.8b/84.7b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 67.03% / 66.24%)
AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.37)
SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 80.8b / 84.7b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 10.9b - CFO 18.9b) / TA 142b)
Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of MC shares?

As of June 26, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 494.40 with a total of 467,979 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.31%, over one month by -1.01%, over three months by +19.57% and over the past year by +10.28%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 472.20 (which is 4.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is MC a buy, sell or hold?

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis has no consensus analysts rating.

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis (MC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 276b (243b EUR * 1.1364 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.5526
P/E Forward = 21.5983
P/S = 3.0108
P/B = 3.5378
P/EG = 1.9263
Revenue TTM = 80.8b EUR
EBIT TTM = 17.8b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 24.4b EUR
Long Term Debt = 12.4b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.9b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.1b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 16.4b
Net Debt = 49.6b EUR (calculated: Debt 53.1b - CCE 3.50b)
Enterprise Value = 293b EUR (243b + Debt 53.1b - CCE 3.50b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.44 (Ebit TTM 17.8b / Interest Expense TTM 1.15b)
EV/FCF = 19.47x (Enterprise Value 293b / FCF TTM 15.0b)
FCF Yield = 5.14% (FCF TTM 15.0b / Enterprise Value 293b)
FCF Margin = 18.62% (FCF TTM 15.0b / Revenue TTM 80.8b)
Net Margin = 13.46% (Net Income TTM 10.9b / Revenue TTM 80.8b)
Gross Margin = 66.24% ((Revenue TTM 80.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 65.66% (prev 66.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.06 (Enterprise Value 293b / Total Assets 142b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.17% (Interest Expense 1.15b / Debt 53.1b)
Taxrate = 32.79% (5.48b / 16.7b)
NOPAT = 11.9b (EBIT 17.8b * (1 - 32.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 48.2b / Total Current Liabilities 30.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 53.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 67.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.03 (Net Debt 49.6b / EBITDA 24.4b)
Debt / FCF = 3.30 (Net Debt 49.6b / FCF TTM 15.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 66.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.47% (Net Income 10.9b / Total Assets 142b)
RoE = 16.41% (Net Income TTM 10.9b / Total Stockholder Equity 66.3b)
RoCE = 22.59% (EBIT 17.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 66.3b + L.T.Debt 12.4b))
RoIC = 10.03% (NOPAT 11.9b / Invested Capital 119b)
WACC = 7.32% (E(243b)/V(296b) * Re(8.60%) + D(53.1b)/V(296b) * Rd(2.17%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -62.93 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈14.2b ; Y1≈16.3b ; Y5≈24.0b
[DCF] Fair Price = 632.4 (EV 362b - Net Debt 49.6b = Equity 312b / Shares 493.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.57 | EPS CAGR: -14.58% | SUE: -2.11 | # QB: -5
Revenue Correlation: -81.96 | Revenue CAGR: -2.06% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.26 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+1.9% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=25.69 | Chg30d=+0.15% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+15.4% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40%