MC Stock Analysis: LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis | PA
Luxury Goods | PA, France | Market Cap: 195.633m EUR | 12M Return: -28.5% | FR0000121014 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 243M
EPS Trend: -95.6%
Qual. Beats: -5
Rev. Trend: -98.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton (MC) is a Paris-headquartered luxury goods conglomerate operating across five core segments: wines and spirits, fashion and leather goods, perfumes and cosmetics, watches and jewelry, and selective retailing. Its portfolio spans more than 75 maisons, including flagship brands such as Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Tiffany & Co., Hennessy, Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Bulgari, TAG Heuer, and Sephora. The group also holds interests in hospitality (Cheval Blanc, Belmond), custom yachts (Feadship), media (Les Echos, Paris Match), and cultural activities. Founded in 1365, LVMH is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods) and is one of the largest publicly traded companies in Europe by market capitalization.
The luxury sector is characterized by high margins driven by brand equity, pricing power, and controlled distribution. LVMHs business model relies on a multi-brand conglomerate structure, acquiring and operating prestigious houses independently to preserve their creative identity while benefiting from group-level scale in sourcing, real estate, and global retail networks such as Sephora and DFS.
- China luxury demand recovery stalls amid economic slowdown
- Fashion and Leather segment margins face aspirational consumer pressure
- Hennessy cognac volumes weaken on softer US demand
| Net Income: 10.9b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.48 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.57% < 20% (prev 17.46%; Δ 5.10% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 18.7b > Net Income 10.9b |
| Net Debt (41.0b) to EBITDA (23.9b): 1.72 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.63 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (495.0m) vs 12m ago -0.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 66.37% > 18% (prev 66.03%; Δ 0.34% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 56.22% > 50% (prev 58.50%; Δ -2.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.81 > 6 (EBIT TTM 17.3b / Interest Expense TTM 1.09b) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 46.5b - Total Current Liabilities 28.5b) / Total Assets 142b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 5.70b / Total Assets 142b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 17.3b / Avg Total Assets 142b) |
| D: 0.94 (Book Value of Equity 68.1b / Total Liabilities 72.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.78 = A |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 6.61b/7.46b, Revenue 79.6b/82.8b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 66.03% / 66.37%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 79.6b / 82.8b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 10.9b - CFO 18.7b) / TA 142b) |
| Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 03, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 378.55 with a total of 609,051 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.61%, over one month by -13.77%, over three months by -23.98% and over the past year by -28.52%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 366.70 (which is 3.1% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 18.0797
P/E Forward = 15.8479
P/S = 2.4564
P/B = 2.9099
P/EG = 1.4808
Revenue TTM = 79.6b EUR
EBIT TTM = 17.3b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 23.9b EUR
Long Term Debt = 13.0b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.1b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.2b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 16.6b
Net Debt = 41.0b EUR (calculated: Debt 53.2b - CCE 12.2b)
Enterprise Value = 237b EUR (196b + Debt 53.2b - CCE 12.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.81 (Ebit TTM 17.3b / Interest Expense TTM 1.09b)
EV/FCF = 15.71x (Enterprise Value 237b / FCF TTM 15.1b)
FCF Yield = 6.36% (FCF TTM 15.1b / Enterprise Value 237b)
FCF Margin = 18.91% (FCF TTM 15.1b / Revenue TTM 79.6b)
Net Margin = 13.66% (Net Income TTM 10.9b / Revenue TTM 79.6b)
Gross Margin = 66.37% ((Revenue TTM 79.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 26.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.12% (prev 65.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.67 (Enterprise Value 237b / Total Assets 142b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.06% (Interest Expense 1.09b / Debt 53.2b)
Taxrate = 32.33% (5.41b / 16.7b)
NOPAT = 11.7b (EBIT 17.3b * (1 - 32.33%))
Current Ratio = 1.63 (Total Current Assets 46.5b / Total Current Liabilities 28.5b)
Debt / Equity = 0.78 (Debt 53.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 68.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.72 (Net Debt 41.0b / EBITDA 23.9b)
Debt / FCF = 2.72 (Net Debt 41.0b / FCF TTM 15.1b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 67.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.68% (Net Income 10.9b / Total Assets 142b)
RoE = 16.21% (Net Income TTM 10.9b / Total Stockholder Equity 67.1b)
RoCE = 21.60% (EBIT 17.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 67.1b + L.T.Debt 13.0b))
RoIC = 9.82% (NOPAT 11.7b / Invested Capital 119b)
WACC = 7.03% (E(196b)/V(249b) * Re(8.56%) + D(53.2b)/V(249b) * Rd(2.06%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -85.46 | Cagr: -0.62%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.06% ; FCFF base≈14.8b ; Y1≈15.4b ; Y5≈17.7b
[DCF] Fair Price = 470.8 (EV 273b - Net Debt 41.0b = Equity 232b / Shares 493.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 4.86% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -95.57 | EPS CAGR: -14.58% | SUE: -2.11 | # QB: -5
Revenue Correlation: -98.25 | Revenue CAGR: -3.30% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.35 | Chg30d=-0.99% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=+2.3% | GrowthRev=-0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=24.79 | Chg30d=-2.72% | Revisions=-44% | GrowthEPS=+10.9% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -13% (up=5, down=7)