MEDCL Stock Analysis: Medincell | PA

Biotechnology | PA, France | Market Cap: 1.028m EUR | 12M Return: 80.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Long-Acting Injections, Schizophrenia Treatment, Pain Management, Contraception
Total Rating 29
Safety 36
Buy Signal 0.20
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +30.9
Market Cap: 1.17B
Avg Turnover: 2.73M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility48.6%
VaR 5th Pctl7.86%
VaR vs Median-1.67%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.29
Rel. Str. IBD82.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group44.3
Character TTM
Beta0.296
Beta Downside-0.221
Hurst Exponent0.494
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD47.37%
CAGR/Max DD1.44
CAGR/Mean DD4.48

Warnings

Negative Equity With Losses: Insolvent Profile
Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 7.7 years of data

Jan -4.9% 9
Feb -2.0% 6
Mar +2.6% 24
Apr +7.1% 9
May +1.9% 9
Jun -5.4% 57
Jul +0.7% 15
Aug +1.9% 34
Sep -0.5% 2
Oct +1.1% 9
Nov +5.8% 40
Dec -3.2% 6

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MEDCL Medincell

MedinCell S.A. is a French clinical-stage and commercial biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Jacou, France, founded in 2003. It operates on a licensing business model, developing long-acting injectable formulations based on its proprietary BEPO technology platform. This platform enables sustained drug release, which in the biopharmaceutical sector typically aims to reduce dosing frequency and improve patient adherence compared with conventional oral or short-acting injectable therapies.

The companys first commercial product is UZEDY (mdc-IRM), approved for the treatment of schizophrenia and bipolar I disorder in adults. Its late-stage pipeline includes mdc-TJK, a subcutaneous injection for schizophrenia currently in NDA preparation, and mdc-CWM, a sustained-release celecoxib formulation in Phase III for post-operative pain management following total knee arthroplasty. Earlier-stage candidates target contraception (mdc-WWM) and malaria (mdc-STM), reflecting a diverse therapeutic pipeline across central nervous system, pain, womens health, and infectious diseases.

MedinCells growth strategy is anchored by strategic collaborations with major industry players, including AbbVie-covering six long-acting injectable therapeutic products-and IM4TB for the development of a long-acting injectable treatment for tuberculosis. These partnerships are typical of small-cap biotechnology firms (the companys market capitalization is approximately $1 billion), which often rely on licensing agreements and collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies to fund development, leverage manufacturing scale, and access global commercialization channels.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • UZEDY schizophrenia launch ramps commercial revenue
  • AbbVie partnership expands six long-acting injectable programs
  • mdc-CWM Phase III pain data and mdc-TJK NDA progress
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: -31.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 23.95 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 205.1% < 20% (prev 59.10%; Δ 146.0% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.23 > 3% & CFO -17.1m > Net Income -31.3m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 2.88 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.1m) vs 12m ago 18.73% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 29.25% > 50% (prev 43.39%; Δ -14.14% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM -25.5m / Interest Expense TTM 6.58m)
Altman Z'' -0.06
A: 0.54 (Total Current Assets 61.4m - Total Current Liabilities 21.3m) / Total Assets 74.6m
B: -0.22 (Retained Earnings -16.1m / Total Assets 74.6m)
C: -0.38 (EBIT TTM -25.5m / Avg Total Assets 66.7m)
D: -0.29 (Book Value of Equity -30.6m / Total Liabilities 105.2m)
Altman-Z'' = -0.06 = B
Beneish M -1.54
DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 6.87m/2.88m, Revenue 19.5m/25.5m)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 95.48% / 100.0%)
AQI: 1.11 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.10)
SGI: 0.76 (Revenue 19.5m / 25.5m)
TATA: -0.19 (NI -31.3m - CFO -17.1m) / TA 74.6m)
Beneish M = -1.54 (Cap -4..+1) = CCC
What is the price of MEDCL shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 29.30 with a total of 88,441 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.30%, over one month by +4.42%, over three months by +35.15% and over the past year by +80.86%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 27.50 (which is 6.1% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is MEDCL a buy, sell or hold?

Medincell has no consensus analysts rating.

Medincell (MEDCL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.17b (1.03b EUR * 1.1405 EUR.USD)
P/S = 31.7017
P/B = 316.8798
Revenue TTM = 19.5m EUR
EBIT TTM = -25.5m EUR
EBITDA TTM = -23.4m EUR
Long Term Debt = 50.8m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.62m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 60.7m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.46m
Net Debt = 33.1m EUR (calculated: Debt 60.7m - CCE 27.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.06b EUR (1.03b + Debt 60.7m - CCE 27.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.87 (Ebit TTM -25.5m / Interest Expense TTM 6.58m)
EV/FCF = -62.96x (Enterprise Value 1.06b / FCF TTM -16.9m)
FCF Yield = -1.59% (FCF TTM -16.9m / Enterprise Value 1.06b)
FCF Margin = -86.38% (FCF TTM -16.9m / Revenue TTM 19.5m)
Net Margin = -160.3% (Net Income TTM -31.3m / Revenue TTM 19.5m)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 19.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 14.23 (Enterprise Value 1.06b / Total Assets 74.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.84% (Interest Expense 6.58m / Debt 60.7m)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = -19.1m (EBIT -25.5m * (1 - 25.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.45 (Total Current Assets 61.4m / Total Current Liabilities 25.0m)
 Debt / Equity = -1.98 (negative equity) (Debt 60.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -30.6m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -1.41 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 33.1m / EBITDA -23.4m)
 Debt / FCF = -1.96 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 33.1m / FCF TTM -16.9m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = -35.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -46.89% (Net Income -31.3m / Total Assets 74.6m)
 RoE = 88.22% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -31.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -35.5m)
 RoCE = -165.9% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -25.5m / Capital Employed (Equity -35.5m + L.T.Debt 50.8m))
 RoIC = -33.04% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -19.1m / Invested Capital 57.9m)
 WACC = 7.08% (E(1.03b)/V(1.09b) * Re(7.02%) + D(60.7m)/V(1.09b) * Rd(10.84%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 17.24%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -16.9m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.26 | Revenue CAGR: 44.47% | SUE: -2.07 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.48 | Chg30d=+3.76% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+22.8% | GrowthRev=+22.5%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.04 | Chg30d=-76.28% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+84.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=1, down=1)