ORA Stock Analysis: Orange S.A. | PA

Telecom Services | PA, France | Market Cap: 42.402m EUR | 12M Return: 25.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Mobile Networks, Broadband Internet, Cloud Computing, Enterprise Communications
Total Rating 42
Safety 42
Buy Signal 0.05
Telecom Services
Industry Rotation: -14.1
Market Cap: 48.4B
Avg Turnover: 83.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility24.5%
VaR 5th Pctl4.31%
VaR vs Median6.68%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.00
Rel. Str. IBD44.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group71.7
Character TTM
Beta-0.194
Beta Downside-0.419
Hurst Exponent0.461
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD14.46%
CAGR/Max DD1.51
CAGR/Mean DD5.65
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ORA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.55, "2021-09": 0.52, "2021-12": 0.52, "2022-03": 0.21, "2022-06": 0.23, "2022-09": 0.15, "2022-12": 0.45, "2023-03": 0.25, "2023-06": 0.3, "2023-09": 0.46, "2023-12": 0.47, "2024-03": 0.13, "2024-06": 0.2, "2024-09": 0.41, "2024-12": 0.29, "2025-03": 0.24, "2025-06": -0.07, "2025-09": 0.32, "2025-12": 0.2561, "2026-03": null,
EPS CAGR: -17.05%
EPS Trend: -73.9%
Last SUE: -0.54
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ORA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 20867, 2021-09: null, 2021-12: 21655, 2022-03: null, 2022-06: 21297, 2022-09: null, 2022-12: 22174, 2023-03: null, 2023-06: 19352, 2023-09: null, 2023-12: 22577, 2024-03: null, 2024-06: 19839, 2024-09: null, 2024-12: 20421, 2025-03: 21757.5, 2025-06: 19853, 2025-09: null, 2025-12: 20543, 2026-03: 10095,
Rev. CAGR: -8.89%
Rev. Trend: -70.0%
Last SUE: 0.02
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E Ratio 145.0
Strong Share Dilution
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +3.4% 42
Feb +0.3% 34
Mar +0.7% 13
Apr -0.0% 0
May +1.1% 15
Jun -1.6% 55
Jul -0.8% 0
Aug -0.3% 0
Sep -1.8% 56
Oct +0.8% 29
Nov +1.7% 50
Dec -1.5% 47

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ORA Orange S.A.

Orange S.A. is a major integrated telecommunications operator headquartered in Issy-les-Moulineaux, France, offering mobile, fixed broadband, and B2B network services across France and international markets. Beyond core connectivity, the company sells handsets and connected devices, and provides enterprise IT services including cloud computing, unified communications, security, and managed infrastructure. Orange also operates in adjacent areas such as mobile financial services, online advertising, and mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) services, all marketed under the Orange brand. The company has a strategic collaboration with Nokia and NVIDIA focused on developing AI-RAN (AI-integrated Radio Access Network) technologies.

Formerly known as France Telecom, the company was renamed Orange S.A. in July 2013 and was originally incorporated in 1991. It is listed on Euronext Paris and is classified within the Communication Services sector, specifically the Integrated Telecommunication Services sub-industry, which groups operators that combine mobile, fixed-line, and broadband services under a single provider.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • France mobile price war pressures revenue amid Free competition
  • Africa mobile data and money revenue accelerates double-digit growth
  • Orange Business Services demand offsets Europe retail weakness
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 538.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.23 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 3.57% < 20% (prev -2.69%; Δ 6.26% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 10.8b > Net Income 538.0m
Net Debt (42.3b) to EBITDA (11.8b): 3.58 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.10 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.65b) vs 12m ago 37.31% < -2%
Gross Margin: 52.90% > 18% (prev 39.19%; Δ 13.71% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 67.31% > 50% (prev 79.12%; Δ -11.81% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.65 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.29b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00b)
Altman Z'' 0.61
A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 28.5b - Total Current Liabilities 25.9b) / Total Assets 111b
B: -0.02 (Retained Earnings -2.26b / Total Assets 111b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 3.29b / Avg Total Assets 107b)
D: 0.31 (Book Value of Equity 25.2b / Total Liabilities 82.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.61 = B
Beneish M -3.31
DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 8.01b/8.59b, Revenue 72.2b/82.2b)
GMI: 0.74 (GM 39.19% / 52.90%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.39)
SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 72.2b / 82.2b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 538.0m - CFO 10.8b) / TA 111b)
Beneish M = -3.31 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of ORA shares?

As of July 04, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 15.86 with a total of 2,909,567 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.60%, over one month by -8.13%, over three months by -9.63% and over the past year by +25.85%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.30 (which is 3.5% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is ORA a buy, sell or hold?

Orange S.A. has no consensus analysts rating.

Orange S.A. (ORA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 48.4b (42.4b EUR * 1.1421 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 145.0455
P/E Forward = 12.4069
P/S = 1.0497
P/B = 1.4088
P/EG = 0.4276
Revenue TTM = 72.2b EUR
EBIT TTM = 3.29b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 11.8b EUR
Long Term Debt = 42.6b EUR (estimated: total debt 50.0b - short term 7.40b)
Short Term Debt = 7.40b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 57.5b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.52b
Net Debt = 42.3b EUR (calculated: Debt 57.5b - CCE 15.2b)
Enterprise Value = 84.7b EUR (42.4b + Debt 57.5b - CCE 15.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.65 (Ebit TTM 3.29b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00b)
EV/FCF = 24.50x (Enterprise Value 84.7b / FCF TTM 3.46b)
FCF Yield = 4.08% (FCF TTM 3.46b / Enterprise Value 84.7b)
FCF Margin = 4.79% (FCF TTM 3.46b / Revenue TTM 72.2b)
Net Margin = 0.74% (Net Income TTM 538.0m / Revenue TTM 72.2b)
Gross Margin = 52.90% ((Revenue TTM 72.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 34.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 19.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 84.7b / Total Assets 111b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.47% (Interest Expense 2.00b / Debt 57.5b)
Taxrate = 49.38% (1.07b / 2.17b)
NOPAT = 1.66b (EBIT 3.29b * (1 - 49.38%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 28.5b / Total Current Liabilities 25.9b)
Debt / Equity = 2.28 (Debt 57.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 25.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.58 (Net Debt 42.3b / EBITDA 11.8b)
Debt / FCF = 12.24 (Net Debt 42.3b / FCF TTM 3.46b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 29.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.50% (Net Income 538.0m / Total Assets 111b)
RoE = 1.83% (Net Income TTM 538.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 29.5b)
RoCE = 4.56% (EBIT 3.29b / Capital Employed (Equity 29.5b + L.T.Debt 42.6b))
RoIC = 1.88% (NOPAT 1.66b / Invested Capital 88.7b)
WACC = 3.26% (E(42.4b)/V(99.9b) * Re(5.30%) + D(57.5b)/V(99.9b) * Rd(3.47%) * (1-Tc(0.49)))
Discount Rate = 5.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -28.89 | Cagr: 13.76%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.33% ; FCFF base≈3.47b ; Y1≈3.46b ; Y5≈3.62b
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.28 (EV 56.4b - Net Debt 42.3b = Equity 14.0b / Shares 2.66b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -0.77% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -73.87 | EPS CAGR: -17.05% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -70.02 | Revenue CAGR: -8.89% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=+14.29% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.02 | Chg30d=-0.34% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+19.1% | GrowthRev=+10.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=-0.54% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+14.3% | GrowthRev=+9.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)