RCO Stock Analysis: Remy Cointreau | PA

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries | PA, France | Market Cap: 2.383m EUR | 12M Return: -15.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Cognacs, Liqueurs, Whiskies, Champagnes
Total Rating 39
Safety 84
Buy Signal -0.01
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Industry Rotation: +2.6
Market Cap: 2.72B
Avg Turnover: 2.28M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.9%
VaR 5th Pctl5.71%
VaR vs Median-6.00%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.65
Rel. Str. IBD32.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group46.3
Character TTM
Beta0.022
Beta Downside0.069
Hurst Exponent0.526
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD75.54%
CAGR/Max DD-0.43
CAGR/Mean DD-0.59

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -1.5% 13
Feb -0.1% 2
Mar +2.2% 26
Apr -0.4% 0
May +2.6% 26
Jun -0.2% 2
Jul +3.8% 47
Aug -0.1% 8
Sep -7.1% 41
Oct -4.0% 37
Nov +0.3% 11
Dec -0.3% 16

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RCO Remy Cointreau

Rémy Cointreau SA is a French producer and distributor of premium liqueurs and spirits, headquartered in Cognac, France, and founded in 1724. The company operates through three segments: Rémy Martin (cognac), Liqueurs & Spirits, and Partner Brands.

Its portfolio spans cognacs, liqueurs, single malt whiskies, gins, rums, brandies, wines, and champagnes, marketed under flagship brands including Rémy Martin, Cointreau, LOUIS XIII, Metaxa, Mount Gay, Bruichladdich, The Botanist, Westland, and Telmont. The group distributes its products across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Asia, Australia, and New Zealand.

Within the Distillers & Vintners sub-industry, Rémy Cointreau combines proprietary brand ownership with a Partner Brands distribution segment, allowing it to both produce luxury spirits such as Rémy Martin and LOUIS XIII cognacs and act as a third-party distributor for other labels in international markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Rémy Martin cognac shipments rebound as China destocking cycle ends
  • Liqueurs & Spirits segment margins expand on premium mix shift
  • US tariff and travel retail exposure pressure top-line growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 78.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.00 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 177.6% < 20% (prev 154.3%; Δ 23.34% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 90.9m > Net Income 78.7m
Net Debt (716.3m) to EBITDA (211.5m): 3.39 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.16 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (52.7m) vs 12m ago 2.72% < -2%
Gross Margin: 65.84% > 18% (prev 68.14%; Δ -2.30% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 27.19% > 50% (prev 28.75%; Δ -1.57% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.86 > 6 (EBIT TTM 165.4m / Interest Expense TTM 34.0m)
Altman Z'' 5.71
A: 0.48 (Total Current Assets 2.43b - Total Current Liabilities 770.8m) / Total Assets 3.46b
B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 958.2m / Total Assets 3.46b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 165.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.44b)
D: 1.26 (Book Value of Equity 1.93b / Total Liabilities 1.53b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.71 = AAA
Beneish M -2.98
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 107.9m/106.6m, Revenue 935.3m/984.6m)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 68.14% / 65.84%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.16)
SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 935.3m / 984.6m)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 78.7m - CFO 90.9m) / TA 3.46b)
Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of RCO shares?

As of July 23, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 45.00 with a total of 44,671 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.40%, over one month by +1.12%, over three months by +10.78% and over the past year by -15.62%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.30 (which is 3.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is RCO a buy, sell or hold?

Remy Cointreau has no consensus analysts rating.

Remy Cointreau (RCO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.72b (2.38b EUR * 1.1406 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.3333
P/E Forward = 20.9205
P/S = 2.5475
P/B = 1.2467
P/EG = 1.1668
Revenue TTM = 935.3m EUR
EBIT TTM = 165.4m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 211.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 665.7m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 83.8m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 794.3m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 26.0m
Net Debt = 716.3m EUR (calculated: Debt 794.3m - CCE 78.0m)
Enterprise Value = 3.10b EUR (2.38b + Debt 794.3m - CCE 78.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.86 (Ebit TTM 165.4m / Interest Expense TTM 34.0m)
EV/FCF = 57.49x (Enterprise Value 3.10b / FCF TTM 53.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.74% (FCF TTM 53.9m / Enterprise Value 3.10b)
FCF Margin = 5.76% (FCF TTM 53.9m / Revenue TTM 935.3m)
Net Margin = 8.41% (Net Income TTM 78.7m / Revenue TTM 935.3m)
Gross Margin = 65.84% ((Revenue TTM 935.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 319.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.66% (prev 63.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 3.10b / Total Assets 3.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.28% (Interest Expense 34.0m / Debt 794.3m)
Taxrate = 28.55% (31.4m / 110.0m)
NOPAT = 118.2m (EBIT 165.4m * (1 - 28.55%))
Current Ratio = 3.16 (Total Current Assets 2.43b / Total Current Liabilities 770.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 794.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.39 (Net Debt 716.3m / EBITDA 211.5m)
Debt / FCF = 13.29 (Net Debt 716.3m / FCF TTM 53.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.29% (Net Income 78.7m / Total Assets 3.46b)
RoE = 4.10% (Net Income TTM 78.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.92b)
RoCE = 6.39% (EBIT 165.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.92b + L.T.Debt 665.7m))
RoIC = 4.34% (NOPAT 118.2m / Invested Capital 2.72b)
WACC = 5.31% (E(2.38b)/V(3.18b) * Re(6.06%) + D(794.3m)/V(3.18b) * Rd(4.28%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 6.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 39.74 | Cagr: 0.80%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈40.0m ; Y1≈45.9m ; Y5≈67.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.72 (EV 1.02b - Net Debt 716.3m = Equity 299.7m / Shares 52.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -96.98 | Revenue CAGR: -13.48% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2025-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.62 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=1.63 | Chg30d=-0.64% | Revisions=+6% | GrowthEPS=-34.4% | GrowthRev=-4.4%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=1.68 | Chg30d=+1.85% | Revisions=-19% | GrowthEPS=-1.9% | GrowthRev=+2.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -6% (up=13, down=15)