(SMCP) Smcp SAS - Ratings and Ratios
Ready-To-Wear, Accessories, Footwear, Bags
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 78.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.26% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.45 |
| Alpha | 81.59 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.04 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.721 |
| Beta | 0.309 |
| Beta Downside | 0.643 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 80.29% |
| Mean DD | 48.80% |
| Median DD | 59.13% |
Description: SMCP Smcp SAS October 26, 2025
SMCP S.A. is a Paris-based ready-to-wear and accessories retailer that markets the Sandro, Maje, Claudie Pierlot, and Fursac brands through a mix of company-owned stores, outlet locations, its own e-commerce sites, third-party platforms, and department-store websites.
According to the most recent FY 2023 filing, SMCP generated roughly €1.4 billion in revenue, a 9 % year-over-year increase, with e-commerce sales expanding by about 12 % and same-store sales in its core European markets rising 5 %. The group reported an EBITDA margin of 7.5 % and noted that Chinese tourists and online shoppers together accounted for roughly 8 % of total sales.
Key macro drivers for SMCP include European consumer confidence and discretionary-spending trends, which are sensitive to inflation and real-wage growth; currency fluctuations (particularly EUR/USD) that affect pricing and import costs; and the ongoing shift toward digital channels, which is accelerating the need for omnichannel integration and sustainable product lines.
For a deeper dive into SMCP’s valuation multiples and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a data-rich toolkit that can help you test the sensitivity of these drivers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (-26.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 126.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.57pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.95% (prev 0.07%; Δ -3.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 373.1m > Net Income -26.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (600.5m) to EBITDA (282.8m) ratio: 2.12 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.86 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (78.3m) change vs 12m ago 3.27% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.53% (prev 39.45%; Δ 13.09pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 92.95% (prev 78.52%; Δ 14.44pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.74 (EBITDA TTM 282.8m / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.51
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 382.6m - Total Current Liabilities 444.8m) / Total Assets 2.18b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 141.7m / Total Assets 2.18b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 34.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.27b |
| (D) 0.36 = Book Value of Equity 365.7m / Total Liabilities 1.01b |
| Total Rating: 0.51 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.06
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 30.13% |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.67% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.55 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.12 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.37)% |
| 7. RoE -2.28% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 44.51% |
| 9. EPS Trend -39.29% |
What is the price of SMCP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.16%, over one month by +8.01%, over three months by -4.66% and over the past year by +74.66%.
Is SMCP a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the SMCP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.7 | 20.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 7.1 | 11.2% |
SMCP Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
Market Cap EUR = 494.5m (494.5m EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 31.65
P/E Forward = 10.8578
P/S = 0.4028
P/B = 0.4218
Beta = 1.056
Revenue TTM = 2.11b EUR
EBIT TTM = 34.9m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 282.8m EUR
Long Term Debt = 92.2m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 249.8m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 644.2m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 600.5m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.09b EUR (494.5m + Debt 644.2m - CCE 43.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.74 (Ebit TTM 34.9m / Interest Expense TTM 47.0m)
FCF Yield = 30.13% (FCF TTM 329.9m / Enterprise Value 1.09b)
FCF Margin = 15.67% (FCF TTM 329.9m / Revenue TTM 2.11b)
Net Margin = -1.26% (Net Income TTM -26.4m / Revenue TTM 2.11b)
Gross Margin = 52.53% ((Revenue TTM 2.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 999.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.38% (prev 62.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 1.09b / Total Assets 2.18b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.28% (Interest Expense 14.7m / Debt 644.2m)
Taxrate = 37.14% (6.50m / 17.5m)
NOPAT = 21.9m (EBIT 34.9m * (1 - 37.14%))
Current Ratio = 0.86 (Total Current Assets 382.6m / Total Current Liabilities 444.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.55 (Debt 644.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.12 (Net Debt 600.5m / EBITDA 282.8m)
Debt / FCF = 1.82 (Net Debt 600.5m / FCF TTM 329.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.21% (Net Income -26.4m / Total Assets 2.18b)
RoE = -2.28% (Net Income TTM -26.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.16b)
RoCE = 2.79% (EBIT 34.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.16b + L.T.Debt 92.2m))
RoIC = 1.55% (NOPAT 21.9m / Invested Capital 1.41b)
WACC = 3.92% (E(494.5m)/V(1.14b) * Re(7.16%) + D(644.2m)/V(1.14b) * Rd(2.28%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 7.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.32% ; FCFE base≈287.9m ; Y1≈270.1m ; Y5≈252.3m
Fair Price DCF = 57.85 (DCF Value 4.52b / Shares Outstanding 78.1m; 5y FCF grow -7.91% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -39.29 | EPS CAGR: -43.72% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 44.51 | Revenue CAGR: 29.71% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.66 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+53.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%