(UBI) Ubisoft Entertainment - Ratings and Ratios
Action-Adventure, Open-World, Shooter, RPG, Strategy
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 73.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.67% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.05 |
| Alpha | -58.00 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.451 |
| Beta | 0.465 |
| Beta Downside | 0.924 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 80.23% |
| Mean DD | 38.54% |
| Median DD | 34.18% |
Description: UBI Ubisoft Entertainment November 15, 2025
Ubisoft Entertainment SA (ticker UBI) is a French-based developer, publisher and distributor of interactive entertainment across consoles, PC, mobile and tablet platforms, operating globally with a mix of physical and digital sales. The firm creates full-cycle game content-including narrative design, animation, gameplay mechanics and proprietary engines-while also licensing its technology to third-party studios.
Key metrics from the most recent fiscal year (FY 2023) show revenue of €2.2 billion, a 7 % YoY increase driven primarily by strong performance of live-service titles (e.g., “Assassin’s Creed Valhalla” extensions) and a 12 % rise in digital-only sales. Free cash flow stood at €300 million, reflecting a 15 % operating margin after a modest increase in R&D spend to 14 % of revenue, a common industry benchmark for studios investing in next-gen engines. The sector’s growth is underpinned by the ongoing console cycle (PlayStation 5/Xbox Series X) and expanding mobile gaming spend, which together account for roughly 30 % of Ubisoft’s total addressable market.
Given the company’s pipeline of high-visibility IP releases in 2024 (e.g., “Avatar: Frontiers of Pandora”) and its strategic push into subscription-based game services, analysts should monitor the conversion rate of active monthly users to recurring revenue as a leading indicator of future cash generation. For a deeper dive into Ubisoft’s valuation dynamics and comparable peer analysis, a quick look at ValueRay’s data tools can help surface the most relevant forward-looking metrics.
UBI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,208m |
| Sub-Industry | Interactive Home Entertainment |
| IPO / Inception | |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -56.5% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
UBI Dividends
Currently no dividends paidUBI Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -37.18% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.46 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.96 |
| Current Volume | 906.2k |
| Average Volume | 764k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (-1.20m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 252.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.21 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 18.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 16.13% (prev 23.89%; Δ -7.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.33 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.55b > Net Income -1.20m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.18b) to EBITDA (726.5m) ratio: 1.62 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (127.2m) change vs 12m ago 3.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 83.45% (prev 56.47%; Δ 26.98pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 88.86% (prev 58.14%; Δ 30.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.91 (EBITDA TTM 726.5m / Interest Expense TTM 100.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.64
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 1.67b - Total Current Liabilities 990.2m) / Total Assets 4.70b |
| (B) -0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -159.0m / Total Assets 4.70b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 291.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.73b |
| (D) 0.37 = Book Value of Equity 1.08b / Total Liabilities 2.90b |
| Total Rating: 1.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 71.25
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 45.53% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.05% = 6.01 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.21 = 1.82 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.62 = 0.74 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.66)% = 3.33 |
| 7. RoE -0.07% = -0.01 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 18.91% = 1.42 |
| 9. EPS Trend 18.97% = 0.95 |
What is the price of UBI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.31%, over one month by -23.97%, over three months by -26.27% and over the past year by -50.18%.
Is Ubisoft Entertainment a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UBI is around 3.98 EUR . This means that UBI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -41.21%.
Is UBI a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the UBI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.3 | 82.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.2 | -37.7% |
UBI Fundamental Data Overview January 01, 1970
Market Cap EUR = 1.04b (1.04b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Forward = 20.7039
P/S = 0.549
P/B = 0.7656
P/EG = 2.3907
Beta = -0.378
Revenue TTM = 4.20b EUR
EBIT TTM = 291.2m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 726.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.59b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 332.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.17b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.18b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.22b EUR (1.04b + Debt 2.17b - CCE 990.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.91 (Ebit TTM 291.2m / Interest Expense TTM 100.2m)
FCF Yield = 45.53% (FCF TTM 1.01b / Enterprise Value 2.22b)
FCF Margin = 24.05% (FCF TTM 1.01b / Revenue TTM 4.20b)
Net Margin = -0.03% (Net Income TTM -1.20m / Revenue TTM 4.20b)
Gross Margin = 83.45% ((Revenue TTM 4.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 695.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.84% (prev 86.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 2.22b / Total Assets 4.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.50% (Interest Expense 32.6m / Debt 2.17b)
Taxrate = 45.86% (74.3m / 162.0m)
NOPAT = 157.6m (EBIT 291.2m * (1 - 45.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 1.67b / Total Current Liabilities 990.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.21 (Debt 2.17b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.62 (Net Debt 1.18b / EBITDA 726.5m)
Debt / FCF = 1.16 (Net Debt 1.18b / FCF TTM 1.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.03% (Net Income -1.20m / Total Assets 4.70b)
RoE = -0.07% (Net Income TTM -1.20m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.74b)
RoCE = 8.76% (EBIT 291.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.74b + L.T.Debt 1.59b))
RoIC = 5.73% (NOPAT 157.6m / Invested Capital 2.75b)
WACC = 3.06% (E(1.04b)/V(3.21b) * Re(7.73%) + D(2.17b)/V(3.21b) * Rd(1.50%) * (1-Tc(0.46)))
Discount Rate = 7.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.63%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈669.0m ; Y1≈439.2m ; Y5≈200.8m
Fair Price DCF = 29.32 (DCF Value 3.95b / Shares Outstanding 134.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 18.97 | EPS CAGR: 63.30% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.91 | Revenue CAGR: 21.69% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0