UBI Stock Analysis: Ubisoft Entertainment | PA

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | PA, France | Market Cap: 692m EUR | 12M Return: -41.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Video Games, Mobile Games, Game Engines, Design Tools
Total Rating 25
Safety 53
Buy Signal -0.44
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
Industry Rotation: -5.1
Market Cap: 789M
Avg Turnover: 4.63M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility54.4%
VaR 5th Pctl7.95%
VaR vs Median-8.48%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.44
Rel. Str. IBD19.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group35
Character TTM
Beta1.113
Beta Downside1.371
Hurst Exponent0.422
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD87.67%
CAGR/Max DD-0.49
CAGR/Mean DD-0.81

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Choppy
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -4.4% 14
Feb +0.6% 0
Mar -1.1% 13
Apr +7.8% 69
May +4.7% 56
Jun -2.4% 43
Jul +1.5% 26
Aug -0.6% 0
Sep -1.1% 0
Oct -9.4% 52
Nov -1.2% 25
Dec -1.6% 27

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UBI Ubisoft Entertainment

Ubisoft Entertainment SA is a French video game company founded in 1986 and headquartered in Saint-Mandé, France. It operates across the full value chain of the video game industry, producing, publishing, distributing, and operating games for consoles, PC, smartphones, and tablets in both physical and digital formats. Its geographic footprint spans Europe, North America, and additional international markets. Beyond game development, the company creates proprietary design tools and game engines, supporting in-house production and forming a notable part of its technology stack.

The company is listed on Euronext Paris under the ticker UBI and is classified within the Communication Services sector under the Interactive Home Entertainment sub-industry. Like most major publishers, it derives revenue from a mix of one-time game sales (front-end catalogue) and ongoing monetisation through downloadable content, subscriptions, and live-service titles, an industry model that has increasingly shifted revenue toward digital channels and recurring player engagement over time.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Assassins Creed Shadows launch drives fiscal year sales rebound
  • Tencent and Guillemot family stake blocks hostile takeover attempts
  • Restructuring and layoffs target margin recovery as back catalog declines
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: -1.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -14.35 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 80.76% < 20% (prev 35.66%; Δ 45.09% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 280.4m > Net Income -1.48b
Net Debt (740.1m) to EBITDA (376.1m): 1.97 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.55 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (132.3m) vs 12m ago -22.86% < -2%
Gross Margin: -25.71% > 18% (prev 89.33%; Δ -115.0% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 32.29% > 50% (prev 40.41%; Δ -8.12% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -17.81 > 6 (EBIT TTM -1.21b / Interest Expense TTM 68.1m)
Altman Z'' -0.63
A: 0.29 (Total Current Assets 1.85b - Total Current Liabilities 725.3m) / Total Assets 3.95b
B: -0.37 (Retained Earnings -1.48b / Total Assets 3.95b)
C: -0.28 (EBIT TTM -1.21b / Avg Total Assets 4.32b)
D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 1.47b / Total Liabilities 2.55b)
Altman-Z'' = -0.63 = B
Beneish M -3.12
DSRI: 1.38 (Receivables 502.5m/494.7m, Revenue 1.40b/1.90b)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.72 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.61)
SGI: 0.73 (Revenue 1.40b / 1.90b)
TATA: -0.44 (NI -1.48b - CFO 280.4m) / TA 3.95b)
Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of UBI shares?

As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 5.38 with a total of 770,299 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.35%, over one month by -2.89%, over three months by +40.39% and over the past year by -41.45%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.00 (which is 7.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is UBI a buy, sell or hold?

Ubisoft Entertainment has no consensus analysts rating.

Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 789.4m (691.7m EUR * 1.1412 EUR.USD)
P/E Forward = 9.8425
P/S = 0.4956
P/B = 0.4617
P/EG = 2.3907
Revenue TTM = 1.40b EUR
EBIT TTM = -1.21b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 376.1m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.50b EUR (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 65.5m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.09b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 291.2m
Net Debt = 740.1m EUR (calculated: Debt 2.09b - CCE 1.35b)
Enterprise Value = 1.43b EUR (691.7m + Debt 2.09b - CCE 1.35b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -17.81 (Ebit TTM -1.21b / Interest Expense TTM 68.1m)
EV/FCF = 5.83x (Enterprise Value 1.43b / FCF TTM 245.6m)
FCF Yield = 17.15% (FCF TTM 245.6m / Enterprise Value 1.43b)
FCF Margin = 17.60% (FCF TTM 245.6m / Revenue TTM 1.40b)
Net Margin = -105.7% (Net Income TTM -1.48b / Revenue TTM 1.40b)
Gross Margin = -25.71% ((Revenue TTM 1.40b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.75b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -91.94% (prev 48.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.36 (Enterprise Value 1.43b / Total Assets 3.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.26% (Interest Expense 68.1m / Debt 2.09b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = -909.6m (EBIT -1.21b * (1 - 25.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.55 (Total Current Assets 1.85b / Total Current Liabilities 725.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.42 (Debt 2.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.97 (Net Debt 740.1m / EBITDA 376.1m)
Debt / FCF = 3.01 (Net Debt 740.1m / FCF TTM 245.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -34.13% (Net Income -1.48b / Total Assets 3.95b)
RoE = -90.46% (Net Income TTM -1.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.63b)
RoCE = -38.70% (EBIT -1.21b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.63b + L.T.Debt 1.50b))
 RoIC = -28.28% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -909.6m / Invested Capital 3.22b)
 WACC = 4.30% (E(691.7m)/V(2.78b) * Re(9.90%) + D(2.09b)/V(2.78b) * Rd(3.26%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 49.44 | Cagr: 4.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈534.2m ; Y1≈468.4m ; Y5≈378.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 39.24 (EV 6.07b - Net Debt 740.1m = Equity 5.33b / Shares 135.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -4.02 | Revenue CAGR: -1.03% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=-1.06 | Chg30d=+11.84% | Revisions=-60% | GrowthEPS=+88.7% | GrowthRev=-5.1%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=+198.86% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+112.2% | GrowthRev=+17.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -60%