UBI Stock Analysis: Ubisoft Entertainment | PA

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | PA, France | Market Cap: 715m EUR | 12M Return: -48.2% | FR0000054470 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Action Adventure, Open World, Tactical Shooter, Rhythm Game
Total Rating 21
Safety 40
Buy Signal -0.42
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
Industry Rotation: +14.2
Market Cap: 805M
Avg Turnover: 3.07M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility60.8%
VaR 5th Pctl8.86%
VaR vs Median-8.33%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.49
Rel. Str. IBD16.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group21.4
Character TTM
Beta0.553
Beta Downside0.741
Hurst Exponent0.426
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD87.46%
CAGR/Max DD-0.49
CAGR/Mean DD-0.72

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -3.6% 21
Feb +2.1% 10
Mar -0.8% 10
Apr +6.5% 47
May +5.6% 45
Jun -2.7% 21
Jul +3.0% 33
Aug -2.1% 19
Sep -1.2% 14
Oct -7.8% 42
Nov -0.8% 16
Dec -1.3% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: UBI Ubisoft Entertainment

Ubisoft Entertainment is a French video game company founded in 1986 and headquartered in Saint-Mandé, France. It operates across the full value chain of the gaming industry, producing, publishing, distributing, and operating video games for consoles, PC, smartphones, and tablets in both physical and digital formats. Its core activities include designing scenarios, animation, gameplay, layouts, and game rules, as well as developing proprietary design tools and game engines. The company sells its products primarily in Europe, North America, and other international markets.

The company operates within the Interactive Home Entertainment sub-industry (Communication Services sector), a segment that generates revenue through a mix of one-time game sales, downloadable content, in-game microtransactions, and subscription or live-service models. Many publishers in this space rely on flagship franchises and recurring digital revenue streams to offset the long development cycles and high production costs typical of modern game development.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Assassins Creed Shadows launch lifts net bookings guidance
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  • Cost reduction program targets €200 million in fixed cost savings
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: -1.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -14.35 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 47.68% < 20% (prev 35.66%; Δ 12.01% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 280.4m > Net Income -1.48b
Net Debt (710.1m) to EBITDA (376.1m): 1.89 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.56 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (132.3m) vs 12m ago -22.86% < -2%
Gross Margin: -25.71% > 18% (prev 89.33%; Δ -115.0% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 32.29% > 50% (prev 40.41%; Δ -8.12% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -12.71 > 6 (EBIT TTM -1.21b / Interest Expense TTM 95.4m)
Altman Z'' -1.39
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 1.85b - Total Current Liabilities 1.19b) / Total Assets 3.95b
B: -0.37 (Retained Earnings -1.48b / Total Assets 3.95b)
C: -0.28 (EBIT TTM -1.21b / Avg Total Assets 4.32b)
D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 1.47b / Total Liabilities 2.55b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.39 = CCC
Beneish M -3.23
DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 453.9m/494.7m, Revenue 1.40b/1.90b)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.72 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.61)
SGI: 0.73 (Revenue 1.40b / 1.90b)
TATA: -0.44 (NI -1.48b - CFO 280.4m) / TA 3.95b)
Beneish M = -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of UBI shares?

As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 5.03 with a total of 465,856 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.81%, over one month by +3.07%, over three months by -16.36% and over the past year by -48.16%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 4.50 (which is 10.5% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).

Is UBI a buy, sell or hold?

Ubisoft Entertainment has no consensus analysts rating.

Ubisoft Entertainment (UBI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 804.9m (715.3m EUR * 1.1253 EUR.USD)
P/E Forward = 20.7039
P/S = 0.5125
P/B = 0.7656
P/EG = 2.3907
Revenue TTM = 1.40b EUR
EBIT TTM = -1.21b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 376.1m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.06b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 518.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.06b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 261.2m
Net Debt = 710.1m EUR (calculated: Debt 2.06b - CCE 1.35b)
Enterprise Value = 1.43b EUR (715.3m + Debt 2.06b - CCE 1.35b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -12.71 (Ebit TTM -1.21b / Interest Expense TTM 95.4m)
EV/FCF = 5.80x (Enterprise Value 1.43b / FCF TTM 245.6m)
FCF Yield = 17.23% (FCF TTM 245.6m / Enterprise Value 1.43b)
FCF Margin = 17.60% (FCF TTM 245.6m / Revenue TTM 1.40b)
Net Margin = -105.7% (Net Income TTM -1.48b / Revenue TTM 1.40b)
Gross Margin = -25.71% ((Revenue TTM 1.40b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.75b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -91.94% (prev 48.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.36 (Enterprise Value 1.43b / Total Assets 3.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.64% (Interest Expense 95.4m / Debt 2.06b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = -909.6m (EBIT -1.21b * (1 - 25.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 1.85b / Total Current Liabilities 1.19b)
Debt / Equity = 1.40 (Debt 2.06b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.89 (Net Debt 710.1m / EBITDA 376.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.89 (Net Debt 710.1m / FCF TTM 245.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -34.13% (Net Income -1.48b / Total Assets 3.95b)
RoE = -90.46% (Net Income TTM -1.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.63b)
RoCE = -45.03% (EBIT -1.21b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.63b + L.T.Debt 1.06b))
 RoIC = -28.36% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -909.6m / Invested Capital 3.21b)
 WACC = 4.63% (E(715.3m)/V(2.77b) * Re(7.93%) + D(2.06b)/V(2.77b) * Rd(4.64%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 25.86 | Cagr: 4.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈534.2m ; Y1≈468.4m ; Y5≈378.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 38.60 (EV 6.07b - Net Debt 710.1m = Equity 5.36b / Shares 139.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -4.02 | Revenue CAGR: -1.03% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=-6.64 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-1085.9% | GrowthRev=-20.0%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=-1.12 | Chg30d=-0.33% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+88.0% | GrowthRev=-7.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=0, down=3)