(UBI) Ubisoft Entertainment - Overview
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | Exchange: PA (France) | Market Cap: 691m EUR | Total Return: -53.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -0.5
Avg Turnover: 5.91M
Warnings
Altman Z'' 0.70 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Fakeout
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Ubisoft Entertainment SA is a French video game publisher and developer that manages a global portfolio of interactive entertainment across consoles, PCs, and mobile devices. Founded in 1986, the company maintains a vertically integrated business model, overseeing the entire lifecycle of its titles from initial software engineering and engine development to international distribution.
The Interactive Home Entertainment sector has increasingly shifted toward a Games as a Service (GaaS) model, where companies prioritize recurring revenue through digital updates and in-game purchases over one-time physical sales. Ubisoft operates in a highly hits-driven industry where the success of major franchises and proprietary game engines serves as a primary barrier to entry against smaller competitors.
Investors can evaluate the company’s long-term valuation trends and financial health by reviewing the detailed metrics available on ValueRay.
- Back-catalog performance and live-service recurring revenue stabilize long-term cash flows
- Major franchise delays or underperformance impact annual net bookings and share price
- Tencents ownership stake and potential buyout rumors drive significant equity volatility
- High research and development costs for AAA titles pressure operating profit margins
- Shift toward mobile and free-to-play markets diversifies global player acquisition strategy
| Net Income: -128.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.32 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 43.07 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.41% < 20% (prev 23.02%; Δ -18.61% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.34 > 3% & CFO 1.45b > Net Income -128.3m |
| Net Debt (1.65b) to EBITDA (563.9m): 2.92 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.18 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (131.2m) vs 12m ago 6.49% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 83.67% > 18% (prev 0.48%; Δ 8.32k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.73% > 50% (prev 60.35%; Δ 28.38% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.47 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 563.9m / Interest Expense TTM 108.0m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 1.14b - Total Current Liabilities 959.2m) / Total Assets 4.31b |
| B: -0.04 (Retained Earnings -161.3m / Total Assets 4.31b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 158.7m / Avg Total Assets 4.53b) |
| D: 0.30 (Book Value of Equity 835.5m / Total Liabilities 2.75b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.70 = B |
| DSRI: 0.52 (Receivables 388.3m/527.9m, Revenue 4.02b/2.87b) |
| GMI: 0.57 (GM 83.67% / 47.77%) |
| AQI: 1.31 (AQ_t 0.65 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 1.40 (Revenue 4.02b / 2.87b) |
| TATA: -0.37 (NI -128.3m - CFO 1.45b) / TA 4.31b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.71 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.40%, over one month by -4.49%, over three months by +16.76% and over the past year by -53.41%.
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
P/E Forward = 9.8425
P/S = 0.3663
P/B = 0.4208
P/EG = 2.3907
Revenue TTM = 4.02b EUR
EBIT TTM = 158.7m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 563.9m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.50b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 359.6m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.31b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.65b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.79b EUR (690.6m + Debt 2.31b - CCE 209.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.47 (Ebit TTM 158.7m / Interest Expense TTM 108.0m)
EV/FCF = 2.03x (Enterprise Value 2.79b / FCF TTM 1.38b)
FCF Yield = 49.35% (FCF TTM 1.38b / Enterprise Value 2.79b)
FCF Margin = 34.29% (FCF TTM 1.38b / Revenue TTM 4.02b)
Net Margin = -3.19% (Net Income TTM -128.3m / Revenue TTM 4.02b)
Gross Margin = 83.67% ((Revenue TTM 4.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 656.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.57% (prev 90.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.65 (Enterprise Value 2.79b / Total Assets 4.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.08% (Interest Expense 48.1m / Debt 2.31b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (EU avg default 25%)
NOPAT = 119.0m (EBIT 158.7m * (1 - 25.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.18 (Total Current Assets 1.14b / Total Current Liabilities 959.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.48 (Debt 2.31b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.92 (Net Debt 1.65b / EBITDA 563.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.19 (Net Debt 1.65b / FCF TTM 1.38b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.83% (Net Income -128.3m / Total Assets 4.31b)
RoE = -7.40% (Net Income TTM -128.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.73b)
RoCE = 4.90% (EBIT 158.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.73b + L.T.Debt 1.50b))
RoIC = 4.33% (NOPAT 119.0m / Invested Capital 2.75b)
WACC = 3.37% (E(690.6m)/V(3.00b) * Re(9.46%) + D(2.31b)/V(3.00b) * Rd(2.08%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 25.01 | Cagr: 1.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈1.38b ; Y1≈905.6m ; Y5≈414.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 85.33 (EV 13.15b - Net Debt 1.65b = Equity 11.50b / Shares 134.8m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 54.34 | Revenue CAGR: 14.11% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0