(UBI) Ubisoft Entertainment - Ratings and Ratios
Video, Game, Franchise, IP, Digital
Description: UBI Ubisoft Entertainment
Ubisoft Entertainment is a French company listed on the stock exchange with the ticker symbol UBI, operating in the Interactive Home Entertainment sub-industry as classified by GICS. The companys stock is currently trading at €9.16, indicating a potential undervaluation given its 52-week high of €17.50 and a market capitalization of €1.157 billion.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stocks current price is at its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), suggesting a balance between short-term bulls and bears. However, it is below its 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating potential longer-term bearish trends. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.25 represents a 2.69% daily price range, signaling moderate volatility. The negative beta of -0.260 implies that the stock tends to move in the opposite direction of the overall market, potentially making it a hedge in a diversified portfolio.
Fundamentally, Ubisofts negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -6.62% is a concern, suggesting the company is currently unprofitable for its shareholders. The forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.70 indicates market expectations of future profitability. Key drivers for Ubisofts stock performance include the success of its game releases, the competitive landscape of the gaming industry, and broader trends in consumer entertainment spending. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to watch include revenue growth, gross margin, and the pipeline of upcoming game titles.
Economic drivers influencing Ubisofts performance include consumer spending on entertainment, technological advancements in gaming (such as cloud gaming and virtual reality), and global macroeconomic conditions. The companys ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, manage its development costs, and navigate the competitive landscape will be crucial. Investors should monitor Ubisofts quarterly earnings reports, game release schedules, and industry trends to assess its future prospects.
UBI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,363m |
| Sub-Industry | Interactive Home Entertainment |
| IPO / Inception |
UBI Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -87.4% |
| Fundamental | 69.8% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -40.8% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
UBI Dividends
Currently no dividends paidUBI Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -52% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -83.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -96.3% |
| CAGR 5y | -32.28% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.44 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -1.04 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.34 |
| Alpha | 0.01 |
| Beta | 0.798 |
| Volatility | 45.47% |
| Current Volume | 325.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 351.4k |
| Stop Loss | 7.9 (-4.8%) |
| Signal | -0.93 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (-1.20m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 252.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.21 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 18.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 16.13% (prev 23.89%; Δ -7.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.33 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.55b > Net Income -1.20m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.18b) to EBITDA (726.5m) ratio: 1.62 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (127.2m) change vs 12m ago 3.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 83.45% (prev 56.47%; Δ 26.98pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 88.86% (prev 58.14%; Δ 30.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.86 (EBITDA TTM 726.5m / Interest Expense TTM 156.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.64
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 1.67b - Total Current Liabilities 990.2m) / Total Assets 4.70b |
| (B) -0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -159.0m / Total Assets 4.70b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 291.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.73b |
| (D) 0.37 = Book Value of Equity 1.08b / Total Liabilities 2.90b |
| Total Rating: 1.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.83
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 32.88% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.05% = 6.01 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.07 = 1.96 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.64 = -1.21 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.40)% = 1.75 |
| 7. RoE -0.07% = -0.01 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 45.07% = 3.38 |
| 9. EPS Trend 18.97% = 0.95 |
What is the price of UBI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.11%, over one month by -9.41%, over three months by -10.10% and over the past year by -29.87%.
Is Ubisoft Entertainment a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of UBI is around 5.39 EUR . This means that UBI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -35.06%.
Is UBI a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the UBI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.5 | 50.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.8 | -30.4% |
UBI Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap EUR = 1.15b (1.15b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 0.0 EUR (last quarter)
P/E Forward = 20.7039
P/S = 0.6074
P/B = 0.6266
P/EG = 2.3907
Beta = -0.253
Revenue TTM = 4.20b EUR
EBIT TTM = 291.2m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 726.5m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.59b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 332.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.92b EUR (Calculated: Short Term 332.0m + Long Term 1.59b)
Net Debt = 1.18b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.07b EUR (1.15b + Debt 1.92b - CCE 0.0)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.86 (Ebit TTM 291.2m / Interest Expense TTM 156.4m)
FCF Yield = 32.88% (FCF TTM 1.01b / Enterprise Value 3.07b)
FCF Margin = 24.05% (FCF TTM 1.01b / Revenue TTM 4.20b)
Net Margin = -0.03% (Net Income TTM -1.20m / Revenue TTM 4.20b)
Gross Margin = 83.45% ((Revenue TTM 4.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 695.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.84 (Enterprise Value 3.07b / Book Value Of Equity 1.08b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.88% (Interest Expense 55.2m / Debt 1.92b)
Taxrate = 45.86% (74.3m / 162.0m)
NOPAT = 157.6m (EBIT 291.2m * (1 - 45.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 1.67b / Total Current Liabilities 990.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.07 (Debt 1.92b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.64 (Net Debt 1.18b / EBITDA 726.5m)
Debt / FCF = 1.90 (Debt 1.92b / FCF TTM 1.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.74b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.03% (Net Income -1.20m, Total Assets 4.70b )
RoE = -0.07% (Net Income TTM -1.20m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.74b)
RoCE = 8.76% (Ebit 291.2m / (Equity 1.74b + L.T.Debt 1.59b))
RoIC = 5.73% (NOPAT 157.6m / Invested Capital 2.75b)
WACC = 4.32% (E(1.15b)/V(3.07b) * Re(8.93%)) + (D(1.92b)/V(3.07b) * Rd(2.88%) * (1-Tc(0.46)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 9.23 | Cagr: 0.27%
Discount Rate = 8.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.55% ; FCFE base≈669.0m ; Y1≈439.2m ; Y5≈200.8m
Fair Price DCF = 25.78 (DCF Value 3.42b / Shares Outstanding 132.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 18.97 | EPS CAGR: 63.30% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 45.07 | Revenue CAGR: 34.44% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None