VIV Stock Analysis: Vivendi | PA

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | PA, France | Market Cap: 1.552m EUR | 12M Return: -49.2% | FR0000127771 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Video Games, Music, Television, Publishing
Total Rating 28
Safety 80
Buy Signal -0.27
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
Industry Rotation: +5.4
Market Cap: 1.78B
Avg Turnover: 3.60M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.5%
VaR 5th Pctl5.21%
VaR vs Median-7.66%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.49
Rel. Str. IBD2.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group1.7
Character TTM
Beta0.063
Beta Downside-0.023
Hurst Exponent0.525
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD86.41%
CAGR/Max DD-0.50
CAGR/Mean DD-0.88
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of VIV over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.27, "2021-12": -0.3336, "2022-03": 0, "2022-06": 0.47, "2022-09": 0, "2022-12": -0.07, "2023-03": 0.3513, "2023-06": 0.3513, "2023-09": 0.2811, "2023-12": -0.2986, "2024-03": 0, "2024-06": 0.16, "2024-09": -0.1542, "2024-12": -0.0925, "2025-03": -0.017, "2025-06": -0.0113, "2025-09": -0.0094, "2025-12": -0.01, "2026-03": 0, "2026-06": null,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of VIV over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 2161.5, 2021-12: 1351, 2022-03: 2264.5, 2022-06: 4873, 2022-09: 2533, 2022-12: 2533, 2023-03: 2349, 2023-06: 2349, 2023-09: 2906, 2023-12: 2906, 2024-03: 4526, 2024-06: 4526, 2024-09: null, 2024-12: 0, 2025-03: 72.5, 2025-06: 72.5, 2025-09: null, 2025-12: 162, 2026-03: null, 2026-06: 140,
Rev. CAGR: -64.83%
Rev. Trend: -70.7%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E Ratio 77.8
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.4% 10
Feb -1.3% 20
Mar -3.8% 48
Apr +7.9% 21
May +3.6% 23
Jun -2.3% 23
Jul -0.4% 10
Aug +0.2% 25
Sep -0.5% 17
Oct +0.0% 2
Nov -0.8% 14
Dec +1.0% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: VIV Vivendi

Vivendi SE is a French-headquartered media and entertainment conglomerate founded in 1853, operating across Europe, North America, Asia Pacific, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. Its diversified business model spans several segments of the communication services sector, including video game development (across mobile, PC, and consoles), recorded music and music publishing, online sports betting, Spanish-language media and education, publishing, travel retail, and commercial television broadcasting.

The companys broad portfolio of content production, distribution, and monetization activities places it within the Movies & Entertainment sub-industry, though its gaming (notably through its stake in Ubisoft) and music operations extend its reach into adjacent segments of the broader entertainment value chain.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Universal Music Group streaming revenue and margin expansion
  • Havas advertising revenue pressured by European macro slowdown
  • Canal+ subscriber growth offsets rising content costs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0
Net Income: 18.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.16 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -110.3% < 20% (prev -237.9%; Δ 127.7% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 7.00m > Net Income 18.0m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.49 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (933.3m) vs 12m ago -6.30% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.48% > 18% (prev 30.34%; Δ -2.86% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 4.24% > 50% (prev 1.98%; Δ 2.26% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.39 > 6 (EBIT TTM -96.0m / Interest Expense TTM 69.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.28
A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 317.0m - Total Current Liabilities 650.0m) / Total Assets 6.91b
B: 0.48 (Retained Earnings 3.32b / Total Assets 6.91b)
C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -96.0m / Avg Total Assets 7.12b)
D: 2.02 (Book Value of Equity 4.62b / Total Liabilities 2.29b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.28 = A
Beneish M -2.44
DSRI: 0.65 (Receivables 131.0m/97.0m, Revenue 302.0m/145.0m)
GMI: 1.10 (GM 30.34% / 27.48%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.95 / AQ_t-1 0.94)
SGI: 2.08 (Revenue 302.0m / 145.0m)
TATA: 0.00 (NI 18.0m - CFO 7.00m) / TA 6.91b)
Beneish M = -2.44 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of VIV shares?

As of September 22, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 1.52 with a total of 1,489,017 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.29%, over one month by -9.95%, over three months by -31.83% and over the past year by -49.19%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 1.40 (which is 7.9% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is VIV a buy, sell or hold?

Vivendi has no consensus analysts rating.

Vivendi (VIV) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.78b (1.55b EUR * 1.1476 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 77.8
P/E Forward = 10.8696
P/S = 5.1383
P/B = 0.3302
P/EG = 1.6331
Revenue TTM = 302.0m EUR
EBIT TTM = -96.0m EUR
EBITDA TTM = -69.0m EUR
Long Term Debt = 1.35b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 437.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.82b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 25.0m
Net Debt = 1.64b EUR (calculated: Debt 1.82b - CCE 185.0m)
Enterprise Value = 3.19b EUR (1.55b + Debt 1.82b - CCE 185.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.39 (Ebit TTM -96.0m / Interest Expense TTM 69.0m)
EV/FCF = 177.2x (Enterprise Value 3.19b / FCF TTM 18.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.56% (FCF TTM 18.0m / Enterprise Value 3.19b)
FCF Margin = 5.96% (FCF TTM 18.0m / Revenue TTM 302.0m)
Net Margin = 5.96% (Net Income TTM 18.0m / Revenue TTM 302.0m)
Gross Margin = 27.48% ((Revenue TTM 302.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 219.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.57% (prev 30.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.46 (Enterprise Value 3.19b / Total Assets 6.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.78% (Interest Expense 69.0m / Debt 1.82b)
Taxrate = 3.45% (1.00m / 29.0m)
NOPAT = -92.7m (EBIT -96.0m * (1 - 3.45%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 317.0m / Total Current Liabilities 650.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 1.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.62b)
 Debt / EBITDA = -23.74 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.64b / EBITDA -69.0m)
 Debt / FCF = 91.0 (Net Debt 1.64b / FCF TTM 18.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.25% (Net Income 18.0m / Total Assets 6.91b)
RoE = 0.38% (Net Income TTM 18.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.71b)
RoCE = -1.58% (EBIT -96.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.71b + L.T.Debt 1.35b))
 RoIC = -1.39% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -92.7m / Invested Capital 6.68b)
 WACC = 4.85% (E(1.55b)/V(3.37b) * Re(6.25%) + D(1.82b)/V(3.37b) * Rd(3.78%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 6.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -78.45 | Cagr: -4.14%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈18.0m ; Y1≈18.1m ; Y5≈19.1m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 297.8m - Net Debt 1.64b = -1.34b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -70.71 | Revenue CAGR: -64.83% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=-10.29% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+5.3% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-5.97% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+57.8% | GrowthRev=+2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +15% (up=6, down=4)