8TRA Stock Analysis: Traton SE | ST
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 194.200m SEK | 12M Return: 15.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 44.2M
EPS Trend: 79.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -53.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Traton SE is a German commercial vehicle manufacturer headquartered in Munich, founded in 2015 and majority-owned by Volkswagen. The company operates through five segments-Scania Vehicles and Services, MAN Truck & Bus, International Motors, Volkswagen Truck & Bus, and TRATON Financial Services-selling heavy-duty trucks, light commercial vehicles, buses, vans, and diesel and gas engines under the MAN, Scania, International, and Volkswagen Truck & Bus brands. Its geographic footprint spans Europe, North America, South America, and other international markets.
Beyond vehicle production, Traton offers after-sales services, digital logistics solutions through its RIO cloud platform, custom digital services, and operates charging stations for commercial vehicles. It also provides financing, insurance, and leasing through its financial services arm. The company uses a multi-brand strategy, allowing it to serve different customer segments and regions with distinct brand identities under one corporate structure.
As a major player in heavy transportation equipment, Traton operates in a cyclical industry tied to freight demand and economic activity. The commercial vehicle sector is currently undergoing a transition toward electrification and connected fleet services, areas where Traton is investing through its charging infrastructure and RIO digital platform.
- European heavy truck orders recover as freight demand rebounds
- International Motors margins pressured by weak US Class 8 demand
- BEV transition capex weighs on Scania and MAN profitability
| Net Income: 1.31b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.26% < 20% (prev 1.96%; Δ -4.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 724.6m > Net Income 1.31b |
| Net Debt (25.6b) to EBITDA (5.49b): 4.67 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.96 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (500.0m) vs 12m ago -0.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.69% > 18% (prev 21.00%; Δ -1.31% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.35% > 50% (prev 69.56%; Δ -5.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.23 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.11b / Interest Expense TTM 499.2m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 23.7b - Total Current Liabilities 24.7b) / Total Assets 69.4b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 9.29b / Total Assets 69.4b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 2.11b / Avg Total Assets 68.0b) |
| D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 18.9b / Total Liabilities 50.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.95 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 12.5b/11.9b, Revenue 43.7b/46.3b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 21.00% / 19.69%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 43.7b / 46.3b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 1.31b - CFO 724.6m) / TA 69.4b) |
| Beneish M = -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 384.60 with a total of 70,879 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.05%, over one month by +10.51%, over three months by +9.17% and over the past year by +15.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 353.80 (which is 8% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Traton SE has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap EUR = 17.6b (194b SEK * 0.0905 SEK.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 13.4116
P/E Forward = 8.1566
P/S = 4.4463
P/B = 0.9146
Revenue TTM = 43.7b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.11b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 5.49b EUR
Long Term Debt = 16.0b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 9.35b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 28.6b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.27b
Net Debt = 25.6b EUR (calculated: Debt 28.6b - CCE 3.00b)
Enterprise Value = 43.2b EUR (17.6b + Debt 28.6b - CCE 3.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.23 (Ebit TTM 2.11b / Interest Expense TTM 499.2m)
EV/FCF = -20.31x (Enterprise Value 43.2b / FCF TTM -2.13b)
FCF Yield = -4.92% (FCF TTM -2.13b / Enterprise Value 43.2b)
FCF Margin = -4.86% (FCF TTM -2.13b / Revenue TTM 43.7b)
Net Margin = 2.99% (Net Income TTM 1.31b / Revenue TTM 43.7b)
Gross Margin = 19.69% ((Revenue TTM 43.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 35.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.68% (prev 24.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 43.2b / Total Assets 69.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.74% (Interest Expense 499.2m / Debt 28.6b)
Taxrate = 22.64% (381.9m / 1.69b)
NOPAT = 1.63b (EBIT 2.11b * (1 - 22.64%))
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 23.7b / Total Current Liabilities 24.7b)
Debt / Equity = 1.51 (Debt 28.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.67 (Net Debt 25.6b / EBITDA 5.49b)
Debt / FCF = -12.05 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 25.6b / FCF TTM -2.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.2b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.92% (Net Income 1.31b / Total Assets 69.4b)
RoE = 7.18% (Net Income TTM 1.31b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.2b)
RoCE = 6.16% (EBIT 2.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.2b + L.T.Debt 16.0b))
RoIC = 3.15% (NOPAT 1.63b / Invested Capital 51.9b)
WACC = 4.47% (E(17.6b)/V(46.2b) * Re(9.57%) + D(28.6b)/V(46.2b) * Rd(1.74%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -2.77 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -2.13b)
EPS Correlation: 79.58 | EPS CAGR: 35.52% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -53.78 | Revenue CAGR: -1.83% | SUE: -1.27 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=7.59 | Chg30d=+7.91% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=10.66 | Chg30d=+1.55% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=53.12 | Chg30d=+18.68% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+35.8% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=64.86 | Chg30d=+6.82% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+22.1% | GrowthRev=+6.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)