8TRA Stock Analysis: Traton SE | ST
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 186.500m SEK | 12M Return: 32.9% | DE000TRAT0N7 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 33.1M
EPS Trend: 74.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -77.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 7.2 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Traton SE is a German-based commercial vehicle manufacturer and a subsidiary of Volkswagen International Luxemburg S.A. The company operates through multiple well-known brands, including MAN, Scania, International, and Volkswagen Truck & Bus, and is organized into segments covering vehicle production, services, and financial services such as financing, leasing, and insurance for commercial vehicles. Its product portfolio spans heavy-duty trucks, light commercial vehicles, construction vehicles, buses (including school buses under the IC Bus brand), vans, and diesel and gas engines, complemented by after-sales services, digital logistics platforms like RIO, and commercial vehicle charging infrastructure. The business has a global footprint, with operations across Europe, North America, South America, and other international markets, and serves both passenger and freight transport customers.
As a major player in the Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry, Traton benefits from its multi-brand strategy, which allows it to address different regional markets and customer segments. The growing emphasis on electrification and digital services in the commercial vehicle sector is reflected in its investments in charging stations for commercial vehicles and cloud-based logistics platforms.
- European heavy truck orders decline on weak freight demand
- EV transition costs pressure margins amid Daimler and Volvo competition
- TRATON Financial Services income falls as interest rates decline
| Net Income: 1.77b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.64% < 20% (prev -4.03%; Δ 3.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 689.6m > Net Income 1.77b |
| Net Debt (26.8b) to EBITDA (6.27b): 4.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (500.0m) vs 12m ago -0.21% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.09% > 18% (prev 20.55%; Δ -0.45% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.06% > 50% (prev 69.21%; Δ -5.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.86 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.89b / Interest Expense TTM 594.2m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 25.5b - Total Current Liabilities 25.8b) / Total Assets 71.6b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 9.52b / Total Assets 71.6b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 2.89b / Avg Total Assets 69.0b) |
| D: 0.37 (Book Value of Equity 19.2b / Total Liabilities 52.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.07 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 13.7b/12.0b, Revenue 44.2b/46.0b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 20.55% / 20.09%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.42 / AQ_t-1 0.42) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 44.2b / 46.0b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 1.77b - CFO 689.6m) / TA 71.6b) |
| Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 376.80 with a total of 92,960 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.48%, over one month by -7.96%, over three months by -1.62% and over the past year by +32.87%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 355.80 (which is 5.6% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Traton SE has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap EUR = 16.6b (187b SEK * 0.0892 SEK.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 9.6457
P/E Forward = 5.6689
P/S = 4.225
P/B = 0.9253
Revenue TTM = 44.2b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.89b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 6.27b EUR
Long Term Debt = 16.0b EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 10.1b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.2b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.27b
Net Debt = 26.8b EUR (calculated: Debt 30.2b - CCE 3.37b)
Enterprise Value = 43.5b EUR (16.6b + Debt 30.2b - CCE 3.37b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.86 (Ebit TTM 2.89b / Interest Expense TTM 594.2m)
EV/FCF = -21.08x (Enterprise Value 43.5b / FCF TTM -2.06b)
FCF Yield = -4.74% (FCF TTM -2.06b / Enterprise Value 43.5b)
FCF Margin = -4.66% (FCF TTM -2.06b / Revenue TTM 44.2b)
Net Margin = 4.00% (Net Income TTM 1.77b / Revenue TTM 44.2b)
Gross Margin = 20.09% ((Revenue TTM 44.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 35.3b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.83% (prev 15.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 43.5b / Total Assets 71.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.97% (Interest Expense 594.2m / Debt 30.2b)
Taxrate = 25.43% (602.9m / 2.37b)
NOPAT = 2.16b (EBIT 2.89b * (1 - 25.43%))
Current Ratio = 0.99 (Total Current Assets 25.5b / Total Current Liabilities 25.8b)
Debt / Equity = 1.57 (Debt 30.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.28 (Net Debt 26.8b / EBITDA 6.27b)
Debt / FCF = -13.01 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 26.8b / FCF TTM -2.06b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.56% (Net Income 1.77b / Total Assets 71.6b)
RoE = 9.48% (Net Income TTM 1.77b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.7b)
RoCE = 8.32% (EBIT 2.89b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.7b + L.T.Debt 16.0b))
RoIC = 4.02% (NOPAT 2.16b / Invested Capital 53.7b)
WACC = 3.94% (E(16.6b)/V(46.8b) * Re(8.44%) + D(30.2b)/V(46.8b) * Rd(1.97%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -6.31 | Cagr: -0.12%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -2.06b)
EPS Correlation: 74.62 | EPS CAGR: 31.36% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -77.71 | Revenue CAGR: -2.78% | SUE: 1.15 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=12.11 | Chg30d=-17.52% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=59.99 | Chg30d=+12.80% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+53.3% | GrowthRev=+5.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=66.32 | Chg30d=+2.15% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+10.6% | GrowthRev=+7.6%