(ADTR) Adtraction - Ratings and Ratios
Performance, Marketing, Network, Advertising, Platform, Affiliate, Influencer
ADTR EPS (Earnings per Share)
ADTR Revenue
Description: ADTR Adtraction
Adtraction Group AB is a European advertising powerhouse that has been connecting advertisers with a diverse array of partners, including digital media outlets, influencers, and price comparison sites, since its inception in 2007. Headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, the company has established itself as a key player in the online advertising landscape, leveraging its platform to drive sales for its clients. With a strong focus on innovation, Adtraction is well-positioned to capitalize on the rapidly evolving digital advertising market.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock has exhibited a relatively stable trading pattern, with a 20-day simple moving average (SMA20) of 30.99 and a 50-day simple moving moving average (SMA50) of 30.50, indicating a potential bullish crossover. The average true range (ATR) of 0.96, representing 3.05% of the last price, suggests moderate volatility. Given the current price of 31.40, and the 52-week high and low of 39.91 and 28.30, respectively, it appears that the stock is poised for a potential breakout. A forecast based on the technical data suggests that the stock may be due for a reversion to its SMA200 at 32.96, potentially driven by a resumption of the broader market trend.
From a fundamental perspective, Adtractions market capitalization of 531.43M SEK and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 11.35 suggest that the company is relatively undervalued, especially considering its growth potential. The negative return on equity (RoE) of -7.47 indicates that the company has faced challenges in generating profits, potentially due to the competitive nature of the digital advertising market. However, the lack of a trailing P/E ratio suggests that the company may have reported losses in the past, and is now poised for a rebound. A forecast based on the fundamental data suggests that the companys improving profitability, driven by its expanding client base and increasing demand for digital advertising, may drive the stock price higher, potentially by 10-15% in the next 6-12 months.
Combining the insights from both technical and fundamental analysis, a potential trading strategy for ADTR could involve buying the stock on a pullback to the SMA50, with a target price of 35-40, representing a 12-27% upside from the current price. However, this strategy is contingent upon a broader market trend reversal and a sustained improvement in the companys profitability. As such, it is essential to monitor the companys financial performance and adjust the forecast accordingly.
ADTR Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 50m |
Sub-Industry | Advertising |
IPO / Inception |
ADTR Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -58.7% |
Fundamental | 51.3% |
Dividend Rating | 21.4% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -18.5% |
Analyst Rating | - |
ADTR Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 6.11% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 3.21% |
Annual Growth 5y | -29.29% |
Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
Payout Ratio | 82.6% |
ADTR Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -10.8% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -79.5% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -49% |
CAGR 5y | -15.12% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.27 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.12 |
Alpha | -7.03 |
Beta | -0.205 |
Volatility | 63.50% |
Current Volume | 7.3k |
Average Volume 20d | 16.4k |
Stop Loss | 32.2 (-5%) |
Signal | -2.12 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
Net Income (-22.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 70.9m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 5.07% (prev 6.24%; Δ -1.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 66.1m > Net Income -22.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (-100.6m) to EBITDA (51.6m) ratio: -1.95 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.28 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (16.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 11.13% (prev 14.78%; Δ -3.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 234.6% (prev 242.1%; Δ -7.57pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio -279.6 (EBITDA TTM 51.6m / Interest Expense TTM 69.8k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.75
(A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 275.5m - Total Current Liabilities 215.6m) / Total Assets 473.0m |
(B) 0.09 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 43.6m / Total Assets 473.0m |
(C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -19.5m / Avg Total Assets 504.0m |
(D) -0.12 = Book Value of Equity -27.9m / Total Liabilities 234.9m |
Total Rating: 0.75 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.29
1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
2. FCF Yield 10.62% = 5.0 |
3. FCF Margin 5.52% = 1.38 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.99 = 2.03 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 4.55 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC data missing |
7. RoE -8.37% = -1.40 |
8. Rev. Trend 11.29% = 0.56 |
9. Rev. CAGR 3.40% = 0.42 |
10. EPS Trend -68.51% = -1.71 |
11. EPS CAGR -50.92% = -2.50 |
What is the price of ADTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.35%, over one month by +13.76%, over three months by +18.12% and over the past year by -4.70%.
Is Adtraction a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ADTR is around 31.01 SEK . This means that ADTR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -8.53%.
Is ADTR a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ADTR price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 30 | -11.5% |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 33.6 | -1% |
ADTR Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap SEK = 479.9m (479.9m SEK * 1.0 SEK.SEK)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 100.6m SEK (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 10.7066
P/S = 0.406
P/B = 2.026
Beta = 1.196
Revenue TTM = 1.18b SEK
EBIT TTM = -19.5m SEK
EBITDA TTM = 51.6m SEK
Long Term Debt = 19.3m SEK (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 215.6m SEK (from totalCurrentLiabilities, last quarter)
Debt = 234.9m SEK (Calculated: Short Term 215.6m + Long Term 19.3m)
Net Debt = -100.6m SEK (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 614.2m SEK (479.9m + Debt 234.9m - CCE 100.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -279.6 (Ebit TTM -19.5m / Interest Expense TTM 69.8k)
FCF Yield = 10.62% (FCF TTM 65.2m / Enterprise Value 614.2m)
FCF Margin = 5.52% (FCF TTM 65.2m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Net Margin = -1.88% (Net Income TTM -22.2m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Gross Margin = 11.13% ((Revenue TTM 1.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -22.03 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 614.2m / Book Value Of Equity -27.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.01% (Interest Expense 14.0k / Debt 234.9m)
Taxrate = unknown
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 275.5m / Total Current Liabilities 215.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.99 (Debt 234.9m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 236.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.55 (Net Debt -100.6m / EBITDA 51.6m)
Debt / FCF = 3.60 (Debt 234.9m / FCF TTM 65.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 265.2m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -4.69% (Net Income -22.2m, Total Assets 473.0m )
RoE = -8.37% (Net Income TTM -22.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 265.2m)
RoCE = -6.86% (Ebit -19.5m / (Equity 265.2m + L.T.Debt 19.3m))
RoIC = unknown (NOPAT none, Invested Capital 265.2m, Ebit -19.5m)
WACC = unknown (E(479.9m)/V(714.8m) * Re(5.26%)) + (D(234.9m)/V(714.8m) * Rd(0.01%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 86.60 | Cagr: 9.04%
Discount Rate = 5.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈56.1m ; Y1≈69.2m ; Y5≈118.0m
Fair Price DCF = 120.9 (DCF Value 2.01b / Shares Outstanding 16.6m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 11.29 | Revenue CAGR: 3.40%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -24.30
EPS Correlation: -68.51 | EPS CAGR: -50.92%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -66.14