AFRY Stock Analysis: Afry | ST

Engineering & Construction | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 12.129m SEK | 12M Return: -31.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Engineering Design, Energy Advisory, Infrastructure Planning, Industrial Automation
Total Rating 24
Safety 74
Buy Signal -0.98
Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: -9.7
Market Cap: 1.25B
Avg Turnover: 26.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.7%
VaR 5th Pctl5.20%
VaR vs Median-0.34%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.46
Rel. Str. IBD6.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group22.4
Character TTM
Beta0.499
Beta Downside0.722
Hurst Exponent0.513
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD44.03%
CAGR/Max DD-0.16
CAGR/Mean DD-0.42
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AFRY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 2.7, "2021-09": 2.49, "2021-12": 3.02, "2022-03": 2.34, "2022-06": 2.16, "2022-09": 1.59, "2022-12": 3.77, "2023-03": 3.85, "2023-06": 1.99, "2023-09": 1.59, "2023-12": 3.06, "2024-03": 3.41, "2024-06": 3.55, "2024-09": 1.63, "2024-12": 3.34, "2025-03": 2.492, "2025-06": 2, "2025-09": 1.47, "2025-12": 2.22, "2026-03": 2.37,
EPS CAGR: -10.24%
EPS Trend: -72.0%
Last SUE: -0.60
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of AFRY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 5177, 2021-09: 4419, 2021-12: 5508, 2022-03: 5670, 2022-06: 5975, 2022-09: 5297, 2022-12: 6609, 2023-03: 6916, 2023-06: 6869, 2023-09: 6059, 2023-12: 7135, 2024-03: 6891, 2024-06: 7191, 2024-09: 5993, 2024-12: 7085, 2025-03: 6749, 2025-06: 6674, 2025-09: 5687, 2025-12: 6647, 2026-03: 6325,
Rev. CAGR: -1.00%
Rev. Trend: -35.7%
Last SUE: -1.08
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.1% 15
Feb -0.4% 2
Mar +1.7% 2
Apr +1.3% 22
May +2.4% 15
Jun -3.4% 60
Jul +0.6% 5
Aug -2.9% 54
Sep -1.8% 19
Oct -6.0% 23
Nov -2.0% 20
Dec +0.2% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AFRY Afry

Afry AB is a Sweden-based engineering, design, and advisory services firm operating across three reporting segments: Energy, Industry, and Transportation & Places. The company serves clients in infrastructure, industrial, and energy markets, with operations spanning the Nordics, North America, South America, Asia, and the rest of Europe. Its service offering covers a broad range of disciplines, including architecture and design, automation, digital and IT solutions, environmental and sustainability consulting, project management, water management, and software products, addressing end markets such as transportation infrastructure, buildings, mining and metals, pulp and paper, chemicals, life sciences, and defense.

Afry was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. It was previously known as ÅF Pöyry AB (publ) before adopting its current name in June 2021, reflecting the integration of ÅF and the former Pöyry consulting business. As an engineering and consulting firm, Afrys business model is project-based, generating revenue primarily through long-term advisory, design, and engineering assignments rather than product sales.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Energy transition backlog expands Nordic consulting order intake
  • Nordic government infrastructure spending lifts Transportation segment revenue
  • Competition from WSP and Ramboll pressures consulting margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 790.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.28 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.98% < 20% (prev 8.98%; Δ -2.00% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 2.03b > Net Income 790.0m
Net Debt (6.66b) to EBITDA (2.47b): 2.69 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.20 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (113.3m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: -10.81% > 18% (prev 41.48%; Δ -52.29% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 91.94% > 50% (prev 100.3%; Δ -8.40% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.67 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 622.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.55
A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 10.6b - Total Current Liabilities 8.88b) / Total Assets 28.2b
B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 7.09b / Total Assets 28.2b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.66b / Avg Total Assets 27.6b)
D: 0.87 (Book Value of Equity 13.1b / Total Liabilities 15.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.55 = A
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 8.51b/7.46b, Revenue 25.3b/27.0b)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.57 / AQ_t-1 0.58)
SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 25.3b / 27.0b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 790.0m - CFO 2.03b) / TA 28.2b)
Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AFRY shares?

As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 107.40 with a total of 145,477 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.61%, over one month by -3.24%, over three months by -10.34% and over the past year by -31.48%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 103.80 (which is 3.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is AFRY a buy, sell or hold?

Afry has no consensus analysts rating.

Afry (AFRY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.25b (12.1b SEK * 0.1031 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.3219
P/E Forward = 10.6952
P/S = 0.4788
P/B = 0.9732
P/EG = 1.1452
Revenue TTM = 25.3b SEK
EBIT TTM = 1.66b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 2.47b SEK
Long Term Debt = 4.74b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.92b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.79b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.32b
Net Debt = 6.66b SEK (calculated: Debt 8.79b - CCE 2.13b)
Enterprise Value = 18.8b SEK (12.1b + Debt 8.79b - CCE 2.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.67 (Ebit TTM 1.66b / Interest Expense TTM 622.0m)
EV/FCF = 9.63x (Enterprise Value 18.8b / FCF TTM 1.95b)
FCF Yield = 10.38% (FCF TTM 1.95b / Enterprise Value 18.8b)
FCF Margin = 7.70% (FCF TTM 1.95b / Revenue TTM 25.3b)
Net Margin = 3.12% (Net Income TTM 790.0m / Revenue TTM 25.3b)
Gross Margin = -10.81% ((Revenue TTM 25.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.88% (prev -132.7%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 18.8b / Total Assets 28.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.08% (Interest Expense 622.0m / Debt 8.79b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (274.0m / 1.07b)
NOPAT = 1.24b (EBIT 1.66b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 10.6b / Total Current Liabilities 8.88b)
Debt / Equity = 0.67 (Debt 8.79b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.69 (Net Debt 6.66b / EBITDA 2.47b)
Debt / FCF = 3.41 (Net Debt 6.66b / FCF TTM 1.95b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.87% (Net Income 790.0m / Total Assets 28.2b)
RoE = 6.20% (Net Income TTM 790.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.7b)
RoCE = 9.51% (EBIT 1.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.7b + L.T.Debt 4.74b))
RoIC = 6.19% (NOPAT 1.24b / Invested Capital 20.0b)
WACC = 6.70% (E(12.1b)/V(20.9b) * Re(7.74%) + D(8.79b)/V(20.9b) * Rd(7.08%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.51% ; FCFF base≈1.95b ; Y1≈1.96b ; Y5≈2.10b
[DCF] Fair Price = 238.2 (EV 32.6b - Net Debt 6.66b = Equity 26.0b / Shares 109.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.57% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -72.01 | EPS CAGR: -10.24% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -35.69 | Revenue CAGR: -1.00% | SUE: -1.08 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.64 | Chg30d=-1.53% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.11 | Chg30d=-0.67% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.96 | Chg30d=+3.16% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+33.9% | GrowthRev=-1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.55 | Chg30d=-2.96% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+23.7% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -70% (up=0, down=7)