ALFA Stock Analysis: Alfa Laval | ST
Specialty Industrial Machinery | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 234.356m SEK | 12M Return: 27.1% | SE0000695876 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 290M
EPS Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: -3
Rev. Trend: 96.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Alfa Laval AB is a Swedish industrial equipment manufacturer founded in 1883 and headquartered in Lund, operating worldwide through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean. The company supplies heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products-including heat exchangers, separators, decanters, pumps, valves, tank cleaning equipment, and ballast water management systems-to a broad range of industries such as energy, marine and transportation, food and beverage, pharma and biotech, and water and wastewater. As a diversified industrial machinery business, Alfa Laval sells engineered process components primarily to other industrial customers (B2B), with its marine and energy segments typically exposing it to more cyclical demand while the food and pharma businesses tend to be more stable.
- IMO emissions rules boost marine scrubber and ballast water orders
- Energy division benefits from data center cooling demand
- Food and Pharma orders track dairy and biotech capex
| Net Income: 8.19b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.11% < 20% (prev 16.70%; Δ -9.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 9.06b > Net Income 8.19b |
| Net Debt (19.5b) to EBITDA (14.8b): 1.32 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (413.3m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.31% > 18% (prev 36.16%; Δ 0.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 71.96% > 50% (prev 74.54%; Δ -2.58% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 21.94 > 6 (EBIT TTM 12.0b / Interest Expense TTM 547.0m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 46.9b - Total Current Liabilities 41.9b) / Total Assets 105b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 44.1b / Total Assets 105b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 12.0b / Avg Total Assets 97.9b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 45.4b / Total Liabilities 58.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.32 = A |
| DSRI: 1.14 (Receivables 23.5b/19.9b, Revenue 70.4b/67.8b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 36.16% / 36.31%) |
| AQI: 1.15 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 70.4b / 67.8b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 8.19b - CFO 9.06b) / TA 105b) |
| Beneish M = -2.80 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 560.40 with a total of 715,889 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.82%, over one month by -0.57%, over three months by +1.34% and over the past year by +27.06%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 537.80 (which is 4% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Alfa Laval has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 28.6075
P/E Forward = 21.5054
P/S = 3.3277
P/B = 5.0994
P/EG = 1.7625
Revenue TTM = 70.4b SEK
EBIT TTM = 12.0b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 14.8b SEK
Long Term Debt = 8.75b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.16b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 24.5b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.48b
Net Debt = 19.5b SEK (calculated: Debt 24.5b - CCE 4.98b)
Enterprise Value = 254b SEK (234b + Debt 24.5b - CCE 4.98b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.94 (Ebit TTM 12.0b / Interest Expense TTM 547.0m)
EV/FCF = 41.13x (Enterprise Value 254b / FCF TTM 6.17b)
FCF Yield = 2.43% (FCF TTM 6.17b / Enterprise Value 254b)
FCF Margin = 8.76% (FCF TTM 6.17b / Revenue TTM 70.4b)
Net Margin = 11.63% (Net Income TTM 8.19b / Revenue TTM 70.4b)
Gross Margin = 36.31% ((Revenue TTM 70.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 44.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.30% (prev 38.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.42 (Enterprise Value 254b / Total Assets 105b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.23% (Interest Expense 547.0m / Debt 24.5b)
Taxrate = 25.75% (2.86b / 11.1b)
NOPAT = 8.91b (EBIT 12.0b * (1 - 25.75%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 46.9b / Total Current Liabilities 41.9b)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 24.5b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.32 (Net Debt 19.5b / EBITDA 14.8b)
Debt / FCF = 3.16 (Net Debt 19.5b / FCF TTM 6.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.37% (Net Income 8.19b / Total Assets 105b)
RoE = 18.42% (Net Income TTM 8.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 44.5b)
RoCE = 22.55% (EBIT 12.0b / Capital Employed (Equity 44.5b + L.T.Debt 8.75b))
RoIC = 13.01% (NOPAT 8.91b / Invested Capital 68.5b)
WACC = 7.55% (E(234b)/V(259b) * Re(8.17%) + D(24.5b)/V(259b) * Rd(2.23%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 40.62 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈6.94b ; Y1≈6.09b ; Y5≈4.92b
[DCF] Fair Price = 143.9 (EV 79.0b - Net Debt 19.5b = Equity 59.5b / Shares 413.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.70 | EPS CAGR: 12.45% | SUE: -1.29 | # QB: -3
Revenue Correlation: 96.47 | Revenue CAGR: 4.21% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.34 | Chg30d=-1.66% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.50 | Chg30d=+0.10% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.4% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=24.77 | Chg30d=+0.81% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+15.2% | GrowthRev=+11.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)