ALFA Stock Analysis: Alfa Laval | ST
Specialty Industrial Machinery | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 230.305m SEK | 12M Return: 47.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 334M
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: 94.6%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: under 40 is mostly noise, over 50 gets interesting, and over 70 is strong.
Alfa Laval AB is a Swedish industrial company founded in 1883 and headquartered in Lund, Sweden. It specializes in heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products and solutions, serving as a key supplier of specialized components to industrial customers rather than a finished-goods producer.
The company operates through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean. Its product portfolio is broad and includes plate heat exchangers, centrifugal pumps, separators, decanters, tank cleaning equipment, hygienic fittings for sanitary processes, ballast water management systems, exhaust gas cleaning systems, and various boiler types. End markets span energy and utilities, marine and transportation, food, dairy and beverage, pharma and biotech, water and wastewater, and home and personal care.
Alfa Lavals business model is closely tied to industrial capital expenditure cycles and environmental regulation. Demand drivers include the energy transition and demand for energy-efficient heat exchange technology, IMO-driven adoption of ballast water treatment and exhaust gas cleaning in shipping, and hygiene/automation requirements in pharmaceutical and food production.
- Marine scrubber orders rebound as global shipping cycle accelerates
- Data center cooling demand lifts Energy division heat exchanger backlog
- Food and Pharma aftermarket revenue mix expands group operating margins
| Net Income: 8.18b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.93% < 20% (prev 13.55%; Δ 4.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 8.81b > Net Income 8.18b |
| Net Debt (17.5b) to EBITDA (14.5b): 1.20 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.38 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (417.2m) vs 12m ago 0.94% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.62% > 18% (prev 35.11%; Δ 1.52% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.97% > 50% (prev 78.52%; Δ -5.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 25.23 > 6 (EBIT TTM 11.9b / Interest Expense TTM 472.0m) |
| A: 0.12 (Total Current Assets 45.0b - Total Current Liabilities 32.6b) / Total Assets 102b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 44.1b / Total Assets 102b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 11.9b / Avg Total Assets 94.7b) |
| D: 0.85 (Book Value of Equity 46.8b / Total Liabilities 55.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.94 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 21.3b/19.5b, Revenue 69.1b/68.5b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 35.11% / 36.62%) |
| AQI: 1.14 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 69.1b / 68.5b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 8.18b - CFO 8.81b) / TA 102b) |
| Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 577.00 with a total of 873,021 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.95%, over one month by +13.30%, over three months by +12.64% and over the past year by +47.77%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 560.10 (which is 2.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Alfa Laval has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 28.1841
P/E Forward = 24.6305
P/S = 3.3316
P/B = 4.8257
P/EG = 3.1462
Revenue TTM = 69.1b SEK
EBIT TTM = 11.9b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 14.5b SEK
Long Term Debt = 13.9b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.75b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.8b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.84b
Net Debt = 17.5b SEK (calculated: Debt 22.8b - CCE 5.34b)
Enterprise Value = 248b SEK (230b + Debt 22.8b - CCE 5.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.23 (Ebit TTM 11.9b / Interest Expense TTM 472.0m)
EV/FCF = 39.62x (Enterprise Value 248b / FCF TTM 6.25b)
FCF Yield = 2.52% (FCF TTM 6.25b / Enterprise Value 248b)
FCF Margin = 9.05% (FCF TTM 6.25b / Revenue TTM 69.1b)
Net Margin = 11.83% (Net Income TTM 8.18b / Revenue TTM 69.1b)
Gross Margin = 36.62% ((Revenue TTM 69.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 43.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.80% (prev 33.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.42 (Enterprise Value 248b / Total Assets 102b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.07% (Interest Expense 472.0m / Debt 22.8b)
Taxrate = 25.77% (2.86b / 11.1b)
NOPAT = 8.84b (EBIT 11.9b * (1 - 25.77%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 45.0b / Total Current Liabilities 32.6b)
Debt / Equity = 0.49 (Debt 22.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 46.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.20 (Net Debt 17.5b / EBITDA 14.5b)
Debt / FCF = 2.80 (Net Debt 17.5b / FCF TTM 6.25b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 43.2b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.63% (Net Income 8.18b / Total Assets 102b)
RoE = 18.93% (Net Income TTM 8.18b / Total Stockholder Equity 43.2b)
RoCE = 20.87% (EBIT 11.9b / Capital Employed (Equity 43.2b + L.T.Debt 13.9b))
RoIC = 13.01% (NOPAT 8.84b / Invested Capital 68.0b)
WACC = 7.49% (E(230b)/V(253b) * Re(8.08%) + D(22.8b)/V(253b) * Rd(2.07%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 44.72 | Cagr: 0.42%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈7.11b ; Y1≈6.24b ; Y5≈5.04b
[DCF] Fair Price = 153.5 (EV 80.9b - Net Debt 17.5b = Equity 63.4b / Shares 413.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.39 | EPS CAGR: 15.89% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 94.56 | Revenue CAGR: 5.11% | SUE: -1.38 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=5.62 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+14% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.19 | Chg30d=+0.17% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+10.9% | GrowthRev=+2.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=24.33 | Chg30d=+0.28% | Revisions=+11% | GrowthEPS=+9.6% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +14%