ALIV-SDB Stock Analysis: Autoliv | ST
Auto Parts | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 82.612m SEK | 12M Return: -1.8% | SE0021309614 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 65.3M
EPS Trend: 79.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 80.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Autoliv, Inc. is a Sweden-based supplier of passive automotive safety systems, operating globally across the Americas, Europe, China, and Asia. Its product portfolio includes airbag modules, seatbelts, steering wheels, inflator technologies, and pedestrian protection systems, serving primarily car manufacturers. The company also extends its safety offerings to commercial vehicles and two-wheeled riders of motorcycles and bicycles. Founded in 1953 and headquartered in Stockholm, Autoliv is a major player in the automotive supplier sector, competing in a market where passive safety components are largely mandated by vehicle safety regulations in most major economies.
- Global light vehicle production trends drive passive safety demand
- China market weakness pressures regional sales growth
- Airbag and seatbelt content per vehicle expands on stricter crash safety regulation
- Steel and raw material cost inflation pressures operating margins
| Net Income: 639.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.97% < 20% (prev -2.92%; Δ 3.90% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.17b > Net Income 639.2m |
| Net Debt (1.97b) to EBITDA (1.52b): 1.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.03 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (74.2m) vs 12m ago -4.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.23% > 18% (prev 19.02%; Δ 0.21% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 136.0% > 50% (prev 123.4%; Δ 12.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.41 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 102.8m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.02b - Total Current Liabilities 3.91b) / Total Assets 8.53b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 2.25b / Total Assets 8.53b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 1.07b / Avg Total Assets 8.50b) |
| D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 2.50b / Total Liabilities 6.02b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.23 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 2.40b/2.59b, Revenue 11.6b/10.5b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 19.02% / 19.23%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 11.6b / 10.5b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 639.2m - CFO 1.17b) / TA 8.53b) |
| Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 1099.00 with a total of 45,740 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.57%, over one month by -4.52%, over three months by -3.78% and over the past year by -1.81%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 1064.20 (which is 3.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Autoliv has no consensus analysts rating.
Market Cap USD = 8.26b (82.6b SEK * 0.1 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.2878
P/E Forward = 9.9602
P/S = 7.4566
P/B = 3.4372
P/EG = 0.8452
Revenue TTM = 11.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.07b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.52b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 391.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 151.0m
Net Debt = 1.97b USD (calculated: Debt 2.35b - CCE 378.5m)
Enterprise Value = 10.2b USD (8.26b + Debt 2.35b - CCE 378.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.41 (Ebit TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 102.8m)
EV/FCF = 13.32x (Enterprise Value 10.2b / FCF TTM 768.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.51% (FCF TTM 768.2m / Enterprise Value 10.2b)
FCF Margin = 6.64% (FCF TTM 768.2m / Revenue TTM 11.6b)
Net Margin = 5.53% (Net Income TTM 639.2m / Revenue TTM 11.6b)
Gross Margin = 19.23% ((Revenue TTM 11.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.16% (prev 19.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 10.2b / Total Assets 8.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.38% (Interest Expense 102.8m / Debt 2.35b)
Taxrate = 25.77% (241.4m / 936.8m)
NOPAT = 794.0m (EBIT 1.07b * (1 - 25.77%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 4.02b / Total Current Liabilities 3.91b)
Debt / Equity = 0.94 (Debt 2.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.29 (Net Debt 1.97b / EBITDA 1.52b)
Debt / FCF = 2.56 (Net Debt 1.97b / FCF TTM 768.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.52% (Net Income 639.2m / Total Assets 8.53b)
RoE = 24.91% (Net Income TTM 639.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.57b)
RoCE = 25.15% (EBIT 1.07b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.57b + L.T.Debt 1.69b))
RoIC = 17.15% (NOPAT 794.0m / Invested Capital 4.63b)
WACC = 6.91% (E(8.26b)/V(10.6b) * Re(7.95%) + D(2.35b)/V(10.6b) * Rd(4.38%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.31 | Cagr: -4.86%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈640.9m ; Y1≈734.7m ; Y5≈1.08b
[DCF] Fair Price = 195.3 (EV 16.3b - Net Debt 1.97b = Equity 14.3b / Shares 73.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 79.78 | EPS CAGR: 11.50% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 80.09 | Revenue CAGR: 4.25% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.15 | Chg30d=+0.47% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.51 | Chg30d=+0.30% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=-3.4% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.79 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=-44% | GrowthEPS=+23.9% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -71% (up=1, down=13)