BALD-B Stock Analysis: Fastighets Balder (publ) | ST

Real Estate - Diversified | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 60.251m SEK | 12M Return: -27.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Offices, Shops, Hotels, Warehouses
Total Rating 27
Safety 66
Buy Signal -0.40
Real Estate - Diversified
Industry Rotation: +2.4
Market Cap: 6.20B
Avg Turnover: 104M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.7%
VaR 5th Pctl4.39%
VaR vs Median3.50%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.19
Rel. Str. IBD7.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group11.9
Character TTM
Beta0.025
Beta Downside0.065
Hurst Exponent0.667
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD45.65%
CAGR/Max DD0.18
CAGR/Mean DD0.48
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of BALD-B over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.73, "2021-09": 1.78, "2021-12": 1.31, "2022-03": 1.08, "2022-06": 1.26, "2022-09": 1.32, "2022-12": 1.24, "2023-03": 1.19, "2023-06": 1.02, "2023-09": 1.1, "2023-12": 1.05, "2024-03": 0.72, "2024-06": 1.04, "2024-09": 0.9, "2024-12": 1.29, "2025-03": 1.22, "2025-06": 0.6089, "2025-09": 1.8179, "2025-12": 1.4007, "2026-03": 0.97,
EPS CAGR: 3.53%
EPS Trend: 29.5%
Last SUE: -0.76
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of BALD-B over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 2131, 2021-09: 2286, 2021-12: 2421, 2022-03: 2507, 2022-06: 2550, 2022-09: 2659, 2022-12: 2805, 2023-03: 2895, 2023-06: 2943, 2023-09: 3017, 2023-12: 3089, 2024-03: 3129, 2024-06: 3186, 2024-09: 3228, 2024-12: 3333, 2025-03: 3416, 2025-06: 3408, 2025-09: 3451, 2025-12: 3452, 2026-03: 3460,
Rev. CAGR: 7.58%
Rev. Trend: 99.1%
Last SUE: -1.86
Qual. Beats: -2

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -1.2% 14
Feb -4.1% 44
Mar -1.4% 0
Apr +5.2% 16
May -3.4% 42
Jun -0.1% 0
Jul +7.3% 71
Aug +0.7% 26
Sep -0.9% 0
Oct -1.4% 25
Nov +3.4% 29
Dec +0.2% 24

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: BALD-B Fastighets Balder (publ)

Fastighets AB Balder (publ) is a Swedish real estate company that owns, manages, and develops a diversified property portfolio across six European markets: Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Its holdings span multiple asset classes, including offices, retail shops, warehouses, restaurants, schools, and hotel properties, reflecting a broad-based commercial real estate strategy. Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Gothenburg, Balder is classified within the Real Estate Operating Companies sub-industry, a sector in which firms typically derive the bulk of revenue from rental income and property management services rather than direct property sales.

The companys mix of income-producing commercial assets and hotel properties positions it across both stable long-term lease segments and the more cyclical hospitality sector, while its Nordic–European footprint exposes it to varied regional property cycles and tenant bases.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Interest rate cuts ease Nordic property refinancing pressure
  • German and UK commercial occupancy lifts rental income
  • Hotel portfolio recovery boosts mixed-use property revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 6.94b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.29 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 51.02% < 20% (prev 46.83%; Δ 4.19% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 4.02b > Net Income 6.94b
Net Debt (145b) to EBITDA (15.3b): 9.46 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.92 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.26b) vs 12m ago -0.50% < -2%
Gross Margin: 74.24% > 18% (prev 74.71%; Δ -0.47% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.00% > 50% (prev 4.96%; Δ 0.04% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.08 > 6 (EBIT TTM 15.2b / Interest Expense TTM 4.95b)
Altman Z'' 2.03
A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 14.7b - Total Current Liabilities 7.64b) / Total Assets 285b
B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 80.6b / Total Assets 285b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 15.2b / Avg Total Assets 275b)
D: 0.55 (Book Value of Equity 96.5b / Total Liabilities 176b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.03 = BBB
Beneish M -3.02
DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 5.34b/5.29b, Revenue 13.8b/13.2b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 74.71% / 74.24%)
AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.94 / AQ_t-1 0.95)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 13.8b / 13.2b)
TATA: 0.01 (NI 6.94b - CFO 4.02b) / TA 285b)
Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of BALD-B shares?

As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 51.72 with a total of 1,913,062 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.57%, over one month by +0.31%, over three months by -8.44% and over the past year by -27.81%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 48.70 (which is 5.8% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is BALD-B a buy, sell or hold?

Fastighets Balder (publ) has no consensus analysts rating.

Fastighets Balder (publ) (BALD-B) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.20b (60.3b SEK * 0.1029 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.5084
P/E Forward = 17.9533
P/S = 4.3771
P/B = 0.6127
P/EG = 1.5308
Revenue TTM = 13.8b SEK
EBIT TTM = 15.2b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 15.3b SEK
Long Term Debt = 150b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.64b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 154b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.33b
Net Debt = 145b SEK (calculated: Debt 154b - CCE 9.33b)
Enterprise Value = 205b SEK (60.3b + Debt 154b - CCE 9.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.08 (Ebit TTM 15.2b / Interest Expense TTM 4.95b)
EV/FCF = 51.78x (Enterprise Value 205b / FCF TTM 3.96b)
FCF Yield = 1.93% (FCF TTM 3.96b / Enterprise Value 205b)
FCF Margin = 28.79% (FCF TTM 3.96b / Revenue TTM 13.8b)
Net Margin = 50.40% (Net Income TTM 6.94b / Revenue TTM 13.8b)
Gross Margin = 74.24% ((Revenue TTM 13.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.29% (prev 73.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 205b / Total Assets 285b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.20% (Interest Expense 4.95b / Debt 154b)
Taxrate = 18.25% (1.65b / 9.06b)
NOPAT = 12.5b (EBIT 15.2b * (1 - 18.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.92 (Total Current Assets 14.7b / Total Current Liabilities 7.64b)
Debt / Equity = 1.60 (Debt 154b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 96.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.46 (Net Debt 145b / EBITDA 15.3b)
Debt / FCF = 36.59 (Net Debt 145b / FCF TTM 3.96b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 93.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.52% (Net Income 6.94b / Total Assets 285b)
RoE = 7.42% (Net Income TTM 6.94b / Total Stockholder Equity 93.6b)
RoCE = 6.27% (EBIT 15.2b / Capital Employed (Equity 93.6b + L.T.Debt 150b))
RoIC = 4.38% (NOPAT 12.5b / Invested Capital 284b)
WACC = 3.59% (E(60.3b)/V(215b) * Re(6.07%) + D(154b)/V(215b) * Rd(3.20%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 6.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 53.94 | Cagr: 3.92%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.83% ; FCFF base≈4.16b ; Y1≈3.79b ; Y5≈3.32b
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 52.8b - Net Debt 145b = -92.3b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 29.52 | EPS CAGR: 3.53% | SUE: -0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.07 | Revenue CAGR: 7.58% | SUE: -1.86 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.32 | Chg30d=+0.76% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.59 | Chg30d=-4.68% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+6.5% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.76 | Chg30d=-4.36% | Revisions=-14% | GrowthEPS=+3.8% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%