(HOLM-B) Holmen (publ) - Ratings and Ratios
Logs, Pulpwood, Paperboard, Timber, Renewable Energy
HOLM-B EPS (Earnings per Share)
HOLM-B Revenue
Description: HOLM-B Holmen (publ)
Holmen AB (publ) is a Swedish company operating in the forest, paperboard, paper, wood products, and renewable energy sectors. The company is divided into four main segments: Forest, Renewable Energy, Wood Products, and Board and Paper, catering to various industries such as construction, packaging, and energy.
The companys diversified portfolio includes the production of logs, pulpwood, and biofuel, as well as renewable energy from hydro and wind power. Additionally, Holmen provides construction and joinery timber, CLT and glulam, and plus wood for pallets and packaging. Their paperboards and paper products are used for consumer packaging, books, magazines, advertising, and transport packaging.
To further analyze Holmens performance, we can look at key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, EBITDA margin, and dividend yield. With a market capitalization of 58,408.62M SEK, Holmens financial health can be assessed through metrics like debt-to-equity ratio and interest coverage. The companys return on equity (RoE) is 5.07, indicating a relatively modest return on shareholders equity.
From a valuation perspective, Holmens P/E ratio is 20.64, suggesting a moderate valuation compared to its earnings. The forward P/E ratio is 20.83, indicating a slight increase in expected earnings. To gain a deeper understanding of Holmens financials, it would be beneficial to examine their revenue breakdown by segment, as well as their capital expenditure and cash flow generation.
HOLM-B Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,024m |
| Sub-Industry | Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials |
| IPO / Inception |
HOLM-B Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -34.3% |
| Fundamental | 48.3% |
| Dividend Rating | 62.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -27.8% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
HOLM-B Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.37% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.10% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 19.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 52.3% |
HOLM-B Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -54.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -78% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 33.6% |
| CAGR 5y | -4.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.49 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.33 |
| Alpha | -32.13 |
| Beta | 0.991 |
| Volatility | 19.64% |
| Current Volume | 102.6k |
| Average Volume 20d | 113.9k |
| Stop Loss | 347.6 (-3%) |
| Signal | -0.66 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (2.73b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.36b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.12pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.79% (prev 12.68%; Δ -1.89pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.65b > Net Income 2.73b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-90.0m) to EBITDA (5.04b) ratio: -0.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (158.4m) change vs 12m ago -0.47% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.17% (prev 26.24%; Δ 21.93pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 27.90% (prev 27.98%; Δ -0.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 31.68 (EBITDA TTM 5.04b / Interest Expense TTM 114.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.93
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 10.25b - Total Current Liabilities 7.80b) / Total Assets 82.49b |
| (B) 0.39 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 32.12b / Total Assets 82.49b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 3.61b / Avg Total Assets 81.33b |
| (D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 4.24b / Total Liabilities 26.30b |
| Total Rating: 1.93 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.32
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt = 3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.16% = 1.58 |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.66% = 2.67 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.37 = 2.43 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.11 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -2.12% = -2.65 |
| 7. RoE 4.82% = 0.40 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -37.83% = -1.89 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -1.34% = -0.22 |
| 10. EPS Trend -79.55% = -1.99 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -27.21% = -2.50 |
What is the price of HOLM-B shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.97%, over one month by -5.24%, over three months by -6.67% and over the past year by -14.04%.
Is Holmen (publ) a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HOLM-B is around 306.54 SEK . This means that HOLM-B is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -14.47%.
Is HOLM-B a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the HOLM-B price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 398.1 | 11.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 337.5 | -5.8% |
HOLM-B Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap SEK = 56.30b (56.30b SEK * 1.0 SEK.SEK)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 324.0m SEK (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 20.7972
P/E Forward = 20.8333
P/S = 2.3815
P/B = 0.9985
Beta = 0.319
Revenue TTM = 22.69b SEK
EBIT TTM = 3.61b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 5.04b SEK
Long Term Debt = 18.50b SEK (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.19b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.69b SEK (Calculated: Short Term 2.19b + Long Term 18.50b)
Net Debt = -90.0m SEK (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 76.66b SEK (56.30b + Debt 20.69b - CCE 324.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 31.68 (Ebit TTM 3.61b / Interest Expense TTM 114.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.16% (FCF TTM 2.42b / Enterprise Value 76.66b)
FCF Margin = 10.66% (FCF TTM 2.42b / Revenue TTM 22.69b)
Net Margin = 12.02% (Net Income TTM 2.73b / Revenue TTM 22.69b)
Gross Margin = 48.17% ((Revenue TTM 22.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 18.09 (Enterprise Value 76.66b / Book Value Of Equity 4.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.17% (Interest Expense 35.0m / Debt 20.69b)
Taxrate = 21.80% (798.0m / 3.66b)
NOPAT = 2.82b (EBIT 3.61b * (1 - 21.80%))
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 10.25b / Total Current Liabilities 7.80b)
Debt / Equity = 0.37 (Debt 20.69b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 56.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.11 (Net Debt -90.0m / EBITDA 5.04b)
Debt / FCF = 8.55 (Debt 20.69b / FCF TTM 2.42b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 56.66b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.31% (Net Income 2.73b, Total Assets 82.49b )
RoE = 4.82% (Net Income TTM 2.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 56.66b)
RoCE = 4.80% (Ebit 3.61b / (Equity 56.66b + L.T.Debt 18.50b))
RoIC = 4.98% (NOPAT 2.82b / Invested Capital 56.66b)
WACC = 7.11% (E(56.30b)/V(76.99b) * Re(9.67%)) + (D(20.69b)/V(76.99b) * Rd(0.17%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -64.62 | Cagr: -0.25%
Discount Rate = 9.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.34% ; FCFE base≈2.03b ; Y1≈2.51b ; Y5≈4.28b
Fair Price DCF = 494.4 (DCF Value 54.56b / Shares Outstanding 110.4m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -37.83 | Revenue CAGR: -1.34%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 6.37
EPS Correlation: -79.55 | EPS CAGR: -27.21%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 37.14