INDU-A Stock Analysis: Industrivarden ser. | ST

Asset Management | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 228.259m SEK | 12M Return: 39.2% | SE0000190126 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Investment Management, Equity Holdings, Portfolio Strategy, Nordic Investments
Total Rating 63
Safety 68
Buy Signal 0.08
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: -5.5
Market Cap: 22.7B
Avg Turnover: 50.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility18.5%
VaR 5th Pctl3.25%
VaR vs Median6.47%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.54
Rel. Str. IBD72.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group82
Character TTM
Beta0.629
Beta Downside0.355
Hurst Exponent0.535
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD26.14%
CAGR/Max DD0.99
CAGR/Mean DD6.10
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of INDU-A over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -15.6017, "2021-12": 36.4067, "2022-03": -45.8788, "2022-06": -16.0176, "2022-09": -14.2742, "2022-12": 43.832, "2023-03": 27.3536, "2023-06": 3.6305, "2023-09": -4.8831, "2023-12": 36.0524, "2024-03": 38.2497, "2024-06": -17.0873, "2024-09": 15.5152, "2024-12": -7.379, "2025-03": 17.9579, "2025-06": 4.2672, "2025-09": 17.0966, "2025-12": 42.6442, "2026-03": 28.7683, "2026-06": 57.0272,
EPS CAGR: 9.07%
EPS Trend: 10.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of INDU-A over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: -6811, 2021-12: 15765, 2022-03: -19851, 2022-06: -6915, 2022-09: -6142, 2022-12: 19025, 2023-03: 11896, 2023-06: 1635, 2023-09: -2067, 2023-12: 15679, 2024-03: 16644, 2024-06: -7378, 2024-09: 6741, 2024-12: -3153, 2025-03: 7838, 2025-06: 1872, 2025-09: 124, 2025-12: 18505, 2026-03: 12503, 2026-06: 4384,
Rev. CAGR: -9.71%
Rev. Trend: -13.0%
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Earnings Expected To Drop (P/E To P/E Forward)

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.3% 5
Feb +2.7% 23
Mar +1.2% 5
Apr +2.1% 6
May +1.6% 35
Jun -3.6% 60
Jul +0.3% 7
Aug -3.6% 22
Sep +0.3% 8
Oct -1.4% 26
Nov -0.9% 13
Dec +0.3% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: INDU-A Industrivarden ser.

AB Industrivärden is a publicly listed Swedish investment manager founded in 1944 and headquartered in Stockholm. The firm invests in publicly traded equities across the Nordic region, using a fundamental, long-term value-oriented approach that emphasizes proven business models, attractive valuations, and a balanced risk-return profile. Its shares trade on Nasdaq Stockholm under the ticker INDU-A.

The company operates as a long-term, concentrated equity investor, typically holding significant stakes in a small number of Nordic blue-chip listed companies rather than running a diversified, high-turnover fund. As one of Swedens oldest listed investment companies, it functions as a publicly traded vehicle that gives shareholders indirect exposure to a portfolio of major Nordic industrial and commercial businesses.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Sandvik and Atlas Copco order trends drive portfolio NAV
  • NAV discount narrowing boosts holding company share price
  • Portfolio dividend income supports rising shareholder payouts
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 62.9b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.39 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.20% < 20% (prev 1.53%; Δ 4.67% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 9.22b > Net Income 62.9b
Net Debt (2.35b) to EBITDA (63.1b): 0.04 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.24 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (431.9m) vs 12m ago 0.07% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 17.61% > 50% (prev 7.73%; Δ 9.88% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 426.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM 63.1b / Interest Expense TTM 148.0m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 3.98b - Total Current Liabilities 1.78b) / Total Assets 231b
B: 0.82 (Retained Earnings 189b / Total Assets 231b)
C: 0.31 (EBIT TTM 63.1b / Avg Total Assets 202b)
D: 31.71 (Book Value of Equity 224b / Total Liabilities 7.07b)
Altman-Z'' = 38.12 = AAA
Beneish M -2.45
DSRI: 0.22 (Receivables 52.0m/87.0m, Revenue 35.5b/13.3b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 98.98% / 99.98%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.98 / AQ_t-1 0.98)
SGI: 2.67 (Revenue 35.5b / 13.3b)
TATA: 0.23 (NI 62.9b - CFO 9.22b) / TA 231b)
Beneish M = -2.45 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of INDU-A shares?

As of October 07, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 526.00 with a total of 92,317 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.50%, over one month by -2.68%, over three months by -2.41% and over the past year by +39.23%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 512.10 (which is 2.6% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is INDU-A a buy, sell or hold?

Industrivarden ser. has no consensus analysts rating.

Industrivarden ser. (INDU-A) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 02 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 22.7b (228b SEK * 0.0996 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 3.6318
P/E Forward = 30.4878
P/S = 3.6062
P/B = 1.0504
P/EG = 4.6248
Revenue TTM = 35.5b SEK
EBIT TTM = 63.1b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 63.1b SEK
Long Term Debt = 5.00b SEK (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.78b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.28b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.35b SEK (calculated: Debt 6.28b - CCE 3.93b)
Enterprise Value = 231b SEK (228b + Debt 6.28b - CCE 3.93b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 426.6 (Ebit TTM 63.1b / Interest Expense TTM 148.0m)
EV/FCF = 25.00x (Enterprise Value 231b / FCF TTM 9.22b)
FCF Yield = 4.00% (FCF TTM 9.22b / Enterprise Value 231b)
FCF Margin = 25.97% (FCF TTM 9.22b / Revenue TTM 35.5b)
Net Margin = 177.0% (Net Income TTM 62.9b / Revenue TTM 35.5b)
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 35.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.00m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 231b / Total Assets 231b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.36% (Interest Expense 148.0m / Debt 6.28b)
Taxrate = 0.28% (176.0m / 63.0b)
NOPAT = 63.0b (EBIT 63.1b * (1 - 0.28%))
Current Ratio = 2.24 (Total Current Assets 3.98b / Total Current Liabilities 1.78b)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 6.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 224b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.04 (Net Debt 2.35b / EBITDA 63.1b)
Debt / FCF = 0.25 (Net Debt 2.35b / FCF TTM 9.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 198b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 31.17% (Net Income 62.9b / Total Assets 231b)
RoE = 31.77% (Net Income TTM 62.9b / Total Stockholder Equity 198b)
RoCE = 31.12% (EBIT 63.1b / Capital Employed (Equity 198b + L.T.Debt 5.00b))
RoIC = 27.42% (NOPAT 63.0b / Invested Capital 230b)
WACC = 8.03% (E(228b)/V(235b) * Re(8.19%) + D(6.28b)/V(235b) * Rd(2.36%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 8.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 9.26 | Cagr: 0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.41% ; FCFF base≈9.23b ; Y1≈9.25b ; Y5≈9.76b
[DCF] Fair Price = 709.9 (EV 152b - Net Debt 2.35b = Equity 150b / Shares 210.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -0.25% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 10.70 | EPS CAGR: 9.07% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -12.99 | Revenue CAGR: -9.71% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0