JM Stock Analysis: JM (publ) | ST

Residential Construction | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 9.063m SEK | 12M Return: -13.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Residential Housing, Rental Units, Property Development, Commercial Properties
Total Rating 27
Safety 58
Buy Signal -0.27
Residential Construction
Industry Rotation: -13.5
Market Cap: 939M
Avg Turnover: 37.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility51.4%
VaR 5th Pctl8.77%
VaR vs Median3.57%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.30
Rel. Str. IBD17.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group22.5
Character TTM
Beta0.330
Beta Downside0.320
Hurst Exponent0.471
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD49.62%
CAGR/Max DD-0.09
CAGR/Mean DD-0.19
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of JM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 6.8, "2021-09": 4.8, "2021-12": 9.4, "2022-03": 5.2, "2022-06": 4.5, "2022-09": 4.4, "2022-12": 9, "2023-03": 4.8, "2023-06": 2.7, "2023-09": 5.5, "2023-12": -2.1, "2024-03": 1.2, "2024-06": 1.2, "2024-09": 0.6, "2024-12": 0.86, "2025-03": 0.8, "2025-06": 0.58, "2025-09": -0.1, "2025-12": -0.32, "2026-03": 2.28,
EPS CAGR: -61.38%
EPS Trend: -81.7%
Last SUE: 2.72
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of JM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 4058, 2021-09: 3120, 2021-12: 4927, 2022-03: 3835, 2022-06: 3668, 2022-09: 3004, 2022-12: 5240, 2023-03: 4696, 2023-06: 3375, 2023-09: 4457, 2023-12: 3441, 2024-03: 2765, 2024-06: 4668, 2024-09: 2839, 2024-12: 4001, 2025-03: 2279, 2025-06: 3248, 2025-09: 2309, 2025-12: 2855, 2026-03: 2094,
Rev. CAGR: -15.95%
Rev. Trend: -94.8%
Last SUE: -0.63
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E Ratio 171.3
High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.3% 0
Feb -0.7% 2
Mar -2.7% 38
Apr +0.6% 0
May -0.2% 13
Jun +3.1% 2
Jul +4.9% 21
Aug -1.6% 6
Sep -0.2% 8
Oct -5.0% 21
Nov +3.5% 39
Dec +0.5% 19

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: JM JM (publ)

JM AB (publ) is a Nordic homebuilder that constructs, develops, and sells residential housing across Sweden, Norway, and Finland. The company operates through five business segments: JM Residential Stockholm, JM Residential Sweden, JM Norway, JM Finland, and JM Property Development, covering the full residential value chain from land acquisition and project planning through construction, sales, and after-sale management.

Beyond building and selling homes, JM develops rental units, residential care facilities, and commercial properties, and provides economic, technical, and housing management services to tenant-owner associations. Its property management arm and Greater Stockholm-area contract works give it recurring-service exposure alongside the cyclical development business. JM was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden, and is classified within the GICS Consumer Discretionary / Homebuilding sub-industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Riksbank rate cuts boost Swedish housing demand and order book
  • Construction cost inflation pressures JM housing gross margins
  • Stockholm and Norway residential segments drive Nordic revenue growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: 52.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -15.10 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 99.11% < 20% (prev 73.69%; Δ 25.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 237.0m > Net Income 52.0m
Net Debt (12.7b) to EBITDA (294.0m): 43.30 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.69 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (64.5m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2%
Gross Margin: 10.62% > 18% (prev 11.85%; Δ -1.23% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 41.35% > 50% (prev 56.25%; Δ -14.90% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.88 > 6 (EBIT TTM 190.0m / Interest Expense TTM 217.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.99
A: 0.40 (Total Current Assets 25.6b - Total Current Liabilities 15.2b) / Total Assets 26.3b
B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 7.14b / Total Assets 26.3b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 190.0m / Avg Total Assets 25.4b)
D: 0.44 (Book Value of Equity 8.03b / Total Liabilities 18.3b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.99 = AA
Beneish M -2.33
DSRI: 1.90 (Receivables 2.15b/1.48b, Revenue 10.5b/13.8b)
GMI: 1.12 (GM 11.85% / 10.62%)
AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 0.76 (Revenue 10.5b / 13.8b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 52.0m - CFO 237.0m) / TA 26.3b)
Beneish M = -2.33 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of JM shares?

As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 121.20 with a total of 561,570 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -16.99%, over one month by +5.12%, over three months by +1.36% and over the past year by -13.45%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 113.00 (which is 6.8% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is JM a buy, sell or hold?

JM (publ) has no consensus analysts rating.

JM (publ) (JM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 938.9m (9.06b SEK * 0.1036 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 171.3415
P/E Forward = 15.1515
P/S = 0.8546
P/B = 1.1309
P/EG = 1.5138
Revenue TTM = 10.5b SEK
EBIT TTM = 190.0m SEK
EBITDA TTM = 294.0m SEK
Long Term Debt = 128.0m SEK (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 11.8b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.3b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 556.0m
Net Debt = 12.7b SEK (calculated: Debt 13.3b - CCE 550.0m)
Enterprise Value = 21.8b SEK (9.06b + Debt 13.3b - CCE 550.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.88 (Ebit TTM 190.0m / Interest Expense TTM 217.0m)
EV/FCF = 15.77x (Enterprise Value 21.8b / FCF TTM 1.38b)
FCF Yield = 6.34% (FCF TTM 1.38b / Enterprise Value 21.8b)
FCF Margin = 13.15% (FCF TTM 1.38b / Revenue TTM 10.5b)
Net Margin = 0.49% (Net Income TTM 52.0m / Revenue TTM 10.5b)
Gross Margin = 10.62% ((Revenue TTM 10.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.84% (prev 11.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 21.8b / Total Assets 26.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.63% (Interest Expense 217.0m / Debt 13.3b)
Taxrate = 38.37% (33.0m / 86.0m)
NOPAT = 117.1m (EBIT 190.0m * (1 - 38.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.69 (Total Current Assets 25.6b / Total Current Liabilities 15.2b)
Debt / Equity = 1.65 (Debt 13.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = 43.30 (Net Debt 12.7b / EBITDA 294.0m)
Debt / FCF = 9.21 (Net Debt 12.7b / FCF TTM 1.38b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.20% (Net Income 52.0m / Total Assets 26.3b)
RoE = 0.65% (Net Income TTM 52.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.99b)
RoCE = 2.34% (EBIT 190.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.99b + L.T.Debt 128.0m))
RoIC = 0.52% (NOPAT 117.1m / Invested Capital 22.4b)
WACC = 3.49% (E(9.06b)/V(22.3b) * Re(7.14%) + D(13.3b)/V(22.3b) * Rd(1.63%) * (1-Tc(0.38)))
Discount Rate = 7.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈2.82b ; Y1≈2.48b ; Y5≈2.00b
[DCF] Fair Price = 300.7 (EV 32.1b - Net Debt 12.7b = Equity 19.4b / Shares 64.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -81.65 | EPS CAGR: -61.38% | SUE: 2.72 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -94.77 | Revenue CAGR: -15.95% | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=5.41 | Chg30d=+303.73% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=6.44 | Chg30d=+315.48% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.23 | Chg30d=+2.10% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+439.2% | GrowthRev=+17.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.90 | Chg30d=+0.76% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+89.2% | GrowthRev=+12.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=2, down=3)