LOOMIS Stock Analysis: Loomis ser. | ST
Security & Protection Services | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 33.287m SEK | 12M Return: 28.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 38.8M
EPS Trend: 82.9%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 84.1%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Loomis AB is a Swedish-headquartered company founded in 1852 that provides secure payment and cash-handling solutions across Europe and the United States. Its core services include the armored transportation of cash and valuables between central banks, financial institutions, retailers, and other businesses, as well as cash management, vault outsourcing, and cross-border valuables logistics with customs clearance. Beyond physical cash handling, Loomis offers ATM services, automated cash-handling products (including its SafePoint solution), foreign exchange services, and Loomis Pay, an integrated payment platform that combines card, cash, and digital instruments in a single system.
Operating within the Industrials sector under Security & Alarm Services, Loomis sits at the intersection of physical security logistics and payment infrastructure. Its business model is built on long-term contracts with banks and retailers, where cash still circulates heavily, providing a recurring revenue base that is relatively defensive but sensitive to long-term trends in cash usage and the pace of digital payment adoption in its core European and U.S. markets.
- Declining cash usage threatens long-term service demand
- US wage inflation squeezes cash transport operating margins
- Loomis Pay expansion opens new digital payment revenue stream
| Net Income: 1.73b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.82% < 20% (prev 7.79%; Δ -0.97% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 4.89b > Net Income 1.73b |
| Net Debt (12.3b) to EBITDA (6.21b): 1.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.2m) vs 12m ago -2.04% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 28.59% > 18% (prev 28.02%; Δ 0.57% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 78.57% > 50% (prev 81.48%; Δ -2.91% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.34 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.05b / Interest Expense TTM 702.0m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 14.4b - Total Current Liabilities 12.3b) / Total Assets 38.5b |
| B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 7.78b / Total Assets 38.5b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 3.05b / Avg Total Assets 38.2b) |
| D: 0.51 (Book Value of Equity 13.0b / Total Liabilities 25.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.08 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 4.28b/5.01b, Revenue 30.0b/30.9b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 28.02% / 28.59%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 30.0b / 30.9b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 1.73b - CFO 4.89b) / TA 38.5b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 488.80 with a total of 50,579 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.87%, over one month by +10.39%, over three months by +14.42% and over the past year by +28.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 477.50 (which is 2.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Loomis ser. has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 19.4753
P/E Forward = 10.3842
P/S = 1.1003
P/B = 2.5471
P/EG = 1.5809
Revenue TTM = 30.0b SEK
EBIT TTM = 3.05b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 6.21b SEK
Long Term Debt = 6.12b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.57b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.1b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 6.60b
Net Debt = 12.3b SEK (calculated: Debt 20.1b - CCE 7.86b)
Enterprise Value = 45.6b SEK (33.3b + Debt 20.1b - CCE 7.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.34 (Ebit TTM 3.05b / Interest Expense TTM 702.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.91x (Enterprise Value 45.6b / FCF TTM 3.53b)
FCF Yield = 7.75% (FCF TTM 3.53b / Enterprise Value 45.6b)
FCF Margin = 11.77% (FCF TTM 3.53b / Revenue TTM 30.0b)
Net Margin = 5.77% (Net Income TTM 1.73b / Revenue TTM 30.0b)
Gross Margin = 28.59% ((Revenue TTM 30.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.04% (prev 31.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.18 (Enterprise Value 45.6b / Total Assets 38.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.49% (Interest Expense 702.0m / Debt 20.1b)
Taxrate = 33.68% (878.0m / 2.61b)
NOPAT = 2.02b (EBIT 3.05b * (1 - 33.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 14.4b / Total Current Liabilities 12.3b)
Debt / Equity = 1.55 (Debt 20.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.98 (Net Debt 12.3b / EBITDA 6.21b)
Debt / FCF = 3.48 (Net Debt 12.3b / FCF TTM 3.53b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.53% (Net Income 1.73b / Total Assets 38.5b)
RoE = 13.97% (Net Income TTM 1.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.4b)
RoCE = 16.46% (EBIT 3.05b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.4b + L.T.Debt 6.12b))
RoIC = 7.43% (NOPAT 2.02b / Invested Capital 27.2b)
WACC = 4.84% (E(33.3b)/V(53.4b) * Re(6.36%) + D(20.1b)/V(53.4b) * Rd(3.49%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 6.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -2.60%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈3.85b ; Y1≈3.38b ; Y5≈2.73b
[DCF] Fair Price = 470.8 (EV 43.8b - Net Debt 12.3b = Equity 31.5b / Shares 66.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 82.89 | EPS CAGR: 12.36% | SUE: 1.01 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 84.08 | Revenue CAGR: 3.60% | SUE: -3.39 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=9.34 | Chg30d=-0.32% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=9.20 | Chg30d=+2.00% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=37.24 | Chg30d=+0.90% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+19.4% | GrowthRev=+1.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=41.23 | Chg30d=+3.20% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+10.7% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=3, down=1)