MILDEF Stock Analysis: MilDef | ST

Aerospace & Defense | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 9.636m SEK | 12M Return: 33.6% | SE0016074249 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Rugged Computers, Tactical Software, Network Hardware, Mobile Devices
Total Rating 73
Safety 71
Buy Signal 0.62
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +1.8
Market Cap: 1.02B
Avg Turnover: 45.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility52.0%
VaR 5th Pctl7.89%
VaR vs Median-7.87%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.69
Rel. Str. IBD83.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group85.4
Character TTM
Beta-0.252
Beta Downside-0.665
Hurst Exponent0.507
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD61.39%
CAGR/Max DD0.59
CAGR/Mean DD1.58
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MILDEF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.1752, "2021-09": 0.0386, "2021-12": 0.5661, "2022-03": 0.0081, "2022-06": -0.3627, "2022-09": 0.1766, "2022-12": 0.5086, "2023-03": 0.4045, "2023-06": 0.5285, "2023-09": 0.14, "2023-12": 0.64, "2024-03": -0.29, "2024-06": 0.58, "2024-09": 0.43, "2024-12": 1.36, "2025-03": -0.04, "2025-06": 0.19, "2025-09": 0.9, "2025-12": 1.98, "2026-03": 1.51, "2026-06": 1.25,
EPS CAGR: 64.77%
EPS Trend: 85.6%
Last SUE: 1.17
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of MILDEF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 81.3, 2021-09: 136.6, 2021-12: 200.7, 2022-03: 141.3, 2022-06: 118.5, 2022-09: 163.7, 2022-12: 315.3, 2023-03: 283.2, 2023-06: 288.8, 2023-09: 226.5, 2023-12: 352.8, 2024-03: 231.9, 2024-06: 301.5, 2024-09: 249.9, 2024-12: 417.5, 2025-03: 339.5, 2025-06: 383.3, 2025-09: 539.7, 2025-12: 782.7, 2026-03: 707.8, 2026-06: 630.4,
Rev. CAGR: 38.59%
Rev. Trend: 91.2%
Last SUE: 0.63
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 5.2 years of data

Jan +5.2% 0
Feb +8.7% 21
Mar +4.3% 24
Apr +5.0% 0
May +5.3% 0
Jun -4.8% 46
Jul +14.1% 40
Aug -2.3% 0
Sep -5.9% 21
Oct -5.8% 20
Nov +3.3% 0
Dec -1.2% 20

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MILDEF MilDef

MilDef Group AB (publ) is a Swedish company listed on the Stockholm Stock Exchange under the ticker MILDEF, headquartered in Helsingborg and operating across the Nordics, the rest of Europe, the United States, and Australia. Founded in 1997 and classified within the GICS Aerospace & Defense sub-industry, the company develops, manufactures, and sells rugged IT solutions primarily to national (defense and government) and critical infrastructure customers.

The product range covers rugged computers, laptops, tablets, handhelds, intelligent displays, KVM switches, routers, power distribution units, fiber optic components, keyboards, and related accessories, all designed to operate reliably in harsh environments characterized by extreme temperatures, shock, vibration, dust, and moisture. MilDef also offers the OneCIS tactical Command and Control Information System (C2IS) platform, together with development, consulting, and integration services spanning systems engineering, ILS-management, technical documentation, installation, and helpdesk support.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • European NATO defense spending surge drives rugged IT demand
  • US geographic expansion accelerates order intake growth
  • OneCIS platform adoption shifts revenue mix toward software
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 266.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.87 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 29.02% < 20% (prev 43.55%; Δ -14.54% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 223.6m > Net Income 266.6m
Net Debt (699.2m) to EBITDA (509.0m): 1.37 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.92 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.1m) vs 12m ago 0.01% < -2%
Gross Margin: 45.90% > 18% (prev 47.63%; Δ -1.73% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 91.21% > 50% (prev 52.57%; Δ 38.64% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.91 > 6 (EBIT TTM 381.5m / Interest Expense TTM 42.8m)
Altman Z'' 3.59
A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 1.61b - Total Current Liabilities 838.2m) / Total Assets 3.19b
B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -8.50m / Total Assets 3.19b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 381.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.92b)
D: 1.08 (Book Value of Equity 1.66b / Total Liabilities 1.53b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.59 = A
Beneish M -2.55
DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 642.1m/386.4m, Revenue 2.66b/1.39b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 47.63% / 45.90%)
AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.42 / AQ_t-1 0.51)
SGI: 1.91 (Revenue 2.66b / 1.39b)
TATA: 0.01 (NI 266.6m - CFO 223.6m) / TA 3.19b)
Beneish M = -2.55 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of MILDEF shares?

As of August 26, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 199.60 with a total of 187,563 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.81%, over one month by -8.98%, over three months by +3.88% and over the past year by +33.61%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 189.80 (which is 4.9% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is MILDEF a buy, sell or hold?

MilDef has no consensus analysts rating.

MilDef (MILDEF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.02b (9.64b SEK * 0.1056 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 35.8319
P/E Forward = 31.6456
P/S = 3.6216
P/B = 5.9647
Revenue TTM = 2.66b SEK
EBIT TTM = 381.5m SEK
EBITDA TTM = 509.0m SEK
Long Term Debt = 432.3m SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 97.4m SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 895.5m SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 202.8m
Net Debt = 699.2m SEK (calculated: Debt 895.5m - CCE 196.3m)
Enterprise Value = 10.3b SEK (9.64b + Debt 895.5m - CCE 196.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.91 (Ebit TTM 381.5m / Interest Expense TTM 42.8m)
EV/FCF = 58.16x (Enterprise Value 10.3b / FCF TTM 177.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.72% (FCF TTM 177.7m / Enterprise Value 10.3b)
FCF Margin = 6.68% (FCF TTM 177.7m / Revenue TTM 2.66b)
Net Margin = 10.02% (Net Income TTM 266.6m / Revenue TTM 2.66b)
Gross Margin = 45.90% ((Revenue TTM 2.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.44b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.87% (prev 44.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.24 (Enterprise Value 10.3b / Total Assets 3.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.78% (Interest Expense 42.8m / Debt 895.5m)
Taxrate = 16.46% (52.9m / 321.4m)
NOPAT = 318.7m (EBIT 381.5m * (1 - 16.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.92 (Total Current Assets 1.61b / Total Current Liabilities 838.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 895.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.37 (Net Debt 699.2m / EBITDA 509.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.93 (Net Debt 699.2m / FCF TTM 177.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.14% (Net Income 266.6m / Total Assets 3.19b)
RoE = 17.14% (Net Income TTM 266.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.56b)
RoCE = 19.19% (EBIT 381.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.56b + L.T.Debt 432.3m))
RoIC = 13.76% (NOPAT 318.7m / Invested Capital 2.32b)
WACC = 5.00% (E(9.64b)/V(10.5b) * Re(5.09%) + D(895.5m)/V(10.5b) * Rd(4.78%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 5.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.82 | Cagr: 7.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈124.6m ; Y1≈142.9m ; Y5≈210.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 52.33 (EV 3.16b - Net Debt 699.2m = Equity 2.46b / Shares 47.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 85.58 | EPS CAGR: 64.77% | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 91.19 | Revenue CAGR: 38.59% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=+0.38% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.31 | Chg30d=+12.37% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+140.4% | GrowthRev=+51.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.95 | Chg30d=+16.38% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+36.1% | GrowthRev=+23.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +46% (up=8, down=2)