(PDX) Paradox Interactive (publ) - Ratings and Ratios
Strategy Games, Management Games, PC Games, Console Games, Simulation Games
PDX EPS (Earnings per Share)
PDX Revenue
Description: PDX Paradox Interactive (publ)
Paradox Interactive AB (publ) is a leading developer and publisher of strategy and management games across various platforms, including PC and consoles, with a global presence in the United States, Europe, Sweden, and internationally. The companys diverse portfolio includes renowned franchises such as Age of Wonders, Cities: Skylines, Crusader Kings, and Stellaris, among others.
From a business perspective, Paradox Interactives success can be attributed to its ability to create engaging and immersive gaming experiences, leveraging its strong brand recognition and loyal customer base. Key performance indicators (KPIs) that may be relevant to evaluating the companys performance include revenue growth, average revenue per user (ARPU), and customer retention rates. For instance, a high ARPU and strong customer retention rates could indicate a stable and predictable revenue stream, while a growing revenue base could suggest successful game launches and expanding market share.
In terms of financial metrics, Paradox Interactives market capitalization stands at approximately 20.1 billion SEK, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34.63 and a forward P/E ratio of 38.91, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to its earnings. However, the companys return on equity (RoE) of 21.15% suggests a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. Other relevant KPIs could include the companys gross margin, operating margin, and cash flow conversion rate, which can provide insights into its profitability, operational efficiency, and ability to generate cash.
To further analyze Paradox Interactives performance, it may be useful to examine its game development pipeline, release schedules, and player engagement metrics, such as daily active users (DAU) and player retention rates. Additionally, monitoring industry trends, competitor activity, and market sentiment can help identify potential opportunities and risks that may impact the companys future performance.
PDX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,885m |
| Sub-Industry | Interactive Home Entertainment |
| IPO / Inception |
PDX Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 0.50% |
| Fundamental | 78.3% |
| Dividend Rating | 59.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 8.83% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
PDX Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.36% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 24.57% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 47.8% |
PDX Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -78.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -7.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -2.8% |
| CAGR 5y | -4.68% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.08 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.27 |
| Alpha | 16.51 |
| Beta | 0.127 |
| Volatility | 34.16% |
| Current Volume | 170k |
| Average Volume 20d | 77.1k |
| Stop Loss | 167.8 (-3%) |
| Signal | -1.44 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (664.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 123.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.23 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.84pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 45.60% (prev 43.36%; Δ 2.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.35 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.12b > Net Income 664.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-973.5m) to EBITDA (1.29b) ratio: -0.75 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (105.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.83% (prev 31.68%; Δ 23.16pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.11% (prev 77.35%; Δ -13.24pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 366.5 (EBITDA TTM 1.29b / Interest Expense TTM 2.32m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 10.59
| (A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 1.39b - Total Current Liabilities 444.1m) / Total Assets 3.24b |
| (B) 0.79 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.56b / Total Assets 3.24b |
| (C) 0.26 = EBIT TTM 850.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.22b |
| (D) 4.13 = Book Value of Equity 2.58b / Total Liabilities 625.6m |
| Total Rating: 10.59 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 78.34
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.36% = 2.18 |
| 3. FCF Margin 36.23% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.08 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.16 = 2.48 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 17.18% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 23.87% = 1.99 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -8.57% = -0.43 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 0.05% = 0.01 |
| 10. EPS Trend -17.56% = -0.44 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -15.60% = -1.95 |
What is the price of PDX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.24%, over one month by +7.72%, over three months by -9.90% and over the past year by +27.30%.
Is Paradox Interactive (publ) a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PDX is around 162.20 SEK . This means that PDX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -6.24%.
Is PDX a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the PDX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 191.3 | 10.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 177.5 | 2.6% |
PDX Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap SEK = 17.96b (17.96b SEK * 1.0 SEK.SEK)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.02b SEK (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 27.1132
P/E Forward = 40.8163
P/S = 8.6941
P/B = 6.8756
Beta = 0.029
Revenue TTM = 2.07b SEK
EBIT TTM = 850.7m SEK
EBITDA TTM = 1.29b SEK
Long Term Debt = 181.6m SEK (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.8m SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 212.4m SEK (Calculated: Short Term 30.8m + Long Term 181.6m)
Net Debt = -973.5m SEK (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.15b SEK (17.96b + Debt 212.4m - CCE 1.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 366.5 (Ebit TTM 850.7m / Interest Expense TTM 2.32m)
FCF Yield = 4.36% (FCF TTM 748.3m / Enterprise Value 17.15b)
FCF Margin = 36.23% (FCF TTM 748.3m / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Net Margin = 32.17% (Net Income TTM 664.5m / Revenue TTM 2.07b)
Gross Margin = 54.83% ((Revenue TTM 2.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 932.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.64 (Enterprise Value 17.15b / Book Value Of Equity 2.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.35% (Interest Expense 739.0k / Debt 212.4m)
Taxrate = 22.80% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 172.7m / 757.3m)
NOPAT = 656.7m (EBIT 850.7m * (1 - 22.80%))
Current Ratio = 3.12 (Total Current Assets 1.39b / Total Current Liabilities 444.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 212.4m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 2.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.16 (Net Debt -973.5m / EBITDA 1.29b)
Debt / FCF = 0.28 (Debt 212.4m / FCF TTM 748.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.78b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 20.53% (Net Income 664.5m, Total Assets 3.24b )
RoE = 23.87% (Net Income TTM 664.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.78b)
RoCE = 28.69% (Ebit 850.7m / (Equity 2.78b + L.T.Debt 181.6m))
RoIC = 23.59% (NOPAT 656.7m / Invested Capital 2.78b)
WACC = 6.41% (E(17.96b)/V(18.17b) * Re(6.48%)) + (D(212.4m)/V(18.17b) * Rd(0.35%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -40.0 | Cagr: -0.05%
Discount Rate = 6.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈721.8m ; Y1≈890.4m ; Y5≈1.52b
Fair Price DCF = 244.6 (DCF Value 25.84b / Shares Outstanding 105.6m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -8.57 | Revenue CAGR: 0.05%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -22.19
EPS Correlation: -17.56 | EPS CAGR: -15.60%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 109.0