SAAB-B Stock Analysis: Saab (publ) | ST
Aerospace & Defense | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 314.289m SEK | 12M Return: 14.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 847M
EPS Trend: 26.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Saab AB (publ) is a Swedish defense and security company headquartered in Stockholm, founded in 1937. It supplies products, services, and solutions for military defense, aviation, and civil security markets, with operations across Sweden, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Australia, and other countries. The company operates through five business segments: Aeronautics (aerial systems and aviation technology), Dynamics (combat weapons, missiles, and training systems), Surveillance (radar, electronic warfare, combat systems, and C4I solutions), Kockums (submarines, surface combatants, and underwater vehicles), and Combitech (systems development, integration, security, and technical consulting). As a large-cap constituent of the Aerospace & Defense industry, Saab operates a vertically integrated defense business model spanning platforms, subsystems, and engineering services for both domestic and allied government customers.
- European defense spending surge drives order backlog growth
- Gripen fighter jet orders expand across emerging markets
- Kockums submarine contracts grow amid naval modernization push
| Net Income: 6.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.57 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.26% < 20% (prev 24.30%; Δ -3.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 12.7b > Net Income 6.48b |
| Net Debt (5.27b) to EBITDA (11.1b): 0.47 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (541.3m) vs 12m ago 0.28% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.72% > 18% (prev 21.87%; Δ -0.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.98% > 50% (prev 64.28%; Δ 8.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM 8.26b / Interest Expense TTM 665.0m) |
| A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 80.0b - Total Current Liabilities 62.4b) / Total Assets 124b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 34.9b / Total Assets 124b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 8.26b / Avg Total Assets 113b) |
| D: 0.56 (Book Value of Equity 44.7b / Total Liabilities 79.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.92 = A |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 36.5b/29.7b, Revenue 82.5b/65.4b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 21.87% / 21.72%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.26 (Revenue 82.5b / 65.4b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 6.48b - CFO 12.7b) / TA 124b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 564.00 with a total of 1,222,929 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.04%, over one month by +7.61%, over three months by -9.57% and over the past year by +14.35%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 520.90 (which is 7.6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Saab (publ) has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 48.5988
P/E Forward = 42.1941
P/S = 3.8087
P/B = 7.0992
P/EG = 1.8984
Revenue TTM = 82.5b SEK
EBIT TTM = 8.26b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 11.1b SEK
Long Term Debt = 8.77b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.42b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.4b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.93b
Net Debt = 5.27b SEK (calculated: Debt 19.4b - CCE 14.1b)
Enterprise Value = 320b SEK (314b + Debt 19.4b - CCE 14.1b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.42 (Ebit TTM 8.26b / Interest Expense TTM 665.0m)
EV/FCF = 58.26x (Enterprise Value 320b / FCF TTM 5.49b)
FCF Yield = 1.72% (FCF TTM 5.49b / Enterprise Value 320b)
FCF Margin = 6.65% (FCF TTM 5.49b / Revenue TTM 82.5b)
Net Margin = 7.86% (Net Income TTM 6.48b / Revenue TTM 82.5b)
Gross Margin = 21.72% ((Revenue TTM 82.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 64.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.35% (prev 20.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.57 (Enterprise Value 320b / Total Assets 124b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.43% (Interest Expense 665.0m / Debt 19.4b)
Taxrate = 20.68% (1.71b / 8.25b)
NOPAT = 6.55b (EBIT 8.26b * (1 - 20.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 80.0b / Total Current Liabilities 62.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 19.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 44.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.47 (Net Debt 5.27b / EBITDA 11.1b)
Debt / FCF = 0.96 (Net Debt 5.27b / FCF TTM 5.49b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 42.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.73% (Net Income 6.48b / Total Assets 124b)
RoE = 15.39% (Net Income TTM 6.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 42.1b)
RoCE = 16.23% (EBIT 8.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 42.1b + L.T.Debt 8.77b))
RoIC = 11.05% (NOPAT 6.55b / Invested Capital 59.3b)
WACC = 5.47% (E(314b)/V(334b) * Re(5.64%) + D(19.4b)/V(334b) * Rd(3.43%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 73.33 | Cagr: 0.22%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈4.85b ; Y1≈5.56b ; Y5≈8.18b
[DCF] Fair Price = 222.5 (EV 123b - Net Debt 5.27b = Equity 118b / Shares 529.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 26.30 | EPS CAGR: 7.75% | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.78 | Revenue CAGR: 22.75% | SUE: -0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.38 | Chg30d=+0.80% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.29 | Chg30d=-0.89% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.34 | Chg30d=+0.70% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+22.6% | GrowthRev=+21.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=17.95 | Chg30d=+0.53% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+25.1% | GrowthRev=+20.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=5, down=1)