(SCA-A) Svenska Cellulosa - Ratings and Ratios
Pulp, Containerboard, Timber, Wood, Bioenergy
SCA-A EPS (Earnings per Share)
SCA-A Revenue
Description: SCA-A Svenska Cellulosa
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is a diversified forest products company with a global presence, operating through five business segments: Forest, Wood, Pulp, Containerboard, and Renewable Energy. The company offers a wide range of products, including sawn wood, wood solutions for industrial buildings and merchants, pulp products, and Kraftliner products for various industries.
From a strategic perspective, SCAs diversified product portfolio and global footprint provide a stable foundation for growth. The companys Renewable Energy segment, which includes wind power projects and bioenergy production, is a key differentiator and growth driver. With a strong presence in Europe and a growing presence in international markets, SCA is well-positioned to capitalize on increasing demand for sustainable forest products and renewable energy.
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to monitor SCAs performance include revenue growth, EBITDA margins, and return on capital employed (ROCE). The companys ability to maintain a stable supply of raw materials, manage production costs, and invest in growth initiatives will be critical to its long-term success. Additionally, SCAs commitment to sustainability and reducing its environmental footprint is likely to be a key factor in its ability to attract customers and investors who prioritize ESG considerations.
From a financial perspective, SCAs market capitalization and liquidity profile suggest a relatively stable and mature company. Key metrics to monitor include the companys debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, and dividend yield. With a P/E ratio of 23.92 and a forward P/E ratio of 20.16, SCAs valuation is slightly above industry averages, suggesting a moderate level of investor confidence.
SCA-A Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,345m |
| Sub-Industry | Forest Products |
| IPO / Inception |
SCA-A Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -38.2% |
| Fundamental | 51.7% |
| Dividend Rating | 57.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -25.3% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
SCA-A Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.33% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.65% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 6.58% |
| Payout Consistency | 88.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.8% |
SCA-A Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 54.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -72.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -9.1% |
| CAGR 5y | -5.07% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.17 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.43 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.71 |
| Alpha | -26.99 |
| Beta | 0.802 |
| Volatility | 23.44% |
| Current Volume | 4.2k |
| Average Volume 20d | 5.4k |
| Stop Loss | 119.8 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | -0.74 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (3.78b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.26b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 9.75% (prev 17.11%; Δ -7.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.04b > Net Income 3.78b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (470.0m) to EBITDA (7.43b) ratio: 0.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (702.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.05% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 83.25% (prev 38.28%; Δ 44.97pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 14.02% (prev 12.43%; Δ 1.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.34 (EBITDA TTM 7.43b / Interest Expense TTM 467.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.83
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 10.90b - Total Current Liabilities 8.86b) / Total Assets 149.47b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 59.19b / Total Assets 149.47b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 5.29b / Avg Total Assets 149.26b |
| (D) 2.11 = Book Value of Equity 96.74b / Total Liabilities 45.89b |
| Total Rating: 3.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.68
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.22% = 0.61 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.78% = 1.44 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.11 = 2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.59 = 0.80 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -3.91% = -4.89 |
| 7. RoE 3.62% = 0.30 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 51.24% = 2.56 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 2.65% = 0.33 |
| 10. EPS Trend -48.75% = -1.22 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -14.02% = -1.75 |
What is the price of SCA-A shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.98%, over one month by -2.52%, over three months by -0.16% and over the past year by -11.62%.
Is Svenska Cellulosa a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SCA-A is around 111.94 SEK . This means that SCA-A is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.43%.
Is SCA-A a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the SCA-A price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 124.3 | 0.5% |
SCA-A Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap SEK = 87.17b (87.17b SEK * 1.0 SEK.SEK)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 74.0m SEK (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 22.974
P/E Forward = 20.1613
P/S = 3.8056
P/B = 0.8382
Beta = 0.401
Revenue TTM = 20.92b SEK
EBIT TTM = 5.29b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 7.43b SEK
Long Term Debt = 11.58b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 196.0m SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.78b SEK (Calculated: Short Term 196.0m + Long Term 11.58b)
Net Debt = 470.0m SEK (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 98.88b SEK (87.17b + Debt 11.78b - CCE 74.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.34 (Ebit TTM 5.29b / Interest Expense TTM 467.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.22% (FCF TTM 1.21b / Enterprise Value 98.88b)
FCF Margin = 5.78% (FCF TTM 1.21b / Revenue TTM 20.92b)
Net Margin = 18.06% (Net Income TTM 3.78b / Revenue TTM 20.92b)
Gross Margin = 83.25% ((Revenue TTM 20.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 98.88b / Book Value Of Equity 96.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.97% (Interest Expense 114.0m / Debt 11.78b)
Taxrate = 19.51% (882.0m / 4.52b)
NOPAT = 4.26b (EBIT 5.29b * (1 - 19.51%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 10.90b / Total Current Liabilities 8.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.11 (Debt 11.78b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 103.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.59 (Net Debt 470.0m / EBITDA 7.43b)
Debt / FCF = 9.74 (Debt 11.78b / FCF TTM 1.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 104.37b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.53% (Net Income 3.78b, Total Assets 149.47b )
RoE = 3.62% (Net Income TTM 3.78b / Total Stockholder Equity 104.37b)
RoCE = 4.57% (Ebit 5.29b / (Equity 104.37b + L.T.Debt 11.58b))
RoIC = 4.08% (NOPAT 4.26b / Invested Capital 104.37b)
WACC = 8.00% (E(87.17b)/V(98.95b) * Re(8.97%)) + (D(11.78b)/V(98.95b) * Rd(0.97%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -44.21 | Cagr: -0.00%
Discount Rate = 8.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.93% ; FCFE base≈994.2m ; Y1≈798.2m ; Y5≈545.9m
Fair Price DCF = 137.5 (DCF Value 8.64b / Shares Outstanding 62.9m; 5y FCF grow -23.61% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 51.24 | Revenue CAGR: 2.65%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 14.37
EPS Correlation: -48.75 | EPS CAGR: -14.02%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 48.79