(SCA-B) Svenska Cellulosa - Ratings and Ratios
Pulp, Wood, Containerboard, Forest, RenewableEnergy
SCA-B EPS (Earnings per Share)
SCA-B Revenue
Description: SCA-B Svenska Cellulosa
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is a diversified forest products company with operations across multiple geographies, including Sweden, the US, Germany, the UK, and Asia. The company operates through five business segments: Forest, Wood, Pulp, Containerboard, and Renewable Energy, offering a range of products including sawn wood, wood solutions, pulp products, and Kraftliner products.
The companys product portfolio caters to various industries, including construction, industrial manufacturing, and consumer goods. SCAs Renewable Energy segment is also gaining traction, with a focus on generating energy from wind power, bioenergy, and biofuels, as well as manufacturing and selling pellets. With a history dating back to 1915, the company has established itself as a significant player in the forest products industry.
From a financial perspective, SCAs revenue diversification across its business segments and geographies provides a stable foundation. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to monitor include revenue growth, EBITDA margins, and return on capital employed (ROCE). The companys ability to maintain a strong market position in its core businesses while expanding its Renewable Energy segment will be crucial in driving long-term value creation. Additionally, SCAs commitment to sustainability and environmental stewardship is likely to become increasingly important in the face of growing regulatory pressures and shifting consumer preferences.
Some key metrics to evaluate SCAs performance include its debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, and dividend yield. A detailed analysis of these metrics, along with industry benchmarks, will provide insights into the companys financial health, dividend sustainability, and potential for future growth. With a market capitalization of approximately 86.4 billion SEK, SCA is a significant player in the Swedish stock market, and its stock performance is likely to be influenced by both company-specific and macroeconomic factors.
SCA-B Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,345m |
| Sub-Industry | Forest Products |
| IPO / Inception |
SCA-B Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -36.4% |
| Fundamental | 51.6% |
| Dividend Rating | 61.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -25.8% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
SCA-B Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 2.33% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.80% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 8.29% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.8% |
SCA-B Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 54.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -72.7% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 0.5% |
| CAGR 5y | -4.00% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.15 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.38 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -2.05 |
| Alpha | -27.69 |
| Beta | 0.821 |
| Volatility | 22.70% |
| Current Volume | 736.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 818.6k |
| Stop Loss | 119.5 (-3%) |
| Signal | -1.08 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (3.78b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.26b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.49pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 9.75% (prev 17.11%; Δ -7.36pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.04b > Net Income 3.78b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (470.0m) to EBITDA (7.43b) ratio: 0.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.23 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (702.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.05% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 83.25% (prev 15.53%; Δ 67.72pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 14.02% (prev 12.43%; Δ 1.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.34 (EBITDA TTM 7.43b / Interest Expense TTM 467.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.83
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 10.90b - Total Current Liabilities 8.86b) / Total Assets 149.47b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 59.19b / Total Assets 149.47b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 5.29b / Avg Total Assets 149.26b |
| (D) 2.11 = Book Value of Equity 96.74b / Total Liabilities 45.89b |
| Total Rating: 3.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.60
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.22% = 0.61 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.78% = 1.44 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.11 = 2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.59 = 0.80 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -3.97% = -4.97 |
| 7. RoE 3.62% = 0.30 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 51.24% = 2.56 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 2.65% = 0.33 |
| 10. EPS Trend -48.75% = -1.22 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -14.02% = -1.75 |
What is the price of SCA-B shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.11%, over one month by -2.84%, over three months by -0.48% and over the past year by -12.30%.
Is Svenska Cellulosa a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SCA-B is around 111.83 SEK . This means that SCA-B is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.23%.
Is SCA-B a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the SCA-B price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 140.9 | 14.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 124.2 | 0.8% |
SCA-B Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap SEK = 87.17b (87.17b SEK * 1.0 SEK.SEK)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 74.0m SEK (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 22.8996
P/E Forward = 20.202
P/S = 3.8056
P/B = 0.8354
Beta = 0.401
Revenue TTM = 20.92b SEK
EBIT TTM = 5.29b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 7.43b SEK
Long Term Debt = 11.58b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 196.0m SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.78b SEK (Calculated: Short Term 196.0m + Long Term 11.58b)
Net Debt = 470.0m SEK (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 98.88b SEK (87.17b + Debt 11.78b - CCE 74.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.34 (Ebit TTM 5.29b / Interest Expense TTM 467.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.22% (FCF TTM 1.21b / Enterprise Value 98.88b)
FCF Margin = 5.78% (FCF TTM 1.21b / Revenue TTM 20.92b)
Net Margin = 18.06% (Net Income TTM 3.78b / Revenue TTM 20.92b)
Gross Margin = 83.25% ((Revenue TTM 20.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 98.88b / Book Value Of Equity 96.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.97% (Interest Expense 114.0m / Debt 11.78b)
Taxrate = 19.51% (882.0m / 4.52b)
NOPAT = 4.26b (EBIT 5.29b * (1 - 19.51%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 10.90b / Total Current Liabilities 8.86b)
Debt / Equity = 0.11 (Debt 11.78b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 103.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.59 (Net Debt 470.0m / EBITDA 7.43b)
Debt / FCF = 9.74 (Debt 11.78b / FCF TTM 1.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 104.37b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.53% (Net Income 3.78b, Total Assets 149.47b )
RoE = 3.62% (Net Income TTM 3.78b / Total Stockholder Equity 104.37b)
RoCE = 4.57% (Ebit 5.29b / (Equity 104.37b + L.T.Debt 11.58b))
RoIC = 4.08% (NOPAT 4.26b / Invested Capital 104.37b)
WACC = 8.06% (E(87.17b)/V(98.95b) * Re(9.04%)) + (D(11.78b)/V(98.95b) * Rd(0.97%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -41.03 | Cagr: -0.00%
Discount Rate = 9.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.25% ; FCFE base≈914.2m ; Y1≈719.6m ; Y5≈473.0m
Fair Price DCF = 11.65 (DCF Value 7.45b / Shares Outstanding 639.5m; 5y FCF grow -25.41% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 51.24 | Revenue CAGR: 2.65%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 14.37
EPS Correlation: -48.75 | EPS CAGR: -14.02%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 48.79