SCA-B Stock Analysis: Svenska Cellulosa | ST
Paper & Paper Products | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 84.106m SEK | 12M Return: -2.1% | SE0000112724 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 210M
EPS Trend: -67.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 74.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) is a Swedish forest products company operating across five segments: Forest, Wood, Pulp, Containerboard, and Renewable Energy. The company manages forest land and produces a wide range of products including sawn timber, wood solutions for construction and merchants, bleached softwood kraft pulp and chemical thermomechanical pulp, kraftliner packaging materials, wood pellets, and both solid and liquid biofuels. Additional operations include timber sourcing and transportation, logistics services via RoRo vessels, container, road, and rail, as well as wind power generation and green electricity production.
As a major player in the GICS Forest Products sub-industry, SCA operates a vertically integrated value chain spanning from forest management and harvesting to the production of sawn wood, pulp, packaging paper, and renewable energy. The company also monetizes its forest holdings through ancillary activities such as hunting and fishing privileges, and produces green biochemical byproducts including tall oil and turpentine. Incorporated in 1915 and headquartered in Sundsvall, Sweden, SCA exports its products internationally across Europe, North America, and Asia.
- Containerboard and kraftliner pricing weakens on softer European demand
- Sawn wood margins pressured by falling Nordic timber prices
- Pulp segment earnings fall as global pulp prices normalize lower
| Net Income: 2.22b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.15% < 20% (prev 9.75%; Δ 1.40% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 3.62b > Net Income 2.22b |
| Net Debt (15.8b) to EBITDA (4.74b): 3.34 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (702.0m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -0.15% > 18% (prev 83.25%; Δ -83.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 13.31% > 50% (prev 14.00%; Δ -0.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.62 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.52b / Interest Expense TTM 381.0m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 11.2b - Total Current Liabilities 9.03b) / Total Assets 148b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 61.5b / Total Assets 148b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 2.52b / Avg Total Assets 149b) |
| D: 2.18 (Book Value of Equity 101b / Total Liabilities 46.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.86 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 4.59b/4.64b, Revenue 19.8b/20.9b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.44) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 19.8b / 20.9b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 2.22b - CFO 3.62b) / TA 148b) |
| Beneish M = -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 03, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 119.60 with a total of 1,321,296 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.00%, over one month by +3.37%, over three months by +21.37% and over the past year by -2.09%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 115.80 (which is 3.2% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Svenska Cellulosa has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 38.0159
P/E Forward = 56.8182
P/S = 3.6763
P/B = 0.8663
P/EG = 0.4512
Revenue TTM = 19.8b SEK
EBIT TTM = 2.52b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 4.74b SEK
Long Term Debt = 12.6b SEK (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.70b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.0b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 465.0m
Net Debt = 15.8b SEK (calculated: Debt 16.0b - CCE 162.0m)
Enterprise Value = 100.0b SEK (84.1b + Debt 16.0b - CCE 162.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.62 (Ebit TTM 2.52b / Interest Expense TTM 381.0m)
EV/FCF = 63.18x (Enterprise Value 100.0b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
FCF Yield = 1.58% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Enterprise Value 100.0b)
FCF Margin = 8.00% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 19.8b)
Net Margin = 11.22% (Net Income TTM 2.22b / Revenue TTM 19.8b)
Gross Margin = -0.15% ((Revenue TTM 19.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 19.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.64% (prev 63.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 100.0b / Total Assets 148b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.38% (Interest Expense 381.0m / Debt 16.0b)
Taxrate = 17.63% (475.0m / 2.69b)
NOPAT = 2.08b (EBIT 2.52b * (1 - 17.63%))
Current Ratio = 1.24 (Total Current Assets 11.2b / Total Current Liabilities 9.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 16.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 101b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.34 (Net Debt 15.8b / EBITDA 4.74b)
Debt / FCF = 10.02 (Net Debt 15.8b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 102b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.49% (Net Income 2.22b / Total Assets 148b)
RoE = 2.18% (Net Income TTM 2.22b / Total Stockholder Equity 102b)
RoCE = 2.21% (EBIT 2.52b / Capital Employed (Equity 102b + L.T.Debt 12.6b))
RoIC = 1.47% (NOPAT 2.08b / Invested Capital 141b)
WACC = 5.97% (E(84.1b)/V(100b) * Re(6.73%) + D(16.0b)/V(100b) * Rd(2.38%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 6.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -56.55 | Cagr: -0.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.43b ; Y1≈1.64b ; Y5≈2.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 32.00 (EV 36.4b - Net Debt 15.8b = Equity 20.5b / Shares 641.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -67.14 | EPS CAGR: -11.39% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.14 | Revenue CAGR: 4.79% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.98 | Chg30d=+2.52% | Revisions=-22% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.41 | Chg30d=+1.64% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-25.2% | GrowthRev=-1.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.76 | Chg30d=+3.82% | Revisions=-21% | GrowthEPS=+39.4% | GrowthRev=+6.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -16% (up=12, down=17)