TELIA Stock Analysis: Telia | ST

Telecom Services | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 173.013m SEK | 12M Return: 33.9% | SE0000667925 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Mobile, Broadband, Cloud, IoT
Total Rating 47
Safety 19
Buy Signal 0.08
Telecom Services
Industry Rotation: -2.4
Market Cap: 17.3B
Avg Turnover: 270M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility18.8%
VaR 5th Pctl3.22%
VaR vs Median4.14%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.33
Rel. Str. IBD64.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group75.9
Character TTM
Beta-0.308
Beta Downside-0.571
Hurst Exponent0.424
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD16.41%
CAGR/Max DD1.95
CAGR/Mean DD7.80
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TELIA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.44, "2021-12": 0.39, "2022-03": 0.26, "2022-06": 0.45, "2022-09": 0.46, "2022-12": 0.35, "2023-03": 0.26, "2023-06": 0.27, "2023-09": 0.44, "2023-12": 0.44, "2024-03": 0.22, "2024-06": 0.42, "2024-09": 0.59, "2024-12": 0.19, "2025-03": 0.15, "2025-06": 0.56, "2025-09": 0.61, "2025-12": 0.47, "2026-03": 0.58, "2026-06": 0.65,
EPS CAGR: 17.76%
EPS Trend: 78.5%
Last SUE: 0.44
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of TELIA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 21271, 2021-12: 23381, 2022-03: 21818, 2022-06: 22293, 2022-09: 22456, 2022-12: 24261, 2023-03: 23069, 2023-06: 23297, 2023-09: 21997, 2023-12: 23098, 2024-03: 21274, 2024-06: 22380, 2024-09: 24235, 2024-12: 23724, 2025-03: 20035, 2025-06: 19787, 2025-09: 19861, 2025-12: 21300, 2026-03: 19969, 2026-06: 20705,
Rev. CAGR: -4.92%
Rev. Trend: -87.8%
Last SUE: 0.17
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +2.9% 37
Feb +0.4% 7
Mar +3.4% 44
Apr -1.6% 33
May -0.7% 20
Jun -0.5% 10
Jul +0.1% 17
Aug -0.8% 8
Sep +0.9% 9
Oct -1.3% 14
Nov -0.1% 13
Dec -0.3% 11

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TELIA Telia

Telia Company AB (publ) is a Nordic and Baltic telecommunications operator headquartered in Solna, Sweden, that provides mobile, broadband, television, and fixed-line services to consumers, businesses, and public-sector customers across Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia. Beyond core connectivity, the company offers enterprise solutions such as networking, cloud and security, SD-WAN, managed mobility, collaboration, contact center, and IoT services, as well as colocation and dedicated private networks. It also supplies vertical-specific offerings, including fleet management, connected vehicle, smart public transport, and smart utilities solutions, serving industries such as transport, logistics, forestry, healthcare, agriculture, energy, mining, and manufacturing. Telia markets its services under multiple consumer and business brands, including Telia, TV4, Halebop, Fello, MTV, and Telia Cygate.

The company, founded in 1853 and formerly known as TeliaSonera, is listed on the Stockholm Stock Exchange under the ticker TELIA and is classified as a large-cap stock within the Communication Services sector. As an integrated telecom operator, its business model relies on a mix of subscription-based consumer services, enterprise contracts, and infrastructure offerings such as fiber and mobile network access across the Nordic and Baltic regions.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Swedish mobile subscription price hikes boost ARPU
  • Nordic fiber expansion drives fixed broadband revenue growth
  • Enterprise 5G and IoT contracts offset legacy declines
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 4.94b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.83 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -18.63% < 20% (prev -7.36%; Δ -11.27% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 27.3b > Net Income 4.94b
Net Debt (94.0b) to EBITDA (27.5b): 3.42 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.66 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.93b) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 24.19% > 18% (prev 70.28%; Δ -46.08% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 41.75% > 50% (prev 44.88%; Δ -3.13% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.75 > 6 (EBIT TTM 10.2b / Interest Expense TTM 3.70b)
Altman Z'' 0.52
A: -0.08 (Total Current Assets 29.7b - Total Current Liabilities 45.0b) / Total Assets 196b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 19.0b / Total Assets 196b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 10.2b / Avg Total Assets 196b)
D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 49.8b / Total Liabilities 143b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.52 = B
Beneish M -1.35
DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 16.8b/19.0b, Revenue 81.8b/87.8b)
GMI: 2.90 (GM 70.28% / 24.19%)
AQI: 1.09 (AQ_t 0.41 / AQ_t-1 0.38)
SGI: 0.93 (Revenue 81.8b / 87.8b)
TATA: -0.11 (NI 4.94b - CFO 27.3b) / TA 196b)
Beneish M = -1.35 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of TELIA shares?

As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 45.09 with a total of 8,147,139 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.04%, over one month by +0.27%, over three months by +0.62% and over the past year by +33.93%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.90 (which is 2.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is TELIA a buy, sell or hold?

Telia has no consensus analysts rating.

Telia (TELIA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 17.3b (173b SEK * 0.1 SEK.USD)
P/E Trailing = 35.2
P/E Forward = 16.9492
P/S = 2.1142
P/B = 3.5807
P/EG = 2.0406
Revenue TTM = 81.8b SEK
EBIT TTM = 10.2b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 27.5b SEK
Long Term Debt = 60.4b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.3b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 105b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 18.0b
Net Debt = 94.0b SEK (calculated: Debt 105b - CCE 11.0b)
Enterprise Value = 267b SEK (173b + Debt 105b - CCE 11.0b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.75 (Ebit TTM 10.2b / Interest Expense TTM 3.70b)
EV/FCF = 20.23x (Enterprise Value 267b / FCF TTM 13.2b)
FCF Yield = 4.94% (FCF TTM 13.2b / Enterprise Value 267b)
FCF Margin = 16.13% (FCF TTM 13.2b / Revenue TTM 81.8b)
Net Margin = 6.04% (Net Income TTM 4.94b / Revenue TTM 81.8b)
Gross Margin = 24.19% ((Revenue TTM 81.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 62.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 65.50% (prev 65.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 267b / Total Assets 196b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.52% (Interest Expense 3.70b / Debt 105b)
Taxrate = 21.79% (1.57b / 7.22b)
NOPAT = 7.96b (EBIT 10.2b * (1 - 21.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.66 (Total Current Assets 29.7b / Total Current Liabilities 45.0b)
Debt / Equity = 2.11 (Debt 105b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 49.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.42 (Net Debt 94.0b / EBITDA 27.5b)
Debt / FCF = 7.12 (Net Debt 94.0b / FCF TTM 13.2b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 52.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.52% (Net Income 4.94b / Total Assets 196b)
RoE = 9.48% (Net Income TTM 4.94b / Total Stockholder Equity 52.1b)
RoCE = 9.05% (EBIT 10.2b / Capital Employed (Equity 52.1b + L.T.Debt 60.4b))
RoIC = 4.98% (NOPAT 7.96b / Invested Capital 160b)
WACC = 4.09% (E(173b)/V(278b) * Re(4.90%) + D(105b)/V(278b) * Rd(3.52%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 4.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -47.43 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈11.7b ; Y1≈13.5b ; Y5≈19.8b
[DCF] Fair Price = 51.91 (EV 298b - Net Debt 94.0b = Equity 204b / Shares 3.93b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 78.55 | EPS CAGR: 17.76% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -87.77 | Revenue CAGR: -4.92% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=-1.43% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.48 | Chg30d=-0.00% | Revisions=+58% | GrowthEPS=+15.6% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.65 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+64% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +56% (up=18, down=4)