TELIA Stock Analysis: Telia | ST
Telecom Services | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 178.125m SEK | 12M Return: 41.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 307M
EPS Trend: 72.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -96.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Telia Company AB (publ) is a Stockholm-listed integrated telecommunications operator headquartered in Solna, Sweden, providing mobile, broadband, television, and fixed-line services to consumers, businesses, and public-sector customers across Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, and the Baltic states (Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia). Beyond core connectivity, the company sells enterprise-focused offerings such as cloud, security, SD-WAN, IoT, contact center, and managed mobility solutions, alongside niche vertical services including connected vehicle, fleet management, smart utilities, and smart public transport. It markets these products under a portfolio of regional brands including Telia, Telia Cygate, TV4, Halebop, Fello, MTV, Phonero, Onecall, MyCall, Ezys, and Diil. Originally founded in 1853 and formerly known as TeliaSonera, the company adopted its current name in April 2016.
As an integrated telecom operator, Telia owns and operates substantial fixed and mobile network infrastructure across the Nordic and Baltic regions, a business model typically characterized by significant capital expenditure on spectrum, fiber, and 5G rollout, combined with subscription-based recurring revenue. Companies in this sub-industry generally operate under heavy national and EU-level regulatory oversight regarding pricing, spectrum allocation, and universal service obligations.
- Fiber and 5G capex pressures Nordic free cash flow
- Enterprise and IoT revenue growth offsets Nordic subscriber saturation
- Dividend sustainability hinges on Baltic ARPU growth and debt reduction
| Net Income: 4.68b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -12.36% < 20% (prev -1.53%; Δ -10.83% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 27.8b > Net Income 4.68b |
| Net Debt (93.7b) to EBITDA (30.9b): 3.03 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.74 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (3.93b) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.55% > 18% (prev 50.65%; Δ 1.89% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 41.46% > 50% (prev 44.78%; Δ -3.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM 13.6b / Interest Expense TTM 3.08b) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 28.3b - Total Current Liabilities 38.3b) / Total Assets 194b |
| B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 19.0b / Total Assets 194b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 13.6b / Avg Total Assets 195b) |
| D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 54.7b / Total Liabilities 136b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.87 = B |
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 16.3b/19.2b, Revenue 80.9b/87.9b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 50.65% / 52.55%) |
| AQI: 1.08 (AQ_t 0.41 / AQ_t-1 0.38) |
| SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 80.9b / 87.9b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 4.68b - CFO 27.8b) / TA 194b) |
| Beneish M = -3.14 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 45.26 with a total of 5,755,651 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.66%, over one month by -8.71%, over three months by -5.87% and over the past year by +41.65%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 43.90 (which is 3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Telia has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 38.3898
P/E Forward = 20.1613
P/S = 2.2009
P/B = 3.2905
P/EG = 2.4309
Revenue TTM = 80.9b SEK
EBIT TTM = 13.6b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 30.9b SEK
Long Term Debt = 59.3b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.9b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 104b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 18.2b
Net Debt = 93.7b SEK (calculated: Debt 104b - CCE 10.2b)
Enterprise Value = 272b SEK (178b + Debt 104b - CCE 10.2b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.42 (Ebit TTM 13.6b / Interest Expense TTM 3.08b)
EV/FCF = 20.59x (Enterprise Value 272b / FCF TTM 13.2b)
FCF Yield = 4.86% (FCF TTM 13.2b / Enterprise Value 272b)
FCF Margin = 16.32% (FCF TTM 13.2b / Revenue TTM 80.9b)
Net Margin = 5.78% (Net Income TTM 4.68b / Revenue TTM 80.9b)
Gross Margin = 52.55% ((Revenue TTM 80.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 38.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 65.48% (prev 15.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.40 (Enterprise Value 272b / Total Assets 194b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.96% (Interest Expense 3.08b / Debt 104b)
Taxrate = 21.27% (1.46b / 6.85b)
NOPAT = 10.7b (EBIT 13.6b * (1 - 21.27%))
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 28.3b / Total Current Liabilities 38.3b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 104b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 54.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.03 (Net Debt 93.7b / EBITDA 30.9b)
Debt / FCF = 7.10 (Net Debt 93.7b / FCF TTM 13.2b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 52.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.40% (Net Income 4.68b / Total Assets 194b)
RoE = 8.99% (Net Income TTM 4.68b / Total Stockholder Equity 52.1b)
RoCE = 12.21% (EBIT 13.6b / Capital Employed (Equity 52.1b + L.T.Debt 59.3b))
RoIC = 6.55% (NOPAT 10.7b / Invested Capital 164b)
WACC = 4.16% (E(178b)/V(282b) * Re(5.23%) + D(104b)/V(282b) * Rd(2.96%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -25.31 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈11.8b ; Y1≈13.6b ; Y5≈20.0b
[DCF] Fair Price = 52.55 (EV 300b - Net Debt 93.7b = Equity 207b / Shares 3.93b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 72.49 | EPS CAGR: 12.90% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -96.27 | Revenue CAGR: -5.00% | SUE: -0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-3.26% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.70 | Chg30d=-1.87% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=-0.41% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+9.6% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.56 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+9.0% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +22% (up=4, down=2)