(TSEC) Tempest Security - Ratings and Ratios
Monitoring, Surveillance, Alarm
TSEC EPS (Earnings per Share)
TSEC Revenue
Description: TSEC Tempest Security
Tempest Security AB, trading under the ticker symbol TSEC, is a Swedish company operating in the Security & Alarm Services sub-industry. The companys stock is currently priced at 15.65 SEK, showing a significant increase from its 52-week low of 9.30 SEK and a decline from its 52-week high of 18.20 SEK.
From a technical standpoint, the stock has been trending upwards, with its short-term, medium-term, and long-term Simple Moving Averages (SMA20, SMA50, SMA200) at 14.19, 12.21, and 11.03, respectively, indicating a potential buy signal. The Average True Range (ATR) is 0.48, representing a 3.04% daily price movement, and the Beta is 0.781, suggesting relatively lower volatility compared to the market.
Fundamentally, Tempest Security AB has a market capitalization of 141.53M SEK. The forward Price-to-Earnings ratio is 7.81, indicating the markets expectation of future earnings growth. However, the current Return on Equity (RoE) is -106.56%, suggesting significant losses. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to monitor include revenue growth, gross margin, and operating cash flow to assess the companys financial health and potential for future profitability.
Economic drivers for the Security & Alarm Services industry include demand for security services, technological advancements, and regulatory requirements. The industrys growth is influenced by factors such as crime rates, urbanization, and the need for enhanced security measures. To evaluate TSECs performance, its essential to analyze its customer acquisition costs, retention rates, and the average revenue per user (ARPU) to understand its competitive positioning and potential for future growth.
To make an informed investment decision, its crucial to assess TSECs quarterly tax provision in the context of its overall financial performance, including its income statement and cash flow statement. Analyzing the companys tax strategy, deferred tax assets, and liabilities can provide insights into its financial management and potential future tax obligations.
TSEC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 16m |
| Sub-Industry | Security & Alarm Services |
| IPO / Inception |
TSEC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -63.1% |
| Fundamental | 49.7% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -32.6% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
TSEC Dividends
Currently no dividends paidTSEC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 81.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -33.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -90.6% |
| CAGR 5y | -23.65% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.29 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.09 |
| Alpha | -21.08 |
| Beta | 0.017 |
| Volatility | 53.37% |
| Current Volume | 0.1k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2k |
| Stop Loss | 12.1 (-6.9%) |
| Signal | 1.64 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-56.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 30.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.54pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.11% (prev -7.86%; Δ -4.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO -3.57m > Net Income -56.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (10.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.99% (prev 43.55%; Δ 5.44pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 219.2% (prev 191.4%; Δ 27.80pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -11.17 (EBITDA TTM -6.09m / Interest Expense TTM 4.77m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.36
| (A) -0.29 = (Total Current Assets 104.3m - Total Current Liabilities 166.4m) / Total Assets 215.7m |
| (B) -0.44 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -94.3m / Total Assets 215.7m |
| (C) -0.23 = EBIT TTM -53.2m / Avg Total Assets 233.9m |
| (D) -0.50 = Book Value of Equity -93.2m / Total Liabilities 188.3m |
| Total Rating: -5.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.70
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.39% = 2.69 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.75% = 0.44 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.84 = 2.16 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.78 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC data missing |
| 7. RoE -106.6% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 75.00% = 3.75 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 6.94% = 0.87 |
| 10. EPS Trend -48.59% = -1.21 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -60.64% = -2.50 |
What is the price of TSEC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.86%, over one month by -3.35%, over three months by +32.65% and over the past year by -21.21%.
Is Tempest Security a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of TSEC is around 10.85 SEK . This means that TSEC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -16.54%.
Is TSEC a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TSEC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17 | 30.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.8 | -8.9% |
TSEC Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap SEK = 152.0m (152.0m SEK * 1.0 SEK.SEK)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 8.62m SEK (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 7.8125
P/S = 0.3034
P/B = 5.545
Beta = 0.707
Revenue TTM = 512.8m SEK
EBIT TTM = -53.2m SEK
EBITDA TTM = -6.09m SEK
Long Term Debt = 1.80m SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 21.2m SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.0m SEK (Calculated: Short Term 21.2m + Long Term 1.80m)
Net Debt = 34.4m SEK (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 166.4m SEK (152.0m + Debt 23.0m - CCE 8.62m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -11.17 (Ebit TTM -53.2m / Interest Expense TTM 4.77m)
FCF Yield = 5.39% (FCF TTM 8.97m / Enterprise Value 166.4m)
FCF Margin = 1.75% (FCF TTM 8.97m / Revenue TTM 512.8m)
Net Margin = -10.99% (Net Income TTM -56.4m / Revenue TTM 512.8m)
Gross Margin = 48.99% ((Revenue TTM 512.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 261.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -1.78 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 166.4m / Book Value Of Equity -93.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.71% (Interest Expense 1.31m / Debt 23.0m)
Taxrate = unknown
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.63 (Total Current Assets 104.3m / Total Current Liabilities 166.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 23.0m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 27.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.78 (Net Debt 34.4m / EBITDA -6.09m)
Debt / FCF = 2.57 (Debt 23.0m / FCF TTM 8.97m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 52.9m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -26.13% (Net Income -56.4m, Total Assets 215.7m )
RoE = -106.6% (Net Income TTM -56.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 52.9m)
RoCE = -97.33% (Ebit -53.2m / (Equity 52.9m + L.T.Debt 1.80m))
RoIC = unknown (NOPAT none, Invested Capital 63.4m, Ebit -53.2m)
WACC = unknown (E(152.0m)/V(175.0m) * Re(6.08%)) + (D(23.0m)/V(175.0m) * Rd(5.71%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 70.70 | Cagr: 2.11%
Discount Rate = 6.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈11.1m ; Y1≈13.7m ; Y5≈23.4m
Fair Price DCF = 37.99 (DCF Value 398.3m / Shares Outstanding 10.5m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 75.00 | Revenue CAGR: 6.94%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -3.57
EPS Correlation: -48.59 | EPS CAGR: -60.64%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 7.34