VOLCAR-B Stock Analysis: Volvo Car (publ.) | ST
Auto Manufacturers | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 60.687m SEK | 12M Return: 11.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 79.2M
EPS Trend: -34.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -72.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 4.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Volvo Car AB (publ.) is a Sweden-based automobile manufacturer founded in 1927 and headquartered in Gothenburg, operating internationally as a subsidiary of Geely Sweden Holdings AB. The company designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells passenger cars across multiple body styles, including SUVs, estates, and saloons.
Volvos product portfolio spans the full range of powertrains, from internal combustion engine vehicles to mild hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and fully battery electric vehicles, reflecting the broader shift across the auto industry toward electrification and lower-emission lineups. In addition to vehicle sales, the company generates recurring revenue through parts, accessories, maintenance contracts, extended warranties, connectivity services, and in-car software offerings-an increasingly important segment for automakers as vehicle features and services move toward subscription and software-driven models.
- BEV mix shift pressures margins amid heavy investment cycle
- EU and US tariffs disrupt China-built EV export strategy
- China demand softness weighs on volume growth and pricing
| Net Income: 580.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.95% < 20% (prev 0.22%; Δ 0.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 34.1b > Net Income 580.0m |
| Net Debt (-4.96b) to EBITDA (21.3b): -0.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.97b) vs 12m ago -1.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.59% > 18% (prev 19.08%; Δ -2.50% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 91.59% > 50% (prev 102.9%; Δ -11.31% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM -717.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.35b) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 159b - Total Current Liabilities 155b) / Total Assets 379b |
| B: 0.27 (Retained Earnings 101b / Total Assets 379b) |
| C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -717.0m / Avg Total Assets 379b) |
| D: 0.65 (Book Value of Equity 150b / Total Liabilities 229b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.60 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 21.7b/23.6b, Revenue 347b/389b) |
| GMI: 1.15 (GM 19.08% / 16.59%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 0.89 (Revenue 347b / 389b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 580.0m - CFO 34.1b) / TA 379b) |
| Beneish M = -2.97 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 20.33 with a total of 2,557,877 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.57%, over one month by -7.84%, over three months by -9.64% and over the past year by +11.92%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.20 (which is 5.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Volvo Car (publ.) has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 102.35
P/E Forward = 3.6819
P/S = 0.1749
P/B = 0.433
Revenue TTM = 347b SEK
EBIT TTM = -717.0m SEK
EBITDA TTM = 21.3b SEK
Long Term Debt = 33.7b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.60b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 41.6b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.31b
Net Debt = -4.96b SEK (calculated: Debt 41.6b - CCE 46.6b)
Enterprise Value = 55.7b SEK (60.7b + Debt 41.6b - CCE 46.6b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.53 (Ebit TTM -717.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.35b)
EV/FCF = 7.50x (Enterprise Value 55.7b / FCF TTM 7.43b)
FCF Yield = 13.34% (FCF TTM 7.43b / Enterprise Value 55.7b)
FCF Margin = 2.14% (FCF TTM 7.43b / Revenue TTM 347b)
Net Margin = 0.17% (Net Income TTM 580.0m / Revenue TTM 347b)
Gross Margin = 16.59% ((Revenue TTM 347b - Cost of Revenue TTM 289b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.52% (prev 15.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.15 (Enterprise Value 55.7b / Total Assets 379b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.24% (Interest Expense 1.35b / Debt 41.6b)
Taxrate = 25.0% (non-US conservative default 25%)
NOPAT = -537.8m (EBIT -717.0m * (1 - 25.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 159b / Total Current Liabilities 155b)
Debt / Equity = 0.28 (Debt 41.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 150b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.23 (Net Debt -4.96b / EBITDA 21.3b)
Debt / FCF = -0.67 (Net Debt -4.96b / FCF TTM 7.43b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 144b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.15% (Net Income 580.0m / Total Assets 379b)
RoE = 0.40% (Net Income TTM 580.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 144b)
RoCE = -0.40% (EBIT -717.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 144b + L.T.Debt 33.7b))
RoIC = -0.26% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -537.8m / Invested Capital 209b)
WACC = 6.95% (E(60.7b)/V(102b) * Re(10.04%) + D(41.6b)/V(102b) * Rd(3.24%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -51.11 | Cagr: -0.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.68% ; FCFF base≈7.16b ; Y1≈7.79b ; Y5≈9.70b
[DCF] Fair Price = 51.76 (EV 148b - Net Debt -4.96b = Equity 153b / Shares 2.96b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 10.18% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -34.69 | EPS CAGR: -5.91% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -72.48 | Revenue CAGR: -3.68% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=-28.79% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=-38.24% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.54 | Chg30d=-3.65% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-39.0% | GrowthRev=-4.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.56 | Chg30d=+1.69% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+40.0% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -44% (up=1, down=5)