VOLV-A Stock Analysis: AB Volvo (publ) | ST
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | ST, Sweden | Market Cap: 643.791m SEK | 12M Return: 24.4% | SE0000115420 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 44.1M
EPS Trend: -81.1%
Rev. Trend: -94.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
AB Volvo (publ), headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden and founded in 1915, is a global manufacturer of trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and industrial engines. It operates through several industrial segments covering trucks, construction equipment, buses, and Volvo Penta engines, alongside a financial services arm that supports dealer and customer financing. Its brands include Volvo, Renault Trucks, Mack, Eicher, Dongfeng, Prevost, SDLG, and Rokbak, with products and services distributed through a worldwide dealer network serving transportation, construction, marine, and public transportation industries.
Volvo operates in the heavy commercial vehicles and construction equipment sector, an industry characterized by long product lifecycles, high capital intensity, and significant exposure to global economic cycles, infrastructure spending, and emissions regulations. The inclusion of a dedicated Financial Services segment is typical for heavy-equipment manufacturers, as dealer and end-customer financing is a key part of the business model and a meaningful contributor to recurring revenue.
- North American heavy-duty truck demand weakens on freight slowdown
- EU CO2 regulations accelerate electric truck adoption and investment
- Aftermarket service revenue grows supporting margins and resilience
| Net Income: 35.8b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.14% < 20% (prev 6.56%; Δ -0.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 49.8b > Net Income 35.8b |
| Net Debt (221b) to EBITDA (74.3b): 2.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.03b) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 25.34% > 18% (prev 25.16%; Δ 0.18% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 69.53% > 50% (prev 73.80%; Δ -4.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 28.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 50.8b / Interest Expense TTM 1.76b) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 310b - Total Current Liabilities 281b) / Total Assets 679b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 180b / Total Assets 679b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 50.8b / Avg Total Assets 678b) |
| D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 177b / Total Liabilities 502b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.02 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.15 (Receivables 176b/162b, Revenue 472b/500b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 25.16% / 25.34%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.34) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 472b / 500b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 35.8b - CFO 49.8b) / TA 679b) |
| Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at SEK 317.20 with a total of 80,429 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.28%, over one month by -5.31%, over three months by -5.43% and over the past year by +24.39%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 309.60 (which is 2.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
AB Volvo (publ) has no consensus analysts rating.
P/E Trailing = 17.958
P/E Forward = 12.5628
P/S = 1.3653
P/B = 3.7773
P/EG = 0.954
Revenue TTM = 472b SEK
EBIT TTM = 50.8b SEK
EBITDA TTM = 74.3b SEK
Long Term Debt = 151b SEK (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 109b SEK (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 268b SEK (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 7.97b
Net Debt = 221b SEK (calculated: Debt 268b - CCE 47.1b)
Enterprise Value = 865b SEK (644b + Debt 268b - CCE 47.1b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 28.82 (Ebit TTM 50.8b / Interest Expense TTM 1.76b)
EV/FCF = 33.45x (Enterprise Value 865b / FCF TTM 25.9b)
FCF Yield = 2.99% (FCF TTM 25.9b / Enterprise Value 865b)
FCF Margin = 5.49% (FCF TTM 25.9b / Revenue TTM 472b)
Net Margin = 7.60% (Net Income TTM 35.8b / Revenue TTM 472b)
Gross Margin = 25.34% ((Revenue TTM 472b - Cost of Revenue TTM 352b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.70% (prev 25.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.27 (Enterprise Value 865b / Total Assets 679b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.66% (Interest Expense 1.76b / Debt 268b)
Taxrate = 26.86% (13.2b / 49.1b)
NOPAT = 37.2b (EBIT 50.8b * (1 - 26.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 310b / Total Current Liabilities 281b)
Debt / Equity = 1.52 (Debt 268b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 177b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.98 (Net Debt 221b / EBITDA 74.3b)
Debt / FCF = 8.55 (Net Debt 221b / FCF TTM 25.9b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 179b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.29% (Net Income 35.8b / Total Assets 679b)
RoE = 19.98% (Net Income TTM 35.8b / Total Stockholder Equity 179b)
RoCE = 15.39% (EBIT 50.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 179b + L.T.Debt 151b))
RoIC = 7.69% (NOPAT 37.2b / Invested Capital 484b)
WACC = 5.87% (E(644b)/V(912b) * Re(8.11%) + D(268b)/V(912b) * Rd(0.66%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -49.75 | Cagr: -0.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈23.4b ; Y1≈26.8b ; Y5≈39.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 845.5 (EV 594b - Net Debt 221b = Equity 373b / Shares 440.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -81.11 | EPS CAGR: -15.56% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.86 | Revenue CAGR: -6.39% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.16 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+4.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=25.23 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+9.8%