(AERO) Montana Aerospace - Ratings and Ratios
Airframes, Engines, Landing, Wing, Nacelle
AERO EPS (Earnings per Share)
AERO Revenue
Description: AERO Montana Aerospace
Montana Aerospace AG, listed as AERO on the Swiss stock exchange, operates within the Aerospace & Defense sub-industry. The companys market capitalization stands at approximately 1.783 billion CHF, indicating a significant presence in the market.
Analyzing the stocks performance, we observe a current price of 26.75 CHF, with a beta of 2.231, suggesting a relatively high volatility compared to the broader market. The stock has shown a considerable range over the past 52 weeks, with a high of 29.40 CHF and a low of 13.80 CHF, indicating substantial price movements.
From a fundamental analysis perspective, Montana Aerospace AGs price-to-earnings ratio is 70.12, which may indicate overvaluation or high growth expectations. The return on equity (RoE) is 4.19%, suggesting that the company generates a relatively modest return for its shareholders. The absence of a forward P/E ratio may indicate a lack of analyst coverage or significant changes in the companys earnings structure.
Key economic drivers for Montana Aerospace AG include demand for aerospace and defense products, global economic conditions, and technological advancements. The aerospace industry is heavily influenced by factors such as air travel demand, defense budgets, and the need for more efficient and sustainable aircraft. Montana Aerospace AGs performance is likely tied to its ability to innovate, manage supply chains, and adapt to changing regulatory requirements.
To further evaluate the stocks potential, examining key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, operating margin, and cash flow generation would be essential. A high revenue growth rate and expanding operating margins could justify the current valuation, while strong cash flow generation would indicate the companys ability to invest in growth opportunities or return value to shareholders.
AERO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,053m |
| Sub-Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| IPO / Inception |
AERO Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -5.75 |
| Fundamental | 60.0% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Rel. Strength | -6.52 |
| Analysts | - |
| Fair Price Momentum | 26.38 CHF |
| Fair Price DCF | 5.51 CHF |
AERO Dividends
Currently no dividends paidAERO Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 90% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 39.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -23.3% |
| CAGR 5y | -6.65% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.09 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.11 |
| Alpha | 20.98 |
| Beta | 0.461 |
| Volatility | 40.22% |
| Current Volume | 63.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 81.6k |
| Stop Loss | 24.6 (-5.4%) |
| Signal | -1.54 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (38.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 93.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.96pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 24.91% (prev 23.84%; Δ 1.07pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 128.6m > Net Income 38.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (132.5m) to EBITDA (194.4m) ratio: 0.68 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (62.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.03% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.50% (prev 38.41%; Δ 2.09pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 83.05% (prev 77.39%; Δ 5.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.62 (EBITDA TTM 194.4m / Interest Expense TTM 43.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.57
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 790.4m - Total Current Liabilities 404.3m) / Total Assets 1.82b |
| (B) -0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -46.3m / Total Assets 1.82b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 69.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.87b |
| (D) 0.01 = Book Value of Equity 10.2m / Total Liabilities 891.1m |
| Total Rating: 1.57 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.02
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.99% = 0.99 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.42% = 0.60 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.27 = 2.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.31 = 1.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -2.09% = -2.61 |
| 7. RoE 4.19% = 0.35 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 71.63% = 3.58 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 6.80% = 0.85 |
| 10. EPS Trend data missing |
| 11. EPS CAGR 31.35% = 2.50 |
What is the price of AERO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.47%, over one month by +5.26%, over three months by +32.65% and over the past year by +34.72%.
Is Montana Aerospace a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AERO is around 26.38 CHF . This means that AERO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 1.46%.
Is AERO a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the AERO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 25.9 | -0.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 29.1 | 11.7% |
AERO Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap EUR = 1.75b (1.65b CHF * 1.0605 CHF.EUR)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 122.8m EUR (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 66.5
P/S = 1.0376
P/B = 1.8779
Beta = 2.231
Revenue TTM = 1.55b EUR
EBIT TTM = 69.6m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 194.4m EUR
Long Term Debt = 218.8m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 36.4m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 255.3m EUR (Calculated: Short Term 36.4m + Long Term 218.8m)
Net Debt = 132.5m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.88b EUR (1.75b + Debt 255.3m - CCE 122.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.62 (Ebit TTM 69.6m / Interest Expense TTM 43.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.99% (FCF TTM 37.5m / Enterprise Value 1.88b)
FCF Margin = 2.42% (FCF TTM 37.5m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Net Margin = 2.49% (Net Income TTM 38.5m / Revenue TTM 1.55b)
Gross Margin = 40.50% ((Revenue TTM 1.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 922.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 183.9 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 1.88b / Book Value Of Equity 10.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.62% (Interest Expense 9.24m / Debt 255.3m)
Taxrate = 11.31% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 3.34m / 29.5m)
NOPAT = 61.7m (EBIT 69.6m * (1 - 11.31%))
Current Ratio = 1.96 (Total Current Assets 790.4m / Total Current Liabilities 404.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 255.3m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 932.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.31 (Net Debt 132.5m / EBITDA 194.4m)
Debt / FCF = 6.81 (Debt 255.3m / FCF TTM 37.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 919.1m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.12% (Net Income 38.5m, Total Assets 1.82b )
RoE = 4.19% (Net Income TTM 38.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 919.1m)
RoCE = 6.12% (Ebit 69.6m / (Equity 919.1m + L.T.Debt 218.8m))
RoIC = 5.05% (NOPAT 61.7m / Invested Capital 1.22b)
WACC = 7.14% (E(1.75b)/V(2.01b) * Re(7.71%)) + (D(255.3m)/V(2.01b) * Rd(3.62%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 80.0 | Cagr: 3.51%
Discount Rate = 7.71% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.98% ; FCFE base≈68.5m ; Y1≈42.2m ; Y5≈17.1m
Fair Price DCF = 5.51 (DCF Value 342.4m / Shares Outstanding 62.1m; 5y FCF grow -44.32% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 71.63 | Revenue CAGR: 6.80%
Revenue Growth Correlation: 18.84%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: 31.35%
EPS Growth Correlation: -9.57%