(APGN) APG SGA - Ratings and Ratios
Advertising, Outdoor, Digital, Real Estate, Media
Description: APGN APG SGA
APG|SGA SA is a leading outdoor advertising company operating primarily in Switzerland and Serbia, offering a diverse range of advertising formats across various mediums, including analog and digital poster formats, bus and tram wraps, and digital screens at key locations such as railway stations, shopping centers, and airports. The companys extensive portfolio also includes mobile targeting solutions, allowing advertisers to reach their target audience more effectively. In addition to its core advertising business, APG|SGA SA is also involved in real estate services, diversifying its revenue streams.
With a rich history dating back to 1900 and headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland, APG|SGA SA has established itself as a pioneer in the outdoor advertising industry. The companys website (https://www.apgsga.ch) provides further insights into its services and offerings. As a publicly traded company listed on the Swiss stock exchange with the ticker symbol APGN, APG|SGA SAs financial performance and market presence are subject to public scrutiny.
Analyzing the companys technical data, we observe that the stocks last price was CHF 235.00, slightly below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA20) of CHF 236.95, indicating a potential short-term bearish trend. However, the stock is above its 50-day SMA50 of CHF 229.14, suggesting a longer-term bullish outlook. The average true range (ATR) of 5.83, or 2.48%, indicates moderate volatility. Given the 52-week high and low of CHF 244.00 and CHF 180.26, respectively, the stock is currently trading near its 52-week high, suggesting strong market demand.
From a fundamental perspective, APG|SGA SAs market capitalization stands at CHF 695.31 million, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.99, indicating a relatively fair valuation. The return on equity (RoE) of 76.53% is exceptionally high, suggesting the company is highly profitable. Considering these fundamental indicators, along with the technical analysis, a forecast for APG|SGA SA could be cautiously optimistic. If the company continues to demonstrate strong profitability and the advertising market remains favorable, the stock could potentially reach new highs, possibly testing the resistance level around CHF 244.00. However, a decline below the SMA50 could signal a reversal, potentially targeting the 200-day SMA at CHF 202.21.
Based on the analysis, a potential trading strategy could involve monitoring the stocks price action around the SMA20 and SMA50 levels. A sustained move above the SMA20 could be seen as a bullish signal, potentially leading to further upside. Conversely, a break below the SMA50 could indicate a need to reevaluate the investment thesis. As with any investment decision, its crucial to consider multiple sources of information and maintain a disciplined risk management approach.
APGN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 819m |
| Sub-Industry | Advertising |
| IPO / Inception |
APGN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 60.1% |
| Fundamental | 79.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 56.5% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.67% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
APGN Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 5.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.11% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 66.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.9% |
APGN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -65% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 90.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 64.3% |
| CAGR 5y | 8.25% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.22 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.19 |
| Alpha | 11.83 |
| Beta | 0.108 |
| Volatility | 25.07% |
| Current Volume | 0.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 0.8k |
| Stop Loss | 213.4 (-3%) |
| Signal | -0.87 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (58.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 39.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.35 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 25.95pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.35% (prev -0.37%; Δ 2.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.40 (>3.0%) and CFO 78.1m > Net Income 58.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-56.4m) to EBITDA (68.4m) ratio: -0.82 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (3.00m) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.58% (prev 18.17%; Δ 6.41pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 340.2% (prev 166.7%; Δ 173.5pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3842 (EBITDA TTM 68.4m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.23
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 120.3m - Total Current Liabilities 104.9m) / Total Assets 193.2m |
| (B) 0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 66.6m / Total Assets 193.2m |
| (C) 0.28 = EBIT TTM 53.8m / Avg Total Assets 192.2m |
| (D) 0.67 = Book Value of Equity 74.4m / Total Liabilities 111.4m |
| Total Rating: 4.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.47
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 10.66% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.30% = 2.57 |
| 4. Debt/Equity data missing |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda data missing |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 58.91% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 78.70% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 17.45% = 0.87 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
| 10. EPS Trend 60.98% = 1.52 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 99.70% = 2.50 |
What is the price of APGN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.45%, over one month by -6.38%, over three months by -5.98% and over the past year by +18.92%.
Is APG SGA a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of APGN is around 217.06 CHF . This means that APGN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.34%.
Is APGN a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the APGN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 248.5 | 13% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 237.5 | 7.9% |
APGN Fundamental Data Overview
Market Cap CHF = 656.4m (656.4m CHF * 1.0 CHF.CHF)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 25.0m CHF (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 21.4496
P/S = 1.9953
P/B = 11.2491
Beta = 0.58
Revenue TTM = 653.8m CHF
EBIT TTM = 53.8m CHF
EBITDA TTM = 68.4m CHF
Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Short Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = -56.4m CHF (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 631.4m CHF (656.4m + (null Debt) - CCE 25.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3842 (Ebit TTM 53.8m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0k)
FCF Yield = 10.66% (FCF TTM 67.3m / Enterprise Value 631.4m)
FCF Margin = 10.30% (FCF TTM 67.3m / Revenue TTM 653.8m)
Net Margin = 8.98% (Net Income TTM 58.7m / Revenue TTM 653.8m)
Gross Margin = 24.58% ((Revenue TTM 653.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 493.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.49 (Enterprise Value 631.4m / Book Value Of Equity 74.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 7000 / Debt none)
Taxrate = 18.29% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 6.78m / 37.1m)
NOPAT = 43.9m (EBIT 53.8m * (1 - 18.29%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 120.3m / Total Current Liabilities 104.9m)
Debt / Equity = unknown Debt (none)
Debt / EBITDA = unknown (Net Debt -56.4m / EBITDA 68.4m)
Debt / FCF = none (Debt none / FCF TTM 67.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 74.6m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 30.39% (Net Income 58.7m, Total Assets 193.2m )
RoE = 78.70% (Net Income TTM 58.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 74.6m)
RoCE = 72.10% (Ebit 53.8m / (Equity 74.6m + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = 58.91% (NOPAT 43.9m / Invested Capital 74.6m)
WACC = unknown (E(656.4m)/V(0.0) * Re(6.41%)) + (D(none)/V(0.0) * Rd(none%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 40.0 | Cagr: 0.01%
Discount Rate = 6.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.02% ; FCFE base≈47.2m ; Y1≈46.4m ; Y5≈47.5m
Fair Price DCF = 281.0 (DCF Value 842.3m / Shares Outstanding 3.00m; 5y FCF grow -2.71% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 17.45 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -13.61
EPS Correlation: 60.98 | EPS CAGR: 99.70%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -70.88